SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Tacking leftward

Thursday, Jan 30, 2014

* Yesterday’s State of the State address was aimed right at Gov. Pat Quinn’s base, as WUIS accurately points out

Quinn laid out a list of proposals that seem finely honed to appeal to Democratic voters: increasing the minimum wage, doubling a tax credit for the working poor, and requiring at least two days of sick time for all employees.

“We need to help our workers, especially our single parents, avoid that awful choice: dragging themselves from a sick bed to work, or losing a day’s pay — or maybe even their job,” Quinn says.

Quinn also called for a big expansion of the grants that help low-income people go to college. In recent years, Illinois has run out of money and had to stop giving out so-called MAP grants midway through the school year.

Then, there’s the “Birth to Five Initiative,” aimed at helping low-income children from the womb through kindergarten.

* Before he can gear up to defend himself against the eventual GOP nominee, Quinn needs to get his own base fired up. Remember these polls of mine from last year?

Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll of 1,394 likely Democratic primary voters on July 19 found that Quinn was leading Daley 38-33. In that poll, the governor was getting less than half — 47 percent — of the black vote, while Daley was getting 26 percent, which isn’t bad when you figure that another quarter of the black vote was still up for grabs. […]

[Another poll] I commissioned on Aug. 12, which found that 48 percent of 1,538 likely Democratic primary voters were dissatisfied with their choice between Quinn and Daley and 9 percent were unsure. So a clear 57 percent majority were either unhappy or ambivalent about the two announced candidates.

Among black Democrats, just 31 percent were satisfied and a huge 57 percent were dissatisfied with their two choices.

It’s pretty obvious that lots of Democrats want somebody else to run, and black Democrats are particularly eager to see another candidate get into the race.

And

Quinn is not overwhelmingly popular with black voters. Just 47 percent back Quinn against Daley, according to the July poll, and Quinn’s job approval rating in a June poll among black Democrats was a mere 28 percent, while 40 percent disapproved.

I seriously doubt he’s moved the needle much since then.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


11 Comments
  1. - walker - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:20 am:

    Calling his base to the polls.

    Got to do it.

    But is he assuming the independents/switchers aren’t going to come out?


  2. - OneMan - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:27 am:

    The question is, if Rauner is the nominee what impact Meeks has with some of the base…


  3. - Oswego Willy - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:35 am:

    ===The question is, if Rauner is the nominee what impact Meeks has with some of the base…===

    Great obesrvation. Can Meeks get raw votes out of pictures and endorsements for Rauner, and against Quinn, if that is the match up come November?

    Nicely done.


  4. - The Captain - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    It strikes me as surprising that a Governor who signed into law civil unions, gay marriage, an end to the death penalty and an income tax increase needs to tack leftward, but here we are.


  5. - steve schnorf - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:42 am:

    Gee, it’s always been my understanding that EITC is a Republican concept, and, I believe, one we should be proud of


  6. - A guy... - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:52 am:

    Rev. Meeks might be the most productive and prolific Precinct Captain in the city, affecting a precinct without precinct lines if you know what I mean. He could be a big help to anyone.


  7. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 10:56 am:

    If Quinn wants to double the number of MAP scholarships in five years, all he has to do is cut the award size in half.

    I hope he meant he’d double the funding for MAP over the next 5 years, but that isn’t exactly what he said.


  8. - A guy... - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 11:05 am:

    Good ear 47. I hadn’t given that the thought you did. Thanks for the observation.


  9. - fac finder - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 11:49 am:

    Two days sick leave could hurt mom and pop c corps, everything has to be carried on to the consumer.


  10. - wordslinger - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 1:39 pm:

    –Gee, it’s always been my understanding that EITC is a Republican concept, and, I believe, one we should be proud of –

    You’ve get that right, Schnorf.

    Pres. Ford got it rolling. But Pres. Reagan expanded it greatly in 1986, with the help of some Bolshie out of Chicago named Rosty.

    Ford. Reagan. Rosty. Sigh. Those were conservatives.


  11. - langhorne - Thursday, Jan 30, 14 @ 3:11 pm:

    i still want to know when and where meeks went fly fishing with rauner. montana? the chgo river? did rauner provide transportation? any pictures of meeks in waders (from LL Bean)? any contributions to meeks’ causes by rauner? any meeks allies on the payroll?


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* More spending
* Another oppo dump
* When the "80 percent" argument fails
* Proft poll: Quinn leads 41-39-5
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's cable TV buys
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Republicans attempt to frame presidential visit
* Rauner says he'll contribute to "anti-business" president's library
* Today's number: Two-thirds
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Congressional crosstabs
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Dropbox now allows exporting of files to SD card
        * Wunderlist’s new update brings Dropbox integration
        * Google Play learns what your phone looks like
        * Google Nexus 6 wish list
        * LinkedIn-Owned SlideShare Gets Its First iOS App
        * Spotify Adds CarPlay Support in Latest iOS Update
        * Vertu Aster gets 117-carat 5th gen sapphire crystal screen cover

        * Navdy Raises $6.5 Million for Heads-Up Driving Display
        * Create Nested Folders and Hide Apps in iOS 8
        * Facebook to announce third quarter 2014 results Oct. 28
        * Apple CarPlay Aftermarket Systems Are Now Available Through Pioneer
        * A New Apple Patent Hints at the Future of the iOS Remote
        * Google’s ‘The Physical Web’ Aims to Make the Internet Of Things App-Less
        * Camera51 Finds the Best Angle for the Perfect Shot

        * Guide to National League rooting interests for White Sox fans
        * Third-base coach McEwing to interview for D-backs job
        * Guide to American League rooting interests for White Sox fans
        * Anderson, Edwards prospects to watch in AFL
        * Manager notes: How Robin Ventura and Chris Sale get along
        * Voting underway to decide Hank Aaron Awards
        * Development of young core in '15 can define Chicago's future


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Major Person in Gov Quinn's Anti-Violence Progr.....
        * Barickman: NRI funding continues after program .....
        * Video: College Republicans Use Wedding Dresses .....
        * Fiscal Policy Report Card on America’s Governor.....
        * Governors Make Fiscal Progress..
        * Local political leaders sense anger preceeding .....


        * Data show Illinois marijuana business competition
        * Truck strikes, killed 3-year-old boy in Decatur
        * Waukegan schools close as teachers' strike begins
        * Nearly 500 flights canceled at Chicago's airports
        * Fire destroys 134-year-old historic Perry church
        * Obama hits Chicago to stump for Gov. Quinn
        * AP PHOTOS: Lines linger for famed Chicago hot dogs
        * 20-years in prison for hit-run crash that killed 2
        * Official: Donations drying up for Lincoln library
        * Respiratory virus seen in 4 deaths; role unclear

        * Obama in Chicago raising campaign cash for Quinn
        * Governor candidates’ views on Obama library evolve
        * Obama in Chicago for political appearances
        * Donations drying up for Lincoln Presidential Library foundation, chairman tells lawmakers
        * ALPLM at center of legislative hearing in Chicago
        * Former head of anti-violence program to testify
        * Appellate court: State workers owed back wages
        * Quinn leans on top Democratic support — Obamas, Clinton
        * IDOC investigation prompts state prison warden to retire
        * Lawmaker panel plans to resume anti-violence program investigation

        * Here's why Chicago-area flight control sabotage was so devastating
        * Hundreds of Chicago flights canceled as bad weather moves in
        * Chicago canceled flights near 750 due to weather, last week's sabotage
        * Warren Buffett wants to sell you a car
        * Sears to sell most of Sears Canada stake


        * Tragedy demands review of DCFS
        * Ease up on school budgets permanently
        * Keep the heat on political corruption
        * Burge leaving prison, but a mess remains
        * Emanuel prods sister agencies to mandate $13-an-hour wage
        * The thug life runs deep
        * Vigil held for Skokie teens; two Niles North seniors shot, one killed
        * Taxi reforms steer in the right direction
        * Thunderstorms early Thursday could disrupt O’Hare, Midway flights
        * Northeastern Illinois University unveils flashy new building on NW Side


        * Woman held in sister's death was also charged in 2001 slaying
        * Nearly 500 flights canceled at O'Hare, Midway as storms approach
        * Police: Man barricaded in Bartlett plant, claims to have bomb
        * Arrests in theft of $250,000 worth of watches from Gold Coast store
        * Police investigate shooting death at Des Plaines gun range
        * Neighbors lose a protector to a street robbery
        * Coyote expected to recover after getting stuck in car grill
        * Burge leaves prison today after serving time for lying about police torture
        * Prosecutors in Ferguson case probe report of jury misconduct
        * 5 wounded in separate city shootings


        * After A Prisoner Escapes
        * History Series: The First Illinois Legislature
        * Donations Drying Up For Lincoln Library Foundation
        * LLCC Announces New Ag Programs
        * Tim Landis: Bike Lanes, Medical Marijuana And Meat
        * Clock Ticking On Illinois Prison Crowding
        * Decatur Unemployment Shows Biggest Drop In Nation
        * Quinn Lauds Affordable Care Act, Backs Down From State Marketplace
        * A Redo On Redistricting
        * Polls Showing Illinois Governor's Race A Draw


        * Obama in Chicago raising campaign cash for Quinn
        * Our View: Lawmakers, stay away from the IHSA
        * On Lincoln’s Side: Lincoln gambles on Nevada
        * Brian Gaines: Why Illinois needs redistricting reform
        * George Will: A new case for term limits
        * Eugene Robinson: Get the authorization
        * Bernard Schoenburg: The long, short of public perceptions of candidates for governor
        * Governor candidates’ views on Obama library evolve
        * Obama in Chicago for political appearances
        * Donations drying up for Lincoln Presidential Library foundation, chairman tells lawmakers


        * Film capsules, Oct. 2, 2014
        * Rantoul man faces DUI charges in August crash
        * Clubs listings, Oct. 2-9, 2014
        * Chuck Koplinski: Identity issues propel super mystery 'Gone Girl'
        * Trio bringing contemporary Celtic music to Upper Bout
        * Music Q&A: Rob Compa of Dopapod
        * Myths, reality tell tales of homeless
        * Fire destroys historic Perry church
        * Directing 'Leading Ladies' a fun challenge
        * Entertainment lists, Oct. 2-9, 2014


        * Wayfair gains in debut after online furniture retailer's ipo
        * Faceoff in Hong Kong: 3 sides, all with options
        * Hong Kong police warn protesters not to charge buildings
        * Texting apps required gear for Hong Kong protests
        * BC-US--Supreme Court-Headscarves, 1st Ld-Writethru,488 Court takes up hear religious bias case over hijab

        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement in...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...

        * Sen. Dick Durbin: Elimination of earmarks ......
        * Sen. Dick Durbin: Elimination of earmarks ......
        * Sen. Dick Durbin: Elimination of bills’ ea......
        * Durbin: Reid Sounded Good in Call From Hos......
        * Durbin: Reid Sounded Good in Call From Hos......

        * Obama to raise money for Quinn, speak at N......
        * Governor race focuses on labor, unemployment...
        * Israel On The Outs Over Iran?...

        * The Weekend Desk Report
        * The Age Of Chicago's Poverty
        * Six great ways to enhance your personal safety
        * Illinois REALTORS® talk about creating safety awareness after Arkansas agent’s death
        * Kaifesh captures Illinois congressional endorsements
        * New Obama EPA regulations mean higher energy prices for Illinoisans
        * Schilling proposes five health care solutions
        * Where's Weyermuller? At Myalls vs. Fine 17th House District Debate
        * Central Illinois Republican Mayor featured in new Quinn campaign ad
        * Mainstream environmentalists flip out over stingray catch [video]


        * Screwed Up
        * Jobs Governor
        * Wake Up
        * Rauner Launches Three New TV Ads
        * Quinn must take lame duck tax vote off the table




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller