SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Some big money just didn’t work

Thursday, Nov 8, 2012

* The Sunlight Foundation took a look at the best and worst returns on investment for outside groups making independent expenditures. Here is their ist of the top spenders’ best ROI…

SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION PEA-FEDERAL
84% of $15,202,306 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)
70% of $14,318,192 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

MAJORITY PAC
69% of $34,359,657 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

WOMEN VOTE!
69% of $6,072,693 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* The worst…

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN CROSSROADS*
1% of $103,559,672 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* Crossroads GPS had a 13% ROI

US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
5% of $31,937,037 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN FUTURE FUND
5% of $23,613,532 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

The NRA’s “Institute for Legislative Action” had a slightly better ROI than its “Political Victory Fund,” at 10.25 percent. The Now Or Never PAC, which played extensively in the Joe Walsh campaign had an ROI of just 14.3 percent. FreedomWorks, which also advertised against Tammy Duckworth, had an ROI of 24.5 percent.

On the other side, Planned Parenthood’s “Action Fund” had a 97.8 percent ROI.

* The 17th Congressional District made it into the top three IE races. The result…

IL-17 (House)
Total outside money: $8,843,981
General candidate fundraising: $4,233,575

Candidate // General election outside support // Candidate fundraising
**winner BUSTOS, CHERI (D) $4,289,889 $1,964,893
SCHILLING, ROBERT T. (R) (Incumbent) $4,543,956 $2,268,682

* The Sun-Times looked at the congressional races by dollars spent per vote. For instance, each vote Walsh won “cost” $70, including IEs. More

Bill Foster, who ousted longtime Republican Judy Biggert in the west suburban 11th Congressional District, won with the biggest margin, according to vote tallies, with 58 percent of the vote. It cost about $30 per vote for Foster, given the $4.3 million spent by or on his behalf and the 139,849 votes cast for him.

Spending on Biggert’s side exceeded $6.3 million. Ending up with 101,002 ballots cast for her, it averages out to $62 a vote.

Walsh’s challenger, Tammy Duckworth, was a relatively good investment. Duckworth’s totals meant $39 a vote with $4.7 million in spending and 120,774 votes. […]

The closest congressional race of the three was in the 10th Congressional District, where a combination of campaign and outside money added up to $7.5 million for Republican Bob Dold. Dold narrowly lost to challenger Brad Schneider, earning 128,129 votes. That comes out to about $58 per vote for Dold.

By comparison, about $3.9 million went in on Schneider’s side, and he tallied 130,676. That’s about $29 per vote.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


19 Comments
  1. - UISer - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:24 am:

    “NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
    0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.”

    This just made my day. Thanks Sunlight Foundation!


  2. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:36 am:

    Karl Rove has the best gig in America. I wonder how many points he took on the buys, for those results?


  3. - Loop Lady - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:38 am:

    NRA loses big! Thank you Rich for this delightful factoid. Can we run Karl Rove out of the country on a rail now? Karl who?


  4. - 312 - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:42 am:

    I want to go work for American Crossroads so I can be completely wrong with every decision I make, but still make a boatload of money for it! Where do I sign???


  5. - Empty Chair - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:54 am:

    It’s unfair to blame the funders, honestly. There’s a HUGE gap in talent between Democratic political consultants and republican ones. Karl Rove rarely makes ads any more, he is now largely a fundraiser and a numbers guy. He may be involved with buys, but the extent to which his groups are making huge buys nationally, I doubt he saw every ad.

    The reality is Democratic ad makers are more well versed in local polling and know what voters will be receptive to. Republican operatives are increasingly just making funny looking ads or ones that they think will win them Pollies. The targeting and effectiveness of Dem consultants is going to be overlooked by the financial warehouses who were paying them, but they deserve some credit as well.


  6. - Boone Logan Square - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:01 am:

    *Insert joke about NRA’s poor aim here.*

    Anyone talk to Daddy Ricketts this week? Bet Rahm looks forward to the next round of haggling over Wrigley Field.


  7. - Bemused - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:09 am:

    Nice to see Karl Rove and the NRA on the short side of things. My problem is I suspect those who gave them the money to throw around will continue to do so.


  8. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    From NYT:

    –Joe Ricketts, the owner of the Chicago Cubs, spent close to $13 million to bankroll a super PAC attacking Mr. Obama over federal spending.–

    Something to keep in mind when they make another run for taxpayer funding for Wrigley. Apparently, he has some disposable income laying around, and is down on government spending.


  9. - Arthur Andersen - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    Regardless of what (tinfoil) hat Rove might be wearing, it’s no wonder that he almost vapor locked on Fox Election Night when they called it for Barack. Poor Megyn “with a Y” Kelly had to walk all the way back to Nerd Central in her C*M pumps to make sure the pollies got it right. Not their finest hour.


  10. - amalia - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:49 am:

    NRA, you just made my day!!!!!


  11. - lake county democrat - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    Sheldon Adelson went 0-for-6. As I keep harping on, gerrymandering is a bigger attack on voters than campaign finance issues. I’m happy that Walsh and Dold lost, but I know that for every Dem-gerrymandering Mike Madigan there’s 1.5 GOP-gerrymandering governors in other states like Texas.


  12. - Pot calling kettle - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    I think the bottom line is that while both sides have lots of money, most of the groups on the winning side were also able to bring in people. SEIU is a perfect example of that, you see them knocking on doors and making calls. Crossroads, not so much.


  13. - The Captain - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    Crossroads got a 1% return on $103 million? No words.

    There’s not a lot of upside to being the one to say this but … a lot of this overreaction is just Dems had a really good night and Republicans didn’t. I’m not sure that Republican operatives could have done a whole lot different that would have changed the outcome. In 2010 there was nothing worse than dealing with the *geniuses* born in 2008 who came to believe that elections are won with unlimited money, volunteers and voter enthusiasm, an environment that would apparently live forever. They were unbearable idiots. I’m guessing Tuesday spawned a new generation of unbearable idiot operatives on the Dem side.


  14. - ZC - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    I’ve always said that the first step to reforming money in politics was to beat these outside spending groups silly.

    At the end of the day laws only go so far, you have to affect incentives. If the deep pockets get convinced that they’re pigeons and all they’re doing is buying Rove summer houses, then we’ll see some decline in the amount of money spent. 2012 was a good start in that regard.


  15. - PublicServant - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:24 am:

    Plan B is just buy the Dems, guys…


  16. - Eileen left - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:46 am:

    Rich guys don’t walk precincts working men and women do. Rich guys don’t volunteer to work in campaigns working men and women do. It just goes to show you that “money can’t buy you love”.


  17. - D.P. Gumby - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:51 pm:

    The real ROI is in all the states where Repubs controlled state legislatures, like Indiana w/a Repub veto proof and Wisc Repub winning back State Sen. Repub now control more Govs. than in history. This will have far more impact for future.


  18. - mark walker - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:57 pm:

    The star of election night IMO was Karl Rove, walking around with a little white board, explaining why Nate Silver and most pollsters, just didn’t understand Republican voters.

    So Karl the “political genius” blew millions and millions of his clients’ money, and got paid by Fox News.

    Rove, Bachman, Walsh, Cain, and Santorum should all fade away.

    The Edelmans, Trumps, Kochs and Bradleys of the world will never admit personal error, and will keep trying to buy us.


  19. - mcb - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 6:13 pm:

    There’s a big issue with the ROI calculations. No matter who would’ve won, the numbers look the same, just flipped. Doesn’t mean bad buys. They don’t look at the total a candidate got. So 1 PAC spends on one losing candidate, maybe a total of 1 million. Then 10 PAC’s could’ve spent 1 billion on winners. The fact they went together could’ve altered election results. But despite the much bigger dollars, the winner looks like the better buy, despite costing 1000 times as much. A real study would be more like the sun times, dollars per votes. But also need to look at the percentage of the campaign fund made up by the group. Just because you spend a million on one candidate, it could only be 2 or 3 percent of what they got.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Question of the day
* Bad news for Duckworth
* Moody's issues Chicago fiscal FAQ
* More like this, please
* Dueling taunts
* Good news on workers' comp costs?
* Obama picks Jackson Park for library site
* Behind the delegation's "unity" is some old enmity
* Why were Bernie's boobirds so quiet yesterday?
* Budget crisis, lower tuition contributing to Wisconsin recruitment success
* Caption contest!
* Madigan again compares Rauner to Trump
* "Excellent politics" but "questionable for governance"
* Could be awhile before Mautino's hearing
* Poll: Durbin leads Democratic field by huge margin
* *** UPDATED x1 *** The Durbin timeline
* More bad news
* *** UPDATED x1 - Madigan responds *** Rauner finally talks about Sandack, but keeps mostly mum
* Latest Legionnaires' outbreak puzzles health experts
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Why did Chris Kennedy run away from reporters yesterday?
* *** LIVE COVERAGE *** Democratic National Convention
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* One billionth iPhone sold
* Sony schedules its IFA 2016 conference for September 1
* Facebook crushes Q2 earnings, hits 1.71B users and record share price
* Review: Jaybird's Freedom Wireless Earbuds Are Tiny While Still Offering Great Sound
* BLU Studio Touch plays catch-up to ZTE ZMAX PRO
* You can now start sharing stuff within your Google Play Family Library
* Pandora will now recommend nearby concerts, thanks to Ticketfly

* White Sox place Lawrie on disabled list
* White Sox 50-50, as is their trade deadline approach
* Adolfo among top prospect performers Tuesday
* White Sox likely to place Lawrie on disabled list
* Shields providing Sox with quality assurance
* Shields shapes White Sox shutout of Cubs
* Ranaudo to make Sox debut as scene shifts to Wrigley

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Voters Favor Durbin for 2018 Governor’s Race, P.....
* Gov. Bruce Rauner on term limits..
* New state law allows Illinois high schoolers to.....
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....
* Blagojevich to take part in resentencing via video..
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....
* Madigan say Democrats no factor in Ron Sandack .....


* AP source: Site for Obama's presidential library chosen
* Blagojevich won't attend resentencing; to take part by video
* Blagojevich won't attend resentencing; to take part by video
* AP source: Site for Obama's presidential library chosen
* Chicago Police union to officers: Don't request overtime
* Rauner: Illinois doing all it can on Legionnaires' cases
* Trustees appoint new Illinois state historian
* The Latest: Rauner: Illinois doing all it can on bacteria
* Amazon.com Inc. to open facility in Romeoville
* Illinois elections board: Mautino misses filing deadline

* Blagojevich won't attend resentencing, to take part by video
* Chris Kennedy blasts Gov. Rauner at Democrats' convention
* AP source: Site for Obama's presidential library chosen
* Rauner: Illinois doing all it can on Legionnaires' cases
* Auditor General Mautino misses deadline to file amended reports
* Prosecutors: Rod Blagojevich isn't 'deserving of leniency'
* High-profile Republican state lawmaker abruptly resigns
* High-profile GOP Illinois lawmaker Sandack suddenly resigns
* 2 efforts in Illinois attempt to change sex offender laws
* Rauner renews call for term limits

* Groupon shares surge on higher sales forecast for rest of year
* Why Cigna plans to sell through more health exchanges in 2017
* Chicago lawyer accuses her firm of gender discrimination
* Chicago private-equity upstart raises $325 million
* Forrest Mars Jr., Mars Inc.'s billionaire co-owner, dies at 84


* Obama on Hillary: Prepared for the demands of the Oval Office
* Prosecutors abandon case vs. police in Freddie Gray’s death
* Man gets 10 years for Elgin shooting
* Washington Park left at the altar — again
* Man charged with hit-and-run death of 98-year-old man in Summit
* Hales Franciscan closing for a year to reboot
* Jackson Park patrons ponder impact of Obama Presidential Center
* At Ravinia, new take on ‘Firebird’ undone by murky storytelling
* Man critically wounded in West Garfield Park shooting
* Fire faces “must-win” game, tough challenge against Red Bulls


* Blagojevich to appear at resentencing via closed-circuit TV from prison
* 2 in Chicago police brass apply for NEIU job
* Church attacker nurtured jihad, obsession with Islamic State in quiet French town
* 'Jason Bourne' review: Matt Damon back in action, rehashing the assassin's greatest hits
* Friends of the Parks boss: Husband imitated Yoda to ease Lucas Museum stress
* Greg Kot's Lolla picks: 37 acts not to miss
* Groupon stock jumps 25 percent on earnings news
* Orland Park police chief took bullet for Reagan
* Judge dismisses manslaughter charge against Florida deputy, citing 'Stand Your Ground'
* 3 wounded in shootings on South, West sides


* Blagojevich won't attend resentencing, to take part by video
* Chris Kennedy blasts Gov. Rauner at Democrats' convention
* AP source: Site for Obama's presidential library chosen
* Rauner: Illinois doing all it can on Legionnaires' cases
* Mindy Swank: SB 1564 is reasonable compromise between patients' rights, providers' faith
* Catherine Rampell: The Trump Doctrine of unpredictability
* Michael Gerson: Republicans have ceded the ground on faith
* E.J. Dionne: Clinton's Philadelphia vs. Trump's Cleveland
* Auditor General Mautino misses deadline to file amended reports
* Prosecutors: Rod Blagojevich isn't 'deserving of leniency'


* Women charged with robbery, aggravated battery
* JALC will pay MAP grants for the fall semester
* Tarter Source podcast: Welcome back, Gus Macker
* Kevin Kelley: 60-year murder sentence
* Update: ISP identifies Herrin motorcyclist airlifted to hospital after crash
* Bettendorf board meets in closed sessions, twice in 2 days
* 'There are no moral restraints on how far he's willing to go'
* Car rams into Rantoul homes
* Fire damage at Danville facility may reach $1 million
* PHOTOS: Dunning teaches skills to young athletes


* Cheaper electricity rate in Gurnee
* Port Clinton Road closure
* New body armor for Libertyville police
* 10 years' prison for Elgin shooting, cocaine arrest
* Dundee-Crown student entrepreneurs win national pitch competition

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Report: Durbin To Consider Bid For IL Gove......
* Voters Favor Durbin for 2018 Governor's Ra......
* Poll: Durbin Ranks High for Governor's Rac......
* Chris Kennedy blasts Gov. Rauner at Democr......

* Duckworth back at Democratic convention, t......
* GOP senator calls for moratorium on VA art......

* ICPR Panel Discussion On Drinking Water Safety
* Mautino Fails To Submit Amended Campaign Spending Reports By Deadline
* Experts Analyze Safety Of Chicago's Drinking Water Amid Lead Concerns
* Panelists Discuss Drinking Water Safety
* Sheridan Park Planters Pop Up On Wilson
* Meanwhile On Montrose ....
* Cartoon of the Day - 7/26/16 DNC Debbie Wasserman Schultz
* Cartoon Of The Day
* Cartoon of the Day - 7/27/16 Rauner Union vetoes
* Clinton Officially Secures Democratic Presidential Nomination


* Governor Visits Quincy Veterans Home Following New Cases of Legionnaires’ Disease
* Zika Virus And The 2016 Summer Olympics - Travel guidance for those heading to Brazil for the Olympics
* Two Cases of Legionnaires’ Disease Identified in Adams County - New admissions to Quincy Veterans' Home halted
* Serve Illinois Commission Announces $15.6 Million for AmeriCorps Programs - 32 grantees will place almost 1,600 AmeriCorps volunteers in communities
* Rauner Calls on General Assembly to Vote on Constitutional Amendment for Term Limits in Fall Veto Session




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller