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Saturday “expert” roundup

Saturday, Sep 30, 2006

The major punditry sites usually update their election prognostications on Friday. So, this will be a regular feature through election day. You can comment all you want, but comments won’t be visible until Monday morning, when I waive my magic wand.

ILLINOIS GOVERNOR

* National Journal:

15 ILLINOIS Rod Blagojevich (D) Last Ranking: 16

Say this for Blagojevich: The press delivers him ethics lemons and he turns around and bashes Topinka for knowing George Ryan. That’s the power of money. Is Gov. Rod this year’s Gray Davis?

* CQPolitics:

Leans Democratic Ill. — Blagojevich

* Charlie Cook:

Leans Dem - Blagojevich - IL

* The Washington Post’s The Fix “prognosticator” used the Sun-Times/NBC5 outlier poll as its sole basis for analysis, so, once again, there’s no reason to put any stock into what Chris Cillizza writes about any races, gubernatorial or congressional.

ILLINOIS 6TH CONGRESSIONAL

* National Journal:

23 ILLINOIS-06 Open Seat (R) Last Ranking: 23

Immigration has emerged as a contentious issue in this campaign. Besides the Southwest, the Midwest has been one of the few areas of the country still responding to the immigration issue.

* CQPolitics:

No Clear Favorite - Ill. 6

* Charlie Cook has not updated his rankings since Sept. 20.

ILLINOIS 8TH CONGRESSIONAL

* National Journal:

[Moved race out of “top 30.” Race is now at 31.]

* CQPolitics:

Leans Democratic - Ill. 8 — Bean

ILLINOIS 17TH CONGRESSIONAL

* National Journal:

48 ILLINOIS-17 Open Seat (D) Last Ranking: 48

* CQPolitics:

Leans Democratic - Ill. 17 — Evans (open seat)

- Posted by Rich Miller        


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