SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Biggert poll shows huge lead over Republican foe

Friday, Mar 2, 2012

* A Cook County judge ruled the other day that US Rep. Judy Biggert’s Republican primary foe Jack Cunningham should be returned to the ballot after being kicked off by the Board of Elections. Biggert’s allies are appealing, but the incumbent’s latest poll shows she has pretty much nothing to worry about. From a polling memo written by Linda DiVall and David Kanevsky at American Viewpoint, Inc.

The following outlines the key findings from a survey of likely GOP primary voters commissioned by the Judy Biggert for Congress campaign. Interviews were conducted February 26-27, 2012. The margin of error for the entire sample (n=300 likely GOP primary voters) is +5.66% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error among sub-groups is greater.

Judy Biggert leads the primary by over fifty points.

    • Judy Biggert leads Jack Cunningham 69%-18%, with 13% undecided, including 44% who would definitely vote for the Congresswoman. Biggert leads across the district and with all ideological and demographic groups.


Judy Biggert has some of the best ratings we’ve seen for a Republican incumbent.

    • Congresswoman Biggert has incredibly strong ratings with very low negatives, both on her image (73% favorable – 12% unfavorable) and job approval (69% approve – 16% disapprove). Additionally, Biggert has a solid re-elect rating of 58%. Nowadays a lot of incumbents manage to win re-election with re-elect scores under 50% or 45%, but it’s tough to beat an incumbent who is well over 50% on the re-elect.

* In other news, Republican Congressman Bobby Schilling decided to lay off constituent service workers in favor of spending more money on congressional mailers

New figures released Wednesday in the U.S. House of Representatives Clerk’s Quarterly Statement of Disbursements showed the overall cost cuts were even deeper than Schilling’s staff disclosed in Sunday’s story. Schilling slashed personnel and salaries to trim his office expenses 16.7 percent less in his first year than former Rep. Phil Hare spent in his last. Cuts like that are big news. For that, taxpayers may say, “thanks.”

To achieve those savings, Schilling chose to hire fewer district staff and pay them less than his predecessors or contemporaries. For that, some taxpayers may say, “thanks.” Others might wonder whether the discrepancy is worth it.

Schilling achieved these savings while spending significantly more on constituent mailings. He spent $316,180 on mailing in his first year in office, about twice as much as Hare spent over four years.

That’s news, too. Some taxpayers might appreciate the new congressman’s more frequent communication. Others might wonder why the congressman cut salaries for constituent services, while ramping up the mailings to unprecedented levels.

The cynical way to look at this is to say that maybe Hare should’ve spent more government money on mailers and he might’ve held onto his seat.

* This is one of the first times I’ve seen Republican Joe Walsh actually lash out at either one of his potential general election challengers. From a campaign e-mail…

Congressman Walsh: “We’re Still Wondering Where Tammy Stands on the Budget”

Raja’s response came in and he supports the President’s budget. Clearly, I do not. But, despite our distinct disagreements, I respect Raja for making his position clear to the people of the 8th District.

The question remains, what does Tammy think? Her press machine has been in overdrive promoting her recent endorsement by Mayor Emanuel but eerily silent on the major question of whether or not she endorses the President’s budget. Unfortunately, the media have not asked her opinion on the matter despite affording her plenty of coverage on Rahm’s endorsement. Why is it that Tammy hasn’t taken a position and how come the media hasn’t asked her?

* Related…

* Beavers: ‘I’ll give everybody a story’ after 3 p.m. arraignment

* Emanuel Endorses Mitchell In 26th District Race

* ACU Ranks Manzullo #1 Conservative Illinois Member of Congress

* How To Vote By Mail (Video)

* Sheyman Raises $200,000 Since Jan. 1

* Dorothy Brown tries to fend off Rick Munoz in bitter Cook County Circuit Court Clerk race

* Mudslinging Continues To Heat Up Court Clerk’s Race

* Edgar endorses Smithburg

* 10th District Dems To Hold Political Convention This Weekend

* Congressional candidates speak at forum

* 7 Mixed Martial Arts Fighters Suing Cook County Board of Review Candidate

* CAMPAIGN AD: Kent Gaffney. The Numbers Guy.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


8 Comments
  1. - OneMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:17 pm:

    I think you would see some different numbers if Cunningham wasn’t having to fight to stay on the ballot.


  2. - Raising Kane - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:33 pm:

    Really, one man? Cunningham didn’t even have enough of an organziation to get his own pettition signatures….and resorted to hiring Rod McCoullah. So here we have a guy who has reported raising Zero dollars, has no organization and hired a man (McCoullah) he knew was convicted of perjury for his role in a past campaign’s petition process. But now, your gonna tell me that what is holding him down is fighting to stay on the ballot?? Nah, not really.


  3. - OneMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:46 pm:

    It isn’t helping… I think any candidate would be hindered by dealing with a ballot issue. The whole redistricting (and the court cases associated with that).

    So yes, I think if he had been able to do those other things (build an organization up) instead of dealing with the ballot stuff he would be polling better.


  4. - Small Town Liberal - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 2:49 pm:

    - But, despite our distinct disagreements, I respect Raja for making his position clear to the people of the 8th District. -

    I bet Raja is really pumped about this endorsement. I can’t figure out if this means Walsh thinks Raja is a tougher opponent than Tammy or vice versa.


  5. - Raising Kane - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:31 pm:

    Yes One man he would be doing better if he raised any money, had any volunteers or got a clue. Also, if I had been born rich I would be on my private island and not not on the Capfax website. Reality bites!!


  6. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:48 pm:

    By the time Hare took over Lane Evans terms in office, the Evans/Hare staff reflected a 20th Century Democratic operation. There is nothing wrong with that, but it was antiquated and not as productive as it could be. Hare inherited the staff, he was a part of it. It is completely understandable that there was cuts that could be made.

    The assumption that a 16-17% cut in office costs reflecting a job not well done flies in the face of the reality that over the past decade office productivity per person has skyrocketed. The assumption made by the Quad City reporter is foolish.

    Hare was an old fashioned guy. He did stuff the old fashioned way. He ran an old fashioned office.

    Schilling is just running a modern Congressional Office. A 16-17% cut from the old fashioned Democratic Office costs to the modern Republican Office costs seems pretty understandable.

    The Quad City paper is fishing for mud where there isn’t any.


  7. - Lil' Enchilada - Friday, Mar 2, 12 @ 3:55 pm:

    All the QC paper does is fish for mud.
    That’s all they got.
    I am personally sick of the phone calls and mailers from Congressman Schilling.
    I’m shocked by the amount of money they cost us.


  8. - wordslinger - Monday, Mar 5, 12 @ 9:34 am:

    Vman: –Schilling is just running a modern Congressional Office.–

    QCT: –Schilling achieved these savings while spending significantly more on constituent mailings. He spent $316,180 on mailing in his first year in office, about twice as much as Hare spent over four years.–

    Nothing says modern and efficient more than using Ye Olde U.S. Postal Service (founded by Benjamin Franklin) to deliver unsolicited paper communications on the taxpayers’ dime.

    Let’s see, there’s the modernity and efficiency of harvesting the trees, the conversion to paper, the printing, the shipping by planes and trucks, the hand delivery by an army of postal carriers and then the disposal to landfills. What amazing, modern advances. I’m sure all that activity is fueled by lasers.

    Maybe someday there will be technology to simply have an intern post communications on a website where interested parties could look them up.

    Schilling is just a small government Tea Partier abusing his office and the taxpayers to send out unsolicited, thinly disguised campaign materials. And that’s the oldest trick in the book.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's cable TV buys
* *** UPDATED x1 - Griffin gives another million *** Rauner giving more cash to state GOP
* Question of the day
* Schimpf trying to raise money to air radio spot
* This is what you'd call a "tell"
* #QsforQuinn
* Frerichs wants Cross to call off the state party dogs
* Rauner Internet ad pairs Quinn with Blagojevich
* Bost claims poll shows him up by 4
* More than just unclear on the concept
* Quinn: "Everybody in? I'm driving"
* The sleep gap
* DCCC releases second Bost "rant" ad
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Verizon Will Be Getting iPhone 6-Friendly Wi-Fi Calling In 2015
        * Apple iPhone 6 unboxing: it’s about the feels (Video)
        * Tintag rechargeable item tracker hits Indiegogo
        * Microsoft’s new Windows app videos might hint at that no-more-Phone rebranding
        * LG G3 record-setting billboard is 250m long
        * Get to know iOS 8: Customize your Notification Center with handy new widgets
        * Motorola may have just outed a golden Moto 360

        * Make a Water Filter Out of a Tree Branch
        * Dad can use Facebook to serve child support papers, judge rules
        * From Steve Jobs costumes to Batman: What the launch of the iPhone 6 looked like worldwide
        * GSM Nation finally launches its MVNO selling budget smartphone plans
        * How did Alibaba's resounding stock market debut compare?
        * Alibaba Surges 38 Percent in Market Debut
        * Overcome the Need for Instant Gratification by Delaying Your Urges

        * Updates: Former White Sox playing meaningful September baseball
        * Hot corner belongs to Gillaspie on South Side
        * Predicting Jose Abreu's place in the American League MVP vote
        * Royals offense unflappable, even against Chris Sale
        * Konerko, White Sox stop at the Trop to face Rays
        * Sale roughed up by Royals, loses AL ERA lead
        * Royals 6, White Sox 2: Chris Sale roughed up


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Mayor Emanuel, Governor Pat Quinn, Secretary Of.....
        * Day after appearance at Native American group, .....
        * Quinn signs law allowing hemp research..
        * Quinn: No pension 'plan b' before court ruling..
        * Rauner Disagrees Quinn Is Rebounding Amid New T.....
        * Man tries to abduct 11-year-old boy in Irving Park..


        * Quinn: No pension 'Plan B' before court ruling
        * Charges announced in shooting death of 9-year-old
        * Illinois awards $25.8M in health outreach grants
        * Elgin police aim to recruit Spanish-speakers
        * Fallon to pay up, broadcast show in Chicago
        * Prostitution sting leads to 13 arrests in Paducah
        * Board chairman defends UI job denial to professor
        * Farm accidents increase in Illinois over past year
        * Twitter parody plays differently in middle America
        * 16-year-old victim of Old Town shooting identified

        * Quinn: No pension ‘Plan B’ before court ruling
        * Sangamon Co. judge: Libertarian candidate for governor can stay on ballot
        * Illinois’ jobless rate continues 6-month decline
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * Jeb Bush headlining Chicago fundraiser for Rauner
        * Rochester resident to lead State Board of Elections
        * GOP appeal seeks to knock Libertarian gubernatorial candidate off ballot
        * Jesse White to focus on technology, highway safety if re-elected
        * Rauner’s ethics reform plan targets lobbyists, lawmakers

        * Illinois awards $25.8 million in health outreach grants
        * Flight attendants reach tentative deal with American Airlines
        * Options Clearing Corp. CEO to retire
        * Fallon to pay up, broadcast show in Chicago
        * Will it play in Peoria? If it's a Twitter parody, maybe not


        * Ald. Munoz: Democratic Party support for Emanuel in mayor’s race premature
        * Drug dealer held accountable in Chicago cop’s murder, gets 35 years in prison
        * Hey, Mayor Rahm Emanuel, lend us your ear
        * Why Chicago excites Jimmy Fallon
        * Four charged in shooting death of 9-year-old
        * Cardinal Francis George expected to announce his successor Saturday
        * Feds want severe punishment for man charged in credit card scheme
        * Ex-Daley deputy chief of staff gets probation for charity theft
        * NU student starts petition backing senior charged in deadly drunken driving crash
        * Charges to be announced in shooting death of 9-year-old


        * Former Harvey schools chief gets probation for misconduct, theft of $78,000
        * Day after appearance at Native American group, Rauner won't say if Redskins' name should change
        * Boy, 16, fatally shot in Old Town was member of Jesse White Tumblers
        * Prosecutors want to try as adult girl charged in Endia Martin's slaying
        * Police: Gang members thought boy, 9, was warning rivals and killed him
        * Girl rescued from retention basin near Plainfield middle school
        * Thieves take dozens of laptops during 2nd break-in at Wilmette school
        * Man found guilty on all counts in murder of ex-girlfriend, 15
        * Injured vet gets free house: 'Tim paid a price for this home'
        * Man shot, critically wounded on South Side


        * Treasurer Candidate Tom Cross Says He Would Sue The Legislature To Force A Balanced Budget
        * Listen to State Week - September 19, 2014
        * Quinn Defends Public Education, Though He's A Product of Private Schools
        * Chris Mooney: More Evidence-Based Policymaking Needed
        * African Drumming At Southwind Park On Saturday
        * Investors gather in Chicago seeking cannabis businesses
        * Climate, Space Create Challenges For Local Food
        * Can A Governor Really Create Jobs?
        * How do you find high school dropouts?
        * Governor's Race Has A Third Contender; Judge Keeps Libertarians On Ballot


        * Quinn: No pension ‘Plan B’ before court ruling
        * Sangamon Co. judge: Libertarian candidate for governor can stay on ballot
        * Our Opinion: Anchor’s cancer struggle hits home
        * Bob Gilligan: Advisory questions seek voter input — sort of
        * Illinois’ jobless rate continues 6-month decline
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * Esther Cepeda: Pity the vanishing bobolink
        * Jeb Bush headlining Chicago fundraiser for Rauner
        * Christopher Mooney: Evidence in policymaking — no cure-all, but better than the alternative
        * Eugene Robinson: Hillary Clinton needs to tell us her vision


        * Mayor taps golden keg to celebrate Belleville's 200th birthday
        * Q&A with V'Angelo Bentley
        * SportsTalk 9-19-14
        * High school football scoreboard, Sept. 19-20
        * Road closures 9/20/14
        * Little Grassy Lake site for free paddling event
        * Boil order issued for all of Mulkeytown Water District
        * The Fit List
        * Today in History
        * Politics Notebook: Ads take center stage in congressional race


        * Northern Illinos faces tough road test at Arkansas
        * Could Cardinal George's successor be named Saturday?
        * Fitzgerald: No time to panic with Wildcats 0-2
        * Charges announced in shooting of 9-year-old
        * Goodell: 'Same mistakes can never be repeated'

        * Shimkus in Danville office next week - Cha...
        * Shimkus office hours set in Danville - Cha...
        * Keeping the Internet Open and Free | Comme...
        * Illinois vote: Dems split on aid for Syria...
        * Polly Sulcer goes to Washington to push Co...
        * Deadline set for military academy applicat...
        * Shimkus Accepting Applications for Militar...
        * Shimkus representative to be in Fisher - R...
        * Efforts to streamline discovery, developme...
        * Shimkus Discusses Presidential Policies - ...

        * Northwestern receives federal grant to fig......
        * Senator Durbin Announces Nearly $300,000 i......
        * U.S. Senate Democrats propose exit tax for......
        * U.S. Senate Democrats propose exit tax for......
        * U.S. Chamber Caught Up in Tax Inversion Qu......

        * Senators, Energy CEOs Call for Long-Term E......

        * Hooray for cartoonists.
        * Swiffers. My days as a custodian.
        * GCA community forum with Karen Lewis
        * Illinois Job Creators: Do-Rite Die & Engineering's Alan Szymanski
        * UPS to hire 8,700 in Chicagoland
        * Campbell named CRS of Year in Illinois
        * How well do you know your Millennial clients?
        * Champaign news anchor tells viewers he has four to six months to live
        * Di Leo: Reflections on the Question of Scottish Independence
        * Steinem To For Campaign For Quinn


        * Illinois Chamber of Commerce Endorses Rauner for Governor
        * Rauner Web Ad: “Cut from the Same Cloth”
        * Illinois Department of Human Rights Commemorates International Day of Peace
        * Quinn Misleads Public on IDOT Again
        * Governor Quinn Visits Chicago’s Hydro, Inc. as Illinois’ Unemployment Rate Continues to Drop - State Jobless Rate Reaches Lowest Level in Six Years




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller