It ain’t just Chicago
Tuesday, Aug 20, 2013
* John Tillman of the Illinois Policy Institute writes…
Tillman uses this stat to show that Bill Brady could’ve won in 2010 had he done better in Chicago.
However, the difference in the two totals was just 13,971 votes (134,081 minus 120,110). Brady lost to Quinn by 31,834 votes statewide. Kirk beat Alexi Giannoulias by 59,220 votes statewide. Winning 20 percent of the city’s vote wouldn’t have made up for Brady’s other problems.
* The difference? Partly in Kirk’s congressional district, where he was much better known. Kirk outpolled Brady by 27,773 votes in suburban Cook County. Kirk did better than Brady in Lake County by 12,296 votes.
But Kirk did better than Brady in every suburban county. If you include suburban Cook, Kirk outpolled Brady by 56,184 suburban votes. Exclude Cook, and Kirk received 28,411 more suburban votes than Brady. There’s your election.
The bottom line here is that the Republicans had better field a candidate who can perform well in the suburbs. And that’s where ideology comes into play.
…Adding… From Tillman…