SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: 52 percent feel “less safe” after concealed carry, but gun control positions softening

Monday, Mar 10, 2014

* From the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute’s latest poll

Now that Illinois has passed a law allowing registered trained citizens to carry loaded handguns in public, do you feel more safe or less safe?

More safe 31.8%

Less safe 52.3%

Neither/about the same (VOL) 12.9%

Other/Don’t know 3.0%

* From the Institute

Voters in the Chicago suburbs responded similarly to the statewide average, with 54.6 percent saying they felt less safe. Those in the City of Chicago were much more likely to say they felt less safe (64.5 percent). In downstate Illinois, opinion was evenly split, with 41.9 percent saying they felt more safe and 40.5 percent saying they felt less safe.

* The following results compare 2013 answers (first result) to the 2014 poll

Gun Rights vs. Gun Control
What do you think is more important? Protecting the right to own guns, or controlling gun ownership?

Response 2013 2014

Protecting the right to own guns 31.3% 41.5%

Controlling ownership 59.5% 53.0%

Other/Don’t know 9.2% 5.6%

Exceptions to Concealed Carry
Do you believe there should be exceptions to allowing concealed weapons in public places—excluding them from such places as schools, college campuses, shopping malls, and movie theaters?

Response 2013 2014

Yes 71.3% 56.7%

No 20.7% 35.7%

Other/Don’t know 8.0% 7.6%

Armed Guards in Schools
Do you favor or oppose putting more armed guards or police in schools?

Response 2013 2014

Favor 46.3% 53.1%

Oppose 44.8% 38.3%

Other/Don’t know 8.8% 8.6%

* Methodology

The 2014 Simon Poll interviewed 1,001 registered voters across Illinois. It has a margin for error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level. This means that if we were to conduct the survey 100 times, in 95 of those instances the results would vary by no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points from the results obtained here. The margin for error will be larger for demographic, geographic and response subgroups.

Live telephone interviews were conducted by Customer Research International of San Marcos, Texas. Cell phone interviews accounted for 30 percent of the sample. A Spanish language version of the questionnaire and a Spanish-speaking interviewer were made available. Customer Research International reports no Illinois political clients. The survey was paid for with non-tax dollars from the Institute’s endowment fund.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


40 Comments
  1. - D.P.Gumby - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:20 pm:

    How many people are going to feel obligated to get concealed carry to protect themselves against the many wackos who have gotten concealed carry. There are stories from other states that this MAD increases the number of guns in circulation, which satisfies the goal of the NRA carrying water for the gun manufacturers!


  2. - John Boch - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:22 pm:

    Some have said that fear of the unknown is the greatest fear of all. It’s powerful and it’s real. We’ve all felt it.

    Residents in Illinois have been conditioned for generations that the only people who have guns in public are cops and bad guys.

    With this new law, we’re introducing Prairie State residents to an entirely new cohort of public gun carriers… carry license holders or good guy civilians with guns.

    To those who feel anxiety towards the possibility that the guy behind you in line at the store is a pistol-packing good guy: Relax. Take a deep breath. It’s going to be okay. You’re at least as safe today as you were a month ago - and probably safer.

    Those licensed, card-carrying good guys have been checked out by local, county and state police, have no significant mental health or criminal issues, and are far more law-abiding on average than our state’s past few governors.

    Bad guys, on the other hand, have good cause to feel “less safe” about good guys carrying guns in public. Bad guys’ “jobs” being bullies in our society just got a good deal more dangerous and risky.

    John


  3. - John Boch - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:27 pm:

    D.P.Gumby: “the many wackos who have gotten concealed carry.”

    Name one, sir, if you would be so kind.

    John


  4. - RNUG - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:36 pm:

    Interesting, especially the fairly significant shift in just one year … but I’m not sure how representative it is. Suspect it may be unintentionally skewed some. Be nice to know the number of calls that were made that were not answered or that refused to participate; most the gun owners I know (admittedly downstate) don’t answer surveys.


  5. - wordslinger - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:37 pm:

    I felt safe without conceal carry, and I feel safe with it, although I don’t carry, as long as its off public transportation, out of schools and public buildings and private businesses can bar carry.


  6. - MrJM - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:47 pm:

    “How many people are going to feel obligated to get concealed carry to protect themselves against the many wackos who have gotten concealed carry.”

    I might if it were less expensive.

    – MrJM


  7. - Will Caskey - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:47 pm:

    The people in my immediate vicinity who wanted a gun already had one. Conceal-carry fans to not generally live on the northwest side of Chicago.

    I am indifferent to this law in terms of my and my family’s safety.

    I am fairly annoyed at the no-gun stickers though. Like, thanks ILGA. That’s a nice touch when I take my toddler to his park classes.


  8. - Chavez-respecting Obamist - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:47 pm:

    Not every civilian authorized to carry is a good guy.


  9. - Walker - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:50 pm:

    Feel safer now, if “I’m” carrying.

    Feel less safe if “they’re” carrying.

    Human nature. “I’m” never the problem.


  10. - John A Logan - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:51 pm:

    This is one of the few issues that conservatives have been able to win. Why? The facts don’t equal the reality pushed by the anti concealed carry crowd.


  11. - VanillaMan - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:58 pm:

    “Do you feel more safe or less safe” is a stupid question. It doesn’t matter how you feel - it is your Constitutional right. The problem is making the issue sound like it is all about how one “feels”.

    “Do you feel more or less safe now that felons who has served their time in jail, are paroled?”

    “Do you feel more of less safe now that cellphones are banned from usage in cars, but drivers using blow dryers and microwaves may still use them?”

    “Do you feel more or less safe answering questions asked of you by a complete stranger?”

    We already know the answers after years of Concealed Carry usage throughout the rest of the United States of America.

    BUT - BUT Do you feel safe?


  12. - wordslinger - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 1:59 pm:

    –This is one of the few issues that conservatives have been able to win. Why?–

    Madigan pushed it over the goal line for his Downstate members.

    The “facts,” however you see them, were the same before that and it couldn’t pass.


  13. - Nieva - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:13 pm:

    Your chance of being shot by a conceal carry owner are almost zero. Your odds on the other hand of being run over by a licensed drunk driver…


  14. - RNUG - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:14 pm:

    You know the weather is really nice outside when Rich can’t get 20 comments in 2 hours on a gun issue …


  15. - Rich Miller - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:15 pm:

    RNUG, you’re not seeing the comments I’m deleting.

    lol

    Actually, not many.

    But it is beautiful outside. Oscar and I are sitting outside with my laptop. :)


  16. - train111 - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:22 pm:

    Let me preface this with my story: Earlier this year I lost my step daughter to gun violence. She left two kids under the age of two, that my wife and I are presently raising.
    That being said, I do not have an opinion one way or the other on the gun issue.

    A couple of observations though:
    1.) I could give those kids a great life, if only I had a sliver, a smattering, an iota of the wads of cash that I feel (bad word I know) is needlessly flushed down the toilet on endless overblown debate over this issue.

    2.) The people who scream the loudest on both sides of the issue are usually the ones who need to “speak less” and “listen more”

    train111


  17. - D.P.Gumby - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:23 pm:

    Actually, as I said many times earlier, I would rather have open carry, so I know who to avoid rather than concealed.


  18. - Spiney Norman - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:28 pm:

    In general, the human psyche is too fragile for the average Joe to be armed. You may answer all the questions and take all the tests but we all know that an even temper is a temporary state of mind. All of us have snapped and lost our cool at one point or another. If you are armed then once you draw that weapon you are just a hair trigger away from doing something extremely stupid and regrettable.


  19. - Allen - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:31 pm:

    Funny, this poll was taken Feb 12-25 and the first concealed carry permits didn’t go out until a week ago today. How on earth could someone feel less safe!


  20. - How Ironic - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    @D.P.Gumby, “know who to avoid”. Really? Like it’s a communicable disease. So if you find out a woman in your office carries now, because her ex doesn’t respect her restraining order, the best solution is to ostracize her? Yeah, that makes sense.


  21. - Louis Howe - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    Walker….Gun death statistics are clearly higher for gun owners. Concealed carry INCREASES your chances of dying from a gun shot and for the accident prone, greatly increases.


  22. - funny guy - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:35 pm:

    Can we all agree that carrying a gun and abortion are legal and move on to solving issues that are solvable.


  23. - How Ironic - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:35 pm:

    @Spiney Norman, find another strawman. That argument hadn’t played out at all in the other 49 states with C.C.


  24. - Spiney Norman - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:46 pm:

    Not a strawman and I support the 2nd ammendment. I’m just saying that concealled carry is not really necessary for the masses nor can everyone be thoroughly vetted. Please google “Retired police captain Curtis Reeves”.


  25. - ArchPundit - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:47 pm:

    The question is problematic. What you would want to do is ask a sample with the conceal carry information in it and a question without it comparing it to the time before the passage. My guess is that without the information about conceal carry in the question people would say about the same at a far higher rate.

    And I understand why the Institute did it like that–they have limited funds, but the usefulness of the question is pretty limited.

    And Allen’s point that few even have permits yet makes the other point that is important. Having lived in Missouri when it passed there, it really isn’t a big deal. I’m far more concerned about Stand Your Ground laws or something similar passing.


  26. - Mason born - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:55 pm:

    I suspect that these numbers will drop off as people begin to realize that a post cc il is not any different than the pre cc. This is the same trajectory polls in other states have followed. At first there is the fear of the unknown, then the hype of high noon at every traffic accident, finally leading into acceptance and ambivalance.

    Would really love to see what this looks like in a few years.


  27. - How Ironic - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 2:55 pm:

    @Spiney Norman, it is a strawman arguement. Surely you are not advocating restricting 2nd amdent rights based on an anecdotal story? And what makes you the “judge” of who should/should not carry. I think we should leave that individual choice to exercise the right up to the individual.


  28. - Stones - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 3:10 pm:

    I’m not particularly a fan of conceal carry but it is the law. That being said, I don’t think 99.99% of gun owners who go through those classes are likely to do something that would intentionally put their conceal carry permit at risk.


  29. - D.P.Gumby - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 3:18 pm:

    Oh, and John, I would cite–George Zimmerman, the guy in the movie theatre, the guy in the gas station….


  30. - How Ironic - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 3:48 pm:

    @D.P. Gundy, again if you can only cite outlier anecdotal evidence, you really don’t have much to stand on. In that vein though, I’m guessing if I would post 5 or so cases where C.C. saved someone’s life you would simply accept it at face value and begin singing its praises? I thought not. You have already made up your mind, and now grasp at anything to conform to your pre determined conclusion.


  31. - Bemused - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 4:02 pm:

    I fully understand that present day court rulings do not seem to agree with how I read the 2nd amendment. I still think those rights are predicated on being a part of a well regulated militia. Times change and so do courts.
    Do I feel any more or less safe, not really.


  32. - Demoralized - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 4:05 pm:

    == I think we should leave that individual choice to exercise the right up to the individual.==

    I wouldn’t leave it totally up to individuals. I think the restrictions that are in place now (felons, mentally ill, etc.) need to be kept.

    =========

    To the post . . . if anybody has ever traveled outside of Illinois they’ve been in a state with concealed carry. I’ve never felt more safe or unsafe because of it and I don’t think it is any different in Illinois. I’m not going to lose sleep over CC.


  33. - How Ironic - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 4:40 pm:

    @Demoralized, point taken sorry I wasn’t more clear. Yes within the confines of the current rules, no felons, mentally ill, spouse abuses, drug abusers etc.


  34. - park - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 5:35 pm:

    I’d be with the 52%. Weird seeing all the new ‘no gun’ signs around. Up to this point, you didn’t even think of it. Went to Oak Brook Mall yesterday (I hate shopping there…too dang crowded). At the entrance to the mall facility, right off hwy 83, they have no handgun signs. Really hinky. I wonder what foreign visitors think when they see all the signs. They already think we’re cowboys.


  35. - Lazar Focusing - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 5:41 pm:

    the guy in the movie theatre, the guy in the gas station…

    But, but… Those were cops. In thought only cops should carry


  36. - VanillaMan - Monday, Mar 10, 14 @ 7:12 pm:

    I’m so sorry to have read about your stepdaughter’s tragedy. You are in my prayers tonight Train!


  37. - Frustrated Voter - Tuesday, Mar 11, 14 @ 7:25 am:

    I think after the permits are issued and once people realize that there is NO increase in gun violence, they will chill out and realize this isn’t so scary after all. 49 other states have had concealed carry, and there are just a few isolated incidents of gun crime from the tens of millions of citizens with c/c permits.


  38. - Researcher - Tuesday, Mar 11, 14 @ 8:14 am:

    I think an overlook aspect of these results is the fact that 65 percent of City of Chicago residents feel less safe. It would be great to see race and other demographic breakdowns.


  39. - RonOglesby - Tuesday, Mar 11, 14 @ 8:48 am:

    Meant to finish that.

    … east of i39 where they held onto decades old ideas about crime fighting and guns long past their sell-by date. Then of course spent millions and millions fighting to keep those ideas and ignoring what has happened in the rest of the country.


  40. - Rob Roy - Tuesday, Mar 11, 14 @ 9:56 am:

    Have any of you watched the Water’s World segment on O’Reilly factor? I have never seen so many people that are clueless and really don’t know what’s going on around them. I hate to use the world ignorant but…WoW! It is very sad and if these are the kind of people that they got to answer the poll it really doesn’t mean much.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the holiday weekend
* Lingle out as COO, Messina in at IEPA
* Question of the day
* It's already getting super ugly
* Rauner celebrates museum reopening after decimating it
* A huge transit TIF bill passed yesterday
* Rauner talks about the deal
* Trust issues go both ways
* Don't break your arms patting yourselves on the back
* "We certainly are not undoing the damage that we've done to this state by not working together, by not doing our jobs"
* Rauner signs extension of medical marijuana program
* Ain't so easy, is it?
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* iPhone 7 Pro storage options, Google HTC Nexus specs & more – Pocketnow Daily
* George Stroumboulopoulos to Kick Off Canadian 'Takeover' of Beats 1 Tomorrow
* LG fires executives because of the G5
* This is the Samsung Galaxy Note 7
* Best Buy will throw in a $75 GC if you buy a US factory unlocked Galaxy S7 or Galaxy S7 Edge
* AT&T MVNO H2O Wireless upping data buckets for pricier brackets
* Obama dropped BlackBerry and now the Senate has, too

* Gonzalez does his part, but bats stymied
* Fulmer among top prospect performers Friday
* Sale, Fister set to duel in premier pitching matchup
* Despite rut, White Sox aren't panicking
* Gonzalez does his part, but bats stymied
* Sale, Fister set to duel in premier pitching matchup
* Davidson has surgery on broken foot

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Election, angry voters prompt budget deal - DeK.....
* Election, voters near 'revolt' prompt budget de.....
* Illinois medical marijuana program gets boost f.....
* Ra Joy: Illinois needs redistricting changes to.....
* Rauner grants six pardons, one commutation; rej.....


* Election, voters near 'revolt' prompt Illinois budget deal
* Judge: Special prosecutor to investigate Chicago officers
* Chicago police assign 150 more officers to street duty
* Chicago police prepare for July 4 weekend violence
* Ex-Swansea man gets 56 years in prison for rape of child
* Central Illinois man pleads guilty in child pornography case
* Woman charged with drug-induced homicide in overdose death
* Rauner signs bill extending medical marijuana program
* Illinois medical marijuana program gets boost from Rauner OK
* Attention turns to court in Illinois remap ballot question

* Will budget stalemate resume in January?
* Former Hawaii Gov. Lingle leaves Rauner administration; new EPA head also named
* Lawmakers OK grace period for late license registration
* Illinois budget impasse affects state parks spending
* Illinois medical marijuana program gets boost from Rauner approval
* Rauner signs bill extending medical marijuana program
* Rauner grants clemency to 6 people; denies 150
* Lawmakers approve stopgap spending deal, Rauner signs it
* Gov. Rauner attends State Museum reopening ceremony, thanks staff
* Rauner attends State Museum reopening ceremony, thanks staff

* Who benefits from stopgap state budget?
* Litigation finance firm sues IP lawyer Ray Niro
* Chicago police prepare for July 4 weekend violence
* A Hershey sale wouldn't sour regulators
* Chewing on IPO or sale options for Ferrara Pan


* Man shot in Lawndale
* Man wounded in South Shore drive-by shooting
* Dear Abby: People notice my twin but not me
* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for July 2, 2016
* 17-year-old girl shot in Austin
* Robin Ventura seems pretty comfortable on hot seat
* Troubled Johnny Manziel facing long climb out of abyss
* Cubs struggle vs. NL big boys, drop 10th of 15 vs. winning teams
* 16-year-old boy shot in Woodlawn
* Man charged with throwing garbage in Bristol Township creek


* Conviction vacated, new trial granted for Adnan Syed of 'Serial'
* Judge blocks Indiana genetic abnormality abortion law
* Syria's refugee children have lost all hope
* Durbin sees 'appearance of impropriety' as Obama associates pursue for-profit university deal
* Young couple convicted in Bali suitcase murder break up
* Kris Bryant's HR vaults Cubs to 2-0 lead in 4th
* Judge still mulling who to appoint to prosecute cop in Laquan McDonald killing
* Vernon Hills man charged with sexually assaulting teen he met on Facebook
* Judge threatens city of Chicago over failure to turn over documents
* Mayor Emanuel says Chicago schools will open on time this fall


* Will budget stalemate resume in January?
* Charles Krauthammer: Brexit: Sovereign Kingdom or little England?
* Ra Joy: Illinois needs redistricting changes to get other reforms
* Former Hawaii Gov. Lingle leaves Rauner administration; new EPA head also named
* Lawmakers OK grace period for late license registration
* Illinois budget impasse affects state parks spending
* Illinois medical marijuana program gets boost from Rauner approval
* Rauner signs bill extending medical marijuana program
* Rauner grants clemency to 6 people; denies 150
* Lawmakers approve stopgap spending deal, Rauner signs it


* Illini roundup: McFadden remains on roll
* Lunt at ease ahead of final collegiate season
* UI hoops recruit glance: RaiQuan Gray
* Lift for Life 2016
* PODCAST: Sports Talk 07-01-16
* Indian Acres Patriotic Parade
* Wisconsin professor named dean at UI's Applied Health Sciences
* Tom's #Mailbag, July 1, 2016
* UPDATED: Boil order lifted in Pesotum
* Rain ahead by Sunday; heat & humidity next week


* Gonzalez solid but White Sox shut out by Astros 5-0
* LEADING OFF: Cleveland goes for 15, Fernandez doing it all
* Boomers best CornBelters 4-1
* Kane County Cougars drop heartbreaker 5-3
* Myers stays hot with 2-run homer as Padres beat Yankees 7-6

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Key US Senate votes on Zika, Puerto Rico d......

* Key US Senate votes on Zika, Puerto Rico d......

* Lakeview Pantry Holds Open House Today To Show Off New Space
* Ice Cream Social And Public Roll Call Saturday Morning
* Lynch had better follow FBI findings
* Not Ready For The Fourth To End? Come To Driftwood
* Cartoon Of The Day
* Cartoon of the Day - 7/1/16 Terrorists at gun shop
* Gig Economy Workers Should Have Unemployment Protections, Experts Say
* Men's Shelter At Lawrence & Sheridan To Close July 31 Due To Budget Impasse
* Men's Shelter At Lawrence & Sheridan To Close July 31 Due To Budget Impasse (Updated 1x)
* Senate fund announces $40 M in First Round of Fall TV ads; none for Kirk


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller