SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Durbin doing well

Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012

* The latest from Public Policy Polling

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick
Durbin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 51%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%

Q2 Generally speaking, in 2014, if the Democratic
candidate for Senate was Dick Durbin, would
you vote for him or his Republican opponent?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 52%
Republican opponent ……………………………….. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

* From the pollster

Durbin is in such good shape because 20% of Republicans support his work in the Senate, and 13% of them say they will probably vote for him in two years. Independents are split right down the middle on both fronts, including 42-42 on the re-elect.

Faced with actual opponents, Durbin does even better, though slightly more Republicans and independents are undecided than Democrats. Outgoing Rep. Bob Dold comes closest to matching the ideal Republican’s standing, with a 21-point deficit (54-33). Failed 2010 Tea Party contender Patrick Hughes is down 22 (53-31), and retiring Rep. Joe Walsh lags by 25 (54-29).

In all three actual head-to-heads, Durbin maintains the same 13% of the GOP’s support, and outdoes his 82% level with his own party by two or three points. The main difference is with independents. He jumps up two to five points with them for leads of nine points over Dold and Hughes and 18 over Walsh.

Granted, Hughes is a complete unknown—88% have no opinion of him, so he is truly generic. Still only 46% have an opinion on Walsh (14% favorable and 32% unfavorable), and 49% on Dold (21-28). So they stand more to gain than Durbin does. But when name recognition is equalized at this point, Durbin’s advantage actually increases to leads of 25 to 35 points, so combined with his strength and the Republicans’ relative unpopularity, he is unlikely to get much if any more vulnerable.

Barring unforeseen circumstances and/or a solid candidate, agreed.

* More results

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bob Dold?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 21%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 52%

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Patrick Hughes?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 4%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 8%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 88%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Joe Walsh?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 14%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%

Q6 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Bob
Dold, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 54%
Bob Dold………………………………………………… 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%

Q7 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Patrick
Hughes, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 53%
Patrick Hughes ……………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%

Q8 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Joe
Walsh, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 54%
Joe Walsh………………………………………………. 29%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%

* Methodology

PPP surveyed 500 Illinois voters from November 26th to 28th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.4%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Crosstabs are here.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


27 Comments
  1. - Ace Matson - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 11:41 am:

    It should be “Whom” would you vote for. Doesn’t anybody know grammar anymore?


  2. - Skeeter - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 11:42 am:

    Durbin is an interesting guy. Against a lot of Dems, I would take a serious look at a moderate Republican like Dold or even Dilliard.

    But Durbin is different. He’s got enough of a history for standing up for this state that he’s a real asset.

    Also, I haven’t spent much time talking to him, but when I have he’s one of the most down to earth people that I’ve met. He’s very likeable personally.

    The GOP may be better off giving him a pass and then putting all the resources into defeating Quinn. Pick your battles. Money spent defeating Durbin will be wasted. Money spent against Quinn/Dem nominee can make a difference.


  3. - shore - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 11:48 am:

    Dold outspent his opponent, a political neophyte who a lot of democrats didn’t think had a shot of winning, 2-1 and lost. Durbin’s gang of 6 thing failed and he hasn’t offered much, but his two greatest assets are who the republican candidate is and the republican brand.


  4. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 11:55 am:

    Durbin is solid and Illinois is lucky to have him. He’ll be our US Senator for as long as he likes.

    There is no way a top tier GOPer will run against him. It’s political suicide. I expect we’ll see a neophyte millionaire run a vanity campaign and spend way too much money for way too few votes.


  5. - Cheryl44 - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 11:58 am:

    I’d love to see Joe Walsh waste more GOP money running against Senator Durbin.


  6. - Johnny Q. Suburban - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:02 pm:

    Odd to me that Dold had more statewide name ID than Walsh. Would have guessed Walsh would be by far the more recognizable name.


  7. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:06 pm:

    The long answer - Aaron Schock for Governor…. Why? Durbin is not beatable. Not today, Not in the next Primary, not in the next General.

    Schock for Governor is the answer to is poll’s question to “How is Durbin doing?” Over 50% & between 13 to 20% Repubs favoring Durbin, again, the answer to the question is Schock for Governor.

    Maybe 7 years from now, it will change, but in the next 23 months look pretty nice for the Senior Senator from Illinois.


  8. - Captain Illini - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:08 pm:

    There is no doubt that Senator Durbin is ultra liberal in his voting record, and he’s a master at demagogic language…so IF there were an opponent, then the logical thing to attach are his long time voting record and presenting an alternative to his many stances, inclusive of everything needing more taxes.


  9. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:14 pm:

    ===It should be “Whom” would you vote for. Doesn’t anybody know grammar anymore? ===

    Actually, it should be “For whom would you vote?”


  10. - MrJM - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:18 pm:

    The fact that 55% of respondents are “not sure” about their opinion of Joe Walsh is a reminder that we CapFaxers are a select lot who operate within a rarefied bubble.

    ‘Cause, I mean… Come on, people!

    – MrJM


  11. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:47 pm:

    Captain Illini, While I agree with your characterization of Durbin, I think you fail to note that his stance on the issues is a fair mirror image of the beliefs of many in this state.

    Just sayin’


  12. - Don Moss - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 12:54 pm:

    Durbin is one of the best things to happen to Illinois in many many years. My hope is that he rises to become the Senate Majority Leader in the near future.


  13. - Siriusly - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 1:12 pm:

    Interesting poll. I don’t think it will be enough to convince him to run again though. I think he’s going to retire.


  14. - just sayin' - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 1:28 pm:

    Pat Hughes and Joe Walsh? Really?

    The gop would be better off slating a ham sandwich. 1st, at least would do no harm. 2nd, I know it would poll better. 3rd, ham sandwich is no has-been.


  15. - RNUG - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 1:38 pm:

    I’ve never voted for Durbin and probably never will. I knew him back in the 70’s when he was getting started and saw a different side than the public does today.

    But I’ll concede that when he isn’t busy pushing the Dem party national agenda, he does bring home the bacon for Illinois and his staff knows how to do constitutient services … so I understand why people like him.


  16. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 1:40 pm:

    DD and Captain Illini, since you both agree that Durbin is “ultra liberal in his voting record, and he’s a master at demagogic language…”, it makes me wonder:

    How would you describe yourselves?

    And DD, you are of the opinion that a majority of Illinoisans are “ultra-liberal” and supporters of “demagogic language?”


  17. - Crime Fighter - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 1:44 pm:

    It’s good to see the positive comments about Senator Durbin. I’ve worked with Senator Durbin’s staff and found the Senator and his staff to be excellent. Unfortunately, over the years I’ve witnessed alot of unwarranted hostility toward the Senator, even protests at his Springfield home by the shoot, pollute, and swindle crowd here in Sangamon County.
    After seeing the comments and the polling, there may be hope yet for a civilized society.


  18. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 2:12 pm:

    Could have been more specific, word. However, Durbin’s past rhetoric as it pertains to actions of those in charge of prisoners at Gitmo is disturbing. Durbin said the highly charged comments on the floor of the senate. He later apologized. Frankly, I think the first remarks reflect his true feelings as opposed to the follow up. Just my opinion.

    If you read my post, however, I pointed out that a “fair number” of Illinoisans supported his positions. How you get from there to a majority is a mystery to me.

    I made no comparison re the rhetoric.


  19. - dupage dan - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 2:15 pm:

    Sorry, misread my own post. I said “fair mirror image of the beliefs of many in this state”. Beliefs of many does NOT equate to a majority, word.


  20. - CU Voter - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 2:15 pm:

    Still a lot of Eagles fans out there


  21. - Downstater - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 3:14 pm:

    I would expected his favorable numbers to have been higher.


  22. - walkinfool - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 4:30 pm:

    Why compare Durbin to the three strawmen? Dold, Walsh, and Hughes are not credible candidates from the getgo, and the GOP can come up with a dozen better — if any of them wanted to take the personal risk.


  23. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 4:56 pm:

    ===… — if any of them wanted to take the personal risk.===

    None will.

    They can read polls, and this is enough to at the bare minimum, make someone pause.


  24. - G'Kar - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 5:00 pm:

    Joe Walsh is “retiring”? That is a polite way to put it, I suppose.


  25. - RNUG - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 5:13 pm:

    Crime Fighter @ 1:44 pm,

    What you see is not always what you get if you are one of the powerless “little people”. From multiple incidents involving different members of my immediate family over a 35 year period, at least some of that hostility is warranted.


  26. - park - Tuesday, Dec 4, 12 @ 7:56 pm:

    He’s OK. Has shown courage a number of times since he’s been elected. I’m an R and would vote for him.


  27. - wordslinger - Wednesday, Dec 5, 12 @ 12:24 am:

    Dupage Dan, I wouldn’t dare to question you about ignorant demagoguery.

    You’re the champ.

    But, in this case, I think you’re referring to the time when Sen. Durbin expressed outrage when a few United States soldiers violated the Uniform Code of Conduct.

    There are hundreds of thousands of volunteer soldiers, risking their lives for all of us, every day. I, and most, remain in awe and grateful.

    The soldiers in question that Durbin referred to had counsel, were tried and convicted.

    They were bad people. They did bad things. They abused prisoners of war, in the most perverted ways.

    That’s outrageous. We’re Americans, savvy?. We don’t roll that way.

    We are better than that.

    Durbin said the word “Nazi.” And he was right. The actions of those few criminals were disgusting and perverted, just like the Nazis.

    My folks beat the Nazis and the Commies and chose to cross the ocean to become Americans.

    That’s a great gift, and an awesome responsibility. It means a great deal to me.

    My country, right or wrong. When right, keep it right. When wrong, make it right.

    Leave it better than you found it. That’s the only mission.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed until Monday
* The Pat Quinn rehab tour continues
* Question of the day
* IML, firefighters unite on "public duty rule"
* Nuclear Energy: Vital for Illinois’ Clean Power Plan Goals
* Tackling opioid overdoses
* Why didn't Hastert's secret come out sooner?
* A silly idea
* AG Madigan wants GA to eliminate statute of limitations for felony criminal sexual assault and sexual abuse crimes against children
* Caption contest!
* A very weird and specific law applies only to one county clerk
* Today's quotable
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* LG K530 and K535 could be new additions to the budget-friendly K-series
* Best screen protectors for the Samsung Galaxy S7 Edge
* AnyMote Home review
* Apple to Analyze Recovered iPhone of Florida Teens Lost at Sea
* Second Android N Developer Preview is now available for the Nexus Player
* HTC delays Marshmallow update for AT&T’s One M8 and One M9
* How important is the warranty when you purchase a smartphone?

* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* Eaton's fine bunt puts winning rally in motion
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* Ventura ejected after arguing over slide rule
* Sale eyeing 6-0 start in series finale against O's
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Illinois Policy | Illinois' comeback story star.....
* Illinois higher education funding bill offers h.....


* U of Illinois reaches agreement with non-tenured faculty
* Disbarred Naperville attorney gets 4-plus years for scheme
* Review finds police shooting of mentally ill man justified
* Naperville must spend $2.5M on handicap accessibility
* Illinois man charged with threatening prosecutor
* Central Illinois Mitsubishi plant sold to liquidation firm
* Illinois budget standoff forces 300 layoffs at Chicago State
* Flooding leaves behind sand, debris in Illinois county
* NIU faculty to form union, seeks voice in school decisions
* Troopers step up highway enforcement for prom, graduation

* Constitutional amendments face a deadline this week
* Local groups counting on stopgap funding plan
* Normal's Mitsubishi plant sold to liquidation firm
* Director of George W. Bush museum appointed to lead Lincoln museum in Springfield
* Swastikas, noose lead U of I to call for tolerance
* Illinois weighs college aid for students in U.S. illegally
* Young offenders hindered by system, panel finds
* Advocates fear chaos after Rauner home health care ruling
* Report: Laws holding back juveniles with criminal records
* Business leaders say early childhood education funding is key to filling STEM jobs in future

* A challenging climate for Chicago entrepreneurs
* Does Acme make a Rauner-catching machine?
* You're not imagining it, techies: Investment and valuations are dropping
* What Clinton needs to do now to win
* Student housing is one of real estate's hottest sectors—and Chicago's at the heart of it


* Two shot in Roseland
* Man charged with burglarizing Elgin home
* Two walk into police station after South Side shooting
* Police warn of Little Village robberies
* Police: Pizza delivery drivers being robbed in Humboldt Park
* Man shot in Back of the Yards
* Police: Woman killed, man injured in Garfield Ridge hit-and-run
* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for May 1, 2016
* Dear Abby: She punishes mom for getting remarried
* Arthur Bryan III, owned The Redhead Piano Bar, dead at 55


* Obama's 10 funniest lines from the White House correspondents' dinners
* Barack Obama, the first alt-comedy president
* Lakeview home with five bedrooms, roof deck:$1.465M
* LINDA C. BLACK HOROSCOPES for 5/1/16
* 1 dead, 11 wounded after South Side shootings
* Police warn of robberies in Little Village, Humboldt Park
* City says private developer will build hotel on Navy Pier
* Woman killed, man injured in hit-and-run crash on Southwest Side
* Man dead, 14 wounded in South, West Side shootings
* Trump backers yell foul over loss to Cruz at Arizona GOP convention


* Our View: Keep focus, momentum moving on rail consolidation
* Angie Muhs: Meet the newest reader advisory board
* Constitutional amendments face a deadline this week
* Local groups counting on stopgap funding plan
* Madigan on phone for county fundraiser
* Time for lawmakers to hunker down at the Capitol
* (No heading)
* Gina Gemberling: Tourism is critical economic driver for Springfield
* Charles Krauthammer: The world according to Trump
* U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Why Gitmo can't be closed


* Stay-at-home mom wins women's marathon
* Kenyan native wins men's marathon
* Asmussen: Marathon today, Lovie tomorrow
* Kroner's many faces of all those races
* UI roundup: Illini men win at Drake Relays
* Men's tennis rematch set between UI, OSU
* Saturday's highlights: Centennial soccer wins title
* All-female crews help Habitat for Humanity in constructing home for single mom
* Busey Illinois Youth Run 2016
* Patriots pick Karras


* Food is the final frontier for Fittest Loser contestants
* Dundee-Crown students pitch business models to investors
* White Sox icon A.J. Pierzynski enjoying milestone moment
* Barrington 12-year-old teaches first aid in Nepal
* Q&A with College of DuPage chairwoman: Trustees must move forward

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Cahokia Mounds Could Become National Monum......

* Kirk Urges Swift Passage of His Bill to Co......
* U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Why Gitmo can't be cl......

* Northbound Lanes Open On Broadway; Overnight Closures Monday thru Wednesday
* Another McHenry County Schnook Shoots Self in Foot
* Weyermuller: When did Drake U turn against conservatives like Turning Point USA?
* Citizen journalist David Daleiden faces continued legal jeopardy
* Elizabeth Warren endorses Duckworth for U.S. Senate
* Tennessee makes it legal for counselors to practice religious beliefs
* Biga: The Eloi Arrive a Tad Early
* Where's Weyermuller? With Ozzie at Special Olympics 2016 kickoff
* Teachers (Deborah Meier).
* Straight out of Brooklyn.


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller