SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Tacking leftward

Thursday, Jan 30, 2014

* Yesterday’s State of the State address was aimed right at Gov. Pat Quinn’s base, as WUIS accurately points out

Quinn laid out a list of proposals that seem finely honed to appeal to Democratic voters: increasing the minimum wage, doubling a tax credit for the working poor, and requiring at least two days of sick time for all employees.

“We need to help our workers, especially our single parents, avoid that awful choice: dragging themselves from a sick bed to work, or losing a day’s pay — or maybe even their job,” Quinn says.

Quinn also called for a big expansion of the grants that help low-income people go to college. In recent years, Illinois has run out of money and had to stop giving out so-called MAP grants midway through the school year.

Then, there’s the “Birth to Five Initiative,” aimed at helping low-income children from the womb through kindergarten.

* Before he can gear up to defend himself against the eventual GOP nominee, Quinn needs to get his own base fired up. Remember these polls of mine from last year?

Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll of 1,394 likely Democratic primary voters on July 19 found that Quinn was leading Daley 38-33. In that poll, the governor was getting less than half — 47 percent — of the black vote, while Daley was getting 26 percent, which isn’t bad when you figure that another quarter of the black vote was still up for grabs. […]

[Another poll] I commissioned on Aug. 12, which found that 48 percent of 1,538 likely Democratic primary voters were dissatisfied with their choice between Quinn and Daley and 9 percent were unsure. So a clear 57 percent majority were either unhappy or ambivalent about the two announced candidates.

Among black Democrats, just 31 percent were satisfied and a huge 57 percent were dissatisfied with their two choices.

It’s pretty obvious that lots of Democrats want somebody else to run, and black Democrats are particularly eager to see another candidate get into the race.

And

Quinn is not overwhelmingly popular with black voters. Just 47 percent back Quinn against Daley, according to the July poll, and Quinn’s job approval rating in a June poll among black Democrats was a mere 28 percent, while 40 percent disapproved.

I seriously doubt he’s moved the needle much since then.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


11 Comments
  1. - walker - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:20 am:

    Calling his base to the polls.

    Got to do it.

    But is he assuming the independents/switchers aren’t going to come out?


  2. - OneMan - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:27 am:

    The question is, if Rauner is the nominee what impact Meeks has with some of the base…


  3. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:35 am:

    ===The question is, if Rauner is the nominee what impact Meeks has with some of the base…===

    Great obesrvation. Can Meeks get raw votes out of pictures and endorsements for Rauner, and against Quinn, if that is the match up come November?

    Nicely done.


  4. - The Captain - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    It strikes me as surprising that a Governor who signed into law civil unions, gay marriage, an end to the death penalty and an income tax increase needs to tack leftward, but here we are.


  5. - steve schnorf - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:42 am:

    Gee, it’s always been my understanding that EITC is a Republican concept, and, I believe, one we should be proud of


  6. - A guy... - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:52 am:

    Rev. Meeks might be the most productive and prolific Precinct Captain in the city, affecting a precinct without precinct lines if you know what I mean. He could be a big help to anyone.


  7. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:56 am:

    If Quinn wants to double the number of MAP scholarships in five years, all he has to do is cut the award size in half.

    I hope he meant he’d double the funding for MAP over the next 5 years, but that isn’t exactly what he said.


  8. - A guy... - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 11:05 am:

    Good ear 47. I hadn’t given that the thought you did. Thanks for the observation.


  9. - fac finder - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 11:49 am:

    Two days sick leave could hurt mom and pop c corps, everything has to be carried on to the consumer.


  10. - wordslinger - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 1:39 pm:

    –Gee, it’s always been my understanding that EITC is a Republican concept, and, I believe, one we should be proud of –

    You’ve get that right, Schnorf.

    Pres. Ford got it rolling. But Pres. Reagan expanded it greatly in 1986, with the help of some Bolshie out of Chicago named Rosty.

    Ford. Reagan. Rosty. Sigh. Those were conservatives.


  11. - langhorne - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 3:11 pm:

    i still want to know when and where meeks went fly fishing with rauner. montana? the chgo river? did rauner provide transportation? any pictures of meeks in waders (from LL Bean)? any contributions to meeks’ causes by rauner? any meeks allies on the payroll?


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* IFT endorses Quinn
* Right and wrong
* Question of the day
* Department of Insurance says insurers can't discriminate "based on gender identity"
* Today's quotable
* Rauner group files appeal in term limits case
* Inversion politics
* $300,000 a week in July
* About those new polls
* Today's number: 59 percent
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * The One-Horse Race: 85% Of The 300M Smartphones Shipped In Q2 Were Android
        * ZAGG Rugged Folio for iPad mini review (Video)
        * Chartboost, Chukong Link Up To Bring Mobile Game Cross-Promotion To Chinese Developers
        * Modbook launches Kickstarter campaign for Modbook Pro X Mac tablet
        * T-Mobile welcomes very affordable Samsung Galaxy Avant
        * The Philips Hue Tap Proves An Elegant Accessory For Connected Smart Lights
        * Cortana keeps getting smarter, new questions supported

        * Xiaomi Redmi Note Reportedly Sending User Data Back To China
        * New Apple TV Might Only Be Launched In 2015 [Rumor]
        * Myriad 2, Movidius’ Next-Gen Vision Processor
        * Apple To Cut 200 Jobs From Beats Once Deal Closes [Rumor]
        * 1Password’s planned third-party app login feature makes it the first convenient iPhone password manager
        * FCC Chairman “Troubled” By Verizon’s Plans To Throttle Its Users
        * 64-bit Chrome Beta Browser Now Available For The Masses

        * Nate Jones undergoes Tommy John surgery
        * Personal stats nice, but Abreu wants to win
        * Avisail, Lindstrom ready to go on rehab assignments
        * White Sox top pick Rodon debuts at Class A
        * White Sox pitcher Jones has Tommy John surgery
        * White Sox pitcher Jones has Tommy John surgery
        * After trade deadline, newest White Sox may be old ones


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * College of DuPage Gone Wild ! - Edgar County Wa.....
        * Quinn rips Rauner for supporting "unpatriotic" .....
        * Create a custom date range - RedEye Chicago..
        * Rail car builder adding 90 workers in Rochelle .....
        * Railcar builder adding 90 workers in Rochelle -.....
        * Governor candidates assess overseas tax breaks..
        * Quinn: Workers' compensation rate to fall in 2015..
        * Lt. gov. candidate and Wheaton councilwoman Pac.....
        * Illinois Workers' Compensation Rates To Drop..
        * Chicago City Council Roundup: Minimum Wage Bump.....


        * Notorious Chicago officers top misconduct list
        * Quinn: Workers' compensation rate to fall in 2015
        * Governor candidates assess overseas tax breaks
        * Chicago mayor proposes hike in hourly minimum wage
        * Quinn signs epinephrine law for Illinois schools
        * Charges upgraded to murder after Palatine fight
        * Body of missing Chicago man found in Lake Michigan
        * Man seeks withdrawal of plea in fatal stabbing
        * Police search for trucker after fatal I-70 wreck
        * Illinois Medicaid restricts use of hepatitis drug

        * Teen collapses at Quinn campaign event
        * Quinn: Workers' compensation rate to fall in 2015
        * 'Headlines' in Rauner campaign ad don't match up
        * Quinn signs epinephrine law for Illinois schools
        * Governor candidates differ on overseas tax breaks
        * Quinn: State will 'prevail' in Shakman lawsuit
        * Illinois Medicaid restricts use of hepatitis drug
        * Quinn OKs ballot question on tax hike for incomes over $1M
        * Lawsuit against Quinn back in court in October
        * Illinois to ask voters about taxing millionaires

        * Emanuel proposes hike in hourly minimum wage
        * Allstate's second-quarter profit rises 41% on sales gains
        * Japanese firm Nippon Sharyo expands Illinois rail car plant
        * Boeing to build largest Dreamliner in South Carolina plant
        * Swing by a Walgreen's for a rental car?


        * Secretive  aldermen pull down blinds
        * Cop killer removed as baseball coach, but league official says past was no secret
        * Deadlocked committee delays vote on City Council budget analyst
        * Man gets 20-year sentence in Wicker Park choking, stabbing case
        * Convicted killer’s hearing for new trial pushed back to Friday
        * VA manipulated vets’ appointment data in Chicago, elsewhere, audit finds
        * Man dead, off-duty police officer wounded in Bucktown shooting
        * One killed in multi-vehicle crash in Edgewater involving CTA bus
        * Teen charged in murder of 16-year-old boy in Chicago Lawn home
        * Watchdog needs independence


        * 4 Chicago cops from unit at center of scandal amassed more than 200 complaints
        * Man gets 20 years in '12 attack of Wicker Park flower shop employee
        * Gutierrez is Texas-bound to see how immigrant minors are being treated
        * As CHA socks away millions, HUD calls on agency to expand vouchers
        * As CHA socks away millions, HUD calls on agency to expand vouchers
        * Evanston bans plastic bags in bigger stores starting next year
        * New law lets more school workers use emergency injection on students
        * Blogger sues CTA for documents related to Ventra contract
        * Construction worker injured in wall collapse along I-90
        * 2 charged in Hammond shooting that injured Addison mom, daughters


        * New Law Lets School Staff Administer EpiPen Dosage...Not Just Nurses
        * Two Teachers Unions Back Quinn Despite Pension Strife
        * Jane Byrne closer to getting memorial
        * Jane Byrne to be honored
        * On education, candidates for Illinois governor closer than they think
        * Authorities Investigating Downtown Bomb Threat
        * Authorities Investigating Downtown Bomb
        * Governor Approves 'Millionaire's Tax' As Advisory Referendum
        * Christian Co. Shooting Leaves Man Dead, Officer Wounded
        * Excavation Finds Courthouse Where Lincoln Worked


        * Quinn: Workers' compensation rate to fall in 2015
        * Quinn signs epinephrine law for Illinois schools
        * Travis Akin: Lawsuit reform could improve Illinois’ business climate
        * George Will: A middle course on foreign policy
        * Eugene Robinson: Absent on immigration reform
        * Governor candidates differ on overseas tax breaks
        * Quinn: State will 'prevail' in Shakman lawsuit
        * Illinois Medicaid restricts use of hepatitis drug
        * Our Opinion: MacArthur Boulevard Association’s success worth replicating
        * Lawsuit against Quinn back in court in October


        * Governor candidates differ on overseas tax breaks
        * Davis backs bill on hemp, cannabidiol oil
        * Fair open Sunday for people with special needs
        * Airbus to stop, but could resume in August or September
        * Plans move ahead for MH crisis center
        * Police search for trucker after fatal I-70 wreck
        * Carbondale man sentenced to six years
        * Officials looking for eight lost hikers in Pope County
        * Four injured in wreck in Saline County
        * Modern Woodmen planning Race to Knock Out Hunger


        * Ex-IRS official called conservatives ‘crazies'
        * Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead
        * McHenry County might restrict horse racing
        * Quinn gets more teacher union support
        * Aurora man gets 15 years for sex assault

        * Case files against Sandi and Jesse Jackson...
        * Mystery Loan Lets Ex-Representative Jesse ...
        * Mystery loan lets Jacksons keep both homes...
        * Gutiérrez: 'I Think We Can Get 3 or 4, May...
        * Gutiérrez heads to White House to talk bor...
        * Obama flat wrong on trafficking law, says ...
        * Democrat: 'Punish' Americans who oppose am...
        * Case files against Sandi and Jesse Jackson...
        * Mystery Loan Lets Ex-Representative Jesse ...
        * Mystery loan lets Jacksons keep both homes...

        * Governor candidates assess overseas tax br......
        * Governor candidates assess overseas tax br......
        * Extra Extra: Multi-Vehicle Crash Kills 1 I......
        * Extra Extra: Multi-Vehicle Crash Kills 1 I......
        * Extra Extra: Multi-Vehicle Crash Kills 1 I......

        * Colonies court hearing to go into sixth day...
        * Hatch, Markey Introduce Legislation to Pro......
        * Rep. Gutierrez decries plan to deport immi......
        * President Obama: Be Even Bolder on Global ......
        * How Partisanship Could Save Iran Diplomacy......

        * Ten minute drawing. What’s that noise?
        * No ten minute drawings for the next few days.
        * U.S. Economy Grew At Strong 4 Percent Rate In Spring
        * Chicago City Council Roundup: Minimum Wage Bump, Phone Tax Hike & New Moratorium
        * Terror Threats At Chemical Plants Underestimated
        * Chgo Lawmakers Poised To Reduce IG's Purview Over Campaign Finance Probes
        * Chicago SRO Press Conference At City Hall
        * Anti-War Activists State 'Die-In' Against Boeing At City Hall
        * Illinois Warns Insurers Of Discrimination Ban
        * Suing Obama: GOP-Led House Gives The Go-Ahead


        * Pat Quinn: Patronage Will Prevail
        * Governor Quinn and Company Officials Open Nippon Sharyo Expansion in Rochelle - Passenger Rail Car Manufacturing Plant Expansion Creating 90 New Jobs
        * Governor Quinn Signs Legislation to Expand Life-Saving Measures in Illinois Schools - Expands Epinephrine Law to Protect Illinois’ Students in Life-Threatening Emergencies
        * Governor Quinn Announces Historic Workers’ Compensation Rate Reductions - Savings from 2011 Reforms Expected to Save $450 Million for Businesses Across Illinois
        * Pat Quinn’s Reality Check




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller