Slight uptick detected
Monday, Mar 17, 2014
* As I told you last week, We Ask America is monitoring who is voting early and absentee in the Republican primary.
Last week didn’t show much if any actual uptick in Democratic involvement. Independents were down six points from 2010, and Republicans and Democrats were up three points each as a share of the total.
As explained before, a Democrat is classified as somebody who has taken a “D” primary ballot at least once since 2008. Independents are those who have not voted in a partisan primary since 2008. The State Board of Elections’ voter file is matched up with the names of people who’ve already voted.
The final numbers for early and absentees are showing a little something, however…
So, the final early/absentee tally is more Democratic than four years ago, but it’s also more Republican and less independent.
And while there are slightly more Democrats voting than normal, after accounting for the drop in independents. it’s only about 800 votes out of almost 78,000 cast so far. At least, that’s my read.
Keep in mind this is only early and absentee voting. Things could be different tomorrow.