* Yesterday’s State of the State address was aimed right at Gov. Pat Quinn’s base, as WUIS accurately points out…
Quinn laid out a list of proposals that seem finely honed to appeal to Democratic voters: increasing the minimum wage, doubling a tax credit for the working poor, and requiring at least two days of sick time for all employees.
“We need to help our workers, especially our single parents, avoid that awful choice: dragging themselves from a sick bed to work, or losing a day’s pay — or maybe even their job,” Quinn says.
Quinn also called for a big expansion of the grants that help low-income people go to college. In recent years, Illinois has run out of money and had to stop giving out so-called MAP grants midway through the school year.
Then, there’s the “Birth to Five Initiative,” aimed at helping low-income children from the womb through kindergarten.
* Before he can gear up to defend himself against the eventual GOP nominee, Quinn needs to get his own base fired up. Remember these polls of mine from last year?…
Capitol Fax/We Ask America poll of 1,394 likely Democratic primary voters on July 19 found that Quinn was leading Daley 38-33. In that poll, the governor was getting less than half — 47 percent — of the black vote, while Daley was getting 26 percent, which isn’t bad when you figure that another quarter of the black vote was still up for grabs. […]
[Another poll] I commissioned on Aug. 12, which found that 48 percent of 1,538 likely Democratic primary voters were dissatisfied with their choice between Quinn and Daley and 9 percent were unsure. So a clear 57 percent majority were either unhappy or ambivalent about the two announced candidates.
Among black Democrats, just 31 percent were satisfied and a huge 57 percent were dissatisfied with their two choices.
It’s pretty obvious that lots of Democrats want somebody else to run, and black Democrats are particularly eager to see another candidate get into the race.
Quinn is not overwhelmingly popular with black voters. Just 47 percent back Quinn against Daley, according to the July poll, and Quinn’s job approval rating in a June poll among black Democrats was a mere 28 percent, while 40 percent disapproved.
I seriously doubt he’s moved the needle much since then.