SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s graph

Friday, Nov 16, 2012

* Illinois gubernatorial and presidential election results, excluding independent and third-party candidates. Click for a larger image

Discuss.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


20 Comments
  1. - Cassiopeia - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:09 pm:

    20 years ago was the last time the Democrats had very large majorities in the General Assembly. Two years later they lost both chambers and every statewide office.

    Can’t help but wonder if or when they don’t resolve the fiscal problems both nationally or in Illinois if history will repeat itself.


  2. - S.Dolopoulos - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:09 pm:

    One thing jumps out: While Dems tend to blow out the GOP in Presidential years, the Dem. margins in races for Gov. are significantly smaller.

    That chart is the best cause for GOP hope in 2014 seen since election day.


  3. - NIref - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:18 pm:

    The two races are far to different to ascertain any real relationship, especially considering 2006 Gov race, and the two home-state presidential elections.

    It would probably be better if we pulled state-wide voting in either Congressional or Assembly races.


  4. - 47th Ward - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:24 pm:

    That red line peaking in 1994 brings back memories of the worst election night I’ve ever had. I was wrapping up the boiler room operation for my legislative race until about 11pm. We lost a close race for an open seat, then I turned on the TV to see results from other races around the country and the news was devastating.

    Speaker Foley lost his seat. We lost the US House. The US Senate. The Illinois House/Senate. The Governor’s race was a blow out, Rostenkowski lost. It was a bloodbath across Illinois and across the country.

    That was a wave election fueled in part by anti-Clinton sentiment and the effective Contract with America branding of Newt Gingrich. In Illinois, Edgar pummelled Netsch for her income tax hike (only to propose that very idea later in his administration).

    The good news was that the sweep wiped out some Democrats that were past their prime and opened opportunities for new candidates to emerge. We created a deeper bench and Madigan worked tirelessly to recruit and support new candidates to overcome the Daniels map.

    If the GOP thinks 2012 was bad for them, it was nothing compared to 1994 for us. We learned some important lessons in the aftermath of that year, as these numbers show. Will the GOP learn anything from 2012?


  5. - wordslinger - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:24 pm:

    The Edgar spike in 1994 from the Bush vote in 1992 is remarkable, as is the subsequent crash of the Dole vote in 1996.

    I’m starting to think Illinois voters were buying what Edgar was selling.

    What should be most alarming to the Illinois GOP, however, is that since 1994, the GOP candidate for either governor or president has only broken the 50% mark once — that being George Ryan at 51% in 1998.

    Some changes would seem to be in order.


  6. - walkinfool - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:45 pm:

    I believe that the ILGOP can easily win the Gov seat this time with the right candidate (representing their own majority values), and the right campaign professionals.

    They don’t have any unfixable problems.


  7. - wordslinger - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:47 pm:

    47, that’s some good stuff. And it brings up another point.

    1994 national GOP wave vote in Illinois: 63.9%

    2010 national GOP wave vote in Illinois: 45.9%

    In these days of GOP reflection, I’d encourage them to determine who the voters are that comprise that 18-point difference, why they left and how to get them back.


  8. - Republicans amaze me ! - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:48 pm:

    The only thing more inept than national republicans are Illinois republicans. Even if Obama’s number are in the tank, they will nominate a right wing ideologue for governor. Madigan is smart enough to keep his constituency together and let the republicans ensure his keeping the middle with their dreams of the 1950’s …


  9. - Jimmie Logan - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:54 pm:

    Not gonna happen, Cassie. You refer to 1992-1994. The GA was operating under a GOP-drawn map. Pate had already gained control of the Senate after 1992. The national GOP wave of 1994 took care of the rest of the seat loss the House Dems had already experienced in 1992 under the new map. Netsch, Quinn, and Burris giving up their statewide seats to run for another office probably didn’t help. Not saying they would have prevailed in re-elect, but made the race to replace with GOP much easier. You’re comparing apples to oranges.

    Word, I’d also suggest it was not simply what Edgar was selling, but that huge GOP wave in 1994 certainly didn’t hurt.


  10. - Pot calling kettle - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 12:54 pm:

    Illinois Democrats have always been willing to consider a Republican, but the Republican has to be a moderate the Dems think they can work with. Edgar and Ryan certainly fit that bill.


  11. - wordslinger - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:00 pm:

    Jimmie, I’m sure you’re right about 1994 and the wave.

    Which makes the Illinois GOP’s under-performance in the 2010 wave (with the added Blago factor fresh in the memories of the voters) that more revealing.


  12. - Arthur Andersen - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:06 pm:

    Rauner ‘14!

    Not.


  13. - Suburbs - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:15 pm:

    A glass half full perspective…there was a 9 point swing toward the GOP from ‘08 to ‘12.


  14. - My opinion - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:31 pm:

    Suburbs— that’s the point. Kirk Dillard would be guv today… And will be, if nominated, in 2014 against Pat Quinn. But, as long as the ring wing picks your candidate in Illinois, the r party will be reduced to writing opinion blogs, not governing.


  15. - John A Logan - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:37 pm:

    The republican party is dead because the people that support traditional republican values are already pushing up daisies or reviewing their preplanned funeral packages. Republicans will have to become democrats to win elections in Illinois. Make no mistake about it, the Illinois republican party is dead.


  16. - My opinion - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:40 pm:

    Obviously Rich, I am not talking about your well respected blog…,


  17. - Rich Miller - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 1:54 pm:

    ===Republicans will have to become democrats to win elections in Illinois. ===

    Last time I checked, US Sen. Mark Kirk, Illinois Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka and Illinois Treasurer Dan Rutherford were all Republicans.


  18. - Will Caskey - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 2:12 pm:

    Too subtle, Rich. Needs “PAT QUINN! ->” drawn in big red letters pointing at 2010.


  19. - Endangered Moderate Species - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 2:48 pm:

    –The republican party is dead because the people that support traditional republican values are already pushing up daisies or reviewing their preplanned funeral packages.–

    General Logan,
    Your thinking is what is wrong with the current GOP thinking. Yesterday’s ILGOP leaders were fiscal conservatives but were moderates on social issues. George Ryan ran a campaign to the left of Glenn Poshard. Politics is about winning elections and having influence in the debate. As long as the current GOP continues to hold their candidates to the litmus test right wing views, they will continue down the path they are currently walking on.


  20. - Crime Fighter - Friday, Nov 16, 12 @ 3:25 pm:

    =”excluding independent and third-party candidates.”=

    Hopefully it won’t always have to be that way.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Mautino misses deadline
* Emanuel accepts Rauner's apology, but with a catch
* Trade secrets or hiding payrollers?
* *** UPDATED x1 - 34 Latin Kings charged *** US Attorney to announce "significant new indictments against numerous alleged gang members"
* Question of the day
* Caption contest!
* Rauner is gearing up
* Convention delegates are "not normal" party members
* I'll believe it when I see it, Lisa
* SIU's two crucial mistakes
* Sandack says no "compromising information" was accessed
* *** UPDATED x3 - VIDEO: Kennedy looked horrible *** Chris Kennedy speaks to Dems, flees without talking to reporters
* G: Blagojevich doesn't deserve leniency
* *** LIVE COVERAGE *** Democratic National Convention
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Moto Mods Developer site now open for business
* Night Mode on Twitter debuts for Android
* LeEco acquires Vizio for $2 billion
* [Deal] Google starts up its Back to School discounts
* Apple earnings on the upper end of estimates, but forecast is still bleak
* Apple's Services Revenue Up 19% on App Store, Apple Music Growth
* Apple's Q3 2016 Revenue Drops 33% in Greater China as Europe Regains Position as Second Biggest Market

* Adolfo among top prospect performers Tuesday
* White Sox likely to place Lawrie on disabled list
* Shields providing Sox with quality assurance
* Shields shapes White Sox shutout of Cubs
* Ranaudo to make Sox debut as scene shifts to Wrigley
* Shields shapes White Sox shutout of Cubs
* Shields shapes White Sox shutout of Cubs

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Study Examines Prevailing Wage - Alton Daily News..
* Governor Rauner Pushes Lawmakers To Vote On Ter.....
* Governor formalizes IDOT's role as state safety.....
* Gov. Rauner seeks fall vote on term limit amend.....
* Gov. Rauner seeks fall vote on term limit amend.....
* Gov. Rauner seeks fall vote on term limit amend.....


* New cases of Legionnaires' disease found at veterans home
* Teen charged in drug overdose case enters guilty plea
* Oprah's old Chicago offices being cleared for McDonald's
* Springfield officials sign deal to boost workforce diversity
* Dennis Hastert's prison release date pushed back
* Dennis Hastert's prison release date pushed back
* Driver in fiery Chicago highway crash cited by state police
* New I-74 bridge requires moving many mussels
* Court finds man charged in drive-by competent to stand trial
* Illinois won't release details of 'Chicago Fire' tax credits

* Auditor General Mautino misses deadline to file amended reports
* Prosecutors: Rod Blagojevich isn't 'deserving of leniency'
* High-profile Republican state lawmaker abruptly resigns
* High-profile GOP Illinois lawmaker Sandack suddenly resigns
* 2 efforts in Illinois attempt to change sex offender laws
* Rauner renews call for term limits
* Rauner-created business development group gets new name
* State costs for amendment notices likely to top $2 million
* Rauner OKs regulating police use of cell-site simulators
* Illinois Supreme Court to consider remap ballot measure

* Moody's official: Chicago's still got time to fix pension problem
* Nearly 3 dozen gang members indicted in Chicago area
* Is this the end for health care mega-deals?
* What to know about Medicare's big bundled-payment expansion
* How to save Americans money on cardiac care


* Police: Woman shot to death in South Chicago
* Person shot in Englewood
* Woman, 20, shot in West Pullman
* Dear Abby: Single mom misses her aunts, uncles
* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for July 27, 2016
* ‘What does it take to be the 1st female anything’: Streep on Hill
* Cubs might not be done with almost a week until trade deadline
* Drama involving Sale, Chapman overshadows Crosstown Showdown
* Did Chapman get Ricketts’ message? Will it translate by October?
* Hillary clinches, Bill pitches: ‘best darn change-maker’


* Democratic National Convention live updates: Bill Clinton tells the story of 'the real' Hillary Clinton
* 'Big Game James' shows up big time for White Sox triumph in City Series
* As Hillary Clinton makes history, some already take it for granted
* 1 dead, 6 wounded in city shootings
* Simon Cowell says 'America's Got Talent' was made for Northbrook teen
* Clinton wins historic nomination, says glass ceiling cracked
* Only the Clintons: Bill delivers the speech no one else could
* White Sox win fourth straight, back at .500 with 3-0 victory over Cubs
* Tom Thibodeau returns to Chicago this week with USA Basketball
* Chicago mothers who lost children ask DNC for police reform, gun control


* Mindy Swank: SB 1564 is reasonable compromise between patients' rights, providers' faith
* Catherine Rampell: The Trump Doctrine of unpredictability
* Michael Gerson: Republicans have ceded the ground on faith
* E.J. Dionne: Clinton's Philadelphia vs. Trump's Cleveland
* Auditor General Mautino misses deadline to file amended reports
* Prosecutors: Rod Blagojevich isn't 'deserving of leniency'
* Kathleen Parker: The fury of Herr Trumpf
* High-profile Republican state lawmaker abruptly resigns
* High-profile GOP Illinois lawmaker Sandack suddenly resigns
* 2 efforts in Illinois attempt to change sex offender laws


* At the table: 'I crave vegetables the way some people crave cigarettes'
* Old-fashioned truck farming isn't lost in Davenport
* Donald Franklin Morey
* Michelle Lynn (Barker) Mathis
* Ruby Yarber
* Donal J. McKinney, Sr.
* Beverly Wilson
* Jerry J. Wyatt
* John Floyd Baggett
* Ruby C. McCann


* Bill Clinton tells a love story to make his case for Hillary
* Japan police search home of suspect in stabbing spree
* Democrats make history: Clinton their first female presidential nominee
* Bland's mother at DNC: Black life cut short 'a national loss'
* Israeli military says it killed suspect behind deadly ambush

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Sen. Durbin, Mayor Emanuel, Members of Ill......

* Talk of the County - Chicago Tribune...

* It’s hard to say right now who do we hate the most – Trump or Hillary?!?
* Trump Sees Bump In The Polls After Republican Convention
* Cartoon Of The Day
* Rauner Urges Legislative Action On Term Limits Amendment
* Cartoon of the Day - 7/26/16 DNC Debbie Wasserman Schultz
* They Run for the Money
* Dismantling Chicago's "Duocracy"
* If Looks Could Kill
* Daley's Disconnect
* Rahm's the Mayor, Barack's the Boss. Harold and Carol are History.


* Zika Virus And The 2016 Summer Olympics - Travel guidance for those heading to Brazil for the Olympics
* Two Cases of Legionnaires’ Disease Identified in Adams County - New admissions to Quincy Veterans' Home halted
* Serve Illinois Commission Announces $15.6 Million for AmeriCorps Programs - 32 grantees will place almost 1,600 AmeriCorps volunteers in communities
* Rauner Calls on General Assembly to Vote on Constitutional Amendment for Term Limits in Fall Veto Session
* IDNR Announces 2016–17 Waterfowl Season Dates




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller