SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Quinn job disapproval at 62 percent

Thursday, May 9, 2013

* The latest poll from We Ask America

* From the pollster

We’ve profiled Gov. Quinn before (Tenacious Gadfly), and not much has changed since then. Illinois continues to struggle under oppressive ($100 billion) public pension debt and multi-billion dollar budget deficits despite a sizable “temporary” state income tax now pumping more into state coffers. Quinn is often portrayed in press and the political blogosphere in terms of being hapless–not a great portrait for someone seeking re-election in tough times. Indeed, rumors continue to swirl of the possibility of fellow Democrats trying to take him out in next year’s Primary. But political coroners have tagged Quinn’s toe a number of times in the past only to be confounded. Will that be the case in 2014? Perhaps, but these approval numbers simply cannot be dismissed easily.

It’s problematic for Gov. Quinn that support among Independent voters continues to erode for him. Again, let’s be clear that these approval numbers can’t be viewed as a predictor of doom. Quinn’s dismal approval rating didn’t stop him from winning in 2010.

But we’re sure that some will look at these results and assume that Quinn can best be described as the Walking Dead.

The poll of 1,057 Likely Voters was taken yesterday and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


21 Comments
  1. - east central - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:02 am:

    Isn’t this why they have Lisa Madigan waiting in the wings? Democrats want to keep the office. If PQ’s numbers do not improve, they would need her to run.


  2. - Darienite - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:10 am:

    The suburban Cook numbers should be of concern to PQ. He only won Cook (+Chicago) and one other county in 2010.

    Wonder what the Hispanic vote is thinking?


  3. - cassandra - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:18 am:

    Quinn’s great advantage remains the extreme weakness of the Republicans, who, so far, seem to have made little progress in updating their platform.

    If Lisa decides not to challenge him this time, Quinn gets another term. Another four years then he retires and she moves in without a nasty intra-party primary fight. Madigan Sr. retires too, done his bit to reduce the net wealth of middle class Illinoisians via the cost shift and the pension “reform.” Labor continues to support the Democratic candidate.


  4. - ILPundit - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:26 am:

    Isn’t the real story here (in the context of all the “Lisa is Running” talk) the fact Quinn still holds a +14 in approval among self-identified Democrats?

    Lisa is a strong candidate, and she benefits from a well organized operation. But it seems to me that beating Quinn in a primary is not a slam dunk.

    And even if Quinn is beaten? It will take a big toll on the party, and leave an angry, populist, Quinn on the sidelines tossing loads of sand into the gears.


  5. - Greatplainser - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 11:27 am:

    Ironically, I was actually surveyed in this last night. To the results its not a done deal for Governor McSqueezy. I mean he still has a majority of Dems approving of him and still has majority approval in Chicago. With the Madigan brand being front and center in the pension fight it might help Quinn gain some “at least he didn’t do that” voters. Regardless of what he’s said in the past about pensions. So, overall I think it could be worse for him. Downstate is not as important in a Democratic Primary. In the general it looks bad with the suburbs, but the GOP field is shall we say challenged…so anything could happen.


  6. - Chavez-respecting Obamist - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:20 pm:

    And yet, if Quinn is the nominee and the ILGOP puts up Rauner or another Bradyesque candidate, I’ll vote for Governor Quinn again. I’m sure I’m not the only one who will.


  7. - 47th Ward - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:21 pm:

    If you fail at the plate 62% of the time, you get elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame.

    Focus on the postive. After all of this floundering and flailing about, all of it, 28% of the people are still with him.


  8. - soccermom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:22 pm:

    Not to get all mathy on you, but he doesn’t have a majority of Democrats — he has a plurality. This tells us nothing about how the Governor would fare in a primary, as the poll is about the Governor alone and a primary is about the Governor vs. someone that the voters like more, or like less.


  9. - reformer - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:23 pm:

    If Lisa runs, she’s the next governor.
    If she doesn’t and Quinn is the nominee, then it would be the Republicans’ race to lose. Of course that was true in 2010, too!


  10. - Anon. - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:24 pm:

    ==Another four years then he retires==

    After he “reforms” state pensions, he won’t be able to afford retirement.


  11. - soccermom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:26 pm:

    It’s worth noting that the Governor’s approval ratings are a few points higher than they were heading into the 2010 general election.


  12. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 12:28 pm:

    Great points by all about the “plurality” aspectgs of a Primary, I appreciate that kind of analysis, and looking at the polling numbers in a way to give context to what it says about Pat Quinn, and what it MAY mean in a Priamry. Awesome.

    As a Republican looking at this, and just for arguement sake, Quinn gets through the Primary… the 70%+ negative in the the “indies” polled gives me hope. Just as long as we in the ILGOP understand, we have to run “through” the Finish Line, not close to it so we can measure Drapes and pick out Dishes.

    Thanks Rich for the Polling info. Interesting for Quinn, and the lesson to be taken, for me, today is …===…Again, let’s be clear that these approval numbers can’t be viewed as a predictor of doom. Quinn’s dismal approval rating didn’t stop him from winning in 2010.===

    Yep. Underestimating an Election Day operation is my bigger fear, even bigger than Pat Quinn.


  13. - wordslinger - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:03 pm:

    It’s all about matchups. He certainly can be beat, but not by just anyone.


  14. - Wumpus - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:09 pm:

    The GOP race to lose? Lets put up oberweis and make sure the GOP does lose.


  15. - bill - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:15 pm:

    I think Quinn has done an admirable job despite major issues. He has attracted new businesses, has trimmed state budget. He is a tireless campaigner and should be reelected.


  16. - Elmira Eddie - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 1:28 pm:

    Kind of takes me back 38 years when another Dem. governor, Walkin’ Dan, was unpopular and all Mike H. had to do was blow the trumpets and the walls would crash down. Dan barely lost primary (time ran out calendar wise) and the result in the general was that Big Jim won by 1.5M votes!


  17. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 3:29 pm:

    “The suburban Cook numbers should be of concern to PQ. He only won Cook (+Chicago) and one other county in 2010.”

    Facts are darn stubborn things!
    http://elections.state.il.us/ElectionInformation/VoteTotalsList.aspx?ElectionType=GE&ElectionID=29&SearchType=OfficeSearch&OfficeID=5370&QueryType=Office&


  18. - Albert.... - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 5:00 pm:

    Hmmmm just 62% ????


  19. - Anom - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 6:55 pm:

    I can tell u most of the “people” i know are NOT better off today then they where before Quinn came into office - if u ask them they are worse and that is why he will not get my vote this time


  20. - Just The Way It Is One - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 8:49 pm:

    Ouch. Oh well, as has been referred to SO many times in this blog by one Commenter or another, however, 11 LONG months before the Primary, you just can never count Pat Quinn out–’cuz he’s DEFinitely got some of that “Comeback Kid” mojo goin’ on, as we ALL remember how he pulled it out not only ONCE, but TWICE last time when behind consistently in the Polls–first, to Hynes in the Primary he was supposed to lose, and then to Brady, who he beat after trailing in the Polls right down to Election Day!!! Yet, this info. no doubt has got to be at least a LITtle bothersome to the Governor…!


  21. - RNUG - Thursday, May 9, 13 @ 10:42 pm:

    I don’t support the IL DEM party, I didn’t vote for Quinn, I don’t necessarily like him, I think he’s failed to grow into the job as much as I had hoped, and I probably had more respect for him as LG when he was just championing veterans.

    But having said all that, I think he is slowly getting better at being Gov … and I probably have a more favorable view of him now than I have had any time since his first year as Gov … so I can understand why Quinn still retains a base of supporters.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More on the state grant suspensions
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraiser/event list
* How can we miss you if you won't go away?
* Question of the day
* Supreme Court justice ordered to testify
* Chicago downgraded
* Today's number: 4-6 weeks
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Human service cuts and state grant suspensions
* Stating the obvious
* *** UPDATED x1 - Double-down *** They really make this too easy...
* Crain's: "Market-based" solution is rigged
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Even more problems for Schock
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Level Up! The “Coming Soon” Edition
        * Grifta Morphing Gamepad works for consoles and Android gaming
        * Android’s Global Smartphone Profit Share only 11 percent, says Strategy Analytics
        * Google pays big for control over .app domain names
        * White House privacy proposal aims to give you control over your data
        * Sony Xperia M4 Aqua image leaks
        * Take charge of your mobile device with the Power Vault 18,000mAh portable battery pack

        * Love the skin you're in: 9 uplifting body-positive blogs
        * Facebook Launches Ads Manager App: This Week in Social Media
        * Upcoming Quad-Core Android 4.4 Tablet From BLUEDOT
        * Dospara’s Latest Entry-Level 14-Inch Notebook Powered By lntel Celeron 2950M Processor
        * Pre-Order The New Nikon Coolpix S6900 Digital Camera At Amazon
        * Panasonic Hits Back With A New 4G LTE-Enabled Android 5.0 Smartphone
        * FCC's new net neutrality rules are sure to be challenged

        * Prolific base-stealer Pierre retires after 14-year career
        * Duke adds arm angle to deceive hitters
        * Rodon not penciled in for Cactus League start
        * Webb overcame grief during rookie season
        * McEwing proud to be considered manager material
        * White Sox hope Vince Coleman has some star pupils this season
        * First week of camp in the books for improved White Sox

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Exelon warns nuke plants could close with finan.....
        * Chicago nears fiscal free fall with latest down.....
        * Rating Squeeze Tightens on Chicago..
        * Lieutenant Governor Keeps Busy..


        * Bank official held in alleged fake robbery case
        * 2 skiers die at Breckenridge in span of 4 days
        * Ex-Gov. Quinn pushes consumer rights, blasts Rauner's budget
        * Illinois team desperate for wins sees young shooters fade
        * Gov. Rauner says he's 'staying out' of Chicago mayor's race
        * Illinois football staffer sentenced to probation for DUI
        * Medical marijuana grower gives up 1 of 3 Illinois licenses
        * Feds search suburban Chicago home in Islamic State case
        * Lawmaker reimbursed costs for lavish office decor
        * Nature photographer acquitted on charges of taking eaglets

        * Schock reimburses costs for lavish 'Downton Abbey' office decor
        * Brauer replacement could be chosen as early as Saturday
        * Quinn advocates consumer rights, blasts Rauner's budget
        * Rauner says he's 'staying out' of Chicago mayor's race
        * Quinn advocates consumer rights in Loyola speech
        * Judge won't delay sentencing for former state lawmaker Farnham
        * Lt. Gov. Sanguinetti says GOP should court women, Latinos
        * Explore salary information for the state of Illinois
        * State Rep. Raymond Poe to be back at work next week
        * State plan would aid Exelon nuclear plants

        * Uber discloses data breach affecting about 50,000 drivers
        * One budget deadline Rauner should have missed
        * Major U of C donor to head school's board of trustees
        * Mayoral hopefuls set debates amid dueling polls, clash over city finances
        * How Joy Chen plans to revive H2O Plus


          * SWAT teams called to Lake View barricade situation
          * Charges upgraded against LaGrange Highlands man in window-smashing spree
          * Lawyer argues for dismissal of charge in Slender Man case
          * 2 States, Feds fight renewed legal protection for Great Lakes wolves
          * Rep. Aaron Schock's wide travels raise questions
          * Lawyers wary of claim about Chicago police 'black site,' say abuse citywide
          * Man, 21, shot on Eisenhower Expressway
          * Teen shot to death in Aurora Friday
          * Recording in police shooting suddenly found, prompting cries of foul
          * Trial set to begin for man accused in fatal stabbing at Naperville bar


          * Illinois Not Alone In Post-Recession Budget Woes
          * Rauner’s Budget Poses Risk For Emanuel’s Re-election
          * History Series: The Importance Of "Poles" In Campaigning
          * Child Care Providers Rally in Capitol
          * Listen to State Week - February 27, 2015
          * Parents, Day Care Providers Worry About Child Care Funding
          * Inaccurate voter data could hurt Asian voter blocs, other ethnic groups
          * Concerns raised over interrogation tactics aren't unique to Homan Square
          * Unique Flavors
          * A Daily Realization


          * Scott Zeramby: Consider the environment as marijuana industry emerges in Illinois
          * Charles Krauthammer: The fatal flaw in the Iran deal
          * Quote of the Day: Saturday, Feb. 28, 2015
          * Schock reimburses costs for lavish 'Downton Abbey' office decor
          * Brauer replacement could be chosen as early as Saturday
          * Quinn advocates consumer rights, blasts Rauner's budget
          * Our Opinion: Turbulent times ahead for Illinois lawmakers
          * Rauner says he's 'staying out' of Chicago mayor's race
          * Judge won't delay sentencing for former state lawmaker Farnham
          * Lt. Gov. Sanguinetti says GOP should court women, Latinos


          * Upcoming Services (Feb. 28)
          * Another wintry round expected this weekend
          * Home away from Nome
          * Crime down in S. Jacksonville
          * Firefighters to lead St. Pat’s Parade
          * Hawks win title
          * Griggsville-Perry wins Brown County Regional title
          * Flashes’ season ends
          * Briefs
          * (No heading)


          * Too cold for overnighting at Miller Park
          * Spock's ears: A pointy trademark for Leonard Nimoy
          * Police in German city warn of potential extremist threat
          * Bartholomew County deputies to test 12-hour weekend shifts
          * Bond set for suburban man who forced school lockdown

          * After scrutiny, lawmaker pays own money fo...
          * Lawmaker reimbursed prices for lavish plac...
          * Rep. Aaron Schock's broad travels raise qu...
          * Rep. Aaron Schock's wide travels raise que...
          * Our Word/The Pekin Daily Times: Schock may...
          * Schock reimburses costs for lavish 'Downto...
          * Aaron Schock and aww, give us a break - Re...
          * Forum: Schock has lost this Republican's v...
          * Forum: Schock just a typical politician - ...
          * Forum: Schock has this retiree's full supp...

          * Democrats caught between Obama, Netanyahu ......
          * Detergent pods should be safer...
          * Netanyahu to hold bipartisan meeting with ......

          * AIPAC: We never opposed Netanyahu’s Congre......
          * House Republicans Call One-Week Timeout On......
          * Homeland Security gets 1-week funding...
          * GUEST COMMENTARY: Tough Negotiations on Ir......

          * Illinois Watchdog Radio - Live on IR
          * Old Democrat white guy repeats worn out talking points for Axelrod's IOP
          * James Bond Inspired Device Gets NYC Trucker In Hot Water
          * Is it now all up to Willie?
          * “Every generation puts a hero on the pop charts.” Paul Simon.
          * The Dick and Deb Mell Show.
          * #RIPNimoy
          * The Beachwood Radio Sports Hour #40: West Side Stories
          * Chicago Voters Want Legislative Action On Ballot Referendum Issues
          * Absentee Ballots Might Save Mell From Runoff In Chicago's 33rd Ward


          * IEMA Urges People to Prepare for Severe Weather - Tornadoes, floods and severe storms can happen any time of year
          * IDHS helps more than 5,000 individuals with disabilities find jobs - Program offers necessary tools to earn a living wage and become more independent
          * 24th Anniversary Desert Storm Remembrance Ceremony
          * Illinois Department of Human Rights Announces 2015 Spring Training Schedule
          * Snow and Freezing Rain to Impact Travel in Illinois - IDOT Crews Prepared to Battle Winter Weather this Weekend




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller