SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Did he now create a problem with GOP voters?

Monday, Jan 13, 2014

* Here’s the first part of my syndicated newspaper column. We’ll get to the rest of it a bit later, for reasons you’ll understand when we do it

If Bruce Rauner manages to successfully back away from his recently unearthed statement from December that he favored reducing the state’s minimum wage by a dollar an hour he will have dodged a very serious political bullet.

According to a new Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll, the idea is absolutely hated in Illinois. Asked if they would be “more likely or less likely to vote for a gubernatorial candidate who supports lowering the state’s minimum wage to the national rate of $7.25 an hour,” a whopping 79 percent said they’d be less likely. That’s definitely a result that could move actual votes on election day, particularly in the context of the messenger: a hugely wealthy political unknown whose advertising campaign is trying hard to turn him into a “regular guy.”

Women were 84 percent less likely and men were 73 percent less likely to vote for a candidate who wanted to lower the minimum wage by a buck an hour, according to the poll taken January 8th of 1,135 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. Democrats were 90 percent less likely, while independents were 77 percent less likely and even Republicans were 63 percent less likely to vote for such a candidate.

As the controversy was building last week, Rauner told a Carbondale audience that if the minimum wage was increased here he would only support it if the state also made “our labor regulations and our tax burden much more attractive to small business.” He added that he could still support lowering the minimum wage “in the context of dramatically improving our schools and creating a business environment where everybody’s got jobs.”

But by Wednesday, Rauner had completely backed away, claiming he was “flippant” when he unequivocally said in a December forum in the Quad Cities that he wanted to roll back the minimum wage to the national level because Illinois’ dollar an hour difference was “hurting our economy.” After a huge firestorm of controversy erupted, Rauner claimed that he could actually support raising the minimum wage, as long as it was coupled with some key legal changes like unspecified workers’ comp and tort reforms.

The Democratic Governors Association, which has formed an Illinois political action committee that will likely be used as a conduit to attack Rauner in the GOP primary, attempted to counter Rauner’s spin.

“They say a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth,” said DGA Communications Director Danny Kanner. “In the case of Bruce Rauner, he showed his true colors when he said that Illinois’ minimum wage needs to be cut… and voters won’t soon forget.”

If voters do forget, then Rauner’s new position in favor of increasing the minimum wage finds favor with a majority of voters when asked: “Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a gubernatorial candidate who supports raising the state’s minimum wage rate to $10 an hour?”

According to the poll, 55 percent of likely Illinois voters would be more likely to support such a candidate, while 38 percent would be less likely. Women would be far more supportive (62 percent) than men (46 percent) of such a candidate. And it’s a make or break issue for 81 percent of Democrats.

But a strong 65 percent of Republicans would be less likely to support a candidate who backed a hike to $10 an hour, so Rauner may have now created a problem with his GOP primary voter base.

Subscribers have crosstabs and more polling results on this issue.

* Related…

* GOP minimum wage debate could be muted by Democratic action: Steve Brown, spokesman for House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, said the House will be working “closely” with the Senate and Quinn on the issue. “It’s always a topic that is of great interest to Democrats because they understand that this isn’t anymore an entry level wage,” Brown said Friday. “I’m sure there will be plenty of House Democrats willing to take a look at it.”

* Rauner brushes off minimum-wage flap, attacks Quinn: “No, I don’t think it’s going to be a big impact at all,” Rauner said when asked about the issue that’s dogged him over the past week. Then, he blasted the governor. “Quinn is failing working families and low-income families in this state,” Rauner said. “He’s been a massive failure. We have brutal unemployment. We have jobs leaving the state. We are de-funding our schools, cutting school funding, and we’re shredding the social-services safety net. All the stuff that Quinn supposedly says he cares about, he is failing.”

* Rauner greeted by protesters in Elmhurst: He responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”

* Rauner Does Damage Control at Decatur Campaign Stop: “I’m not a politician,” he said. “I’ll have bumps in the road. Sometimes I’ll speak out of turn in a certain way, or be incomplete in my explanations. I’m sorry. I’ll correct it and I’ll move on.”

* Republican rivals try to capitalize on Rauner’s minimum wage stumble: Asked what damage Rauner caused Republicans, Brady said: “Well, here you’ve got a very wealthy guy running to cut pay for people trying to raise a family by $2,000 a year per person employed on minimum wage. That’s not what Republicans stand for. We stand for greater opportunity, not cutting pay to working families.” Brady has had his own problems with the minimum wage issue. Running against Quinn in 2010, weeks before Illinois’ $8.25 rate took effect, he said he backed lowering it to the federal rate for the sake of competitiveness. Brady altered his position to say the state rate should stay at the current level to allow the federal rate to catch up.

* Durbin adds to attack on Rauner: “I can tell you that people have forgotten his $18 watch,” Durbin said, “because a man who proposes cutting the minimum wage is out of touch with working families.”

* Editorial: Bruce Rauner’s epic about-face: The problem with Rauner seems to be that he wants to answer questions on his own terms when he is good and ready. That’s not the way politics works, as he is learning.

* Finke: Rauner trips over changing stances

- Posted by Rich Miller        


8 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:32 am:

    –He (Rauner) responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”–

    Assuming the protesters were public employees, they certainly have never made “their money from government” like Pay-to-Play Bruce.

    And corrupt politicians? Good-Goo Bruce has dropped millions on politicians from both parties, including Daley and Emanuel.

    Rauner put Stu Levine on the payroll for $25K a month when he was trying to land ITRS business (he got it). And he talks about corruption?

    Unbelievable.

    http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20131014/BLOGS02/131019938/political-fixer-levine-surfaces-in-gop-race-for-governor


  2. - Big Debbie - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:36 am:

    Haven’t seen anyone in the media follow-up on this blog post I had yesterday, but Rauner wasn’t welcome at one of his announced campaign stops in Champaign last week:

    http://bigdebshouse.wordpress.com/2014/01/12/rauner-campaign-stop-not-welcome-at-local-small-business/


  3. - AFSCME Steward - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 9:51 am:

    Didn’t he just say it was the union leaders, not the union members, we had issues with. Another flip-flop ?

    “He responded to the presence of the protesters by linking them to the unions to which many of them belong. “They are making their money from government and they are not really, really here about the wages,” said Rauner. “They’re here because we’re going to shake up those special deals they’ve got with the corrupt politicians.”


  4. - langhorne - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:18 am:

    for rauner, it is a simple equation:

    protesters = union members (bad) = taking government money (also bad).

    so much for being ok w union members, just not the bad union bosses who bribe the politicians.

    and, as others point out, it is rich (oops) irony that he is critical of govt employees making five figures, when he makes seven figures, A WEEK, from government.


  5. - walker - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:31 am:

    ===They say a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth===

    Ouch. This guy is the spokesman for the Democratic Governors Association?


  6. - midway gardens - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 10:50 am:

    And if Dillard uses that “a Jeffersonian free market principle guy” in relation to the minimum wage, would any of his opponents please be smart enough to point out Jefferson’s minimum wages for his slaves?


  7. - Arthur Andersen - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 11:30 am:

    Word, if you take Levine’s fee from Rauner and divide it by his time in the slammer, he was actually paid minimum wage.

    /snark #AACanDoMath


  8. - markg8 - Monday, Jan 13, 14 @ 12:21 pm:

    I was out there protesting at Hamburger Jones in Elmhurst Saturday. For what it’s worth the restaurant is owned by Tom Cronin, DuPage County Chair and former state senate leader Dan Cronin’s brother.

    I’m a small businessman. I’ve never been in a union and have never done business with the government. Most of the union folks out there Saturday were from the building trades. Electricians, plumbers, laborers, etc.

    At one point one of Rauner’s aides came out and asked for a couple of us to go inside for a little colloquy with Baron Von Carhartt for the cameras. So he walked three of us around to the entrance where another of his aides said the candidate had changed his mind and we were then escorted back to the sidewalk. Despite all his money Rauner just doesn’t seem to know what he’s doing from one minute to the next.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Delegation goes to bat for Exelon
* Question of the day
* Reach out and touch someone
* *** UPDATED x1 *** "Downton Abbey" story was no random thing
* Most suburban towns could survive a year of state cuts
* Editorial: "Don't fall for Exelon bailout"
* The consequences of cuts
* It's just a bill, but it's interesting
* Martin’s Story: A Medical Error Changed Everything
* SDems upset GOPs by advancing partial FY 15 fix
* Forby asks AG Madigan for formal opinion on right to work zones
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* Rate hizzoner's new humble pie TV ad
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Nokia 1100 turns up with ARM MT6582 processor
        * Apple iPad Pro/Plus hits rumored delays, won’t enter production for months
        * The Frisbee game goes on and on in fun new sequel
        * Enter to win an Android tablet with The Samsung Galaxy Tab S 8.4 Giveaway
        * Pivot allows one touch arcade gaming, challenges you to get high scores
        * Huawei Watch rumored to be stupid expensive
        * Slot those blocks in with Bloq Android game

        * A Star Witness for Both Sides? Somehow John Doerr Makes Both Ellen Pao and Kleiner Perkins Look Good.
        * Avast Unveils New Apps That Could Clean And Speed Up Your Phone
        * Huawei’s Android Wear Watch Could Cost $1,000 [Rumor]
        * EA Shuts Down The Sims’ Developer Maxis
        * Etsy files for an IPO, looks to raise up to $100M
        * The NBA and Lean In Foundation are partnering to promote gender equality
        * Carefully Decide Where to Get a Tattoo with This Pain Chart

        * Alexei's 3 RBIs spark White Sox in spring opener
        * Hahn's plan to reshape White Sox slow to boil
        * Minnie was an icon for black fans in Midwest
        * The most meaningless White Sox spring training statistics of 2014
        * Abreu mourns loss of friend, mentor in Minoso
        * Undaunted by injuries, Ynoa continues to pursue dream
        * White Sox agree to terms with 24

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Court monitor says IDOT should clean house on h.....
        * Chicago mayor says state budget is 'wrong appro.....
        * Family of man killed by Chicago police sues the.....
        * Delegation goes to bat for Exelon..
        * Gov. Rauner stops in Peoria, Canton, Havana for.....
        * Question of the day..
        * Bruce Rauner..
        * Up to 10 inches of snow predicted for southern .....
        * Mt. Prospect objects to Gov. Rauner's proposed cut..
        * Exelon’s Quad Cities Plant Becomes Center of St.....


        * Court monitor says IDOT should clean house on hiring rules
        * Family of man killed by Chicago police sues the city
        * Chicago mayor says state budget is 'wrong approach'
        * Judge grants delay of medical marijuana permit in Kankakee
        * Girl, 15, gets juvenile prison until 21 in sibling's death
        * Illinois medical marijuana patients now number 1,600
        * Up to 10 inches of snow predicted for southern Illinois
        * Canton to blow historic steam whistle 3 times daily
        * Southeastern Container to close Effingham bottle factory
        * Illinois man who took electronic trade secrets avoids prison

        * Judge grants delay of medical marijuana permit in Kankakee
        * State's medical marijuana patients now number 1,600
        * Illinois hires firm to evaluate shuttered Eagle Creek Resort
        * Committee approves plan to plug some budget holes
        * Local men plead guilty to stealing millions from Illinois EPA
        * State superintendent warns of 'perfect storm' for school districts
        * Committee to consider plan for plugging budget holes
        * New state lawmaker Butler officially sworn in
        * State superintendent warns of 'perfect storm' for districts
        * Illinois prisons head out, no permanent replacement named

        * Could Fido and Fluffy be your Amtrak seatmates?
        * Talks to end oil workers' strike to resume next week
        * Cookie deliverer to open second location near Loyola
        * Testosterone drugs like Abbvie's Androgel are overused, FDA warns
        * Why Scott Walker should hope the Supreme Court leaves Obamacare in place


          * Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker says he will sign right-to-work bill next week
          * Federal jury sides with police officers in fatal shooting, awards no damages
          * 5th suspect charged in 'crash-and-grab' investigation
          * Jury hears of East Chicago murderer's childhood
          * Notre Dame's Hesburgh remembered for his acts of kindness
          * Chicago avoids $20 million payment after renegotiating swap contract
          * Urban Prep student slain near home: 'I ducked and Deonte tried to run'
          * Cook County judge halts medical marijuana license
          * Murder, sex abuse sentencings set for next week in Lake County
          * Family files lawsuit over fatal shooting by Chicago police


          * McDonalds to phase out chicken raised with certain antibiotics
          * Illinois Hires Firm To Evaluate Shuttered Eagle Creek Resort
          * A Universal Language
          * Combat Vets Recreate Lincoln's Hearse
          * 2015 Budget - CapitolView
          * PARCC Standardized Test Causes Problems
          * New Administration Promises Change After Repeated Errors Found In Audit
          * Rauner Tells Cabinet: I'll Take Your Arrows
          * Bat-Killing White-Nose Syndrome Spreads In Illinois
          * The Raw Milk Underground


          * Judge grants delay of medical marijuana permit in Kankakee
          * State's medical marijuana patients now number 1,600
          * Illinois hires firm to evaluate shuttered Eagle Creek Resort
          * Our Opinion: Conquering stress, burnout important for all
          * Michael Gerson: Getting Africa's health systems to be self-reliant
          * Quote of the Day: Wednesday, March 4, 2015
          * Committee approves plan to plug some budget holes
          * Local men plead guilty to stealing millions from Illinois EPA
          * State superintendent warns of 'perfect storm' for school districts
          * New state lawmaker Butler officially sworn in


          * Belleville man gets 15 years for cocaine trafficking
          * Next phase for State Farm Center begins at game's end tonight
          * Weather closures and cancellations March 4
          * Gun, cannabis charges filed against Champaign man
          * Rantoul man charged in cocaine case
          * Man to prison for stealing DVDs
          * Vermilion County Farm Bureau's Ag in the Classroom program
          * Bill would end tuition waivers for state university employees
          * Winter's last stand: Rare March blizzard dumps ice and snow on region
          * Three arrested on drug charges in Williamson County


          * Fox Valley area police reports
          * Bills' additions and Jefferson Award have Jackson upbeat
          * Court monitor says IDOT should clean house on hiring rules
          * How much sugar is in that? WHO says we're eating too much
          * Henderson sharp in return, Brewers beat Wisconsin-Milwaukee

          * George Will: Lawless IRS still stonewallin...
          * Roskam gives Netanyahu painting before con...
          * Opinion: U.S. Congress should be guided by...
          * Reps. Hultgren, Roskam buck Boehner in DHS...
          * Israeli prime minister reminds Congress of...
          * Elizabeth Roskam Readies Bibi's Dome - Rol...
          * Rep. Roskam Introduces Bill to Provide Gif...
          * House Bill Would Ban Gift Tax on Donations...
          * Reps. Marino, Lewis, Roskam Introduce Crit...
          * Rep. Roskam Introduces Bill to Clarify Dut...

          * WaPo, Dennis Ross: Obama has to answer Net......
          * Supreme Court sharply split over major cha......
          * Congressional Dems want to 'shift the focu......
          * Bibi's Speech Is the Dems' Box Canyon...
          * State Sen. Chapin Rose introduces bills to......

          * Day of partisan tensions as Netanyahu speaks...
          * Excerpts from recent South Dakota editorials...
          * Congress Races to Act on Iran After Bibi's......

          * U.S. Supreme Hears Oral Arguments In Obamacare Subsidies Case
          * U.S. Supreme Court Hears Oral Arguments In Obamacare Subsidies Case
          * The Forgotten Emancipation
          * Environmental, Maritime Industry Groups Sound Off On Federal Ballast Water Bill
          * U.S. Senate Unsuccessful In Overriding Keystone Pipeline Veto
          * Congress Approves DHS Funding Bill Without Immigration Rollbacks (UPDATED)
          * Lawsuit Filed Over Fatal Chicago Police Shooting Of Roshad McIntosh
          * Durbin says U.S. Constitution was "fatally flawed" [video]
          * Population decline is just one of Chicago's devastating problems
          * Stamps Calling For Debate In Chicago's 37th Ward Race


          * IEMA Urges People to Prepare for Severe Weather - Tornadoes, floods and severe storms can happen any time of year
          * IDHS helps more than 5,000 individuals with disabilities find jobs - Program offers necessary tools to earn a living wage and become more independent
          * 24th Anniversary Desert Storm Remembrance Ceremony
          * Illinois Department of Human Rights Announces 2015 Spring Training Schedule
          * Snow and Freezing Rain to Impact Travel in Illinois - IDOT Crews Prepared to Battle Winter Weather this Weekend




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller