SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Biggert poll shows huge lead over Republican foe

Friday, Mar 2, 2012

* A Cook County judge ruled the other day that US Rep. Judy Biggert’s Republican primary foe Jack Cunningham should be returned to the ballot after being kicked off by the Board of Elections. Biggert’s allies are appealing, but the incumbent’s latest poll shows she has pretty much nothing to worry about. From a polling memo written by Linda DiVall and David Kanevsky at American Viewpoint, Inc.

The following outlines the key findings from a survey of likely GOP primary voters commissioned by the Judy Biggert for Congress campaign. Interviews were conducted February 26-27, 2012. The margin of error for the entire sample (n=300 likely GOP primary voters) is +5.66% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error among sub-groups is greater.

Judy Biggert leads the primary by over fifty points.

    • Judy Biggert leads Jack Cunningham 69%-18%, with 13% undecided, including 44% who would definitely vote for the Congresswoman. Biggert leads across the district and with all ideological and demographic groups.


Judy Biggert has some of the best ratings we’ve seen for a Republican incumbent.

    • Congresswoman Biggert has incredibly strong ratings with very low negatives, both on her image (73% favorable – 12% unfavorable) and job approval (69% approve – 16% disapprove). Additionally, Biggert has a solid re-elect rating of 58%. Nowadays a lot of incumbents manage to win re-election with re-elect scores under 50% or 45%, but it’s tough to beat an incumbent who is well over 50% on the re-elect.

* In other news, Republican Congressman Bobby Schilling decided to lay off constituent service workers in favor of spending more money on congressional mailers

New figures released Wednesday in the U.S. House of Representatives Clerk’s Quarterly Statement of Disbursements showed the overall cost cuts were even deeper than Schilling’s staff disclosed in Sunday’s story. Schilling slashed personnel and salaries to trim his office expenses 16.7 percent less in his first year than former Rep. Phil Hare spent in his last. Cuts like that are big news. For that, taxpayers may say, “thanks.”

To achieve those savings, Schilling chose to hire fewer district staff and pay them less than his predecessors or contemporaries. For that, some taxpayers may say, “thanks.” Others might wonder whether the discrepancy is worth it.

Schilling achieved these savings while spending significantly more on constituent mailings. He spent $316,180 on mailing in his first year in office, about twice as much as Hare spent over four years.

That’s news, too. Some taxpayers might appreciate the new congressman’s more frequent communication. Others might wonder why the congressman cut salaries for constituent services, while ramping up the mailings to unprecedented levels.

The cynical way to look at this is to say that maybe Hare should’ve spent more government money on mailers and he might’ve held onto his seat.

* This is one of the first times I’ve seen Republican Joe Walsh actually lash out at either one of his potential general election challengers. From a campaign e-mail…

Congressman Walsh: “We’re Still Wondering Where Tammy Stands on the Budget”

Raja’s response came in and he supports the President’s budget. Clearly, I do not. But, despite our distinct disagreements, I respect Raja for making his position clear to the people of the 8th District.

The question remains, what does Tammy think? Her press machine has been in overdrive promoting her recent endorsement by Mayor Emanuel but eerily silent on the major question of whether or not she endorses the President’s budget. Unfortunately, the media have not asked her opinion on the matter despite affording her plenty of coverage on Rahm’s endorsement. Why is it that Tammy hasn’t taken a position and how come the media hasn’t asked her?

* Related…

* Beavers: ‘I’ll give everybody a story’ after 3 p.m. arraignment

* Emanuel Endorses Mitchell In 26th District Race

* ACU Ranks Manzullo #1 Conservative Illinois Member of Congress

* How To Vote By Mail (Video)

* Sheyman Raises $200,000 Since Jan. 1

* Dorothy Brown tries to fend off Rick Munoz in bitter Cook County Circuit Court Clerk race

* Mudslinging Continues To Heat Up Court Clerk’s Race

* Edgar endorses Smithburg

* 10th District Dems To Hold Political Convention This Weekend

* Congressional candidates speak at forum

* 7 Mixed Martial Arts Fighters Suing Cook County Board of Review Candidate

* CAMPAIGN AD: Kent Gaffney. The Numbers Guy.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


8 Comments
  1. - OneMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:17 pm:

    I think you would see some different numbers if Cunningham wasn’t having to fight to stay on the ballot.


  2. - Raising Kane - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:33 pm:

    Really, one man? Cunningham didn’t even have enough of an organziation to get his own pettition signatures….and resorted to hiring Rod McCoullah. So here we have a guy who has reported raising Zero dollars, has no organization and hired a man (McCoullah) he knew was convicted of perjury for his role in a past campaign’s petition process. But now, your gonna tell me that what is holding him down is fighting to stay on the ballot?? Nah, not really.


  3. - OneMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:46 pm:

    It isn’t helping… I think any candidate would be hindered by dealing with a ballot issue. The whole redistricting (and the court cases associated with that).

    So yes, I think if he had been able to do those other things (build an organization up) instead of dealing with the ballot stuff he would be polling better.


  4. - Small Town Liberal - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:49 pm:

    - But, despite our distinct disagreements, I respect Raja for making his position clear to the people of the 8th District. -

    I bet Raja is really pumped about this endorsement. I can’t figure out if this means Walsh thinks Raja is a tougher opponent than Tammy or vice versa.


  5. - Raising Kane - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:31 pm:

    Yes One man he would be doing better if he raised any money, had any volunteers or got a clue. Also, if I had been born rich I would be on my private island and not not on the Capfax website. Reality bites!!


  6. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:48 pm:

    By the time Hare took over Lane Evans terms in office, the Evans/Hare staff reflected a 20th Century Democratic operation. There is nothing wrong with that, but it was antiquated and not as productive as it could be. Hare inherited the staff, he was a part of it. It is completely understandable that there was cuts that could be made.

    The assumption that a 16-17% cut in office costs reflecting a job not well done flies in the face of the reality that over the past decade office productivity per person has skyrocketed. The assumption made by the Quad City reporter is foolish.

    Hare was an old fashioned guy. He did stuff the old fashioned way. He ran an old fashioned office.

    Schilling is just running a modern Congressional Office. A 16-17% cut from the old fashioned Democratic Office costs to the modern Republican Office costs seems pretty understandable.

    The Quad City paper is fishing for mud where there isn’t any.


  7. - Lil' Enchilada - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:55 pm:

    All the QC paper does is fish for mud.
    That’s all they got.
    I am personally sick of the phone calls and mailers from Congressman Schilling.
    I’m shocked by the amount of money they cost us.


  8. - wordslinger - Monday, Mar 5, 12 @ 9:34 am:

    Vman: –Schilling is just running a modern Congressional Office.–

    QCT: –Schilling achieved these savings while spending significantly more on constituent mailings. He spent $316,180 on mailing in his first year in office, about twice as much as Hare spent over four years.–

    Nothing says modern and efficient more than using Ye Olde U.S. Postal Service (founded by Benjamin Franklin) to deliver unsolicited paper communications on the taxpayers’ dime.

    Let’s see, there’s the modernity and efficiency of harvesting the trees, the conversion to paper, the printing, the shipping by planes and trucks, the hand delivery by an army of postal carriers and then the disposal to landfills. What amazing, modern advances. I’m sure all that activity is fueled by lasers.

    Maybe someday there will be technology to simply have an intern post communications on a website where interested parties could look them up.

    Schilling is just a small government Tea Partier abusing his office and the taxpayers to send out unsolicited, thinly disguised campaign materials. And that’s the oldest trick in the book.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Question of the day
* *** UPDATED x1 - Rauner response *** This just in... Illinois Supreme Court denies Rauner appeal
* They need a rich "white knight"
* Johnson finally backs Davis... So does Joan
* Schneider throws Quinn under the bus
* Wincing before the hit
* Inspector general's IDOT probe places no direct blame on Quinn
* Today's number: 57 percent
* *** UPDATED x2 - Not totally clean - Some questions answered *** Stories raise unanswered questions about IDOC policy
* *** UPDATED x1 - Schneider campaign responds *** US, Illinois Chambers launch TV hit on Schneider
* Reaching into the past for today's gotcha moment
* New DGA YouTube video ties Rauner to Romney via outsourcing
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* This just in... Unions file motion to "gut" the state's pension case
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * HTC One M8 for Windows, edge-free AQUOS Crystal, Moto “Quark” & more | Pocketnow Weekly 110
        * Samsung reminds us why we love handwriting in Note 4 teaser
        * Moto X+1 new material options pick up retailer support
        * Stop the presses! Top 5 news readers for Android
        * Clear solar panels foreshadow self-charging mobile devices
        * Deepak Chopra Backs Art Marketplace GlobeIn
        * Lumia Instagramer of the Week: Mihai Andrei

        * Break In a Baseball Cap by Wearing It in the Shower
        * iPhone 5 Battery Letting You Down? Apple Might Replace It—For Free
        * Reddit just got Chromecast support, thanks to a new Android app called Viddit
        * Tech Chief Behind Healthcare.gov Leaving White House
        * Plan Your Kid's Outfits Ahead of Time with Printable Daily Dividers
        * Rules to Snoop By (Comic)
        * Download the New Dungeons & Dragons 5th Edition Core Rule Set for Free

        * Will Carlos Sanchez be better than Gordon Beckham?
        * White Sox recall infield prospect Sanchez
        * Ruminations on the end of the Gordon Beckham era
        * White Sox deal Beckham to Angels
        * White Sox deal Beckham to Angels
        * Danks leads White Sox into Bronx for weekend visit
        * White Sox trade Gordon Beckham to Angels


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Gov. Quinn to announce park grants in Forest Pa.....
        * Illinois November ballot set without term limits..
        * Nov. ballot certified without term limits question..
        * Illinois to double funding for IUDs, sterilizat.....
        * Rauner says Board of Election action a Quinn win..
        * State Senator Andrea Stewart-Cousins Fulfills t.....
        * Report: State agency broke hiring rules for years..
        * Gov. Quinn announces more money for Washington .....


        * Rauner dealt double blows over Illinois ballot
        * 8 gang members indicted on racketeering charges
        * Church cautions schools on ice bucket challenge
        * Rauner says Board of Election action a Quinn win
        * 2 parolees charged in suburban Chicago standoff
        * Supreme Court won't take up term limits appeal
        * Cardinal George to get experimental cancer drug
        * Report: State agency broke hiring rules for years
        * Sen. Warren disavows PAC urging run for president
        * United flight to Chicago makes emergency landing

        * November ballot certified without term limits question
        * Supreme Court won't take up term limits appeal
        * State employee unions want expedited ruling in pensions suit
        * IDOT broke hiring rules for years, report finds
        * State Rep. Poe faces 3-week stem cell procedure in Texas
        * IDOT cuts positions following questions on hiring
        * Authorities investigating powdery substance at Illinois State Library
        * Powdery substance mailed to Illinois State Library deemed non-hazardous
        * Term-limit backers seek Supreme Court intervention
        * Illinois' share of Bank of America settlement: $300M

        * McDonald's testing mozzarella sticks with marinara sauce
        * Watch where Michael Madigan tries to boost turnout
        * Supreme Court spikes term limits appeal
        * IDOT broke hiring rules for years, state report says
        * Cardinal George to get experimental cancer drug


        * Prosecutor: Harvey hostages threatened, one woman sexually assaulted
        * Plan Commission approves year-round sports complex in Pullman
        * Second site added; fans also can gather in Loop to watch Little League World Series game
        * Bond set for men charged in Harvey standoff
        * Jackie Robinson fans erupt in cheers: ‘These boys have rejuvenated us all’
        * Rauner wants swift action by Illinois Supreme Court on term limit initiative
        * Drug dealer’s testimony: ‘It was kill or be killed’
        * Storm dumped “too much rain in too little time,” official says
        * Eight accused of racketeering, drug-running in Indiana
        * Three accused of scamming organ donor network


        * 2nd charge in Antioch inappropriate touching case
        * Heavy rain shuts down Eisenhower for third time this summer
        * U. of I. defends pulling job offer over tweets critical of Israel
        * Rauner term limits question won't appear on November ballot
        * Mosquitoes with West Nile found in Orland Park
        * Cardinal George testing new cancer drug
        * Jackie Robinson West: 'We want revenge'
        * Chicago gang members charged with racketeering, conspiracy
        * Man extradited from Poland in '04 crash that killed 2
        * CTA: Delays reported on Green Line after worker was injured


        * IL Supreme Court Won't Hear Term Limit Question Before Ballot Deadline
        * Gone Fishing: Harsh winter brings lake temps down, but not for long
        * Race, Cops & Traffic Stops
        * Listen to State Week - August 22, 2014
        * In Wake Of Ferguson, Rally Planned In Springfield
        * WUIS Education Desk: Springfield Mayoral Candidates Talk District 186
        * Unions Ask For Quick Ruling On Pensions
        * Report Says IDOT Broke Hiring Rules For Years
        * CPS students scramble for new school after Concept charter opening delayed
        * Illinois Takes First Step Toward Drafting Greenhouse Gas Plan


        * November ballot certified without term limits question
        * State employee unions want expedited ruling in pensions suit
        * IDOT broke hiring rules for years, report finds
        * Our Opinion: Another life saved by CPR
        * Esther Cepeda: Misreading our demographics
        * E.J. Dionne: Ferguson divides us less than we imagine
        * Richard Kaplan: Additional Rauner tax-return disclosures probably won’t reveal much
        * State Rep. Poe faces 3-week stem cell procedure in Texas
        * IDOT cuts positions following questions on hiring
        * Authorities investigating powdery substance at Illinois State Library


        * Protesters rally for law enforcement outside St. Clair County Building
        * New fear: What happens in Ferguson if no charges?
        * Updated: UI cancels new student convocation due to weather; world record attempt successful
        * 4 hurt in McLean County crash remain hospitalized
        * The Fit List
        * Jesse White says 'there's a lot more to be done' as Illinois secretary of state
        * Metro-east hirings among those examined in IDOT investigation
        * DeWitt Co. judge remembered for humor, fairness
        * East St. Louis woman charged with attempted first-degree murder
        * Illinois 1 vs Notre Dame 3 Soccer


        * Clarification
        * CLC job events:
        * Lawyer says power in numbers will help the cause
        * Email exchanges show little tension between forest commission, director
        * Man freed after arson-murder rap tossed

        * Shimkus not taking anything for granted de...
        * Shimkus Supports Strikes, Criticizes Presi...
        * #DirtyDenier$ Day 5: Congressman John M. S...
        * Politics Notebook: Shimkus to meet with ve...
        * GOP congressmen from Illinois, Kentucky to...
        * Facebook, Local Chambers of Commerce Host ...
        * Shimkus seeks investigation of federal dis...
        * Congressman recognizes Thomasboro's 150th ...
        * Communicators with Representatives Lofgren...
        * ADEQ: Modernization, private-sector practi...

        * Villa Park receives FEMA grant for new fir......
        * Villa Park receives FEMA grant for new fir......
        * Villa Park receives FEMA grant for new fir......
        * Villa Park receives FEMA grant for new fir......
        * Villa Park receives FEMA grant for new fir......

        * Senator Kirk Applauds New Life-Saving Stro......
        * U.S. National Parks Director Visits Chicag......

        * Possible Karen Lewis Super PAC Being Discussed
        * Report: State Agency Broke Hiring Rules For Years
        * We Are One Coalition Urges Circuit Court To Expedite Pension Suit
        * Supreme Court Won't Take Up Term Limits Appeal
        * CTU boss Karen Lewis officially files to run for Chicago mayor
        * Study: TSA Full-Body Scanners Photograph Genitals, But Miss Guns, Explosives, Knives
        * Appellate Court rules against term limits, effort heads for IL Supreme Court
        * Illinois Supreme Court refuses to take up term limits appeal. Rauner responds.
        * Chicago Archdiocese cool to ALS ice bucket challenge
        * Latest Poll: Rauner 46%, Quinn 43%


        * Quinn Said He Was Stopping Patronage Hiring In 2010; He Was Actually Expanding It
        * Rauner: Quinn patronage scandal reminds us why we need term limits
        * Governor Quinn Announces New Class of Illinois State Police Cadets - More Cadets to Protect and Serve Communities Across Illinois
        * ICYMI: Term limits amendment — and citizens — lose
        * IDOT Teams Up with “Walking Dead” Star to Drive Down Fatalities in Illinois - Innovative New Labor Day Ad Campaign to Target Young Males; Law Enforcement to Crack Down on Drunk, Unbelted Drivers




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller