SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Pollster pushes back against Oberweis

Thursday, Oct 24, 2013

* State Sen. Jim Oberweis has been touting the results of a recent poll to bolster his contention that he could defeat Sen. Dick Durbin

But the pollster whose company generated those numbers said it is not a typical head-to-head poll, so the numbers might not reflect, even at this stage, how a race would shape up […]

“That poll was designed to see which of two candidates did better against Durbin,” Gregg Durham, CEO of the polling firm, said Wednesday. “It wasn’t designed to say if he ran against Durbin, how well he would do.”

The Illinois Review website reported some of the poll numbers Sept. 25. The comparisons were how Oberweis and former U.S. Rep. JOE WALSH, R-McHenry, would each do against Durbin.

But Durham said that what he called the “curiosity poll” was informational, and respondents were told in recorded calls that the poll was testing two candidates against Durbin.

“Right there, it changes the parameters of the poll,” Durham said. “It then becomes, for lack of a better term, a beauty contest as opposed to a real head-to-head.

“Clearly, Senator Oberweis did slightly better than former Congressman Joe Walsh,” Durham added. “But in our opinion, he would have a very steep hill to climb to find success” against Durbin next year.

* Meanwhile

Associated Press is reporting that at the Capitol Wednesday, State Senator Jim Oberweis (R-Sugar Grove) told a rally of traditional marriage supporters that he has launched an effort to run for U.S. Senate. However, Oberweis told Illinois Review that’s not exactly what he said or meant.

“I said that if we get enough petitions, I will run,” Oberweis told Illinois Review in an email response. He did not elaborate any further on whether he’s actively organized a petition drive, nor did he say when he’d make a formal announcement. Candidate petitions can be submitted to the Illinois State Board of Elections beginning November 19th.

He’s leaving the door open just a tiny crack, perhaps because the behind the scenes effort to keep him out of the race is gathering steam.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


31 Comments
  1. - Powell - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 11:56 am:

    Look, if you’re going to run a poll designed to encourage someone to take the major leap to run for Senate, at least stand by the poll.

    A “curiosity” poll? is that an industry term?

    I understand the desire of the pollster and his benefactors to now walk away from this mess, but not sure why you would impugn the credibility of your survey.

    Isn’t the simple answer here, yeah we did a poll, Durbin was at 50% and Obie at 39% with 11% undecided. It is highly unlikely Obie would win even a majority of the undecideds so based on our polling, he would lose by at least 10 points.

    That’s how most sane people would read the results, at least..


  2. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 11:59 am:

    ===designed to encourage someone to take the major leap===

    That wasn’t the intent.


  3. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:11 pm:

    ===He’s leaving the door open just a tiny crack, perhaps because the behind the scenes effort to keep him out of the race is gathering steam.===

    Let’s hope the 10% sane part of the Slytherin Jim Oberweis is overruling the 90% insane Slytherin Jim Oberweis who wants to drag an entire ticket, an entire party, and an entire state away from the ILGOP brand … because of Jim Oberweis’s intolerance and insistence on Purity.

    Jim Oberweis is a Stain on the ILGOP brand, no matter what polls he thinks he is reading, or what speeches he gives to other Slytherins.


  4. - Dave Fako - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:19 pm:

    To clarify: was it a traditional trial heat question asking something along the lines of “if candidates for U.S. Senate were were X and X who would you vote for…” or was it worded in some other manner beside the “testing two candidates….” qualifier? Best for them to simply release the exact wording and order of the questions if not already done so (the other post did not show that info).


  5. - wordslinger - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:23 pm:

    I think Oberweis just likes attention, however he can get it.


  6. - PublicServant - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:31 pm:

    Stay classy, Jim.


  7. - LincolnLounger - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:36 pm:

    Let’s pray that some of these “establishment” types that didn’t think this idea through (rumor: Gidwitz)will pony up the money to look at this signatures and paperwork.

    We’ve got enough trouble without the anchor known as Oberweis.


  8. - 10th ward - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 12:55 pm:

    Repubs are whining and complaining about the Milk Man, BUT who else do they have?? Walsh? pleaaaaase, he’s a kook. Alan Keyes? Ditka? Why give Durbin a pass? He needs to spend some of his warchest in IL instead of spreading the wealth thru out the US on other races, RIGHT? why isn’t someone, anyone, at least trying to run. Remember Mike Flanigan? Long shot Louie, well he won. What about Steve Kim? Oh wait he’s on the ballot already


  9. - A guy... - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:00 pm:

    Hope that door is open more than a crack. Like open enough for his entire person, including his large head that thinks he could win this. He needs to walk through that door and not run. It will save him big money and keep him from racking up a record worse than Gerry Quarry.


  10. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:06 pm:

    - 10th Ward -,

    I said it in yesterday’s Post, and I am saying it now;

    No one is better than the Stain Of Jim Oberweis.

    Think about Durkin’s situation, trying to run a diverse group in Districts that need a Reagan Republican, and Jim Oberweis’ presence defingin the entire ILGOP, including those running in those IL House races.

    Jim Oberweis is a “gift” to the HDems, SDems, even a Mike Frerichs will get a boost running against Tom Cross, and Tom and Jim Oberweis against SSM … it is disaster.

    No one running … is better than the Stain that Jim Oberweis will put on the entire ILGOP next fall.


  11. - Just Observing - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:20 pm:

    === “I said that if we get enough petitions, I will run,” ===

    Well duh… if you don’t collect enough petition signatures you can’t run.


  12. - Norseman - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:21 pm:

    I think I have this figured out. His constant campaigning is Oberweis’ subliminal marketing effort for his dairy products. Notice all the ice cream references. Saves the company money.


  13. - Conservative Republican - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:29 pm:

    == perhaps because the behind the scenes effort to keep him out of the race is gathering steam. ==

    Don’t be so coy, Rich. Please. Pray tell. Give us the details of the “behind the scenes effort” to keep Oberweis out.


  14. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 1:33 pm:

    ===Give us the details===

    Subscribe.


  15. - Rich Miller - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 2:32 pm:

    ===His constant campaigning is Oberweis’ subliminal marketing effort for his dairy products.===

    Only for those customers who actually like what he says.


  16. - Power hungry - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 2:42 pm:

    The milk man is a power hungry person obbsessed with titles and is only about enriching himself. The man needs to get some experience legisalting as well. This guy needs to let it go and humble himself.


  17. - Chavez-respecting Obamist - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 3:11 pm:

    ==His constant campaigning is Oberweis’ subliminal marketing effort for his dairy products.==

    Wouldn’t the slogan “Taste the Crazy” be a cheaper way to do it?


  18. - wordslinger - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 3:16 pm:

    I have no problem with Oberweis Ice Cream. It’s very good.

    Here in the People’s Republic of Oak Park, his place on Oak Park Avenue is always rocking. Although the Brown Cow on Madison in Forest Park gives him a run for his money.

    Good ice cream in the summer trumps politics.


  19. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 3:23 pm:

    lol - wordslinger -,

    Agreed, I go to the Oberweis Dairy Store on Rt. 30 in Montgomery way, way, way too often. They know my face!

    I get the “non-partisan” flavor … but get the ice cream all the same.


  20. - Just Wondering - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 4:23 pm:

    I am not sold on the Good Humor Man’s competitor, but I believe that Oberweis would have been a far better substitute candidate in 2004 than Alan Keyes.


  21. - walkinfool - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 5:35 pm:

    Pollster defending his firm’s professionalism and integrity from misrepresentation by a candidate.

    I like that. More should do it. Candidates who pay do not buy the right to change the poll results — or they become worthless.


  22. - Chicago Cynic - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 6:12 pm:

    Run Jim Run!!


  23. - hm - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 6:13 pm:

    If the Milkman were to run for US Senate in 2014 and lose, would he still be a state senator? Is his il senate seat up for reelection or is it safe?


  24. - wordslinger - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 8:04 pm:

    –If the Milkman were to run for US Senate in 2014 and lose, would he still be a state senator? Is his il senate seat up for reelection or is it safe?–

    For crying out loud, google!

    You’re on the Internet. In the time it took you to ask the question, you could have had the answer.

    How lazy can you get?


  25. - seeker - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 11:02 pm:

    Oswego Willy, that is funny. You seem to think Oberweis is puritanical and as a conservative I see a guy who is fairly liberal with his support of the current method of public education, dope smoking, and speed demons.


  26. - Anonymous - Thursday, Oct 24, 13 @ 11:39 pm:

    Hello, seeker. Expanding your horizons? Welcome!


  27. - Anonymous - Friday, Oct 25, 13 @ 12:12 am:

    And, Willy–my dearest, I do hope you’ll be kind in replying to seeker. He can certainly hold his own, and I think it’s wonderful that he’s here to share his views and to–I’m assuming, listen to those of others.


  28. - Anonymous - Friday, Oct 25, 13 @ 12:13 am:

    Having said that, you can both pounce on me now. ;)


  29. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Oct 25, 13 @ 5:26 am:

    - seeker -,

    Anyone who requires 100% “Purity” to be considered a “Leader” in My Party, and only allows “wavering” if they get the Jim Oberweis “He/She is a good Republican” Seal of Approval… IS a “Puritanical” Oaf, ruining My Party with Blood Oaths and Litmus Tests, and that person at the top of the ticket will destroy the ILGOP all the way down that ticket, black helicopters over Soldiet Field and all.


  30. - Anonymous - Friday, Oct 25, 13 @ 8:12 am:

    Hmm…that started of well.


  31. - Anonymous - Friday, Oct 25, 13 @ 8:13 am:

    Obviously, that should have been “Hmm…that started off well.”


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Question of the day
* Pet shop criminals
* *** LIVE *** Gov. Rauner's Champaign speech
* U of I: No constitutional right to a faculty position
* Today's number: 1 hour
* Why We Need A Strong Civil Justice System: The civil justice system gives everyone a fair chance
* Simon Institute releases study of 2014 campaign
* The little guys are winning
* Chicago testing snub could cost state as much as $1.17 billion
* Poll: Emanuel 42, Garcia 18, Fioretti 10, Wilson 7, Walls 2
* Rauner hires experienced hand as legislative director
* Firing up the Democrats' base
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * OnePlus names own Android ROM as Oxygen, Hydrogen in China
        * OnePlus Will Reveal Details Of Its ‘Oxygen’ Android ROM On February 12
        * Nexus Player heads to Japan marking Android TVs entry to the country
        * Tetra Lockscreen sees important update on Windows Phone
        * Microsoft invested in Cyanogen’s anti-Google war chest, says tip
        * Microsoft to back Cyanogen’s plan to weaken Google’s control of Android
        * Photo of 2nd-gen Moto E leaked

        * First Operation In England Performed By A Surgical Robot
        * Secret Co-Founder Chrys Bader Departs Company
        * BlueWire Headset Records Calls From Both Ends
        * Robot Writers Help The Associated Press To Improve Earnings
        * Google’s Smart Lock Feature Now Available To All Chromebook Users
        * Instagram Falls Behind Twitter In Number Of Users And Active Users
        * PS Vita Accessory Gives The Handheld Console L2/R2 Triggers

        * White Sox embrace their position as favorites
        * White Sox embrace position as contenders
        * What else is returning with Gordon Beckham?
        * Which prospects will make the Top 100 cut?
        * The unlikely return of Gordon Beckham's unfortunate offseason tradi...
        * Viciedo designated for assignment to open roster spot
        * White Sox reunite with Beckham on one-year deal

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * 1871 3.0 already is in the works..
        * Illinois Gov. Rauner wants bureaucratic cuts in.....
        * APNewsBreak: Top Rauner staff more highly paid .....
        * Medical Marijuana Dispensary Application Open i.....
        * Rauner presses for sales tax expansion in U. of.....
        * Cary Collins: Other options for fixing Illinois.....
        * Unions to protest Rauner appearance in Champaign..
        * Rauner pledges UI support..


        * APNewsBreak: Top Rauner staff more highly paid than Quinn's
        * Man given 25-year prison sentence for cheating investors
        * Gov. Rauner wants bureaucratic cuts in education, elsewhere
        *
        * Bradley player arrested on misdemeanor charges at strip club
        * Jury convicts suburban Chicago woman in heroin death
        * Bradley player arrested on misdemeanor charges at strip club
        * Illinois professor who lost job offer after tweets sues
        * Prosecutors say Chicago hospital officials bribed doctors
        * Federal trial postponed in Illinois needles-in-meat case

        * Top Rauner staff receiving higher pay than Quinn's
        * Springfield lawmakers want oversight commission to monitor 10th Street rail promises
        * Rauner staff receiving higher pay than Quinn's
        * New DNR director Rosenthal touts experience
        * Rauner wants bureaucratic cuts in education, elsewhere
        * New DNR director touts experience
        * Springfield unemployment falls to 5.6 percent in December
        * Springfield gaming terminal up 46 percent in 2014; revenue hits $1M
        * Springfield gaming terminals up 46 percent in 2014; revenue hits $1M
        * Rauner among nation's top donors in 2014 elections

        * Rauner staff receiving higher pay than Quinn's
        * Ponzi schemer gets 25 years in jail for $105 million fraud
        * Illinois Ponzi schemer gets 25 years in jail for $105 million fraud
        * Ken Griffin asks court to set trial date for divorce
        * As Romney weighs '16 bid, his past donors commit to Jeb Bush


          * 2 men wounded in separate shootings
          * 4th person faces murder charges in deadly Indianapolis house explosion
          * 4G wireless coming to CTA subways later this year
          * Garage fire knocks out cable to 4,000 customers on NW Side
          * Cicero orders church closed after 'safety nightmare'
          * Chicago prosecutors quietly drop charges tied to drug stash house stings
          * Nuns allege prostitution violations in lawsuit against suburban strip club
          * Needles-in-meat federal trial postponed
          * Man who stole $34 million in Ponzi scheme given 25 years in prison
          * In shift, Cupich will receive vestment in Chicago, not Rome


          * Rauner Tells U Of I To Cut Bureaucracy
          * Group Says Railroad Threatens To Isolate East Side
          * Proposal Would Ban Conversion Therapy For Minors
          * Speaker Madigan: How Can Illinois Prevent A Sandy Hook?
          * Listen to State Week - January 23, 2015
          * Guzzardi Wants Parents To Be Able To Opt Kids Out Of Testing
          * Art Beat: Hip Hop Battles, Foreign Film & More
          * Meet The New Springfield Area Arts Council Director
          * Art Beat: Pirates, Local Tunes & Movies Galore
          * Let's Talk Kids - "Golden Stories"


          * Our Opinion: Residency not the best gauge of loyalty
          * Cary Collins: Other options for fixing Illinois' pension problems
          * E.J. Dionne: For the Patriots, without apology
          * Esther Cepeda: Paid sick leave is a worthy prescription
          * George Will: Bud Selig's winning legacy
          * Quote of the Day: Friday, Jan. 30, 2015
          * Top Rauner staff receiving higher pay than Quinn's
          * Springfield lawmakers want oversight commission to monitor 10th Street rail promises
          * New DNR director Rosenthal touts experience
          * Rauner wants bureaucratic cuts in education, elsewhere


          * Central rallies, edges Centennial
          * Thursday's highlights: Monticello girls blast Rantoul
          * No McCoy, no problem for Sabers
          * Close but no cigar for women's basketball in Nebraska
          * Mansfield lowers speed limit
          * Changes ease substitute shortage for Mahomet-Seymour
          * Hoopeston man arrested after chase
          * Rauner pledges UI support
          * Yeas and nays in reaction to Rauner speech
          * Asmussen's Hoop it up: Purdue stays hot


          * IC Catholic spreads out the scoring
          * Hawks can't seem to stabilize themselves
          * Naperville Central takes control of DVC
          * Glenbard North surprises Wheaton North
          * Lakes taking visual approach to game-readiness

          * REP. DANNY K. DAVIS NOW SUPPORTS DR. WILLI...
          * Danny Davis Defeats Robert Bumpers In Illi...
          * Rehab of Affordable Housing Building in Ol...
          * Rep. Danny Davis Hopes to Keep His Seat fo...
          * Illinois House Dems agonize over vote to f...
          * Congressman calls for removal of police co...
          * Congressmen Plan House Speech on Chicago's...
          * Davis To Obama: 'Do Everything In Your Pow...
          * Rahm Touts New Law to Clear Juvenile Polic...
          * Democratic Congressman Condemns Chicago Su...

          * The Republican Congress Meets Reality...
          * Yellen Tells Senators No Rate Rise Soon Am......
          * Senate passes bill approving Keystone XL o......

          * Senate passes bill approving Keystone XL o......
          * The 47-Part Keystone XL Vote-a-thon is Now......
          * Senate Hard-liners Press Ahead with New Ir......

          * Would you believe it's been 10 years???
          * Art Show Opening Reception Saturday Evening
          * Help Restock School Supplies For 46th Ward Schools
          * Illinois State Representative Guzzardi: First bill strengthens parent opt-out rights.
          * John Dillon: Judge pension theft by the friends it keeps.
          * Muslim Brotherhood Starts A Political Party Out Of Chicago
          * Illinois attorney general gives pay raises as state goes broke
          * State Rep. Meier proposes law banning terrorists from teaching in Illinois
          * Pension news, blues and screws.
          * Ald. Arena Touts New 45th Ward Businesses In TV Ad


          * IDHS reminds eligible workers to take advantage of free tax help and the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) - More than 30 sites offer free tax services Statewide
          * IEMA, American Lung Association Launch Health House - Radon Excellence Program in Savoy - Two Champaign builders coordinating with Heyworth radon mitigator in program to reduce radon-related lung cancer risks in new homes
          * One Confirmed Case of Measles in Illinois
          * Governor announces latest round of agency appointments
          * Rauner announces “Turnaround Team” - Stellar team to help turn Illinois around




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller