SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
CD2 roundup

Thursday, Feb 7, 2013

* Daily Kos’ founder is really out to get 2nd Congressional District candidate Sen. Toi Hutchinson. Markos Moulitsas has endorsed Robin Kelly and he’s been posting at least daily rants on the pro-gun positions of both Hutchinson and Debbie Halvorson. Kos’ latest is a now-deleted 2011 Facebook post

Says Kos

The Illinois State Rifle Association is the state affiliate of the National Rifle Association, and she had no problem attending their fundraisers, scooping up their cash, and enabling their agenda in Springfield.

Yet now she wants to run from that record and claim that she’s pulled a Mitt Romney—180-degree overnight conversion when politically expedient. She claims Sandy Hook made her change her mind, but 500 gun-related deaths in Chicago last year didn’t?

As of this writing, Kos has raised over $61K for Kelly via Act Blue.

* In other CD2 news, Sheriff Dart has endorsed Anthony Beale

Dart says he’s been impressed with Beale as the two have worked on a number of issues, both while Dart was a state lawmaker and as sheriff. Dart and Beale scheduled a news conference Thursday.

* And Beale’s campaign disputes Robin Kelly’s recent poll

“There’s no way that I believe this poll is accurate,” said Beale campaign spokeswoman Delmarie Cobb.

The poll… puts Kelly in the lead of top candidates in raw numbers and a statistical tie with Debbie Halvorson when the margin of error is taken into account. Previously, Halvorson had led in every poll.

Cobb’s argument is voter turnout will be greatest in the city and Beale is the only city candidate in a field of 16 Democrats. The 2nd congressional district stretches into Will and Kankakee counties.

“Forty percent of the vote comes from the city. Sixty percent of the vote comes from the South Suburbs. You’ve got, Toi, Robin, Debbie and everybody else running for the 60 percent. Anthony has … - 98 percent of the 9th ward is in the 2nd congressional district.”

I dunno. Chicago has a lot of the district’s population, but most people expect city turnout to be abysmal.

Also, release your own poll if you don’t like Kelly’s. Give us some data.

* Related…

* Citing Gun Issue, Kelly Claims Slight Lead in Illinois Special Election

* Preckwinkle, Hutchinson in ‘smear campaign,’ Halvorson says

* Debbie Halvorson Says Michael Bloomberg Trying to Buy Ill. Special Election

* Mitchell: Despite Cardiss Collins pioneering spirit, black Illinois women are absent in the House

- Posted by Rich Miller        


11 Comments
  1. - shore - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 12:14 pm:

    This is by far one of the most intense primaries I’ve seen from democrats in the state in a long long time, the quinn primary maybe, but interesting to watch.


  2. - Let me get this straight - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 12:21 pm:

    That Facebook post from Illinois Rifle Association tells the whole story! Toi you were for guns, before you were against them! How can we trust anything you say on any issue??


  3. - Crazy Like A Fox - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 12:27 pm:

    That first comment should be on every single Robin Kelly mail piece.

    “Illinois State Rifle Association: She’s good on our issue”

    If Robin Kelly can keep hammering away on the anti-gun stuff without inoculating voters to the message, she’ll win this one.

    I think Beale could pull out a squeaker or at least play the spoiler but he needs to pick a target and get laser focused.


  4. - siriusly - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 12:31 pm:

    All quotes from Beale’s spokesperson Delmarie Cobb should be disregarded as fantasy. She has no credibility in this universe or any other. This is the person who once proclaimed that Roland Burris made Dick Durbin a better senator.

    I think that the NRA issue is going to sink both Halvorson and Hutchinson.


  5. - train111 - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 12:56 pm:

    Kos:2010 State Sen Toi hutchinson is in a hot race against tea party backed and well financed Republican Adam Baumgartner therefore we must endorse her because we need a Dem to win.

    Kos 2013: Hutchinson is a total hypocrite for her gun stance, therefore we can not elect her and must support our own handpicked candidate in the primary.

    The way I see it, Kos and his followers do as many flip flops with the candidates they support as they claim Sen hutchinson has done on guns. As long as it’s ‘their’ endorsed candidate, they would be more than happy to sweep anything they aren’t happy with under the carpet.

    Furthermore: Just as I see conservative GOPers crying constitutional crisis every 5 minutes against the President so that they can politcally posture in the media and tell everybody back home how much they are doing, however when it comes to the real issues facing the country, they are in actuality they are doing nothing–so now the liberal Dems are grasping onto this issue so that they can politcally posture in the media and tell all the folks back home how much they are doing, but like the conservatives when it comes to the real issues facing the country–they are likewise doing nothing.

    train111


  6. - Will Caskey - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 1:36 pm:

    I submit to the reader that the above statement is neither technically nor meaningfully different from this one, from Sen. Hutchinson’s issues page on gun safety (http://www.toihutchinson.com/on-the-issues/#gun-safety):

    “But we can’t keep addressing these challenges in silos. We must engage in all areas to get serious about reducing crime and giving our young people a reason to live. While gun safety is a critical step in cutting the cycle of violence that has plagued our communities, we must do much more to address the reasons for crime. Chicago Public Schools have an enrollment of over 400,000 students that are served by just 370 social workers. We need to hire more social workers to identify and help at-risk youth and invest in afterschool and gang intervention initiatives that give kids a constructive way to spend their time after class. In order to cut down on recidivism and create healthier communities, we must provide assistance to nonviolent felons who have paid their debt to society and are looking for work. A person who is working and can take care of themselves and their family isn’t the person wreaking havoc on our communities.”


  7. - Just don't take my Red Ryder - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 2:16 pm:

    Now Will, I can see what you mean about that particular statement, but that’s not exactly the senator’s problem here, is it?

    She had some reasons I understand, but still–Hutchinson signed a piece of paper on which see said she opposed “legislation restricting the private possession, ownership, purchase, sale and/or transfer of any semi-automatic firearms” (the Trib said high-capacity mags were addressed too, but unclear to me how exactly).

    It just seems like a stretch to say the gun control crowd is playing too fast and loose with the facts here, even if a reasonable liberal can acknowledge that weapons bans are far from silver bullet. It seems fair to criticize a candidate for signed statements regarding their positions on legislative issues that the POTUS wants to come to a vote this session, no?


  8. - Aechiesmom - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 2:37 pm:

    The Kos post is grossly misleading. That July 2011 event was a meet and greet set up for Sen. Hutchinson to get to know political and business leaders in Grundy County, which had just become a part of the 40th District. It was not a fundraiser, nor was it hosted by or sponsored by the ISRA. The Facebook postimg was not done by Sen. Hutchinson, nor was she aware of it. In fact, the ISRA has never hosted a fundraier for Sen. Hutchinson. While it is understandable that Markos wants to support his candidate of choice, it would be nice if he cound do so based on the actual record.


  9. - Archiesmom - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 2:53 pm:

    Archiesmom is grossly embarassed that her very first post to Capitol Fax is replete with typographical errors, and promises to be much more vigilant in the future.


  10. - Glass half full - Thursday, Feb 7, 13 @ 6:49 pm:

    if Beale’s smart he drops out and endorses the eventual winner…the 800-1000 votes he actually controls could make him a queenmaker


  11. - Dave Fako - Friday, Feb 8, 13 @ 8:54 am:

    This is a comment on Kelly’s Poll, re-posted from our note in that thread. We do not have a client in the race at this time, but our firm had a client in this race who withdrew. As somebody who has polled extensively throughout this District over the last 15 years and numerous polls in this CD, I have a few observations / questions. 1.) Kelly’s poll appears to exclude the other 10 candidates. What does this race look like with all of the other candidates included in the mix? So far no recent public polling has shown this. Admittedly, individually they are probably earning fractional support, but collectively the other 10 candidates will earn some support. This also will help simulate the clutter of the race. Also, a few of the other candidates have common names that may attract more than a handful of votes, and one of them has a name very close to a former state legislator that may get some residual votes based on old, passive name ID. That would reduce the already small pool of undecided and probably shift the numbers a little, but how they shift (if at all) is the question. 2.) Where are these other 10 candidates getting their scattered support - is it concentrated in any area / demographic or scattered throughout the CD? How does this impact the top tier candidates base of support and their ability to expand their support 3.) Halvorson’s numbers seem to be relatively stable in the low 20% range + / - a little. Not sure if she holds that, but if she can, and Kelly / Hutchinson fail to break out, it might be enough to win. 4.) Beale has an opportunity to compete if he can consolidate support in the City and pick off a good share of the Thornton Twp vote and the three major female candidates continue to divide their support in the area, among women and among suburban African Americans. Its TBD is can put enough together to make this move.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Afternoon updates
* Hospitals back removal of income tax sunsets
* The other strategy
* *** UPDATED 1x *** Quinn onboard; Rauner latches onto term limits proposal
* Because Illinois is a real battleground state
* Quinn dodges Rahm question on "Morning Joe"
* Morning Shorts
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * iPhone 6 curved design, Swarovski Galaxy S5, Android dialer & more – Pocketnow Daily
        * Sharp AQUOS 304SH boasts slim bezels on 5.2-inch display
        * Pinterest Adds Smarter Search Tool
        * Samsung Galaxy Note 10.1 2014 Android 4.4.2 changes get detailed
        * Viber transmits and stores images and videos insecurely
        * NETGEAR STS7000 is a tablet geared for home security
        * Hulu Plus app now casts to PS3, PS4, Xbox One

        * Want This: Star Wars Millennium Falcon Windshield Sun Shade
        * DryFlush Saves Water, Will It Save The Planet?
        * ASUS C200 Chromebook Available For Pre-Order From Select Stores
        * Minecraft Xbox One Will Enjoy Saved Files From Xbox 360
        * Jumpr Juices Your Phone, Jumpstarts Your Car
        * Fan Remakes Resident Evil 2 With Unreal Engine As Proof Of Concept
        * Mark Zuckerberg Tried Out Sony’s Project Morpheus Before Acquiring Oculus VR

        * Detroit Tigers 7, Chicago White Sox 4: Scherzer Stops Sox
        * Quintana solid, but drops finale in Detroit
        * Johnson starts homestand opener vs. Rays
        * Quintana solid, but drops finale in Detroit
        * Walks working against the White Sox' plans for the bullpen
        * Viciedo maturing at the plate
        * Beckham returns, thrust into starting lineup


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Sosnowski, other state leaders respond to Gov. .....
        * Minimum- and low-wage workers react to Gov. Pat.....
        * Dem Governor of Illinois Condones Comparison Be.....


        * Man pleading guilty in drugs for bitcoins scheme
        * Man charged with giving girlfriend HIV
        * Man charged with giving girlfriend HIV
        * Ill. jobs screened for political ties after hiring
        * Ex-Marine sentenced to die in sailor's slaying
        * Quinn: Obama library should get private funds too
        * Twice-fired police chief charged with battery
        * Illinois governor praises work of slain doctor
        * Illinois researchers to study Washington mudslide
        * Severe storms loom across central US this weekend

        * State jobs screened for political rules after hires
        * Bankruptcy court trial sought over $3.8 million paid to Parsons
        * Amazon takes hit in states with online tax, study says
        * State audit: Police training money misspent
        * Audit: Treasurer's office has 30 guns not given to police
        * Madigan: 'Misunderstanding' on Obama library vote
        * Madigan re-elected to lead state Democratic party
        * Hastert, other state Republicans supporting immigration reform
        * Lawsuit seeks investigation of hiring under Quinn
        * Patronage allegations give Rauner fodder in race against Quinn

        * Chicago City Council committee OKs plastic bag ban
        * Feds to review Northwestern bid to unionize
        * United stock takes biggest tumble since October 2011
        * Next up for CPS: Barack Obama College Prep
        * Left set to play Kochs' game: Liberal elite meet here Sunday


        * CPS puts $100 million price tag on mayor's A/C-in-schools edict
        * Man fatally shot Thursday night in Auburn Gresham neighborhood
        * Woman sexually assaulted near Matteson Metra station
        * Priest in 2nd child abuse investigation won’t be alone with kids: archdiocese
        * Reject firefighter staffing bill
        * Chicago man charged with giving girlfriend HIV; wife died of AIDS
        * Trio charged with robbing stores, gas stations in city, suburbs
        * His wife died of AIDS, now Chicago man is charged with giving girlfriend HIV
        * Pedicab operators say a crackdown could put them out of business
        * Robo-calls on pension reform bill raise Rauner-Rahm rift


        * 1 dead, 7 injured in shootings
        * Woman sexually assaulted in Matteson
        * Illinois graduated income tax vote next week
        * Dutch man charged in Chicago with selling drugs for bitcoins
        * Ravinia sales brisk, but wait long, as ticket-buying opens
        * New Chicago high school to be named for Obama
        * Lawyers for men charged in NIU hazing death challenge law
        * Coach fired in Maine West hazing scandal fails to win back job
        * Illinoisans have lowest home-state opinions in the U.S., poll says
        * Mom on death penalty for Torrez: ""I only wish I could do it myself"


        * Secret recording shows Uber's efforts to poach Chicago cabbies
        * Springfield Ordinances for Lincoln's Funeral Unearthed
        * Illinois Finally Gets 'No Child Left Behind' Waiver
        * Chicago aldermen pass plastic bag ban
        * City Council panel passes plastic bag ban
        * Marian Anderson Tribute - 'The Concert That Shook The Establishment'
        * Organic foods sold by Walmart create fear among some organic farmers and farm advocates
        * Senator Kirk joins Revolution in backing Small BREW Act
        * Listen To State Week - April 18, 2014
        * Earth Friendly Event In Springfield This Weekend


        * State jobs screened for political rules after hires
        * Quinn: Obama library should get private funds too
        * Rauner skips GOP event over pastor's comments
        * Quinn backs term limits for constitutional officers
        * Rauner wants Quinn to release hiring documents
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Barr borrowed late in sheriff campaign to keep ads flowing
        * Cristal Thomas: Protecting Illinois’ pregnant workers shouldn’t be a heavy lift
        * Remap group says it is not political
        * Quinn clout hiring faces scrutiny
        * Judge OKs use of lawmaker's post-arrest statement


        * Deadline approaches for memorial bricks
        * Jacksonville man receives French Legion of Honour
        * Major gets first-hand look at volunteer spirit
        * State legislature to consider term limits
        * Police Beat
        * Our view: Patronage
        * Taxpayers don’t need this monumental bill
        * Upcoming Services (April 25, 2014)
        * Open Line
        * Bullying Awareness at RCC


        * The 10th District money race
        * Aurora Democrat calls out IHSA
        * Lawyers: Ill. hazing law vague, unconstitutional
        * Ill. House OKs lower-cost hunting bill for seniors
        * Quinn’s running mate takes new consulting job

        * Rep. Jan Schakowsky: The Affordable Care A...
        * Aaron Schock's fabulously exciting Instagr...
        * Chuck Sweeny: Adam Kinzinger, Aaron Schock...
        * In immigration news: Republicans for refor...
        * Illinois Republicans warm to legal status ...
        * GOP 'Congressman with Abs' Aaron Schock Ha...
        * Illinois Republicans Call for Immigration ...
        * Rep. Aaron Schock in Japan, China, South K...
        * Lewis lauds Dirksen's role in civil rights...
        * Civil rights icon John Lewis says next gen...

        * Loading Koch Industries Website Too Many T......
        * Maryland and DC among worst for food aller......
        * Cleveland State University to reestablish ......
        * Convicted political boss Al Sanchez runnin......
        * Candidates make last filings for local, st......

        * Illinois Lt. Gov. Simon opposes pension le......
        * Dillard Odd Man Out on Pension Deal Reaction...
        * Sen. Mark Kirk sides with Rauner on pensio......
        * Governor's race infighting threatens pensi......
        * SCHOONERS - Home of Everyone's Favorite Be......

        * The Tea Party Genome
        * Chicago Reader: It's getting harder to snicker at Obamacare
        * Heartbreak Hotel
        * Major Oil & Gas Firm To List Drilling Chemicals
        * Durbin Says FDA E-Cigarette Regulations Don't Go Far Enough
        * Herbalife Punished 600 Distributors For Medical Claims: ABC News
        * Harmon To Push For Graduated Tax Vote Next Week
        * Madigan blames Tea Party for $100M Obama Library re-vote
        * Oberweis remains committed to border security, immigration law enforcement
        * One In Ten U.S. Bridges In Urgent Need Of Repair: Report


        * Cases of Chlamydia, Gonorrhea and HIV on the Rise Nationally - Residents Are Encouraged to Get Tested for STDs
        * State Insurance Regulators Urge Property Owners to Review/Add Coverage to Protect from Floods & Water Damage - Most homeowners’ policies do not cover flood damage
        * Governor Quinn Statement on New Proposal to Enact Term Limits for Constitutional Officers
        * Statement from Governor Quinn on the Passing of Dr. Jerry Umanos
        * Governor Quinn Proclaims “Wrigley Field Day” - Home of the Chicago Cubs Turns 100 Years Old Today




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller