SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Some big money just didn’t work

Thursday, Nov 8, 2012

* The Sunlight Foundation took a look at the best and worst returns on investment for outside groups making independent expenditures. Here is their ist of the top spenders’ best ROI…

SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION PEA-FEDERAL
84% of $15,202,306 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)
70% of $14,318,192 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

MAJORITY PAC
69% of $34,359,657 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

WOMEN VOTE!
69% of $6,072,693 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* The worst…

NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN CROSSROADS*
1% of $103,559,672 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

* Crossroads GPS had a 13% ROI

US CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
5% of $31,937,037 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

AMERICAN FUTURE FUND
5% of $23,613,532 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.

The NRA’s “Institute for Legislative Action” had a slightly better ROI than its “Political Victory Fund,” at 10.25 percent. The Now Or Never PAC, which played extensively in the Joe Walsh campaign had an ROI of just 14.3 percent. FreedomWorks, which also advertised against Tammy Duckworth, had an ROI of 24.5 percent.

On the other side, Planned Parenthood’s “Action Fund” had a 97.8 percent ROI.

* The 17th Congressional District made it into the top three IE races. The result…

IL-17 (House)
Total outside money: $8,843,981
General candidate fundraising: $4,233,575

Candidate // General election outside support // Candidate fundraising
**winner BUSTOS, CHERI (D) $4,289,889 $1,964,893
SCHILLING, ROBERT T. (R) (Incumbent) $4,543,956 $2,268,682

* The Sun-Times looked at the congressional races by dollars spent per vote. For instance, each vote Walsh won “cost” $70, including IEs. More

Bill Foster, who ousted longtime Republican Judy Biggert in the west suburban 11th Congressional District, won with the biggest margin, according to vote tallies, with 58 percent of the vote. It cost about $30 per vote for Foster, given the $4.3 million spent by or on his behalf and the 139,849 votes cast for him.

Spending on Biggert’s side exceeded $6.3 million. Ending up with 101,002 ballots cast for her, it averages out to $62 a vote.

Walsh’s challenger, Tammy Duckworth, was a relatively good investment. Duckworth’s totals meant $39 a vote with $4.7 million in spending and 120,774 votes. […]

The closest congressional race of the three was in the 10th Congressional District, where a combination of campaign and outside money added up to $7.5 million for Republican Bob Dold. Dold narrowly lost to challenger Brad Schneider, earning 128,129 votes. That comes out to about $58 per vote for Dold.

By comparison, about $3.9 million went in on Schneider’s side, and he tallied 130,676. That’s about $29 per vote.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


19 Comments
  1. - UISer - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:24 am:

    “NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND
    0% of $10,955,688 spent in the general election ended in the desired result.”

    This just made my day. Thanks Sunlight Foundation!


  2. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:36 am:

    Karl Rove has the best gig in America. I wonder how many points he took on the buys, for those results?


  3. - Loop Lady - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:38 am:

    NRA loses big! Thank you Rich for this delightful factoid. Can we run Karl Rove out of the country on a rail now? Karl who?


  4. - 312 - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:42 am:

    I want to go work for American Crossroads so I can be completely wrong with every decision I make, but still make a boatload of money for it! Where do I sign???


  5. - Empty Chair - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 9:54 am:

    It’s unfair to blame the funders, honestly. There’s a HUGE gap in talent between Democratic political consultants and republican ones. Karl Rove rarely makes ads any more, he is now largely a fundraiser and a numbers guy. He may be involved with buys, but the extent to which his groups are making huge buys nationally, I doubt he saw every ad.

    The reality is Democratic ad makers are more well versed in local polling and know what voters will be receptive to. Republican operatives are increasingly just making funny looking ads or ones that they think will win them Pollies. The targeting and effectiveness of Dem consultants is going to be overlooked by the financial warehouses who were paying them, but they deserve some credit as well.


  6. - Boone Logan Square - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:01 am:

    *Insert joke about NRA’s poor aim here.*

    Anyone talk to Daddy Ricketts this week? Bet Rahm looks forward to the next round of haggling over Wrigley Field.


  7. - Bemused - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:09 am:

    Nice to see Karl Rove and the NRA on the short side of things. My problem is I suspect those who gave them the money to throw around will continue to do so.


  8. - wordslinger - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    From NYT:

    –Joe Ricketts, the owner of the Chicago Cubs, spent close to $13 million to bankroll a super PAC attacking Mr. Obama over federal spending.–

    Something to keep in mind when they make another run for taxpayer funding for Wrigley. Apparently, he has some disposable income laying around, and is down on government spending.


  9. - Arthur Andersen - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:12 am:

    Regardless of what (tinfoil) hat Rove might be wearing, it’s no wonder that he almost vapor locked on Fox Election Night when they called it for Barack. Poor Megyn “with a Y” Kelly had to walk all the way back to Nerd Central in her C*M pumps to make sure the pollies got it right. Not their finest hour.


  10. - amalia - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:49 am:

    NRA, you just made my day!!!!!


  11. - lake county democrat - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    Sheldon Adelson went 0-for-6. As I keep harping on, gerrymandering is a bigger attack on voters than campaign finance issues. I’m happy that Walsh and Dold lost, but I know that for every Dem-gerrymandering Mike Madigan there’s 1.5 GOP-gerrymandering governors in other states like Texas.


  12. - Pot calling kettle - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 10:54 am:

    I think the bottom line is that while both sides have lots of money, most of the groups on the winning side were also able to bring in people. SEIU is a perfect example of that, you see them knocking on doors and making calls. Crossroads, not so much.


  13. - The Captain - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    Crossroads got a 1% return on $103 million? No words.

    There’s not a lot of upside to being the one to say this but … a lot of this overreaction is just Dems had a really good night and Republicans didn’t. I’m not sure that Republican operatives could have done a whole lot different that would have changed the outcome. In 2010 there was nothing worse than dealing with the *geniuses* born in 2008 who came to believe that elections are won with unlimited money, volunteers and voter enthusiasm, an environment that would apparently live forever. They were unbearable idiots. I’m guessing Tuesday spawned a new generation of unbearable idiot operatives on the Dem side.


  14. - ZC - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:08 am:

    I’ve always said that the first step to reforming money in politics was to beat these outside spending groups silly.

    At the end of the day laws only go so far, you have to affect incentives. If the deep pockets get convinced that they’re pigeons and all they’re doing is buying Rove summer houses, then we’ll see some decline in the amount of money spent. 2012 was a good start in that regard.


  15. - PublicServant - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:24 am:

    Plan B is just buy the Dems, guys…


  16. - Eileen left - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 11:46 am:

    Rich guys don’t walk precincts working men and women do. Rich guys don’t volunteer to work in campaigns working men and women do. It just goes to show you that “money can’t buy you love”.


  17. - D.P. Gumby - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:51 pm:

    The real ROI is in all the states where Repubs controlled state legislatures, like Indiana w/a Repub veto proof and Wisc Repub winning back State Sen. Repub now control more Govs. than in history. This will have far more impact for future.


  18. - mark walker - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 4:57 pm:

    The star of election night IMO was Karl Rove, walking around with a little white board, explaining why Nate Silver and most pollsters, just didn’t understand Republican voters.

    So Karl the “political genius” blew millions and millions of his clients’ money, and got paid by Fox News.

    Rove, Bachman, Walsh, Cain, and Santorum should all fade away.

    The Edelmans, Trumps, Kochs and Bradleys of the world will never admit personal error, and will keep trying to buy us.


  19. - mcb - Thursday, Nov 8, 12 @ 6:13 pm:

    There’s a big issue with the ROI calculations. No matter who would’ve won, the numbers look the same, just flipped. Doesn’t mean bad buys. They don’t look at the total a candidate got. So 1 PAC spends on one losing candidate, maybe a total of 1 million. Then 10 PAC’s could’ve spent 1 billion on winners. The fact they went together could’ve altered election results. But despite the much bigger dollars, the winner looks like the better buy, despite costing 1000 times as much. A real study would be more like the sun times, dollars per votes. But also need to look at the percentage of the campaign fund made up by the group. Just because you spend a million on one candidate, it could only be 2 or 3 percent of what they got.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Unions file suit in St. Clair County
* Reader comments closed for the holiday weekend
* AG Madigan files TRO
* In re James Dimas
* Question of the day
* Weirdest. Oppo Dump. Ever.
* Big bucks reported by Zopp, Raja
* LIVE Comptroller Munger press conference coverage
* Yet another clock starts ticking down
* Hey, Cardinal fans...
* Rauner makes cheery visit to Illinois State Museum
* The Tier 2 difference
* *** UPDATED x4 *** Attorney General goes to court
* Credit Unions – Protecting Financial Futures
* GOP legislator wants "temporary, balanced budget"
* Food for thought
* The blame game
* Meanwhile, in the real world...
* When Indiana invaded Illinois
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Find out your device’s worth with Swappa Android app
        * Yotaphone devices to drop Android for Sailfish OS
        * Toronto Transit adding e-ticket option via new TTConnect app
        * Collaborate, organize 3D designs with Fusion 360
        * Watch YouTube videos on your Android Wear with new app
        * Google Chrome hits 1 billion downloads on the Play Store
        * The LG Nexus 5 (2015) will not be based on the G4

        * The Best Fourth of July Deals: Headphones You Love, KitchenAid, & More
        * 10 Tricks for a Perfect Summer Barbecue in Three Minutes
        * Make Strawberry Lemonade Pie in the Freezer Overnight
        * Geeky Gadgets Deals Of The Week
        * Happy Independence Day From Re/code: Here Are Some Patriotic GIFs!
        * Pinterest Buyable Pins: This Week in Social Media
        * Check Out The Latest High-End Gaming PC From iiyama

        * All-Star starters unveiled Sunday, full rosters Monday
        * Danks backs up comments with strong outing
        * Abreu's HR all Danks needs against Orioles
        * White Sox 1, Orioles 0: John Danks, out of nowhere
        * Samardzija takes on Orioles in holiday matinee
        * Abreu's HR all Danks needs against Orioles
        * White Sox sign first-round pick Fulmer

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        July 2015
        June 2015
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Illinois mired in uncertainty over budget - Voc.....
        * Bill would allow cameras in Illinois nursing ho.....


        * 3 employees injured when car hits Urbana restaurant
        * Child hospitalized in Rockford after hit-and-run accident
        * Records: Man accused of pulling gun on trooper has record
        * America welcomes July 4 with hot dogs, cool music, cold beer
        * Pilot dies in small plane crash in suburban Chicago
        * Illinois city condemns childhood home of actor Dick Van Dyke
        * Bill would allow cameras in Illinois nursing homes
        * Sandbagging effort keeps floodwater at bay in Meredosia
        * Woman known for trying to sneak on planes released from jail
        * Danville condemns childhood home of actor Dick Van Dyke

        * Illinois Senate honors victims of Charleston church shootings
        * Bill would allow cameras in Illinois nursing homes
        * State employee lawsuit seeks assurance of full pay despite no budget
        * U of I freezes administration hiring over budget
        * Attorney General Lisa Madigan seeks court ruling on state payments during budget impasse
        * Illinois EPA: State has landfill capacity for 21 more years
        * State lawmakers point fingers over budget impasse; temporary budget in limbo
        * Former Illinois treasurer employees under Dan Rutherford sue over firings
        * Lawmakers point fingers over budget impasse; temporary budget in limbo
        * Illinois medical marijuana patients now number 2,600

        * Leo Burnett loses Special K
        * Aetna to buy Humana in $37 billion deal
        * Illinois weathers second day without state budget
        * Yelp calls off sale talks—for now
        * How a Reddit rally generated huge turnout for Sanders in Madison


          * 4 dead, 10 wounded in Chicago as July 4th weekend begins
          * Follow our live coverage of the Fourth
          * 'This is always my church, so to speak, where I can come and dance'
          * 2 teenagers hurt in gang-related crash in Logan Square
          * 1 killed, 5 wounded in shootings
          * Chicago police officers sue over tattoo cover-up rule
          * City pays $1.2 million in penalties to paramedics
          * Madigan is face of Democrats in battle with Rauner
          * Pilot killed after crashing small plane in DuPage Forest Preserve in Bartlett
          * Mayor Emanuel faces tough trek toward 'grand bargain' for shoring up CPS


          * Coping while black: A season of traumatic news takes a psychological toll
          * Rauner proposal would advance $450M to help Chicago schools
          * For same-sex marriage opponents, the fight is far from over
          * Emails show Emanuel, top officials aware of Clinton's private address
          * After pension payment, Chicago Public Schools to make $200M in cuts
          * CPS, Emanuel warn of deep cuts, layoffs to school district
          * After marriage equality, what's next for the LGBT movement?
          * The night Chicago politicians spent punching each other in the face
          * The legacy of Willie Dixon on his 100th birthday
          * Preckwinkle may reevaluate sales tax plan if Springfield acts on pensions


          * Illinois Senate honors victims of Charleston church shootings
          * Kenny Hartman: EPA stifling input on renewable fuel changes
          * Bill would allow cameras in Illinois nursing homes
          * Charles Krauthammer: The worst agreement in U.S. diplomatic history
          * State employee lawsuit seeks assurance of full pay despite no budget
          * Our Opinion: Springfield's toilet paper caper exposes the worst and best in people
          * Esther Cepeda: Adding a woman to $10 bill an empty gesture
          * U of I freezes administration hiring over budget
          * Attorney General Lisa Madigan seeks court ruling on state payments during budget impasse
          * Illinois EPA: State has landfill capacity for 21 more years


          * UPDATED: Three burned when car hits Lil' Porgy's
          * Meth explosion sends one man to hospital
          * Nicor upgrade program starting soon in Bloomington
          * Founding Fathers would be disappointed
          * Landmark status sought for new Papa Del's location
          * UI credit union makes plans for helping state workers
          * Area fireworks shows ready to explode tonight
          * Weekend planner: Mahomet fest on the 5th
          * What others are saying about ... a notable woman
          * Willard exec search next step for task force


          * Texas wants its gold back inside the state's borders
          * A conservative activist and a liberal journalist walk into a pancake house ...
          * Illinois State Police add July 4 patrols, roadside checks
          * 3 employees injured when car hits Urbana restaurant
          * Egypt president: situation 'stable' following Sinai attack

          * House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
          * Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
          * The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
          * Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
          * Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
          * CBD Oil, and politics
          * Simon considering state Senate bid
          * Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
          * Shutdown? State may not notice
          * Rep. Bob Dold

          * Durbin, Kirk working together on U.S. atto......

          * Durbin, Kirk working together on U.S. atto......

          * NRA and Illinois State Rife Association endorse LaHood
          * NRA and Illinois State Rifle Association endorse LaHood
          * John Fitzgerald Lyke, Jr. appointed to Biebel vacancy
          * Thorner: Judicial activism prevails on the cusp of Independence Day
          * Happy 4th of July
          * Superheroes Meet Superkids
          * The Week In Chicago Rock
          * Rahm has gone from the F word to the B word.
          * The NEA RA rolls into its first day with a focus on race and racism.
          * Geek Gets Up Early Saturday Morning for WGN Radio 720 AM


          * State, Teamsters Reach Tentative Agreement - Workers at IDOT, DHS, IDES, and CMS in Cook County to Vote on New Contract
          * Governor Rauner Extends Tax Filing and Payment Deadlines for Businesses and Individuals Impacted by Recent Tornado - Deadlines Pushed to December 31, 2015
          * Illinois EPA Releases Annual Report on Landfill Capacity
          * IDNR Urges Public to Leave Fireworks Displays to Those Who Are Licensed and Trained - Fireworks Show Sponsors Reminded to Check Credentials of Fireworks Vendors
          * Governor Receives Initial Criminal Justice Commission Report




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller