SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Unsolicited advice

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* Dear Bill Brady,

During yesterday’s debate, you mentioned how Texas was doing so well. They ain’t

Earlier this month [Texas] House Speaker Joe Straus told county administrators the state budget deficit would be at least $18 billion.

Tuesday legislative budget staff said the shortfall has grown to $21 billion.

But on the same day, when Governor Rick Perry sat down with KERA, Perry said the gap to fund the next two-years of state government will be only half that bad, no more than $11 billion.

Yeah. No problems there.

And New Jersey’s Chris Christie, who is coming to town to raise money for you, ain’t doing all that great either

Meredith Whitney, the analyst who correctly predicted Citigroup Inc.’s dividend cut in 2008, will release a report rating California’s financial condition as the worst among the 15 largest U.S. states, Fortune said. […]

After California, New Jersey, Illinois and Ohio tie as the second-worst

* Dear Rich Voltair,

The problem was not your “word choice“…

A suburban political candidate said he regrets saying the nation’s attitude toward gay marriage will change because older people eventually will die.

“It was a poor choice of words,” said Rich Voltair, a Round Lake Beach Democrat running for the 62nd District seat. “I definitely realize that.” […]

“As a 32-year-old, I hold views that are consistent with my age group,” he said in that story, which was based on e-mail exchanges with both candidates. “These views represent the future and it is only a matter of time before the previous generation expires and our generation takes over.”

The Great Die-Off you speak of will also “solve” our Social Security, Medicare and state pension problems. But it’s not something you’re supposed to cheer for, dude.

* Dear Jason Plummer,

Chicago is a border city, too, ‘ya know

Over the last several months, [Republican lt. governor nominee Jason Plummer] said he has been on the campaign trail, visiting those cities – Rockford, Moline, Danville – that are located near borders with other states.

But, then again, Chicago also has reporters who probably wouldn’t write puff pieces about you. So, better stick with the little towns.

* Dear Adam Andrzejewski,

Timing is everything. If the primary was later, you and your “forensic audit” proposal might’ve actually won the governor’s race. I mean, even a Chicago alderman is hyping the phrase

[Ald. Scott Waguespack] now plans to put together an “agenda” — including a “forensic audit” of city finances and contracts — for a City Council expected to assert itself more forcefully in the post-Daley era.

“Open the books. Let’s look at how we’re spending and re-direct the monies towards our most important needs, including the Police Department,” he said.

* Dear Sun-Times,

Hope is not a plan

But by referring to leaving “daily operations of the bank,” the Giannoulias camp clearly was trying to leave the impression that he had walked out the bank’s doors for good.

Giannoulias’ opponent, U.S. Rep. Mark Kirk, has been no more straightforward on Broadway Bank issues. Last week, in a meeting with the Sun-Times editorial board, he ominously said the Giannoulias family “took $70 million out of the bank before its collapse” without mentioning that most of that money went to pay taxes.

We can only hope both campaigns get more straightforward in the final weeks before Nov. 2.

The public floggings need to continue on a regular basis.

* Dear national Democrats,

You may be seeing a “dead cat” bounce

Democrats say they see a bounce

The story line for Election 2010 has been set for months: Republicans are on the march; Democrats are in deep trouble. Is it possible that Democrats have begun a comeback?

Several Democrats say there is modest movement in their direction and some reason for optimism after many dismal months

* Dear John Shimkus spokesman Steve Tomaszewski,

Careful, the Interwebtube Gods can be vengeful

“It was an unknown person from an internet media source, and I did not reply,” said Steve Tomaszewski, spokesman for Shimkus, when asked about Cary’s request.

* Dear Mike McRaith…

Et tu?

The name of Illinois Insurance Director and Chicago resident Michael McRaith is being floated as the first chief of the new Federal Insurance Office, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal.

* Dear scientists…

I’m not sure this is such a good thing

If huge, hungry Asian carp end up reaching Lake Michigan, their long-dreaded invasion might turn out to be less ferocious than once expected because a tiny competitor is gobbling up their primary food source, some Great Lakes researchers say.

The quagga mussel — a thumbnail-sized foreign mullosk first spotted in the lakes two decades ago — has devoured so much plankton in southern Lake Michigan that the entire food web is being altered, federal and university scientists say in a series of newly published articles.

Hey, maybe we can use the carp and the mussels to clean up this problem

Illinois is failing to crack down on water pollution from large confined-animal farms, the Obama administration announced Wednesday in a stinging rebuke that gave the state a month to figure out how to fix its troubled permitting and enforcement programs.

Responding to a petition from environmental groups, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency said its nearly yearlong investigation found widespread problems with the Illinois EPA’s oversight of confined-animal feeding operations, or CAFOs. Many of the cattle, hog and chicken operations produce manure in amounts comparable to the waste generated by small towns.

* Your turn…

- Posted by Rich Miller   33 Comments      


But did anyone have the tomato and goat cheese torte? Enquiring minds want to know!

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* And, now, we get Rahm Emanuel’s lunch schedule

Rahm Emanuel lunched [yesterday] with Chicago billionaire Sam Zell, chairman of the Tribune Company, as the White House chief of staff mulls a run for Chicago mayor.

The two dined at a chic eatery, Central Michel Richard, a restaurant manager confirmed. The spot is about six blocks from the White House, where Emanuel serves as chief of staff to President Barack Obama.

“They have lunch all the time when he (Zell) comes to D.C.,” according to a source close to Emanuel, who cautioned against reading too much into the power lunch. “He’s known him (Zell) for a long time and I imagined they talked about the race, Chicago, the economy, education and other issues.”

In other words: This is not news. But, hey, if they were really enterprising reporters, they’d tell us what the two men ordered.

* Speaking of not news

WASHINGTON — Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff, is resigning to run for mayor of Chicago, people familiar with his plans said today.

We’ve known this for days now. Thanks for retelling us.

* But there was one useful story about Emanuel this week. Medill Reports took a close, even-handed look at his residency questions. State law requires a mayoral candidate to reside in the city for a year before an election. Chicago’s election is February 22nd. Election law attorneys Burt Odelson and James Nally claimed Emanuel can’t run

Odelson noted that a section of the statute in the Illinois election code allows individuals who are in service to the U.S. to keep their residency status, but only for voting purposes.

“Even if Mr. Emanuel could make a claim that he’s in service of the U.S. and still vote absentee, he cannot make the claim he has been a resident of the city of Chicago for one year prior to the election because he leased his house to a family,” Odelson said.

And while Nally admitted that election law weighs heavily on “intent,” it also requires an actual physical presence for candidates

“Physical presence is very important,” Nally said. “The statute asks, ‘Were you residing in that municipality a year prior to election?’ That’s a pretty straight-up fact question.”

However, Jim Allen with the Chicago Board of Elections disagrees, and says if a candidate maintains a residence and voter registration, then he’ll pass muster. And Ron Michaelson, the former Chairman of the Illinois State Board of Elections, agrees with Allen

“Intent goes a long way in determining where one’s residency actually is,” he said.

Michaelson also noted that in these types of residency laws, the benefit of the doubt is usually given to the individual claiming intent.

* Roundup…

* Del Valle: No Money from Connected Donors

* Dart close to signing Joe Trippi as mayor campaign adviser

* Daley has nice words for Gery Chico in mayor’s race

* Emanuel to kick off mayoral campaign with city “listening tour”

* Emanuel Has a Campaign Manager [No name listed in story, but the author claims Emanuel is “a campaigner of mythical status”]

* Sneed: Out of the gate The Rahm run . . .

* Emanuel White House departure for mayor’s race likely to come Friday

* Emanuel faces hurdles if coming home to Chicago

* Rahm Emanuel no friend on immigration

* Rahm Snags Chicago Apartment

* Fioretti Makes Campaign for Mayor ‘Public’

* Mayoral race: Ald. Fioretti in, Ald. Waguespack out

* McQueary: Assessor’s race: Looking for love, coming up short

* Kadner: Berrios a minority of a different sort

* VIDEO: 90% of Tax Reductions Go to Berrios Donors

- Posted by Rich Miller   29 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* The Highway Loss Data Institute released a study this week that claims state bans on texting while driving don’t work. Jamey Dunn fills us in

The institute compared insurance claims data with stats from before and after the bans, as well as with those of neighboring states that did not have bans. Researchers also considered other factors that can affect collision rates, such as seasonal changes in traffic. The instance of collisions did not go down in any of the states; in fact, it went up a small amount in three of the four states studied. The largest increase was 9 percent in Minnesota. According to the study: “If the goal of texting and cell phone bans is the reduction of crash risk, then the bans have so far been ineffective.”

And I can attest to this…

From the report: “This unexpected consequence of banning texting suggests that texting drivers have responded to the law perhaps by attempting to avoid fines by hiding their phones from view. If this causes them to take their eyes off the road more than before the ban, then the bans may make texting more dangerous rather than eliminating it.”

I’ve held my iPhone down low when looking up phone numbers because I didn’t want to get busted for texting, even though I wasn’t texting. I stopped doing that when I realized what an idiot I was being.

* So, what to do? Ban cellphone usage entirely? Rep. John D’Amico, a sponsor of the Illinois texting ban, says that’s a way to go…

D’Amico said a ban on using cell phones while driving would be a better solution. Illinois currently bans drivers from talking on phones in school and construction zones. He compared a possible ban to laws against driving while intoxicated, which have become more strictly enforced, causing the drunken driving to elicit more of a social stigma than it did in past decades. He said people will eventually see using a cell phone the way people see driving drunk now, and will say: “‘Boy I can’t believe we used to be allowed to do that.’”

But the Institute says that won’t help much, either…

Fleming said another study from the institute found hands-free options to be just as dangerous as standard cell phones. However, the same study also found cell phone bans to be ineffective in cutting accidents. Fleming acknowledges that such results are disappointing to those interested in improving driver safety. But, she said, if police can find better ways to catch violators in the act of texting or talking on the phone, bans could help make roads safer.

* Mobile phone usage while driving is potentially very dangerous, however...

A Virginia Tech study last year found that among truckers, dialing a cell phone made a driver 5.9 times more likely to cause an accident, while text messaging increased the likelihood 23.2 times.

* The Question: Should the state ban cellphone usage while driving? Period. Not just mandate hands-free use, but ban it entirely. Explain.

- Posted by Rich Miller   44 Comments      


Not much “there” there

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* While written in a way that implies quite a bit, there’s a serious hole in today’s Tribune story

[Gov. Pat Quinn} has received political contributions connected to at least 77 of the people he has chosen for state task forces, agencies, boards or commissions since he became governor in January 2009, according to a Tribune review of public records. At least 20 of the donations from the appointees, their families or their businesses came within two months of the appointment.

We know via the story that three of those contributions were rather large. But we don’t know how big the rest of them were. We don’t even know their average size. $100? $500? $10,000? The Tribune doesn’t tell us, except to say that “many” are under the $25K asking price that Rod Blagojevich had set. They don’t define “many.” And until they tell us, I don’t think we should jump to any conclusions here.

* And of those four examples they gave? The first one was from the father of Mariyana Spyropoulos. Quinn supported her more than two years ago for MWRD. She lost the race, applied for an opening, Quinn gave her the appointment. Shortly before this year’s primary, when Quinn was literally desperate for money, her father contributed $25,000, then another $25,000 after the primary. She kicked in $1K.

While it doesn’t look great, Quinn appears to have known the father for quite a while, and dined with him twice in Copenhagen during the city’s Olympics bid.

Another appointee, William Brandt Jr., is described as a “high school chum” of Quinn’s. People with decent piles of cash often go in heavy for their oldest friends. No surprise The other is Steven Gilford, who worked with Quinn in the Walker administration.

* The last example shows you how much of a stretch some of these “connections” may be…

For an appointment to the Executive Ethics Commission, Quinn needed a Republican because state law required a degree of balance among political parties. He turned to retired Pinckneyville attorney Gayl Pyatt, a former member of the Illinois Gaming Board.

The job comes with a $37,571 annual salary and a ban on political activity. Quinn appointed Pyatt in October. Her husband, Richard, a retired funeral director, gave $500 to Quinn in November.

Gayl Pyatt said the “contribution was made because a very, very good friend” of her family held a fundraiser for the governor. If not, Pyatt said, “that check would never have been written.”

$500? Really? Move along. Nothing to see there.

…Adding… From a commenter…

Also, could the brain trust at the Trib let us know how many of those 77 received appointments to boards that PAY? Most don’t, as I recall.

- Posted by Rich Miller   35 Comments      


PPP: Brady up by seven, Topinka ahead by 20 and Rutherford up by 8

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* Two publicly released polls in two days showing a single digit governor’s race. Something’s up. Subscribers know one theory. From Public Policy Polling

Bill Brady continues to lead the Illinois Governor’s race but Pat Quinn’s pulling a little closer, trailing 42-35 in PPP’s newest survey of the race. Independent Scott Lee Cohen gets 6%, Green Party candidate Rich Whitney is at 4%, and Libertarian Lex Green is at 2%.

Quinn’s doing better than he was in an August PPP poll, when he trailed by 9, largely because of an improved standing with independents. He continues to trail Brady 39-27 with them, but that’s a significant improvement from his 25 point deficit in the last poll. Quinn is incredibly unpopular with independent voters, at an 18/67 approval spread. But those voters don’t like Brady either, viewing him negatively 32/38.

It’s amazing that Quinn’s still in this given his continuing incredible unpopularity. 60% of voters in the state now disapprove of the job he’s doing to only 24% who are happy with it. In addition to those dreadful numbers with independents only 6% of Republicans think he’s doing a good job and even with Democrats he’s at just a 42/38 spread. But he’s fortunate that GOP voters nominated a very weak candidate themselves. Only 36% of folks in Illinois see Brady in a favorable light while 44% have a negative opinion of him.

The two biggest things to watch in this race over the final five weeks are the undecideds and the 10% of voters currently leaning either toward Cohen or Whitney.

The undecideds are an overwhelmingly Democratic bunch. 67% voted for Barack Obama while only 20% supported John McCain. They’re planning to vote Democratic for Congress by a 44-17 margin this fall. They’re supporting Alexi Giannoulias by a 21 point margin over Mark Kirk. But they don’t like Pat Quinn- only 14% of them approve of him with 42% disapproving. Whether their Democratic loyalties outweigh their dislike of Quinn in the end may determine whether he can still pull out this race despite his very poor personal numbers.

The folks supporting Cohen or Whitney right now are also a Democratic leaning bunch. 52% voted for Obama to only 32% who supported McCain. They’re planning to vote Democratic for Congress by a 43-28 margin. But they really hate Quinn- 4% approve of him and 83% disapprove of him.

If you allocate all of the undecideds who voted for Obama to Quinn and the ones who voted for McCain to Brady, the Brady lead shrinks to 44-43. My guess is that most of the undecideds will indeed end up in the Quinn camp and make this a much closer race. Quinn’s path with the Whitney and Cohen voters is tougher though and he needs to hope those folks’ dislike of him isn’t so strong that they’ll go so far as to vote for Brady to get him out.

This is a pretty fascinating race.

Yes, it is. That undecided info is also quite interesting. The question is whether the Democrats can keep them moving their way and then turn those people out. From the company’s president…

“Things are starting to look a little more encouraging for Pat Quinn than they did earlier in the summer,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He remains personally unpopular but the minor candidates are starting to pick up some of the anti-Quinn instead of it all going to Brady.”

That can happen in a multi-candidate race. You slam the other guy, but those voters don’t automatically go to you if they have other options. It’s the biggest reason why Rich Whitney scored 10 percent four years ago.

* Methodology…

PPP surveyed 470 likely Illinois voters from September 23 to 26. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.5%.

* Crosstabs are here.

* Meanwhile, the pollster also had some very good news for Republicans Judy Baar Topinka and Dan Rutherford

Notice, however, that they didn’t poll the two third-party candidates. Not good.

- Posted by Rich Miller   36 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* Home prices to take hit next year in many markets

The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city index released Tuesday ticked up in July from June. But the gain is merely temporary, analysts say. They see home values taking a dive in many major markets well into next year.

That’s because the peak home-buying season is now ending after a dismal summer. The hardest-hit markets, already battered by foreclosures, are bracing for a bigger wave of homes sold at foreclosure or through short sales. A short sale is when a lender lets a homeowner sell for less than the mortgage is worth.

Add high unemployment and reluctant buyers, and the outlook in many areas is bleak. Nationally, home values are projected to fall 2.2 percent in the second half of the year, according to analysts surveyed by MacroMarkets LLC. And Moody’s Analytics predicts the Case-Shiller index will drop 8 percent within a year.

* Index Shows Increase in Housing Prices

* Mortgage companies may be contributing to delinquencies in foreclosure rates

Despite the passage last year of the federal Home Affordable Modification Program, foreclosure filings in Chicago’s six-county region rose 38 percent from the first half of 2009 to the first half of 2010, according to data from the Woodstock Institute, which tracks foreclosure activity in the region.

The program, part of President Obama’s comprehensive plan to address the housing crisis and restore economic stability, helps struggling homeowners avoid foreclosure by reducing their monthly mortgage payments.

Among other criteria, eligible candidates must have a monthly mortgage payment greater than 31 percent of their gross monthly income and have suffered a loss of income that prevents them from making payments.

But Katie Buitrago, policy communications associate for the institute, said actual delinquency is not a requirement.

* Marin: Feel Safer? Thanks to Cook County government, you’re not

* Chicago’s uninsured ahead of national average

There were more than 550,000 uninsured people — or 19.7 percent of the population — in the city of Chicago last year, according to the bureau’s American Community Survey. In Illinois, nearly 1.7 million people, or 13 percent of the state’s population, did not have insurance.

Nationally, there were 50.7 million uninsured residents, or 16.7 percent of the population, according to the data.

* Joliet Census data shows bump in population, steady poverty levels

Despite a 24 percent spike in the number of people below the poverty level statewide over the past 10 years, Joliet’s numbers remained steady over the years between 10 and 13 percent. In 2009, the number of people in poverty was 11 percent.

However, Joliet’s median household income did dip slightly from $61,061 in 2008 to $53,687 in 2009, likely due to an increase in unemployment.

* Median household income in Peoria County drops 7.8 percent

* State’s Attorney calls for probe into delinquent tax sale auctions in Madison County

Mudge’s request follows by two days the publication of a News-Democrat investigation, which showed that Bathon took in about $140,000 in campaign donations from investors who bought delinquent property tax debts.

Those investors were routinely allowed to buy property owners’ tax debts at an 18 percent penalty rate — the maximum allowed under state law. The investors took in up to $200,000 apiece in penalties for some years.

“State law affords county treasurers wide latitude on how to conduct these sales,” Mudge wrote. “However, I believe an independent review is in order in light of the recent concerns expressed about these former practices.”

Mudge, a Democrat, added: “Everyone should be careful not to politicize this exercise during a campaign season. These authorities are aware of the situation, and I am confident that they will conduct a fair, independent and proper review.”

* Investigation: Tax auctions look ‘like government-sponsored loan-sharking’

* Tax buyers, politicians benefit from tax sales

* Madison County Republicans call for investigation

* Madison County Democrats fire back on tax sale

* News-Democrat: What’s really up for auction?

* LORIMOR: Timing is right to push for southern Illinois MSA

Despite it being one of the larger communities south of Springfield, Carbondale and its surrounding area is not within one of those designated areas. That’s not uncommon, but most of the land within Illinois’ borders east of Interstate 55 and south of Interstate 72 is also outside of an MSA. That means communities such as Charleston-Mattoon, Effingham, Mount Vernon, Marion and, of course, Carbondale can be easily overlooked in government reports.

Seems like quite a blind spot, especially when talking about a region that relies heavily on government programs to get by.

* Unemployment Figures Improve in Some Counties

Franklin County dropped 1.4%, but is still ranked 3rd highest statewide.

Hardin County remained the same at 12.3 unemployed. Perry County dropped from 12.5% to 11.8% And Saline County is out of double digits now at 9.9% from last year’s 11.2%.

* Cook County Property Tax Bills Out Late This Year

Different officials are blaming each other for why the bills are going out late. But regardless of who’s to blame, Blue Island Mayor Don Peloquin says his city will be hurt by the late payments.

* Conrad Black asks judge to toss conviction

* Judge Posner: Conrad Black’s crimes ‘old-fashioned fraud’

* Demonstrators call for jobs program funding

* Some progress on Metra watchdog

Metra officials said they also want an independent watchdog but prefer someone picked by the Regional Transportation Authority, which has oversight of the three transit agencies in the region. Another option is an IG named by the people who appoint the Metra board of directors, who include the Chicago mayor, the chairman of the DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will County Boards, and Cook County Board members.

* 2011 CTA budget to avoid fee hikes, service cuts

Once again the CTA, which faces almost $7 billion in unfunded capital needs, will reluctantly use capital funds meant for improvements to help balance the day-to-day 2011 operating budget and avoid reducing services again, according to the proposed budget released Wednesday.

* CTA bus driver OT soars since layoffs

* Lehner: A Metra rider’s lament

* Pedestrians face local fines for ignoring train signals, crossing tracks

* Milbank: The power of Jarrett

Certainly, Jarrett fills an important role for Obama: She has deep and personal ties to the president, as well as undivided loyalties, and can talk honestly to him on a first-name basis. But current and former White House officials I spoke with raised questions about Jarrett’s effectiveness and judgment.

* Daley on Olympics: “It’s all about money”

* Southtown Star: Commissioners now free to just tweet it. But why?

* Aurora seeks to slash payroll costs

With a projected $18 million deficit looming for 2011, the city has once again offered its employees the chance to voluntarily leave city service, with incentives.

For those who stay, the city is requiring each employee to give up 10 percent of their salary. That money can come from wages or benefits. Chief Management Officer Carie Anne Ergo said that however it’s done, the city is seeking a total of $8.4 million in savings.

That amount, Ergo said, would minimize upcoming layoffs, but not prevent them.

* Mt. Prospect offers buyouts to avoid layoffs

* Carol Stream mayor defends red-light cameras

* Orland Square Mall tax objection could take more than 18 months to resolve

* I-Team Report: Cicero’s Super Car

* Tazewell County adjusts health plans

* Veterans Home receives second round of funding for construction projects

* Champaign schools budget shows deficit

* Grafton City Council to vote for annexation

* Vote fraud, tax trial resumes for former East St. Louis councilman

Prosecutors allege that Collins lived at 4382 Redfield in Swansea but voted from 22 Loisel Drive in East St. Louis in an election in which a federal candidate was on the ballot. Collins is accused of using the Loisel address to get work in and around East St. Louis and to be the Democratic committeeman in Precinct 26.

* Judge allows former ESL councilman limited mobility until sentencing

* Fairview Heights Mayor says council has formed voting blocs that harm city

* Tea Party to host rally Saturday in O’Fallon

* New Mayor in West Frankfort

- Posted by Barton Lorimor   2 Comments      


Morning Videos: Brady on property taxes, Hudzik and Thomas on the debate, WGN on Giannoulias and a repost of Quinn’s new TV ads

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

* Yesterday, Gov. Pat Quinn claimed during the debate that Bill Brady had admitted his budget cutting plan for schools would raise local property taxes. Reporters asked him about his remarks after the debate and Quinn referred to a comment made by Brady at the State Fair. We posted that video back then. Here’s the relevant excerpt


Eric Zorn provides us with a transcript

REPORTER: How do you cut 10 percent out of school budgets or education money and not fire people?

BRADY: The local school districts will make those decisions.

REPORTER: And where do they get the money?

BRADY: Maybe they’ll have to forego some pay raises

REPORTER: Is that enough? If they’re getting 10 percent less money?

BRADY: We’re trying to drill down and see what the average pay raises are within those those things. So maybe they’ll have to make some decisions like the private sector’s made.

REPORTER: Like raising property taxes

BRADY: No

REPORTER: So less money for schools, but no layoffs but no property tax increases for them to operate?

BRADY: Well, there are some natural property tax increases that will go into effect. I mean, if you drill down to education funding the state of Illinois provides less than a third, OK? So that would be a cut of less than 2.5 percent by what we defined as our budget. I think if you look at pay raises and you look at some other things, there are various options at the local level. I will ask them to be responsible as we have to be.

* WBEZ political reporter Sam Hudzik provided his take of the debate yesterday. You can go to WBEZ’s website or watch the YouTube clip I made


* And here is the ABC7 report on the debate from Charles Thomas


* Lots more debate videos and a full news roundup were posted yesterday, in case you missed them.

* MSNBC asked Alexi Giannoulias yesterday about the Tribune’s latest story. WGN ran an excerpt from his appearance in New York and had some more analysis. Watch

 

* I posted Gov. Quinn’s new campaign ads yesterday, but they were both posted late so not all of you may have seen them. Here’s the positive ad


And Quinn’s negative ad


- Posted by Rich Miller   57 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and more news

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Sep 30, 2010

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


Quinn also has a new negative ad

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* Bill Brady is hit again in Gov. Pat Quinn’s latest TV ad for being a “millionaire politician who somehow didn’t pay any federal income taxes.” But the big kicker here is that Quinn claims Bill Brady’s “plan” would “throw 128,000 Illinois people out of work,” and add a billion dollars to the deficit by “giving tax breaks to the wealthy.” He’s “wrong and reckless,” the ad claims.

Rate it


The 128,000 figure comes from a report by the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability last year

If the state were to close its $4 billion to $9 billion budget deficit by cutting spending, it could cause the state’s economy to lose anywhere from 56,893 to 128,008 jobs, thereby worsening the recession and the state’s unemployment rate.

- Posted by Rich Miller   14 Comments      


Quinn unveils positive ad

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* I mentioned this new ad to subscribers today. Rate it


The ad features Mayor Daley, so I’m guessing this is Chicago only. It also features President Obama.

…Adding… Here are a few more videos for your perusal this evening.

* Gov. Quinn talks to reporters after the debate.

* Bill Brady talks to reporters after today’s debate.

* Gov. Pat Quinn announces extension of jobs program


* Rep. Susana Mendoza is gearing up for her run for city clerk


Related story

Watch for State Rep. Susana Mendoza and Ald. Ed Burke to target the latest physical assault weapon: Sulfuric acid.

• Burke’s law: Ald. Burke, who helped ban the sale of spray paint cans in Chicago — which had been used for graffiti desecrating city buildings — plans to introduce a city ordinance restricting and/or banning the sale of sulfuric acid. “I can’t think of any good reason why these chemicals should be readily available for purchase,” he told Sneed. “Clearly it’s as dangerous as knives and guns.”

• Mendoza’s message: Watch for Mendoza (D-Chicago), who is running for city clerk, to introduce legislation creating a “separate enhanced penalty” for using acid as a weapon and restricting its access. “It’s easy to buy . . . and victims of this crime feel they are living death in life,” she told Sneed. “They feel their disfigurement will discriminate against them in the workplace; specifically in upfront jobs. By the way, I just met acid victim Esperanza Medina, who is a magnificent person with a great attitude.”

• Sneed’s query: So would Mendoza hire Medina in an upfront job if she becomes city clerk? “Absolutely,” she said. “Just watch me.”

- Posted by Rich Miller   18 Comments      


Poll: Two-point race for governor? Giannoulias ahead?

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* CNN/TIME’s new poll of likely voters shows a very close race for governor

…40 percent of likely voters back state senator Bill Brady, the GOP nominee, with 38 percent backing Gov. Pat Quinn, the Democrat’s nominee.

Fourteen percent support independent Scott Lee Cohen, while four percent support Green Party candidate Rich Whitney.

The crosstabs have Cohen scoring 16 percent of Democrats, 19 percent of independents and 6 percent of Republicans. They also have Quinn beating Bill Brady in Cook County 49-26 (with a whopping 17 percent going to Cohen), losing in the collars 53-25 (12 percent for Cohen) and losing Downstate 45-33 (15 percent for Cohen). Unlike other recent polling, Quinn is leading among women.

Weird.

* The poll also has Giannoulias ahead in the Senate race

Forty-three percent of likely voters questioned in the poll say they back Illinois Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias, the Democrat’s Senate nominee, while 42 percent support Rep. Mark Kirk, the Republican standard-bearer.

Eight percent back Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, while another four percent remain undecided.

Other polls of likely voters conducted this month also indicate the race is a dead heat.

“The key to this race may be Jones, whose support among liberals and independents is in double digits. Since 13 percent of the independents are currently opting for Jones, Kirk has a 16-point lead among that group,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.

* Methodology…

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted September 24-28, with 1,504 adults, including 1,360 registered voters in Illinois and 828 likely voters, questioned by telephone.

The survey’s sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.

Anybody wanna take a crack at this one?

- Posted by Rich Miller   55 Comments      


An easier way to watch today’s debate, or banjo players

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* A reader loaded the Bill Brady vs. Pat Quinn debate onto his Vimeo account. The YouTube process was just taking too long. Watch it

* Progress Illinois has posted some handy snippets. Here’s Brady talking about being the “jobs governor“…

* Gov. Quinn attacks Brady for living in a “pretend world” which “doesn’t exist” regarding his budget ideas

* The governor blasted Brady for being a “career politician” in Springfield 17 years over and over again during the debate, including in this clip “Perish the thought if he was ever governor,” Quinn said of Brady

* And if you’re already tired of the debate, try watching Eric Zorn and Sheila Simon play “Old Joe Clark” on the banjo


* Coverage roundup…

* AP: Quotes From Gubernatorial Debate

* AP: Brady, Quinn trade barbs about economy at debate

* WBEZ: Sharp Differences Between Quinn, Brady in First Debate: QUINN: Last time I checked people in Illinois pay a lot of that money to get federal government in taxes. And we’re entitled to get some of that money back.

* Tribune: Brady, Quinn lash out at each other at Chicago forum

* Sun-Times: Gov. Quinn at debate: Brady ‘doesn’t have a heart’

* Progress Illinois: Job Creation Dominates First Guv Debate: Quinn wasted few opportunities to bash Brady for that tax platform, which he said would help “multi-millionaires” and Brady’s “friends.” He also called Brady out for his failure to produce a detailed budget plan, a criticism the Republican has faced for months. “We’ve got to have someone with common sense,” Quinn quipped, “not nonsense.”

- Posted by Rich Miller   23 Comments      


Alexi Giannoulias’ ever-changing story changes yet again

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* The AP sums up today’s big Tribune story

Alexi Giannoulias tells voters he left his family bank in 2005, but he got a major tax break by telling the IRS he continued working at the bank the next year. […]

By telling the IRS he worked at least 500 hours in 2006, Giannoulias qualified for a $2.7 million income tax deduction.

That $2.7 million was his reported business loss. He ended up getting $30,000 in tax refunds, which wiped out his income tax liabilities for the year.

* Anyway, on to the Tribune story

Saying he left in 2005 gives Giannoulias maximum distance from the bank’s questionable lending practices, the April takeover by federal regulators and other controversies such as a loan by the bank to convicted influence peddler Antoin “Tony” Rezko in early 2006.

But by reporting that he worked at least 500 hours at Broadway in 2006, Giannoulias was able to get a break that helped him avoid paying federal income tax for 2009.

Giannoulias said he has been clear that he left the “day-to-day” operations of the bank in September 2005 to prepare his first run for public office, but was on paid leave until May 2006 when he left completely to campaign full time for treasurer.

That 2006 work consisted of roughly 30 hours a week closing out his responsibilities before quitting as a bank officer, and didn’t involve making new loans, Giannoulias explained in a recent interview. It was more than enough to qualify him for the tax break, he said.

IRS regulations allow taxpayers to deduct business losses from certain types of corporations if they’ve logged significant hours there for five of the last 10 years. Giannoulias started at the bank in 2002, so working at least 500 hours in 2006 qualifies Giannoulias for the tax break.

As the article points out, Giannoulias’ campaign has been claiming he took a paid leave of absence in September of 2005. But a guy taking a paid leave worked 30 hours a week? That’s some raw deal.

Of course, when he was running for treasurer Giannoulias said in December, 2005 that he “currently serves as vice president and senior loan officer at the four-branch Broadway Bank in Chicago.” In March of 2006, he said this about his position at the bank: “I’m senior loan officer and vice president.”

First, he was a bigtime banker in 2005-06. Then he was on a paid leave of absence. And then we find out he told the IRS he worked 30 hours a week through May of 2006. He did mention that month back in September of 2006 when he was interviewed by the American Banker magazine…

He left his job at Broadway in May to focus on his campaign.

Focus on his campaign? His real campaign was the primary that year. He stomped a woefully under-funded Christine Radogno by 432,000 votes in November.

My head is spinning from all these story changes.

Hint to Alexi: Try telling the truth from the beginning and then sticking with it. That’s a whole lot easier.

* Campaign roundup…

* U.S. House: Don’t Penalize Illinois For Ethics Reform

* Quinn Pushing Equal Pay

* The Rhubarb Patch: Quinn v. Brady; judging the imperfects

* Pantagraph: Time running out; be sure you are able to vote

* PJ Star: Make candidates for top government posts public

* GOP Hopes to Win Big in Illinois, Wisconsin

- Posted by Rich Miller   33 Comments      


Two Democrats, two different NRA endorsements

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* Gun control activist Jim Brady released a humorous statement today about the NRA’s endorsement of state Sen. Bill Brady for governor…

“Some years ago I had to parachute into Illinois and set the record straight when a candidate for the United States Senate said I was once in the business of selling machine guns. Now I’ve got to get involved in an Illinois political race again, because of some other guy named Brady.

“He’s probably a distant cousin of some kind, and if he is, he’s surely the black sheep of the family. Because no Brady in his right mind would be against keeping AK-47s off the streets and against restricting guns near schools. This ’shady Brady’ shouldn’t be in charge of Illinois gun laws, much less in charge of the great state of Illinois.

“If the voters in Illinois feel compelled to vote for an Irishman, then Pat Quinn’s the right candidate for them. I think he’s a cousin of mine, too.”

They’ve also set up a website documenting Bill Brady’s pro-gun voting record. The “anti-gunners” are pledging to push this story into the media bloodstream, but it’s so far been all but ignored. With everything else going on in Chicago, the news hole is pretty darned small these days. Editors want Rahmbo stories, not policy stories about a governor’s race that looks to be pretty darned lopsided.

* But another Democratic candidate is embracing the NRA

The political arm of the National Rifle Association on Tuesday endorsed Democratic U.S. Rep. Debbie Halvorson in a hotly contested southwest suburban congressional race.

The gun rights group chose the freshman congresswoman over her Republican challenger, Adam Kinzinger, an Air Force captain.

The NRA’s Political Victory Fund touted Halvorson’s record, including a vote she took in favor of an amendment that would allow permit holders to carry concealed weapons in national parks and wildlife refuges.

For Halvorson, the endorsement was welcome news as she seeks re-election following a recent overhaul of her campaign team.

* Ironically, Halvorson’s recent TV ad got major props from liberal pro gun-control MSNBC host Rachel Maddow last night. Pretty unwatchable, but go ahead if you must. And her Republican opponent whacked her today for a fundraiser with Speaker Nancy Pelosi…

On Thursday, Speaker Nancy Pelosi will have breakfast with DC lobbyists at a Washington, DC bistro to raise money for Debbie Halvorson, a loyal Pelosi ally. Halvorson has supported every major facet of Pelosi’s agenda including votes in favor of the massive government healthcare bill, the jobless Stimulus bill, cap and trade energy tax and policies that have led to record deficits. It is not surprising that Pelosi would host an event for a loyal follower like Halvorson, but it serves as a reminder of with whom exactly Debbie Halvorson sides and where her loyalty lays.

- Posted by Rich Miller   17 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* The setup

Newt Gingrich, the former U.S. House speaker, was at the [Union League Club] Thursday to help raise funds for Adam Kinzinger, the Republican challenging U.S. Rep. Debbie Halvorson of the 11th District.

A few doors down, Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan was holding court at a party to raise funds for Illinois Democratic candidates.

When former Gov. Jim Thompson, attending the GOP affair, heard his friend Mr. Madigan was nearby, he pulled him out of the Democrats’ party to introduce him to Mr. Gingrich.

The men shook hands and shared a laugh, a club spokesman told me for my Taking Names column

* The Question: Unfortunately, we don’t have a photograph of Gingrich and Madigan shaking hands. So, you’ll have to just use your imagination. Caption?

- Posted by Rich Miller   28 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Jobs, jobs, jobs

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* Scott Lee Cohen’s job fairs got some coverage by NBC5 today

The indy candidate is sticking with a formula that helped him win the Lieutenant Governor nomination in February — before he resigned from the ticket — by hosting job fairs like the one today.

He used today’s opportunity to announce yet another job fair for October 5 in Rockford, Illinois.

* I’ve been wondering what sort of jobs were available at Cohen’s fairs. Turns out, he has a Twitter page called Cohen Job Fairs.

According to that site, employers at the fairs include Mary Kay Inc, Blue Heron Partners, Arbonne International, EXIT Realty, PLS loan store and Syclo LLC.

You already know what Mary Kay is. Home-based sales. This is from Blue Heron Partners’ website

We are looking for sharp, driven, entrepreneurial minded, individuals who are in search of an exciting, dynamic career participating in and assisting others to achieve exceptional wealth objectives in the most profitable Real Estate Investment market in the history of the United States.

Ummm. OK.

Arbonne International

You have a unique opportunity to become an Arbonne Host and earn exclusive rewards when you gather friends together to learn about Arbonne and experience our botanically based products. You and friends will have fun learning and shopping for products, and the more everyone shops, the more rewards you earn!

EXIT Realty appears to base its pay on who you bring in to the company.

Cohen left out a word in one of the names. It’s actually called PLS Payday Loan Store. Etc.

I hope people weren’t expecting real jobs at these fairs.

*** UPDATE *** My parents just received a mailer from Cohen’s campaign about his job fairs. Click here to see the front.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Speaking of jobs, this came up in the gubernatorial debate today

Despite the state’s financial woes, Gov. Pat Quinn [yesterday] said he would pump about $75 million into a jobs program to keep it alive through the end of November.

The move allows Quinn to get through the Nov. 2 election without outcries about a potential collapse of the Put Illinois to Work program that places trainees in jobs with multiple companies, typically at $10 an hour.

Quinn said the state cash would serve as a bridge until Congress can send federal funds, which expire Sept. 30. The governor said he would use the broad authority lawmakers gave him to pay for the extension from Oct. 1 to Nov. 30.

Quinn said he did not want people in the program to lose jobs while waiting for federal money. In some cases, workers had suffered because paychecks had been slowed down due to various glitches.

* And even Jason Plummer got into the act in Southern Illinois

[Plummer] said that Illinois needs to focus on bringing business back to the state. Plummer said there is little incentive for businesses to start or continue in Illinois.

“The private sector has been cannibalized,” Plummer said.

* And now for the bad news

The new American Community Survey data from the Census is out, and it is not a pretty picture.

The Great Recession is being displayed in the numbers. Here are some initial statistics that demonstrate the hardship in Illinois:

* The Illinois poverty rate rose 24% from 1999 to 2009. In 2009 the poverty rate in Illinois was 13.3%, up from 12.2% in 2008 and 10.7% in 1999.

* Number in Poverty in 2009: 1,677,093, up from 1,532,238 in 2008, and 1,291,958 in 1999.

* Extreme Poverty Rate in 2009: 6.0% which rose from 5.4% in 2008, and from 5.1% in 1999.

* There was unconscionable growth in the number living in extreme poverty (below half of the poverty line) in Illinois in 2009: 759,761 which rose from 680,013 in 2008, and from 619,240 in 1999.

* The downward trajectory in median household income continues in Illinois: Illinois median household income in 2009: $53,966 which declined from $56,022 in 2008, and from $59,975 in 1999.

* Over 581,000 children (18.6%) in Illinois are living below the poverty line – significantly higher than a decade ago (443,296).

* Well over 2 million Illinoisans (2,128,485) are now considered low income in Illinois – almost 17% of our state’s population (16.9%).

Oof.

* Roundup…

* Tax amnesty program starts Friday

* Illinois jobs program extended for two months

* Impatient Quinn will use state money to extend job subsidy for thousands, on eve of election

* Poverty rises slightly in Chicago area: Every county in the Chicago area except Kendall experienced slightly increased poverty rates during the four-year period, according to the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. Cook County’s rate was 15.9 percent in 2009, up from 14.8 percent in 2008 and 15.3 in 2006.

* Sangamon County poverty rate at highest in three decades, Census data show

* Brady says he’ll run Illinois ‘like a business’

* Whitney wants free higher education

* Small businesses, schools, health care top issues at Asian-American candidate forum

- Posted by Rich Miller   13 Comments      


GOP poll has Hare behind; PPP poll has Kirk up by four, Obama upside down

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* As I told subscribers the other day, I was polled on the 17th Congressional District race this week by The Tarrance Group, which is a GOP pollster. Expect the GOP to jump in with both feet now

Rep. Phil Hare (D-IL), viewed in strong shape at the beginning of the year, now looks to be ins serious trouble, trailing his Republican challenger by one point. […]

Hare trails businessman Bobby Schilling (R) 44% to 43% in a Tarrance Group survey that was conducted Sept. 23-25. When asked if Hare deserved re-election or if it was time for someone else, just 35% of respondents [said] he should be re-elected.

Hare’s own polling has showed this to be a super-close race for a while, so this is no surprise. And the DCCC is now helping Hare

The DCCC has reserved at least $200,000 worth of television time in the Quad-Cities. The Washington Post says it has also reserved time in the Springfield/Decatur market.

No ad is posted yet at the DCCC’s YouTube site. Stay tuned.

* There’s not a lot of news in the latest Senate numbers. Public Policy Polling’s fresh US Senate poll has Mark Kirk leading Alexi Giannoulias by four points. Unlike others, PPP actually included both third party candidates that have made it to the ballot. The crosstabs are here. From the pollster

The Illinois Senate race continues to be very close, but because Mark Kirk is doing a better job of consolidating his base than Alexi Giannoulias is he’s taken a small lead after trailing by 2 points on PPP’s previous two polls of the race. Kirk is ahead 40-36 with Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones at 8% and Libertarian Mike Labno geting 3%.

Our August poll found Kirk winning 74% of Republicans and Giannoulias getting 72% of Democrats. Now Kirk has expanded his support from his own party to 79% while Giannoulias’ support from his has declined to 68%. Kirk is getting 9% of the Democratic vote while only 2% of Republicans are planning to vote for Giannoulias. Kirk’s double digit lead with independents persists at 41-27.

This continues to be a race between two deeply unpopular candidates. Giannoulias’ favorability is 33/48 and Kirk’s isn’t much better at 33/47. 16% of voters have a negative opinion of both candidates and Kirk leads Giannoulias 35-16 with them, accounting for most of his overall lead. For many swing voters this is going to come down to choosing who they see as the lesser of two evils and right now Kirk is winning that vote.

A big factor to watch moving forward is whether Jones, the Green Party candidate, can maintain his support in the final 5 weeks as it becomes more clear that votes for him could push this race into the Republican column. On one hand Jones’ voters strongly dislike Giannoulias- 56% see him unfavorably to only 21% with a positive opinion. On the other hand they are a strongly Democratic leaning lot with 65% of them having voted for Barack Obama to only 28% who were McCain voters. If Jones fades Giannoulias will gain but if his support remains steady that’s going to be a big plus for Kirk.

Another factor that could result in the race tightening further as voters more firmly make up their minds is that 46% of the undecideds are Democrats compared to 27% who are Republicans and 27% who are independents. If those folks end up ‘coming home,’ that will move Giannoulias even closer.

This continues to be one of the closest- and depressing- Senate races in the country. Only 39% of voters say they’re excited about who they’re voting for with 45% saying they wish someone else was running. This is one race where you may end up seeing an enthusiasm gap on both sides.

* Methodology…

PPP surveyed 470 likely Illinois voters from September 23rd to 26th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.5%.

* As I told subscribers this morning, PPP also found that President Obama is upside down in his home state

Barack Obama’s approval numbers have dropped into negative territory even with likely voters in his home state. 44% approve of the job he’s doing while 49% say they disapprove.

Obama’s home state approval numbers had before avoided some of the trends dragging down his numbers in other states but that’s no longer the case. Independents strongly disapprove of him with just 35% feeling he’s doing a good job to 57% unhappy. Whatever support he may have maintained with Republicans has now evaporated, with only 3% of them approving of him. And although his 80/12 spread with Democrats is still pretty solid it’s not what it had been previously.

- Posted by Rich Miller   15 Comments      


Who really is this guy and where does he live?

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* We’ve talked before about Republican congressional candidate Bob Dold’s problems with Internet tomfoolery and appearing to hide his perhaps “true” conservative side from 10th District voters. Yesterday, this briefly appeared on Dold’s Facebook site

I noticed it yesterday before the Dold campaign deleted the post. It originally linked to this Hotline story

The list of House races that could pose problems for Democrats this November is getting longer by the day, as leaders of the Tea Party-affiliated PAC FreedomWorks unleash a host of last-minute endorsements to “push the boundary of the competitive field.” […]

On Monday, FreedomWorks announced its support of Republicans Jeff Perry in the “lean Democrat” MA 10; Adam Kinzinger (IL 11), Andy Harris (MD 01), Brad Zaun (IA 03) and Todd Young (IN 09) in “Democratic toss-up” districts; and Robert Dold in the IL 10 “Republican toss-up” district.

Like I said, it’s gone now, but you can still see it at Right Nation 2010’s Facebook site. FreedomWorks is run by Dick Armey, a longtime Republican congressman/lobbyist who now touts himself as “the unofficial leader of the anti-Washington Tea Party movement.”

* The Sun-Times looked at some of the history of Dold’s game of hide the ball today

First came the Illinois Federation for the Right to Life and Phyllis Schlafly’s Eagle Forum rescinding their testimonials for Dold after the primary election when Dold clarified that he is “pro-choice” on abortion.

Then Conservative Magazine of Illinois reported in a voter guide that Dold’s “campaign asks that he not be rated highly by our voter guide [indicating that he wishes to be viewed as moderate.]”

Dold denied he or his campaign begged off a high rating from the magazine.

“I’m pro-choice,” Dold said. “I believe Roe v. Wade should not be overturned. I said that in the primary.”

Dold isn’t sure how he initially got the good reviews from the anti-abortion groups, except that perhaps they agreed with his stands against taxpayer funding of abortion; against partial-birth abortions and in favor of notifying parents when their minor daughters get abortions.

Yep. Stuff just always happens to him. For whatever reasons apparently unknown to Bob Dold, the Right just loves him. Poor guy.

* Meanwhile, the Sun-Times also looked at Dold’s curious residency claims, which have now resulted in at least a cursory look by the Cook County State’s Attorney

What was congressional candidate Bob Dold’s “primary residence” from 2004 to 2006?

He received about $4,000 in tax breaks during those years for claiming a homeowner’s exemption on his house in Chicago’s Roscoe Village neighborhood, according to the Cook County Assessor’s office.

But he voted in every primary and general election in Winnetka, according to the Cook County Clerk’s office. That’s in the North Shore 10th Congressional District where Dold, the Republican nominee, boasts he is a “life-long resident.”

When this apparent discrepancy was called to Cook County Clerk David Orr’s attention Tuesday, his office called the Cook County State’s Attorney’s office to turn over the information.

“When things like this are brought to our attention, we take it very seriously and we forward it to States Attorney’s office for review,” said Orr spokeswoman Courtney Greve.

* Dold repeatedly claims that he is a “lifelong resident” of the 10th District. But partisan blogger Ellen Beth Gill begs to differ. Gill dug up the info on Dold’s Chicago residence, and her further research indicates that Dold hasn’t lived very long in the district since he reached adulthood

It’s probably a safe bet he didn’t commute from IL-10 to Washington, DC while he worked for Bush I and Quayle (per his own Linkedin page 1991-1993) or when he worked for the House Government Reform and Oversight Committee (again per his own Linkedin page from 1997-1999). I found an address for Dold in DC at 5306 Nevada Ave. in the Chevy Chase neighborhood. There are other possible addresses in Alexandria and Arlington, VA.

Dold didn’t attend college or law school in the vicinity of IL-10. He was in the DC area for about 4 years keeping him away through 1999. In 2000-2007, he appears to be in Chicago working in Oak Brook at Exodus Communications from 2000-2003 per Linkedin, and we can absolutely verify those 2 years in which he obtained the homeowner’s exemption 2005 and 2006–which of course does not preclude it in other years. Prior years are not on the Internet.

While it’s likely Dold didn’t live in the district from college to 2007, at the very least, Bob Dold did not live in IL-10 for the years he claimed a homeowners exemption for the Roscoe Village property.

Thoughts?

- Posted by Rich Miller   30 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 with VIDEO *** Quinn vs. Brady debate is expectedly tough

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

[Comments now closed. Head to our fresh thread.]

* Tough talk today during the first governor’s debate of the season between Pat Quinn and Bill Brady. The other candidates weren’t invited.

Click here to download the raw video file of the debate. This is a very big file, so I hope it doesn’t crash my site. If bad things happen, I’ll have to chop it up and post it on YouTube. [To make it easier to watch, I’m uploading the files to YouTube now. They’ll be ready after lunch.] Many thanks to the folks at Blue Room Stream for the file.

I’ll also be posting stories about the debate as they come in. From the Sun-Times’ take

The people of Illinois “need a governor with a heart - somebody who cares about them,” Quinn said. “Sen. Brady wanted to cut human services 50 percent. He didn’t have a heart then and he doesn’t have a heart now.” But Brady said Quinn’s announcement Tuesday that he was spending $75 million in state money to fund a program that gives 26,000 state residents $10-an-hour jobs now that the federal funding has run out for that program was heartless for the state’s social service providers, who are waiting six months or more to get paid by the state.

“Governor, where¹s the money?” Brady asked. “There is no federal money tied to the $75 million. Those 26,000 jobs should be provided by the public [he meant to say “private”] sector. Our human service providers, you don’t have the money to reimburse them - and they’re having to lay people off. This is a dishonest campaign ploy.” Among the other issues the candidates argued about are whether Quinn really lives at the governor¹s mansion. His predecessor Rod Blagojevich rarely visited the governor¹s mansion. Quinn said he was there Saturday night and he does live there.

“My clothes are at the governor’s mansion - even my underwear are there. I think that establishes residency, doesn’t it?” Quinn said after the debate to chuckles from reporters.

* AP

Quinn accused Brady of “pie in the sky” promises. He says Illinois needs a governor with “common sense not nonsense.”

Brady blamed the “instability” of Quinn’s proposed tax increase for the state’s financial problems.

* NBC5

When asked whether he really resided in Springfield, Quinn replied with extemporaneous aplomb.

“The test is, where do you have your underwear,” Quinn said, before explaining unbidden that his skivvies are located at the state mansion.

*** UPDATE 1 *** The Tribune has a long story. Here’s part of it

Brady also contended it is time to end the “secret deals” like the governor’s agreement with AFSCME, the state’s largest employee union, to avoid layoffs until mid-2012. The deal, which Brady wants Quinn to nix, came within days of Quinn getting the powerful union’s endorsement in the race.

Further Brady lashed out at Quinn over Tuesday’s announcement to pump $75 million to keep alive a jobs program until Congress can act to extend federal funds by November. The federal funds are due to expire this week. Brady said the state money should have been spent on paying down billions of dollars in backlogged state bills.

But Quinn, more than once calling himself the “Jobs Governor,” argued he could not cut a program that has given jobs and hope to as many as 26,000 people in Illinois, part of training program that typically pay $10 an hour to people who otherwise might be unemployed.

Quinn called on the hundreds of people in the audience to consider how he has improved campaign finance laws, reformed pensions and won passage of a major construction program, saying he should be judged by his record and suggesting they should refrain from embracing the platitudes of “fast-talking politicians.”

*** UPDATE 2 *** The Union League Club explains why it didn’t invite Green Party nominee Rich Whitney

Supporters of Green Party candidate Rich Whitney picketed the event with signs reading “Let Rich Debate.”

According to Union League Club Executive Director David Kohn, Whitney was excluded because he hasn’t reached 10 percent in any recent polls.

“The ULCC’s policy for a general election candidate involving statewide offices requires candidates to demonstrate support of at least 10% in an independent , statewide poll conducted in reasonable proximity to the forum,” Kohn said, according to Green Party officials. “As the most recent statewide polls in the Illinois Governor’s race (conducted by Rasmussen Report, September 12; Chicago Tribune , September 3) show Mr. Whitney polling at 4% and 2%, respectively, Mr. Whitney does not meet this criterion and is, therefore, ineligible to participate in the forum.”

- Posted by Rich Miller   46 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Morning Shorts

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* Chicago-area home prices up for fourth straight month

The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller index of Chicago-area single-family home prices rose 1.0% from June to July and was roughly even with its level in December 2002.

Chicago was among 12 of 20 U.S. cities tracked by Standard & Poor’s where prices rose from June to July, according to a report released Tuesday. An index of the 20 cities rose 0.6% over the same period and was up 3.2% from July 2009.

* Recession by the numbers: More jobless, less traffic

The number of people living below the poverty line in the state rose by nearly 8.5 percent in 2009, or nearly 131,000, to 1.68 million people from 1.55 million in 2008, the report revealed. Some 13.3 percent of residents in the state lived below the poverty level last year, up from 12.3 percent in 2008.

The 2009 poverty level was $21,954 for a family of four. Earlier this month, the bureau reported the poverty rate hit 14.3 percent nationally. Illinois was among 31 states that saw increases in both the number and percentage of people in poverty. In the Chicago area, the poverty rate rose to 12.7 percent from 11.9 percent.

* Marin: More dirt to come under Project Shield

* Burr Oak crime scenes expected to be scanned as condition of sale

Should any human remains turn up on the property identified as one of two crime scenes during the cemetery’s 2009 criminal investigation, the companies hired to do the work must notify the Cook County Sheriff’s Department before removing them.

Cemecare has offered to buy the historic black cemetery near Alsip where human remains were allegedly excavated so graves could be resold for cash.

* Birkett to apply for judgeship

The judgeship will become available with the retirement of Associate Judge Joseph Bongiorno on Oct. 4. His replacement will be chosen by the county’s 15 full circuit judges.

* Daley to win ‘green’ award

* Chicago Transit Authority eyes new system to take fares

* CTA to present ‘no drama’ budget on Wednesday

* Cook County tax bills to be mailed weeks after election

Bills will be mailed around Nov. 22, Treasurer Maria Pappas estimated Tuesday. That’s nearly a full month later than last year, when second installment bills were sent Oct. 28. Any increase in property tax will be included in the bill, along with the second half of the amount shown in the first installment mailing earlier this year.

* ‘Twitter Ban’ Falls Flat with County Commissioners

* Cook Co. board axes ban on Twitter

* County board: Tweet on, commissioners

* Ameren Illinois utilities to become one company, press case for more revenue

* Evanston City Council Lifts Ban on Raising Chickens

* Schaumburg lowers tax levy, drops stickers

Trustees voted to set a tentative levy of about $22.7 million, 4.4 percent lower than the property tax’s first year.

* Glenbard preparing for drop in enrollment

* State guarantees Kane County funds

Meanwhile, the state has not yet finalized contracts with the private health care providers that will take over the caseload of some 6,000 people who receive access to Medicaid through the county.

The new state contracts with the county provide payment retroactive to July 1 and going forward until Nov. 8. That’s the date all the county’s social services in the health department should be fully transferred over to the private sector. It’s also the date 62 health department employees will lose their jobs.

* Kane County files counterclaim against court clerk

The original lawsuit, filed by Seyller after the board voted against her request for addition funding, asks for a preliminary injunction to force the county to pay the $555,000 she wants until the court case is resolved. The initial court date was listed as Jan. 4, 2011; Seyller’s office could exhaust its funding next month if staffing remains as is.

* Kane County Board files rebuttal to Seyller

* Kane may sharpen focus of red-light camera policy

* Rolling Meadows examines what it could cut

* Fewer staff, fire department hours included in Moline budget proposal

* Council approves loan to Quincy Transit Lines

* Feds: FutureGen on track with $1B commitment

* Peoria City Manager dropped from Texas job search

* Peoria hires firm for city government reorganization

* AFSCME workers rally outside [Peoria] City Hall

* Illinois Invests $5.4 Million For Peoria International Airport

* $4.4 million approved for runway widening at St. Louis Downtown Airport

* Fairmount Park gets 75 live race dates, the first increase in years

* Mayor Cole: I’ll appoint new city clerk

* Tom Jordan sworn in as West Frankfort mayor

*** UPDATE *** Let’s put the Rahm stuff here…

* Rahm May Receive Rose Garden Farewell Friday, in Chicago Monday: Sources

* Chicagoans tell Emanuel to stay in D.C. until immigration bill passes

* Election residency requirements would not rule out some candidates

* Rahm Emanuel’s Got a Rent Problem

* Tenants in Rahm Emanuel’s Chicago House Refuse to Leave, Complicating Mayor Bid

* Does Emanuel Meet Residency Requirement For Mayor?

* Rahm moving back? Sorry, there’s no room at Dart’s house

* Rahm A Front-Runner For Mayor? Not Exactly

* Source: Emanuel Close to Mayoral Announcement

* Sneed: Resisting Rahm Emanuel

* Mayoral Hopefuls Take to the Web. Sorta.

* Cook Co. candidate criticized after using taxpayer money for tuition

- Posted by Barton Lorimor   3 Comments      


Morning videos: DCCC, AFF, Walsh, Quinn

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

* The DCCC is running some new ads in Illinois. First up, “Who’s Behind Robert Dold?” Rate it


We’ll have more on this topic later today.

* The next DCCC ad has been running for a few days. “Randy Hultgren - Springfield Politician.” Have a look-see


* The conservative American Future Fund is spending big bucks nationwide, including in two Illinois races. Background

Des Moines-based conservative nonprofit the American Future Fund is spending big in tight Congressional races around the country in the hopes of tipping the balance to the Republican.

The group says it’s spending $4 million in 13 districts, including spending $500,000 against Mark Schauer in Michigan, $325,000 against Mike Oliverio in West Virginia and $250,000 against Martin Heinrich in New Mexico. All the ads are identical and spend more time attacking Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi for the federal stimulus and health care reform legislation.

American Future Fund is made up of numerous state and national Republicans, most of which have ties to Terry Branstad’s gubernatorial campaign and Mitt Romney’s 2008 Iowa Caucus campaign. As a 501(c)4 nonprofit, it does not have to disclose its donors. Following a recent round of attacks against him, U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, R-Waterloo, called on his GOP opponent, Ben Lange, to return a $5,000 donation from the group’s political action committee. He also suggested the donation could be a violation of campaign finance law.

AFF’s website is here. FactCheck.org info is here.

* Here’s their ad targeting freshman Debbie Halvorson


* And this is the almost identical AFF ad that targets Bill Foster


* Republican Joe Walsh has posted an Internet promo video demanding that Congresswoman Melissa Bean debate him. Check it out


* Our last video is a must-see if you’re a “fan” of Gov. Pat Quinn’s rambling speaking style. Watch him dedicate new runway construction at a Metro East airport. But also keep an eye on a fidgeting state Rep. Jay Hoffman, who is standing behind Quinn. That must’ve been torture


“Planes are very, very important to all of us, especially when they produce jobs.” Hilarious.

We may not have these Quinn videos for much longer if the polls are right, so enjoy them while you can.

* More…

* Phil Hare conversation, Part 1

* Phil Hare conversation, Part 2

* Phil Hare conversation, Part 3

- Posted by Rich Miller   60 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2010

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Good morning!
* *** UPDATED x1 - Quinn campaign responds *** Rauner campaign responds to firestorm over Sun-Times reporter's sidelining
* New Quinn ad hits Rauner on nursing homes
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Sun-Times sidelined reporter after Rauner campaign intervention
* *** UPDATED x2 *** Quinn campaign responds to Sun-Times endorsement decision
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Android Lollipop keyboard installable APK for all
        * Google Glass, Android Wear notifications can’t run simultaneously
        * Meet Flic, the iOS photo manager for lazy people
        * Why Apple Pay is Apple’s most important product in years
        * How and where to use Apple Pay with your iPhone 6
        * Leaks reveal GPS-sporting Fitbit Surge to be released soon
        * Known NFC spoofing techniques probably wouldn't work with Apple Pay

        * Common Tax Breaks Available for Recent College Grads
        * IBM Shares Fall on Earnings Shortfall, Chip Unit Transfer
        * RetroPi Raspberry Pi Emulator In-Car Console System
        * Spotify launches family plan, offering up to four extra accounts at a 50 percent discount
        * The Biggest Interview Turn-Off is Dwelling On Your Last Job
        * Upcoming Gmail App Update Will Include Yahoo And Outlook Support
        * Zwipe MasterCard Will Come With A Built-In Fingerprint Scanner

        * Lost in Isolation: A White Sox fan abroad.
        * Pnoles' 2014 White Sox offseason plan
        * Former White Sox star Rowand excited for 'little' cousin Shields
        * The South Side Sox 2014-15 White Sox offseason plan project
        * Sox coaches get to know young players in Glendale
        * The longest White Sox home runs of 2014
        * Alexei Ramirez remains top shortstop at turning two


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Merlin Media's Bruce Rauner Touted For Illinois.....
        * How Bruce Rauner makes money from for-profit sc.....
        * Khan looks to unseat McAuliffe in 20th State House..
        * Quinn's leadership has failed state..
        * Next Illinois governor debate: Things to Watch..
        * Evanston Democrats honor politicians, activists.....


        * Waukegan teachers strike goes into 3rd week
        * Next Illinois governor debate: Things to Watch
        * Obama urges Quinn supporters to vote early
        * Report: Springfield HS often missing armed guards
        * Belleville, Champaign, Peoria papers back Rauner
        * Peoria woman charged in man's stabbing death
        * Homeless man found dead in wooded area in Elgin
        * Elderly couple, both 87, die in house explosion
        * Chicago Sun-Times endorses Rauner for governor
        * Driver in deadly ATV crash in Illinois arrested

        * Chicago Sun-Times endorses Rauner for governor
        * Sun-Times, Belleville, Champaign, Peoria newspapers endorse Rauner for governor
        * Bill Clinton to address workers at pro-Quinn rally
        * Body camera use concerns Illinois police officers
        * Illinois unemployment rate falls again, to 6.6 percent
        * Panel to look at body cameras in eavesdropping law discussion
        * Phil Luciano: Company paying surrounding counties to support Logan Co. marijuana growing center
        * Parties donate big to area legislative races
        * Reports give snapshot of 2014 spending
        * Quinn, Rauner school funding counting differs

        * Sears leasing big chunk of store space to clothing chain
        * Railroads scrap merger talks
        * How this exec hopes to strike it rich in water, again
        * Two local businesses profit from a jump in skydiving
        * Emanuel, Preckwinkle clash over mandatory minimums


        * TIME TO GET AHEAD OF EBOLA
        * Editorial: Bruce Rauner for governor
        * Editorial: Why we are back in the endorsement business
        * Bruce Rauner for governor
        * Chicago Police officers overwhelmingly ratify contract
        * Judge in Pakistan recommends former city comptroller be extradited
        * Why we are back  in the endorsement business


        * Chicago cop's suicide tied to stress over lawsuit
        * Heroin fight a hot topic in DuPage sheriff's race
        * 7 women found dead in Gary, Hammond over weekend
        * 2 killed when vehicle hits police car, slams into building
        * Obama urges Democrats to vote early for Quinn
        * Man seriously wounded in West Englewood shooting
        * Aunt of slain teen: 'Emanuel, please do something about the violence'
        * Prosecutors: Man repeatedly whipped son, 13, with cord
        * 1 dead in single-car crash in northwest suburban Bull Valley
        * West Side woman held in boyfriend's stabbing death


        * Third & Final Governor Debate Tonight
        * Politicians On Parade
        * Are Computer Keyboards Killing Cursive?
        * Quinn, Rauner Agree: No To Education Funding Plan
        * Earlier Than Ever
        * Listen to State Week - October 17, 2014
        * The health problems facing rural and urban poor in Illinois
        * 'Deliverance' Actor Plays Folk Music In Springfield
        * Are Chicago's shorter yellow lights unsafe, or just unfair?
        * Delay In Fracking Regulations Spurs Lawsuit


        * Our Opinion: Re-elect Durbin for another term in U.S. Senate
        * Bill Press: Do you trust your government on Ebola?
        * Quote of the Day: Monday, Oct. 20, 2014
        * Our Opinion: Rodney Davis has earned another term
        * Bernard Schoenburg: CWLP’S Burns considers run for city treasurer
        * Rep. Mike Smiddy: Improving care for those fighting breast cancer
        * Deckle McLean: Party imbalance falls along urban, rural lines
        * Statehouse Insider: Does he wish he hasn’t asked that?
        * Chicago Sun-Times endorses Rauner for governor
        * Bill Clinton to address workers at pro-Quinn rally


        * Wasted energy
        * This day in history: Oct. 20, 2014
        * Future Five: Entertainment for the week ahead
        * Area history, Oct. 20, 2014
        * Group collecting items for veterans
        * Teens taking part in election process
        * 4th school resource officer proposed in Danville
        * Can health funds stay on top?
        * O'Shaughnessy a sensible choice
        * Summer jobs program lacks males


        * Comedians honor Jay Leno with humor prize in D.C.
        * ‘Fury' blasts ‘Gone Girl' from top of box office
        * Gary police detain man in deaths of 7 women
        * Dawn Patrol: Crystal Lake teen identified as crash victim; Bears lose again at home
        * Gary police detain man in deaths of 4 women

        * Patrick Cannon defense strategy rare but n...
        * Feds fine Jesse Jackson Jr.'s campaign com...
        * Ex-Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. faces sen...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...

        * A swipe at the cash register leaves everyo......
        * Ground broken on new hangar facility at Ch......
        * A swipe at the cash register leaves everyo......
        * A swipe at the cash register leaves everyo......
        * A swipe at the cash register leaves everyo......

        * Kirk Challenges Local Entrepreneurs to Mak......
        * Kirk wants travel ban for 3 Ebola-affected......
        * St. Louis-area lawmakers call for travel b......

        * Local vigilance helps IAR reps protect your interests
        * SportsMondayTuesday: Todd Gurley vs. The NCAA
        * The Beer Thinker: An Oktoberfest For The Rest Of Us
        * Excellent Suggestions For The University Student In You
        * South Side Speed Camera Protest Set For Saturday
        * WBEZ Finds Chicago’s Yellow Lights Not Engineered Properly
        * Lower Than Expected Speed Camera Tickets Hurting City Budget
        * It’s that World Series time of year – which ballclub do we follow in Chi?
        * United, American Airlines Execs' Contributions To Emanuel Skyrocket
        * Republicans Crow As Questions Swirl Surrounding Sun-Times' Rauner Endorsement


        * Rauner Sweeping Endorsements Across Illinois
        * Belleville News-Democrat Endorses Rauner
        * Champaign News-Gazette Endorses Rauner
        * Peoria Journal Star Endorses Rauner
        * Chicago Sun-Times Endorses Rauner




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller