SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Pigs, wings, fly

Tuesday, Feb 25, 2014

* Illinois Review

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bill Brady claims new poll results show the Republican primary is now a two-way race between himself and businessman Bruce Rauner.

“We think our support is growing and Bruce Rauner’s support is waning, Senator Kirk Dillard’s has capped off,” Brady told reporters on a phone call Monday afternoon. Brady said his campaign planned to share their findings in the next few days. “Rauner’s support is very superficial,” he said.

* I happen to agree with Brady that he’s the second choice of lots of voters. I’ve been told about other polling that supports my theory.

But, really, so what?

If somebody magically gave Brady $2 million today I think he could make this a real race.

But the hard truth is nobody’s gonna give him that money.

* Dillard ain’t getting out of the race because he has the IEA cash keeping him afloat. Rutherford ain’t getting out because he doesn’t want to admit to wrongdoing.

This is all just fantasy talk.

* Maybe Brady can make a late run up the right side like he did in 2010, but Brady raised a whole lot more cash back then than he has this time.

Two members of my family are taking Republican ballots to “stop Rauner.” Trouble is, they have no idea what to do with that ballot. They had been for Rutherford, but not now. They don’t really know much about Dillard and they’re not exactly ideologically aligned with Brady (or Dillard, for that matter).

* So, hey, maybe there will be a gigantic surprise on primary day. But until Brady can demonstrate he can compete on the “real” playing field (TV) and not just show up for events and issue press releases, then what chance does he have?

Money talks, kids. And hope ain’t a plan, especially this late in the game.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


36 Comments
  1. - Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:34 am:

    “Money talks, kids”

    My friend used to say that without money, not even God cares.


  2. - Jim'e' - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    Man, I agree totally with your relatives. I was planning on pulling a repbulican ballot, but with the Rutherford stuff happending I’m at a loss. Why would I want to see a repeat of four years ago and vote for Brady? Althought I agree with his hard pension vote, and feel Dillard copped out when he had a chance to stand for something.


  3. - PublicServant - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    Money talks is exactly the wrong thing to say about the pernicious effects of money in politics. It encourages the belief that Money is speech. Money is volume, and Rauner is using it to drown out any discussion of ideas (whether conservative or not), proven by Rauner dominating the airwaves and saying nothing.


  4. - Jim'e' - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:38 am:

    sorry for the ‘misspellings’


  5. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:41 am:

    When placing 2nd means winning the Nomination, let me know…


  6. - Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:47 am:

    “pernicious effects of money in politics”

    The very people who want to curb the power of special interests in politics are flooding the system with money.

    Meet the new boss, same as the old boss, several or many times over.


  7. - Carl Nyberg - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:47 am:

    “I coulda been a contenduh!”


  8. - Westward - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:49 am:

    I lean with the maybe there will be a surprise come primary day. Having said that, people can talk that talk about pulling ballots to “stop BR” but I’m not buying it. Until proven otherwise, history suggests voters are scarce and apathetic on primary dates when you must pull a partisan ballot and had that information documented.


  9. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:52 am:

    Brady, Dillard and Rutherford act like they believe second place counts for something. None of them are an acceptable default for Rauner at this point, so their squabbling that they can prevail by staying in primary is ridiculous.


  10. - Boone's is Back - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:58 am:

    ===Money talks, kids. And hope ain’t a plan, especially this late in the game.===

    I imagine the GOP hopefuls reading that today and legitimately crying.


  11. - PoolGuy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:58 am:

    in addition to OW’s comment, do they award silver medals in primaries?


  12. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:05 am:

    And this is precisely why I have been predicting a Rauner win for the past year, despite being mocked by some folks around here. You don’t beat Rauner with three fatally flawed candidates.

    Rutherford flamed out, more or less, for the reasons I expected. Sure - nobody saw it happening quite so bizarrely but we knew what was going to be his undoing.

    Dillard has contorted himself into such an ideological pretzel that he doesn’t know which end is up and Brady is deluding himself if he thinks he’s going to stop Rauner with his $55,000 raised or whatever the current feeble figures are.

    This is Rauner’s race to lose and he will have to do something spectacularly stupid to lose it at this point.


  13. - A guy... - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    There just may be enough people out there who want to “fire” these guys for their share of the economic disaster of the past decade. Pat Quinn benefited greatly from the mantra of “at least this guy won’t wind up in prison”. The expectations are low and still not being met. When the unions are the 800 lb. gorilla throwing around all the cash, you hear some scuttlebutt. When it’s a guy poring a lot of dough into his own campaign it’s decisively louder. There is some apathy. Even some disgust. Rich or not, BR is a fresh face to people and that’s going a long way right now. It helps that he’s run an uber competent campaign and looks like a guy who enjoys it. He’s not road weary. The others are.


  14. - downstate hack - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Dillard is the only option to stop Rauner and beat Quinn. Brady has no money, and couldn’t beat Quinn in a Repub year.


  15. - A guy... - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:17 am:

    Downstate Hack, little snark, but playfully…..Boss, boss, da plane!


  16. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:17 am:

    –If somebody magically gave Brady $2 million today I think he could make this a real race.–

    I agree. From my observation, people Downstate are dying for someone out of the Chicago metro, regardless of party.

    The fact that Bill Brady can’t raise $2 rocks, from anywhere, just shows you how well Rauner has locked down the money.

    His fundraising peeps are going to have a lot of work in the years to come. They are rock stars.


  17. - Out Here In The Middle - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:22 am:

    Nevada includes a “none of the above” choice on ballots. Given the choices it seems like a good move.


  18. - From the 'Dale to HP - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:25 am:

    If someone gave Dillard $2 million today it’d be an interesting race. Rauner’s support is more process of elimination than it’s “strong Rauner”. Has anyone met a strong Rauner?

    If Dillard got up on TV today and every day for the next three weeks this could be interesting. But he won’t and this won’t be interesting.


  19. - Tommydanger - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:40 am:

    I just don’t get the Quixote-like campaign that Rutherford has now chosen. He has virtually no chance of winning and by remaining in he virtually guarantees a Rauner win.

    Will Republicans remember him more fondly as a flawed person who strategically left the primary so more viable candidates could challenge Rauner or a flawed, delusional and irresponsible person who stayed in thereby ensuring a Rauner win.


  20. - Downstate Weed Chewing Hick - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:42 am:

    -If Dillard got up on TV today and every day for the next three weeks this could be interesting-

    The people who already know Dillard the best, those in his own district, don’t favor him. He is going nowhere statewide, even with the magic $2 Mil.


  21. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:54 am:

    ===If Dillard got up on TV today and every day===

    Yeah, and if the Cubs didn’t suck, they’d win the World Series every year.


  22. - OneMan - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:57 am:

    == Yeah, and if the Cubs didn’t suck, they’d win the World Series every year. ==

    Now that is just crazy talk…


  23. - Westward - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:59 am:

    The notion that if Brady or Dillard somehow had an influx of cash to run TV ads is a flawed notion. For every dollar they could muster, BR would throw 10x that right back at them with his own flood of ads. Whoever said it’s BR’s race to lose is about spot on. I can’t help but say it again, just because you’ve been a lawmaker, elected, in Springfield for many years doesn’t make you the smartest politico. VMan was so dead on: the time for fresh is ripe and the past is old mold to so many voters.


  24. - PoolGuy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:19 pm:

    Rich now the Cubs don’t suck this year… yet


  25. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:28 pm:

    To the Post,

    This idea of being the “alternative” to both Rauners is just Folly, politically speaking.

    To be an alternative, you need to show competence in message, execution, the means to elaborate that you are the alternative, and finally BE seen as a legitimate contender beyond one race, and towards the second race.

    No snark, the “3″, while real ballot choices by virtue of…being on the ballot, are not choices seen as “able to” compete the mission of beating both Rauners and the other “2″ come March.

    No money.

    No Organizational apparatus.

    No GOTV, adding no “pluses ” harvested to build upon raw vote totals.

    The financial constrains have diminished the reality of victory. Claiming second, does not a Nominee make.

    As “Buck” Weaver asked “Chick” Gandil, “Show me somethin’!”

    I have been shown nothing, and even the Crickets are silent too.


  26. - anonymoose - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:54 pm:

    I know a committeeman passing out literature “vote for Brady” - so there is some sign of a ground game. Trouble figuring out who to vote for, but I am resigned to a Brady re-tread. Bill Brady 2014….”STOP RAUNER - MAKE SIX MILLION DOLLAR MAN SPEND IT ALL.”


  27. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 1:06 pm:

    IF THIS POLL SHOWED BRADY AHEAD TEN POINTS, WE ALL KNOW WHAT THAT WILL MEAN ON ELECTION DAY - RIGHT?

    Bill - shoot for a twenty point lead, then I’ll listen to you.


  28. - Angry Republican - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 1:55 pm:

    “in addition to OW’s comment, do they award silver medals in primaries?”

    I think we can all agree that second place gets steak knives


  29. - In the Middle - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:14 pm:

    In 2010, it took Brady awhile to concede defeat. He just couldn’t accept it then and he’s not accepting it now.

    Pyrrhic victory? Pyrrhic, but no victory.


  30. - Harley - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:21 pm:

    I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.


  31. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:34 pm:

    ===I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.===

    How much advice does one need when the talking points are;

    Career Politicians, Union Bosses, “Shake up Springfield”, term limits…and nothing else.

    The guy is a Billionaire, Rauner can remember a half dozen talking points, lol


  32. - Downstater - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 3:18 pm:

    If, and it is a gigantic “if”, Brady would win the primary, as “Dandy” Don Meredith sang, “turn out the lights. It’s over!”


  33. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 4:30 pm:

    The hardest thing for Brady, Rutherford and Dillard to face is the big money people no longer feel they need to back the best politician in the Republican Party. They can just back one of their own, buying the office outright; political skills and a detailed message are quite unnecessary.


  34. - Robert the Bruce - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 5:09 pm:

    ==I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.==
    Agree. I wonder if, like Quinn, he’s his own advisor.


  35. - Robert the Bruce - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    == political skills and a detailed message are quite unnecessary.==
    I’m no Rauner fan, but he does seem to me to have some natural political skills (fundraising, sticking with talking points, he knows how to use his money to influence). And I’m not sure a detailed message is a path to victory in a republican primary.


  36. - Just The Way It Is One - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 9:00 pm:

    From the Post: “This is all just fantasy talk.” Well-put/my sentiments exactly…! Oh, sure, shockers occur, like BB pulling off that 193 vote margin feat four years ago, but…just don’t see that happenin’ this time, all things considered with even almost a whole month to go, barring some unbelievable/unpredictable development. Nope–sorry to the Dreamers out there, but, not this time. It’s over on the GOP Side, and which the Pro-Quinn Dems.’assault reflect, is now, as evidenced by those same PACs’ TV Ads bashing br–and against br alone–running day and night/high and wide now…!


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Oops
* CPS running on fumes
* This has to change
* Today's number: 86 percent
* Department of Revenue projection slammed as "absurd"
* Looking on the bright side
* *** UPDATED x1 - Cullerton responds *** Manar proposal whacked by GOP
* Stuff that sounds good
* Illinois Credit Unions: Giving Back to Our Communities
* State receipts down $5 billion, unpaid health insurance claims top $3 billion
* Lawsuit filed by unpaid social service providers
* Games people play
* Lucas threatens to walk
* Whistling past the graveyard
* Group warns another power generator has hands out in GA
* *** UPDATED x1 - Mitchell won't call it *** Graduated tax hike blasted
* Today's quotable
* *** LIVE *** Session Coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* iPhone named most influential, Galaxy Note 6 leaks & more – Pocketnow Daily
* Sprint preps Virgin Mobile for a reboot to stop prepaid bloodletting
* Samsung wants to clear out T-Mobile Galaxy S6 generation with $150 rebate
* FM radio activated with update to T-Mobile Galaxy S7, S7 edge
* The first Verizon, unlocked HTC 10s are shipping
* There’s 20W fast charging on the OnePlus 3, but what’s it called?
* Fitbit shares tank after reporting a weak outlook amid rising competition

* Cooper hopes fresh start helps Danks
* Fulmer settling in at Double-A, won't be rushed
* Danks has no hard feelings for White Sox
* White Sox give the people what they want with John Danks DFA
* Quintana quiets Red Sox as Abreu stays hot
* Abreu's bat sizzling after early fizzle
* Rodon moves up as series continues with Red Sox

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Analysis adds fuel to fight over Illinois schoo.....
* 64 service agencies sue Illinois governor for $.....
* Lawmaker calls school funding bill a Chicago 'b.....
* Lawmakers call school funding bill a Chicago 'b.....
* Analysis Adds Fuel to Fight Over Illinois Schoo.....
* Sponsor shelves graduated income tax proposal -.....
* Union-commissioned poll shows support for arbit.....
* Analysis adds fuel to fight over Illinois schoo.....
* Sauk Valley agencies among group suing governor.....


* Analysis adds fuel to fight over Illinois school funding
* Ex-MillerCoors official pleads guilty in $8M fraud
* Durbin to meet with NGA director on St. Louis headquarters
* Illinois Democrats drop plan to tax wealthy at higher rates
* Trial set for 2 men accused of dismembering woman's body
* Urbana officers hope crime lab can help solve 1988 cold case
* Chicago mayor hopes court appeal can save Lucas museum
* Illinois service agencies sue governor for $100M past due
* Illinois senator wants to stop using 'alien' for immigrants
* EXCHANGE: Veteran's lost dog tag returned 45 years later

* Heroin epidemic demands new approach, officials say
* House remap amendment dies in Senate committee
* Manar critical of State Board of Education’s funding formula calculations
* Families sue over transgender access to locker room in Palatine
* Sponsor shelves graduated income tax proposal; Rauner blamed for lack of votes
* Illinois service agencies sue Rauner for $100M past due
* Durbin to meet with NGA director on St. Louis headquarters
* Illinois lawmakers urge Boeing not to sell aircraft to Iran
* After Hastert sentencing, Illinois weighs change to child sex abuse law
* Sponsor shelves graduated income tax proposal, then blames Rauner for lack of votes

* CTU decides not to set a strike date-for now
* CTU decides not to set a strike date—for now
* Ex-MillerCoors exec pleads guity to defrauding company of $8.6 million
* Ex-MillerCoors exec pleads guity to $8.6 million fraud
* Tribune Publishing board unanimously rejects Gannett offer


* Aurora police investigate shots fired over the weekend
* Police warn of North Side business burglaries
* White Sox add by subtracting but 5th starter role still uncertain
* Body pulled from Montrose Harbor
* Sneed: Lucas museum struggle is its own drama
* One wounded in Englewood shooting
* Suburban families file lawsuit in transgender locker room case
* ‘Elstree 1976’: The bit players of ‘Star Wars’ strike back
* Man seriously wounded in Austin shooting
* Turkey tale with a buddy twist: Turkey of the Week


* Las Vegas' own Kris Bryant and Bryce Harper 'bound by common passion'
* Affidavit reveals slain Navajo girl was sexually assaulted, beaten with tire iron
* Attorney: Prince arranged to meet addiction doctor
* Man charged in Buffalo Grove woman's death was acting 'paranoid,' brother says
* Tribune Publishing rejects Gannett offer
* Trump: Hillary Clinton was the one who started the 'birther' movement
* Feds: North Carolina LGBT bathroom law violates civil rights protections
* Baseball notes: Reavis' Kyle Murnane has eye on state record for steals
* Kamin: Hobson's argument on Lucas museum rings false
* Cubs' Jon Lester makes most out of sticky situation


* George F. Will: The misadventures of Fannie and Freddie
* Their View: The heretical Minnesota heart study: When science stops asking questions
* Heroin epidemic demands new approach, officials say
* Eugene Robinson: Trump fills a vacuum left by the GOP
* Union-commissioned poll shows support for arbitration
* House remap amendment dies in Senate committee
* Manar critical of State Board of Education’s funding formula calculations
* Families sue over transgender access to locker room in Palatine
* Sponsor shelves graduated income tax proposal; Rauner blamed for lack of votes
* U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin: There are compelling reasons to close Guantanamo


* EIU: Funding needed to avoid layoffs
* Easter Seals' 10th annual Bollywood-themed fundraiser will be May 13
* HS Baseball: PBL vs. Blue Ridge
* Honor Flight volunteer says veterans received recognition at every turn in visit to D.C.
* South Side Mission's annual banquet will feature Tony Evans as keynote speaker
* Street closures listing
* Crash in Edgar County kills Marshall man
* Arrest made in April shooting in Champaign
* South Side Mission seeks counselors for Camp Kearney
* Paxton man charged in Rossville home invasion


* Imrem: Finding new Illini mascot no easy task
* Softball: Defense the difference for St. Charles North against Batavia
* Will Republican candidates in Illinois embrace Trump?
* Chicago White Sox VP Williams opens up about LaRoche situation
* Vernon Hills informally rejects plan for townhouses on former Forge Club site

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Durbin to meet with NGA director on St. Lo......
* Durbin to meet with NGA director on St. Lo......

* U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin: There are compellin......
* Kirk campaign, Brendan Kelly spar over pho......

* Trumps and Sanders win Indiana; Cruz suspends campaign
* UPDATE x1: Kasich plans 5 PM announcement today
* UPDATE x2: Kasich ends 2016 presidential bid
* Trump and Sanders win Indiana; Cruz suspends campaign
* Rendering For Residential Building on Irving Park Revealed
* Sanders Upsets Clinton, Wins Indiana Primary
* Human, Social Services Agencies Suing Illinois Over Breach Of Contract
* Cruz Drops Out Of 2016 Presidential Race
* Illinois Panel Votes Down Plan To Shutter Kewanee Youth Detention Center
* Kasich To Exit 2016 Presidential Race


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller