LIVE session coverage...
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Pigs, wings, fly

Tuesday, Feb 25, 2014

* Illinois Review

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bill Brady claims new poll results show the Republican primary is now a two-way race between himself and businessman Bruce Rauner.

“We think our support is growing and Bruce Rauner’s support is waning, Senator Kirk Dillard’s has capped off,” Brady told reporters on a phone call Monday afternoon. Brady said his campaign planned to share their findings in the next few days. “Rauner’s support is very superficial,” he said.

* I happen to agree with Brady that he’s the second choice of lots of voters. I’ve been told about other polling that supports my theory.

But, really, so what?

If somebody magically gave Brady $2 million today I think he could make this a real race.

But the hard truth is nobody’s gonna give him that money.

* Dillard ain’t getting out of the race because he has the IEA cash keeping him afloat. Rutherford ain’t getting out because he doesn’t want to admit to wrongdoing.

This is all just fantasy talk.

* Maybe Brady can make a late run up the right side like he did in 2010, but Brady raised a whole lot more cash back then than he has this time.

Two members of my family are taking Republican ballots to “stop Rauner.” Trouble is, they have no idea what to do with that ballot. They had been for Rutherford, but not now. They don’t really know much about Dillard and they’re not exactly ideologically aligned with Brady (or Dillard, for that matter).

* So, hey, maybe there will be a gigantic surprise on primary day. But until Brady can demonstrate he can compete on the “real” playing field (TV) and not just show up for events and issue press releases, then what chance does he have?

Money talks, kids. And hope ain’t a plan, especially this late in the game.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


36 Comments
  1. - Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:34 am:

    “Money talks, kids”

    My friend used to say that without money, not even God cares.


  2. - Jim'e' - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    Man, I agree totally with your relatives. I was planning on pulling a repbulican ballot, but with the Rutherford stuff happending I’m at a loss. Why would I want to see a repeat of four years ago and vote for Brady? Althought I agree with his hard pension vote, and feel Dillard copped out when he had a chance to stand for something.


  3. - PublicServant - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:37 am:

    Money talks is exactly the wrong thing to say about the pernicious effects of money in politics. It encourages the belief that Money is speech. Money is volume, and Rauner is using it to drown out any discussion of ideas (whether conservative or not), proven by Rauner dominating the airwaves and saying nothing.


  4. - Jim'e' - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:38 am:

    sorry for the ‘misspellings’


  5. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:41 am:

    When placing 2nd means winning the Nomination, let me know…


  6. - Grandson of Man - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:47 am:

    “pernicious effects of money in politics”

    The very people who want to curb the power of special interests in politics are flooding the system with money.

    Meet the new boss, same as the old boss, several or many times over.


  7. - Carl Nyberg - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:47 am:

    “I coulda been a contenduh!”


  8. - Westward - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:49 am:

    I lean with the maybe there will be a surprise come primary day. Having said that, people can talk that talk about pulling ballots to “stop BR” but I’m not buying it. Until proven otherwise, history suggests voters are scarce and apathetic on primary dates when you must pull a partisan ballot and had that information documented.


  9. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:52 am:

    Brady, Dillard and Rutherford act like they believe second place counts for something. None of them are an acceptable default for Rauner at this point, so their squabbling that they can prevail by staying in primary is ridiculous.


  10. - Boone's is Back - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:58 am:

    ===Money talks, kids. And hope ain’t a plan, especially this late in the game.===

    I imagine the GOP hopefuls reading that today and legitimately crying.


  11. - PoolGuy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 10:58 am:

    in addition to OW’s comment, do they award silver medals in primaries?


  12. - Chicago Cynic - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:05 am:

    And this is precisely why I have been predicting a Rauner win for the past year, despite being mocked by some folks around here. You don’t beat Rauner with three fatally flawed candidates.

    Rutherford flamed out, more or less, for the reasons I expected. Sure - nobody saw it happening quite so bizarrely but we knew what was going to be his undoing.

    Dillard has contorted himself into such an ideological pretzel that he doesn’t know which end is up and Brady is deluding himself if he thinks he’s going to stop Rauner with his $55,000 raised or whatever the current feeble figures are.

    This is Rauner’s race to lose and he will have to do something spectacularly stupid to lose it at this point.


  13. - A guy... - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    There just may be enough people out there who want to “fire” these guys for their share of the economic disaster of the past decade. Pat Quinn benefited greatly from the mantra of “at least this guy won’t wind up in prison”. The expectations are low and still not being met. When the unions are the 800 lb. gorilla throwing around all the cash, you hear some scuttlebutt. When it’s a guy poring a lot of dough into his own campaign it’s decisively louder. There is some apathy. Even some disgust. Rich or not, BR is a fresh face to people and that’s going a long way right now. It helps that he’s run an uber competent campaign and looks like a guy who enjoys it. He’s not road weary. The others are.


  14. - downstate hack - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Dillard is the only option to stop Rauner and beat Quinn. Brady has no money, and couldn’t beat Quinn in a Repub year.


  15. - A guy... - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:17 am:

    Downstate Hack, little snark, but playfully…..Boss, boss, da plane!


  16. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:17 am:

    –If somebody magically gave Brady $2 million today I think he could make this a real race.–

    I agree. From my observation, people Downstate are dying for someone out of the Chicago metro, regardless of party.

    The fact that Bill Brady can’t raise $2 rocks, from anywhere, just shows you how well Rauner has locked down the money.

    His fundraising peeps are going to have a lot of work in the years to come. They are rock stars.


  17. - Out Here In The Middle - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:22 am:

    Nevada includes a “none of the above” choice on ballots. Given the choices it seems like a good move.


  18. - From the 'Dale to HP - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:25 am:

    If someone gave Dillard $2 million today it’d be an interesting race. Rauner’s support is more process of elimination than it’s “strong Rauner”. Has anyone met a strong Rauner?

    If Dillard got up on TV today and every day for the next three weeks this could be interesting. But he won’t and this won’t be interesting.


  19. - Tommydanger - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:40 am:

    I just don’t get the Quixote-like campaign that Rutherford has now chosen. He has virtually no chance of winning and by remaining in he virtually guarantees a Rauner win.

    Will Republicans remember him more fondly as a flawed person who strategically left the primary so more viable candidates could challenge Rauner or a flawed, delusional and irresponsible person who stayed in thereby ensuring a Rauner win.


  20. - Downstate Weed Chewing Hick - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:42 am:

    -If Dillard got up on TV today and every day for the next three weeks this could be interesting-

    The people who already know Dillard the best, those in his own district, don’t favor him. He is going nowhere statewide, even with the magic $2 Mil.


  21. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:54 am:

    ===If Dillard got up on TV today and every day===

    Yeah, and if the Cubs didn’t suck, they’d win the World Series every year.


  22. - OneMan - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:57 am:

    == Yeah, and if the Cubs didn’t suck, they’d win the World Series every year. ==

    Now that is just crazy talk…


  23. - Westward - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 11:59 am:

    The notion that if Brady or Dillard somehow had an influx of cash to run TV ads is a flawed notion. For every dollar they could muster, BR would throw 10x that right back at them with his own flood of ads. Whoever said it’s BR’s race to lose is about spot on. I can’t help but say it again, just because you’ve been a lawmaker, elected, in Springfield for many years doesn’t make you the smartest politico. VMan was so dead on: the time for fresh is ripe and the past is old mold to so many voters.


  24. - PoolGuy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:19 pm:

    Rich now the Cubs don’t suck this year… yet


  25. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:28 pm:

    To the Post,

    This idea of being the “alternative” to both Rauners is just Folly, politically speaking.

    To be an alternative, you need to show competence in message, execution, the means to elaborate that you are the alternative, and finally BE seen as a legitimate contender beyond one race, and towards the second race.

    No snark, the “3″, while real ballot choices by virtue of…being on the ballot, are not choices seen as “able to” compete the mission of beating both Rauners and the other “2″ come March.

    No money.

    No Organizational apparatus.

    No GOTV, adding no “pluses ” harvested to build upon raw vote totals.

    The financial constrains have diminished the reality of victory. Claiming second, does not a Nominee make.

    As “Buck” Weaver asked “Chick” Gandil, “Show me somethin’!”

    I have been shown nothing, and even the Crickets are silent too.


  26. - anonymoose - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 12:54 pm:

    I know a committeeman passing out literature “vote for Brady” - so there is some sign of a ground game. Trouble figuring out who to vote for, but I am resigned to a Brady re-tread. Bill Brady 2014….”STOP RAUNER - MAKE SIX MILLION DOLLAR MAN SPEND IT ALL.”


  27. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 1:06 pm:

    IF THIS POLL SHOWED BRADY AHEAD TEN POINTS, WE ALL KNOW WHAT THAT WILL MEAN ON ELECTION DAY - RIGHT?

    Bill - shoot for a twenty point lead, then I’ll listen to you.


  28. - Angry Republican - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 1:55 pm:

    “in addition to OW’s comment, do they award silver medals in primaries?”

    I think we can all agree that second place gets steak knives


  29. - In the Middle - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:14 pm:

    In 2010, it took Brady awhile to concede defeat. He just couldn’t accept it then and he’s not accepting it now.

    Pyrrhic victory? Pyrrhic, but no victory.


  30. - Harley - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:21 pm:

    I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.


  31. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 2:34 pm:

    ===I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.===

    How much advice does one need when the talking points are;

    Career Politicians, Union Bosses, “Shake up Springfield”, term limits…and nothing else.

    The guy is a Billionaire, Rauner can remember a half dozen talking points, lol


  32. - Downstater - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 3:18 pm:

    If, and it is a gigantic “if”, Brady would win the primary, as “Dandy” Don Meredith sang, “turn out the lights. It’s over!”


  33. - Wensicia - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 4:30 pm:

    The hardest thing for Brady, Rutherford and Dillard to face is the big money people no longer feel they need to back the best politician in the Republican Party. They can just back one of their own, buying the office outright; political skills and a detailed message are quite unnecessary.


  34. - Robert the Bruce - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 5:09 pm:

    ==I found it interesting at the recent gubernatorial debate in Springfield that Bruce Rauner was the only candidate that did not speak to his advisors during the TV breaks.==
    Agree. I wonder if, like Quinn, he’s his own advisor.


  35. - Robert the Bruce - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    == political skills and a detailed message are quite unnecessary.==
    I’m no Rauner fan, but he does seem to me to have some natural political skills (fundraising, sticking with talking points, he knows how to use his money to influence). And I’m not sure a detailed message is a path to victory in a republican primary.


  36. - Just The Way It Is One - Tuesday, Feb 25, 14 @ 9:00 pm:

    From the Post: “This is all just fantasy talk.” Well-put/my sentiments exactly…! Oh, sure, shockers occur, like BB pulling off that 193 vote margin feat four years ago, but…just don’t see that happenin’ this time, all things considered with even almost a whole month to go, barring some unbelievable/unpredictable development. Nope–sorry to the Dreamers out there, but, not this time. It’s over on the GOP Side, and which the Pro-Quinn Dems.’assault reflect, is now, as evidenced by those same PACs’ TV Ads bashing br–and against br alone–running day and night/high and wide now…!


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - EXCLUSIVE: Paul Green's Chicago election analysis
* *** UPDATED x1 - AFL-CIO calls bill "Trojan Horse" *** Rauner cranks it up another notch
* Priorities, please
* The Senate Dems fully join the fight
* Rauner asks agencies for strike plans, impacts
* Caption contest!
* Question of the day
* Illinois switches marketing gears
* December's quotable
* Pot, meet kettle
* Sign of the times?
* Exelon backs off closure threats for now
* Credit Unions – Cooperative in structure, valued in service
* Having it both ways
* No surprise, Trib is fully on board
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* Rauner again demanding Senate side with him over Madigan
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * New details arrive on next-gen YotaPhone hardware
        * More details emerge on the rumored Lumia flagships
        * Google signature font Roboto now an open source
        * Google brings iOS app suggestions to search results, sort of
        * Asus Z00EDB smartphone gets TENAA certification in China
        * 13 must-have Windows Phone apps for console and computer gamers
        * Apple Watch Shown Charging Through 6-Pin Diagnostic Port in New Video

        * Jawbone Sues Fitbit Ahead of Rival’s IPO
        * The Fruit Alton Brown Recommends for Grilling
        * We Want to Build Oculus for Kids, CEO Brendan Iribe Says
        * Oculus Will Finally Talk About Controllers at E3, CEO Teases
        * Oculus CEO Brendan Iribe Says Coming Decades Will Define Virtual Reality
        * New Motorola Model Could Sport “Unbreakable” Display
        * LG G Pad X 8.3 Launches On Verizon May 28th

        * White Sox 5, Blue Jays 3 (10 innings): Wacky win
        * White Sox slip past Blue Jays in 10 innings
        * MLB.TV unveils new Web-based media player
        * White Sox get a refresher course in lineup construction
        * White Sox fall late on walk-off home run
        * White Sox fall late on walk-off home run
        * Robertson bemoans pitch that led to blown save

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Our View: Who will right Illinois' fiscal ship?..
        * Democrats tweak plan to separate Lincoln museum..
        * Why is Rauner dissing the Chicagoland Chamber o.....
        * No surprise, Trib is fully on board..
        * Illinois Democrats Seek To Tax Their Way Out Of.....
        * House Democrats Respond To Budget Criticism..
        * Democrats Put Up Budget Cuts for Desired Defeat..
        * Illinois Bill Penalizes for Leaving Pets in Ext.....
        * The other showdown in Springfield..
        * Updated: Illinois Senate rejects Rauner's prior.....


        * Illinois school funding would increase in Democratic budget
        * Democrats tweak plan to separate Lincoln museum
        * Man acquitted of cruelty for smoking pot with chameleon
        * Medical examiner says food critic drowned during seizure
        * Illinois House passes measure to battle heroin abuse
        * Democrats present deep budget cuts, watch easy defeat
        * Bloomington man to be released from sex offender program
        * Changes made to Rauner's hiring-reform legislation
        * Alderman's ex-staffer who took $7,500 bribe sentenced
        * County officials seek rezoning of Fairdale for rebuilding

        * New version of Lincoln presidential museum bill surfaces
        * Illinois Senate rejects Rauner's priorities, advances budget
        * Heroin abuse bill passes House
        * Changes made to Gov. Rauner's hiring-reform legislation
        * Illinois Senate panel rejects Rauner's workers compensation proposal
        * Legislature takes up Gov. Rauner's proposed reforms
        * Democrats start passing parts of state budget; Republicans say it's phony
        * Democrats start passing parts of budget
        * Democrats show priorities as they advance 2016 budget plan
        * Bill expanding in-car blood-alcohol monitoring heads to governor

        * Top 0.01% of households gain as income concentration rises
        * Expect more cost cuts at Tribune Publishing papers
        * Michigan's Snyder clashes with fellow Republicans on union pay
        * Robert Coleman, unsuccessful AG candidate and successful lawyer, dies at 70
        * McDonald's, other FIFA sponsors may look at ties after raid


          * Judge delays edict on moving Slender Man stabbing case
          * Man's death at Aragon unrelated to building code violations, city says
          * Waukegan man pleads guilty to first-degree murder in 2014 shooting
          * Man killed on Northwest Side identified
          * Offensive photo that cost cop his job made public
          * Three injured in Gary attacks Tuesday
          * Rand Paul in Chicago: Crime 'not a racial thing, it is a spiritual problem'
          * Illinois House approves heroin treatment measure
          * Ex-aide to Ald. Brookins gets 15 months in prison for bribery
          * Lawsuit accuses Notre Dame professor of sexual assault


          * Avian flu outbreak takes poultry producers into uncharted territory
          * Grand Jury Indicts 6 Baltimore Officers In Freddie Gray's Death
          * Illinois moves to downgrade pot possession to a fine
          * FIFA officials arrested on charges of bribery and corruption
          * For Bears chairman, plenty to second guess in McDonald case
          * Lawyer: Suburban Chicago man to plead guilty in terror case
          * South Siders lobby for neighborhood promises in writing as Obama library takes shape
          * South Siders lobby for promises in writing as Obama library takes shape
          * Democrats introduce proposed $36.3 billion budget for 2016
          * Chicago Bears' Ray McDonald arrested in domestic violence case


          * New version of Lincoln presidential museum bill surfaces
          * Illinois Senate rejects Rauner's priorities, advances budget
          * Heroin abuse bill passes House
          * Changes made to Gov. Rauner's hiring-reform legislation
          * Democrats start passing parts of state budget; Republicans say it's phony
          * Michael Gerson: Religious conservatives' shifting role
          * Dalitso Sulamoyo: LIHEAP fund raid would put poor lives at risk
          * Bill expanding in-car blood-alcohol monitoring heads to governor
          * East St. Louis casino group to buy racetrack pending Illinois legislature's approval of slots
          * Rauner names new Illinois National Guard adjutant general


          * Vietnam vet approved for Illinois veterans assistant director post
          * Kentucky man killed in Johnson County crash
          * Updated: Illinois Senate rejects Rauner's priorities, advances budget
          * Two chancellor finalists to meet with SIU trustees
          * Color the Quads race is Saturday
          * Two men with rifle face felony charges
          * First hearing takes place on Angelo Hightower's position
          * SWAT member kills New Jersey man holding infant son hostage
          * Street closures listing
          * Rauner's hiring overhaul stalls


          * Boomers fall to CornBelters in extra innings
          * Images: White Sox over Blue Jays, 5-3
          * Missouri lawmakers file lawsuit over Rams stadium
          * Ex-LAPD officer wanted in killing was lying low in Mexico
          * Ex-Clemson basketball coach Bill Foster dies Wednesday

          * Combined Insurance Hosts First Military Hi...
          * FIFA's commercial partners urged to make t...
          * Bustos has problems with fast-track legisl...
          * Davis: Freedom Act restores liberties
          * Democrats hope for Hillary Clinton coattails
          * Democrats hope for Hillary Clinton coattails
          * Layoffs Looming For Granite City Steelworkers
          * Business and Government Leaders Discuss Ec...
          * Cheri Bustos Hosts Economic Summit to Grow...
          * Politics: Clinton, Secret Service go way back

          * Sen. Kirk Tours ADM in Peoria, Talks Impor......
          * Senators Durbin and Klubuchar lead push to......
          * How Sen. Grassley saved our family...

          * As Patriot Act's Chances Dim, Lawmakers Re......
          * Chicago Urban League loses CEO to U.S. Sen......
          * Republicans look to limit funds for ex-Pre......
          * Andrea Zopp makes Senate run official...

          * Report Outlines 'Lapses in Care' At IDOC Facilities
          * Obama's Immigration Orders Remain On Hold After Appeals Court Ruling
          * Report Details 'Lavish Perks' Enjoyed By Illinois Public College, University Executives
          * Republican Rick Santorum Enters 2016 Presidential Race
          * Labor Market Still Tough For Today's Young Grads, But Their Job Prospects Are Brighter
          * Chicago's Taxi Cab Task Force Unveils Safety Recommendations
          * Report Reveals Need For Child Welfare Reform In IL
          * Chicago Board Of Ed Postpones Vote On Nobel Charter School
          * Illinois Democrats Offer Up 2016 Budget Plan
          * EPI Wage Trend Chart


          * State Announces Business Resource Event Coming to Aurora - ‘Make a Connection’ networking and resource program promotes economic growth of small and diverse businesses
          * Gulf War Veteran Reports for Duty as IDVA Women Vets Coordinator, Vet Business Champion
          * Illinois EPA Pollution Prevention Interns begin Twelve Week Program at Illinois Facilities - Students find cost-effective approaches for reducing environmental impacts
          * Vietnam Veteran Confirmed as IDVA Assistant Director
          * The Illinois Department of Public Health Urges Illinoisans to Take Precautions Against West Nile Virus - Illinois Department of Public Health offers tips for avoiding mosquito bites




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller