SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Quinn job disapproval at 62 percent

Thursday, May 9, 2013

* The latest poll from We Ask America

* From the pollster

We’ve profiled Gov. Quinn before (Tenacious Gadfly), and not much has changed since then. Illinois continues to struggle under oppressive ($100 billion) public pension debt and multi-billion dollar budget deficits despite a sizable “temporary” state income tax now pumping more into state coffers. Quinn is often portrayed in press and the political blogosphere in terms of being hapless–not a great portrait for someone seeking re-election in tough times. Indeed, rumors continue to swirl of the possibility of fellow Democrats trying to take him out in next year’s Primary. But political coroners have tagged Quinn’s toe a number of times in the past only to be confounded. Will that be the case in 2014? Perhaps, but these approval numbers simply cannot be dismissed easily.

It’s problematic for Gov. Quinn that support among Independent voters continues to erode for him. Again, let’s be clear that these approval numbers can’t be viewed as a predictor of doom. Quinn’s dismal approval rating didn’t stop him from winning in 2010.

But we’re sure that some will look at these results and assume that Quinn can best be described as the Walking Dead.

The poll of 1,057 Likely Voters was taken yesterday and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


21 Comments
  1. - east central - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:02 am:

    Isn’t this why they have Lisa Madigan waiting in the wings? Democrats want to keep the office. If PQ’s numbers do not improve, they would need her to run.


  2. - Darienite - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:10 am:

    The suburban Cook numbers should be of concern to PQ. He only won Cook (+Chicago) and one other county in 2010.

    Wonder what the Hispanic vote is thinking?


  3. - cassandra - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:18 am:

    Quinn’s great advantage remains the extreme weakness of the Republicans, who, so far, seem to have made little progress in updating their platform.

    If Lisa decides not to challenge him this time, Quinn gets another term. Another four years then he retires and she moves in without a nasty intra-party primary fight. Madigan Sr. retires too, done his bit to reduce the net wealth of middle class Illinoisians via the cost shift and the pension “reform.” Labor continues to support the Democratic candidate.


  4. - ILPundit - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:26 am:

    Isn’t the real story here (in the context of all the “Lisa is Running” talk) the fact Quinn still holds a +14 in approval among self-identified Democrats?

    Lisa is a strong candidate, and she benefits from a well organized operation. But it seems to me that beating Quinn in a primary is not a slam dunk.

    And even if Quinn is beaten? It will take a big toll on the party, and leave an angry, populist, Quinn on the sidelines tossing loads of sand into the gears.


  5. - Greatplainser - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:27 am:

    Ironically, I was actually surveyed in this last night. To the results its not a done deal for Governor McSqueezy. I mean he still has a majority of Dems approving of him and still has majority approval in Chicago. With the Madigan brand being front and center in the pension fight it might help Quinn gain some “at least he didn’t do that” voters. Regardless of what he’s said in the past about pensions. So, overall I think it could be worse for him. Downstate is not as important in a Democratic Primary. In the general it looks bad with the suburbs, but the GOP field is shall we say challenged…so anything could happen.


  6. - Chavez-respecting Obamist - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:20 pm:

    And yet, if Quinn is the nominee and the ILGOP puts up Rauner or another Bradyesque candidate, I’ll vote for Governor Quinn again. I’m sure I’m not the only one who will.


  7. - 47th Ward - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:21 pm:

    If you fail at the plate 62% of the time, you get elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame.

    Focus on the postive. After all of this floundering and flailing about, all of it, 28% of the people are still with him.


  8. - soccermom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:22 pm:

    Not to get all mathy on you, but he doesn’t have a majority of Democrats — he has a plurality. This tells us nothing about how the Governor would fare in a primary, as the poll is about the Governor alone and a primary is about the Governor vs. someone that the voters like more, or like less.


  9. - reformer - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:23 pm:

    If Lisa runs, she’s the next governor.
    If she doesn’t and Quinn is the nominee, then it would be the Republicans’ race to lose. Of course that was true in 2010, too!


  10. - Anon. - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:24 pm:

    ==Another four years then he retires==

    After he “reforms” state pensions, he won’t be able to afford retirement.


  11. - soccermom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:26 pm:

    It’s worth noting that the Governor’s approval ratings are a few points higher than they were heading into the 2010 general election.


  12. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:28 pm:

    Great points by all about the “plurality” aspectgs of a Primary, I appreciate that kind of analysis, and looking at the polling numbers in a way to give context to what it says about Pat Quinn, and what it MAY mean in a Priamry. Awesome.

    As a Republican looking at this, and just for arguement sake, Quinn gets through the Primary… the 70%+ negative in the the “indies” polled gives me hope. Just as long as we in the ILGOP understand, we have to run “through” the Finish Line, not close to it so we can measure Drapes and pick out Dishes.

    Thanks Rich for the Polling info. Interesting for Quinn, and the lesson to be taken, for me, today is …===…Again, let’s be clear that these approval numbers can’t be viewed as a predictor of doom. Quinn’s dismal approval rating didn’t stop him from winning in 2010.===

    Yep. Underestimating an Election Day operation is my bigger fear, even bigger than Pat Quinn.


  13. - wordslinger - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:03 pm:

    It’s all about matchups. He certainly can be beat, but not by just anyone.


  14. - Wumpus - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:09 pm:

    The GOP race to lose? Lets put up oberweis and make sure the GOP does lose.


  15. - bill - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:15 pm:

    I think Quinn has done an admirable job despite major issues. He has attracted new businesses, has trimmed state budget. He is a tireless campaigner and should be reelected.


  16. - Elmira Eddie - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:28 pm:

    Kind of takes me back 38 years when another Dem. governor, Walkin’ Dan, was unpopular and all Mike H. had to do was blow the trumpets and the walls would crash down. Dan barely lost primary (time ran out calendar wise) and the result in the general was that Big Jim won by 1.5M votes!


  17. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 3:29 pm:

    “The suburban Cook numbers should be of concern to PQ. He only won Cook (+Chicago) and one other county in 2010.”

    Facts are darn stubborn things!
    http://elections.state.il.us/ElectionInformation/VoteTotalsList.aspx?ElectionType=GE&ElectionID=29&SearchType=OfficeSearch&OfficeID=5370&QueryType=Office&


  18. - Albert.... - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 5:00 pm:

    Hmmmm just 62% ????


  19. - Anom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 6:55 pm:

    I can tell u most of the “people” i know are NOT better off today then they where before Quinn came into office - if u ask them they are worse and that is why he will not get my vote this time


  20. - Just The Way It Is One - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 8:49 pm:

    Ouch. Oh well, as has been referred to SO many times in this blog by one Commenter or another, however, 11 LONG months before the Primary, you just can never count Pat Quinn out–’cuz he’s DEFinitely got some of that “Comeback Kid” mojo goin’ on, as we ALL remember how he pulled it out not only ONCE, but TWICE last time when behind consistently in the Polls–first, to Hynes in the Primary he was supposed to lose, and then to Brady, who he beat after trailing in the Polls right down to Election Day!!! Yet, this info. no doubt has got to be at least a LITtle bothersome to the Governor…!


  21. - RNUG - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 10:42 pm:

    I don’t support the IL DEM party, I didn’t vote for Quinn, I don’t necessarily like him, I think he’s failed to grow into the job as much as I had hoped, and I probably had more respect for him as LG when he was just championing veterans.

    But having said all that, I think he is slowly getting better at being Gov … and I probably have a more favorable view of him now than I have had any time since his first year as Gov … so I can understand why Quinn still retains a base of supporters.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* *** UPDATED x1 *** The dirty little secrets about Facebook video views
* Life on a ledge
* Question of the day
* Our totally inspiring and uplifting US Senate race
* Trump piles on Chicago, but he may want to ask his running mate about Indiana
* Don't hold your breath
* More ugliness
* Today's number: $105,733
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition, fundraiser list and a campaign roundup
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Android-Chrome merger may be previewed at Pixel event
* Oculus faces developer backlash over founder’s politics
* The hopes and headaches of Snapchat’s glasses
* Taking a swing for the Grammys with the new Lip Sync Battle app
* Prices for Google Home and new 4K Chromecast have leaked
* Hands-on with Pictar, which adds buttons and wheels to your iPhone camera
* Will you try to persuade your friends and family to use Allo and Duo?

* Frazier hits HR, Quintana solid in Sox win
* Amid struggles, Sox close in on milestones
* Frazier hits HR, Quintana solid in Sox win
* Rodon hopes to derail Indians in finale
* Eaton jolted after slamming into wall
* Pitching for Team USA in WBC intrigues Sale
* Pair of homers not enough vs. 1st-place Tribe

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Illinois state representative warns of more sto.....
* Bernard Schoenburg: Interesting twists in Troem.....
* Court decisions in other states put heat on Ill.....
* Statehouse Insider: Do you remember where you w.....
* Statehouse Insider: Do you remember where you w.....
* How to make Illinois’ 200th birthday a happy one..


* EXCHANGE: Deputies in right place to save life of woman
* EXCHANGE: Roselle family calls safe haven mothers 'angels'
* Iowa State president damaged school plane on personal trip
* Illinois man arrested in kidnapping of teenager and baby
* Family of Chicago man found dismembered files lawsuit
* Experts: May be hard convicting Tulsa cop of manslaughter
* Record number of Illinois youths killed while in DCFS care
* South Chicago suburbs try to curb video gambling businesses
* Federal grant to pay for repairs at Abraham Lincoln's office
* Iowa State president damaged school plane on personal trip

* Planning underway locally for Illinois' 200th birthday
* Attack on state senator leads to arrest of murder suspects
* Illinois Supreme Court overturns law allowing 6-member juries
* Local unemployment of 4.6 percent still lowest in state
* Elderly frozen-treat seller gets $380,000 from GoFundMe page
* Creation of Amish history museum in central Illinois underway
* Privately funded Executive Mansion work will follow traditional wage, bidding rules
* 'Memorandum of agreement' outlines restoration rules for Executive Mansion work
* Gov. Rauner uses Facebook Live to announce bicentennial plans
* Environmental groups push for lead testing of water in schools

* How Presence Health cracked the code on telehealth
* Merz Apothecary at your door within hours
* Where did the bankruptcy wave hit hardest?
* Seven years after selling the Cubs to the Ricketts family, Tribune's tax battle is in extra innings
* Meet the Dems' chief weapon against remap reform: Michael Kasper


* Police: Man with dementia missing from Austin
* 18-year-old Park Forest woman killed in I-80 crash
* Man shot in the buttocks in Little Village
* Man wounded in Back of the Yards shooting
* Man shot, critically wounded in Woodlawn
* Police: Man shot to death in Englewood
* Man shot in Longwood Manor
* Man shot during attempted carjacking in Austin
* Teenager shot in the feet in West Pullman
* 17-year-old boy shot in South Chicago


* Windsor school 'tasting menu' a big hit with students
* Man critically wounded in shooting near Millennium Park among 14 shot citywide
* Suspect in Washington mall shooting 'zombie-like' when arrested
* Washington Post-ABC poll finds virtual tie for Clinton, Trump ahead of debate
* On the Air
* Northwestern coach decries mistakes after 24-13 loss to Nebraska
* Brian Kelly on Notre Dame's loss to Duke: 'Coaching had nothing to do with the outcome'
* No. 7 Stanford scores 13 in final 24 seconds, beats UCLA 22-13
* Baltimore police: 8 people, including toddler, injured in shooting
* 6 dead, 16 wounded in Chicago shootings


The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.


* Bernard Schoenburg: Interesting twists in Troemper-Reid circuit judge race
* Statehouse Insider: Do you remember where you were during Rauner's Facebook Live session?
* Compass for Kids supports at-risk children
* Innovate Springfield gives boost to new businesses
* Eric Zarnikow: Aid changes mean students should act now
* Planning underway locally for Illinois' 200th birthday
* Attack on state senator leads to arrest of murder suspects
* Illinois Supreme Court overturns law allowing 6-member juries
* Local unemployment of 4.6 percent still lowest in state
* Bernard Schoenburg: Policy institute criticized for secrecy in Madigan project


* Old King's Orchard celebrates with two anniveraries
* Small towns are feeling the effects of ag economy drop
* The future of farming: Famers discuss uses of technology on the farm
* Central Illinois farmer eager to teach ways of organic farming
* Throughout state, teachers take a unique look at agriculture education
* Column: Illinois Corn Growers Association sets up water preservation program
* Column: Farmers have a lot to gain with trade partnership
* Column: Illinois Soybean Association provides all the tools to succeed
* Kenneth King
* Raymond 'Cub' Boner


* LEADING OFF: Mets need innings, Lester makes Cy pitch
* Top 25 Capsules
* Elliott Sadler wins inaugural Xfinity Chase race at Kentucky
* Russell has 4 TD passes, No. 16 Baylor beats Oklahoma State
* Kentucky beats South Carolina for third straight time, 17-10

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Illinois/Wisconsin briefs - Dubuque Telegr......
* Illinois Awarded $3.7M in Grants to Addres......

* Report questions accuracy of Kirk, Duckwor......

* Rumdum
* Putting A Fresh Face On The Uptown Theater
* Attempted Hold-Up Of American Metro Bank On Friday
* "A Taste Of Uptown" Is Coming In October
* Carol's Pub Closes (At Least For Now) - One Of Uptown's Last Appalachian-Era Hangouts
* Blues people (an art project).
* Teachers (an art project).
* Wilson Avenue Closed To Vehicles Between Broadway & Clifton 9am-5pm This Week
* Sneak Peek: Upcoming Outdoor Space At Lawrence House
* Where's Weyermuller? At Illinois Tea Party's 2016 Golf Outing & Dinner


* IDOT Hiring in Preparation of Winter Weather - Temporary help needed to assist with snow-and-ice removal, public urged to apply
* Illinois Department of Insurance Reminds ‘Land of Lincoln Health’ Customers to Enroll In New Coverage - The deadline for ‘Land of Lincoln Health’ customers to enroll in a new plan is September 30, 2016; Consumers could experience a gap in health care cove
* Governor Rauner Celebrates Illinois’ Hunting Heritage on National Hunting and Fishing Day
* Governor Signs Executive Order Creating New Illinois Bicentennial Commission
* State of Illinois Announces Online Enrollment Platform for Group Insurance Programs - MyBenefits Marketplace continues Illinois’ digital transformation, improves state employee experience




      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller