LIVE session coverage...
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Davis, Harold in the home stretch

Tuesday, Mar 18, 2014

* From an AP story about Congressman Rodney Davis’ GOP primary race against Erika Harold

Early on, the race between Davis and Harold was expected to be tight. Brian Gaines, a political science professor at the University of Illinois’ Institute of Government and Public Affairs, said the Urbana lawyer, 34, is the kind of candidate many Republican loyalists would like to see on a ballot to broaden the party’s reach.

“She’s got a lot of qualities that make her in a sense a godsend for the Republican Party,” Gaines said.

But Harold has said that party insiders appear to favor Davis, a former staffer for U.S. Rep. John Shimkus, and failed to give her equal access to GOP campaign resources. She also has lagged in fundraising: Through the end of December, Davis had raised $1.45 million to Harold’s $215,000, according to the Federal Election Commission.

Gaines said her campaign has appeared disorganized — focusing on complaints about her treatment by party officials rather than effectively countering with grass-roots organizing.

Who said this race would be tight? Anyone not allied with Harold?

And, by the way, Professor Gaines makes an excellent point. As the old saying goes, “Don’t mourn, organize.”

- Posted by Rich Miller        


34 Comments
  1. - joan - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:04 am:

    Erika has run an incredible race and she is a rising star. The fact is that HillJackRodney won’t win the general without Champaign. So Erika is well placed to take the seat back in 2016 and she’ll be on a national stage long after HillJackRodney has faded.

    Sooner or later, this seat is coming back to Champaign and if the GOP was smart, they’d get behind Erika now.


  2. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:06 am:

    “…this seat is coming back to Champaign.”

    How parochial can you get?


  3. - joan - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:07 am:

    Long down your nose all you want, wordslinger, but HillJackRodney is the past, Erika is the future and everyone knows Champaign is the center of the 13th.


  4. - SonofSuperAbe2014 - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Joan sound like the wife Dan Proft has always wanted


  5. - joan - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:13 am:

    Go ahead and keep it up superabe… Erika is a rising star. Get behind her are you’ll just be a brown stain on the pavement as she rockets by!


  6. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:15 am:

    Long down my nose? How would one do that?


  7. - Can we raze Champaign? - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:17 am:

    What are the polls at? Erika down 40? The Champaign Fap Brigade is a little ridiculous at this point. Is the entire staff of the News-Gazette going to wear black armbands in mourning when she loses? You know Tim Johnson isn’t relevant anymore. Get over it.


  8. - Logic not emotion - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:18 am:

    I like the potential appeal of Erika for the GOP; but whoever advised her to run against Davis in a primary gave her very bad advice. I’d favor Davis over Harold for this House seat; but I’d strongly support Harold over Durbin for the Senate seat and I suspect there are a LOT of others who feel the same way. I suspect that this act tarnishes her appeal; but she can overcome that with the right approach (starting with different advisors).

    Joan: You sound like you are among the ones who gave her the bad advice.


  9. - Logic not emotion - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:23 am:

    Been a rough day… All these years, I thought Iuka was the center of the universe and now I learn that it is actually a place called Champaign and controlled by a lady named Joan!

    Joan: On a more serious note, that is not the approach to use if you actually do support Erika and wish her to do well. Hopefully, she has some much more sage and eloquent people within her inner circle.


  10. - Raising Kane - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:25 am:

    In what world is Champaign at the center of that district? Does Joan own a map? She needs a big dose of reality….for the next 8 years that county will be represented by John Shimkus and Rodney Davis. And Harold will pack her bags and split town immediately thereafter.


  11. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:26 am:

    The Johnson Crew ruined the opportunity for Erika Harold to make a first impression.

    I think less of her now, that what little I cared about her before.

    Go to NYC, get on FoxNews Erika. If you want to be “crowned” a rising star, instead if earring your way lild everyone else, the Cable TV route is a good way to be “privileged” and still seem “connected”

    ===“…this seat is coming back to Champaign.”===

    What a Dopey way to be seen representing ALL the people.

    Erika turned out to be a joke, because that Tim Johnson “Zombie” Brain Eating “Trust” saw a wagon to steal wheels from for relevance.

    You all, Johnson’s Crew…Erika…you all don’t need to go away, just go would be ok.


  12. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:28 am:

    “…earning your way like…”


  13. - PoolGuy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:31 am:

    sounds like Joan just filled out her Warren Buffett Quicken Loans bracket (as I did earlier) and has some added confidence knowing she is going to win (as am I). then we can bankroll Miss Harold in 2016 and allow Champaign to once again take their rightful place as the center of the universe. I-L-L…


  14. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:37 am:

    ==The Tim Johnson groupies just can’t seem to wrap their head around the fact that “their” district no longer exists. A strange thing called “redistrcting” made this a Central Illinois/Metro East district, of which Champaign is only a part. The sooner they can understand that maybe the butthurt will end…but I doubt that day will ever happen.


  15. - UISer - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:49 am:

    Can someone please enlighten me as to what in the world “HillJackRodney” means?


  16. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:53 am:

    Apparently, “hilljack” is the preferred slur over “hillbilly” to cosmopolitan super-sophisticates like Joan in Champaign, the center of the universe.


  17. - Friedman - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:58 am:

    A lot of arm chairing going on here. Davis didn’t exactly trounce Gill. A lot of universities in this district(young people). People who want change show up for mid-term primary elections.


  18. - Rich Miller - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 11:59 am:

    ===A lot of universities in this district(young people)===

    I think ten.

    And college students don’t vote in off-year races.


  19. - ChrisB - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:01 pm:

    Serious question: Has there ever been an instance where an incumbent wins the primary, loses the general/seat flips, and then two or four years later the losing primary challenger wins the general?

    Anytime I hear the, “He’ll lose the general and then she’ll flip the seat” just sounds like preemptive sour grapes. It’s a ridiculous premise in an If, Buts, and Coconuts kind of world.


  20. - LincolnLounger - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:01 pm:

    They kept telling Erika Harold that it wasn’t her turn. And you know what — they were right.


  21. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:03 pm:

    - Friedman -,

    How about one race at a time. “Davis-Harold” is the Primary. Davis is now an incumbent Congressman, of the opposite party of the President in a Mid-Term election.

    So, one race at a time, and Harold made a Primary happen, for really no good reason but ego, Hubris, entitlement, and relevance; not only hers, but the Johnson crew too.


  22. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:04 pm:

    ===They kept telling Erika Harold that it wasn’t her turn. And you know what — they were right.===

    You nearly made me choke on my Tapioca Pudding. lol


  23. - Pius - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:21 pm:

    ====And college students don’t vote in off-year races.=====
    I visited 3 polling places on campus at the UI. Total of 3 votes. It could be 4, maybe 5, by now. Sad to see.


  24. - Not your normal Normalite - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:41 pm:

    I’m surprised she’s not at Disney. She could meet up with Jerry Clarke, he always spends the week of election down in Florida. They could hold a Tim Johnson flunky convention down there.


  25. - Johnny Q. Suburban - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 12:57 pm:

    Even by ILGOP standards, this was poorly planned and organized.


  26. - Downstater - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:26 pm:

    ERika Harold has had her 15 minutes of fame, as they say. Her poor decision to run, says a lot about her political instincts. None. A rising star, that didn’t make it above the horizon. Maybe, just maybe, if she had helped some Republicans in the last election cycle, she would have garnered some real support.


  27. - John Boch - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:34 pm:

    I think Erika will be back.

    She has kind of grown on me in the past few months and I circled her little oval today.

    Sorry, Rodney. You’ve been nowhere to be found on this campaign trail.

    John


  28. - Friedman - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:44 pm:

    I would suggest any Davis supporters take a look at his dismal speech on the house floor in support of the farm bill.


  29. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:52 pm:

    ===I would suggest any Davis supporters take a look at his dismal speech on the house floor in support of the farm bill.===

    Your point? They don’t grade speeches in Congress last I checked…


  30. - Arthur Andersen - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:53 pm:

    I would suggest any Harold supporters read today’s WaPo which dug up an old Harold quote about wanting to be the “first Black female President.”

    All tiara, no lift, that lady.


  31. - Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 1:59 pm:

    Wow, - AA -, nicely done.

    If she is “above 23.5%”, she claim a victory?

    If it goes 80-20, or worse, Harold is damaged goods for a while…

    It’s not like 75-25 is better but…


  32. - Bemused - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 3:22 pm:

    Got a robo call last night asking me to pull a GOP ballot. If I could have voted on this one I might have done it. Repeal and replace Rodney drives me up a wall. The transition phase for ACA is not going well but never a peep about how doing what he wants makes things better.


  33. - T.J. - Tuesday, Mar 18, 14 @ 5:05 pm:

    I sincerely hope that isn’t seriously Joan. If it is Joan and not some troll, that’s all you need to know about Erika’s loss today.


  34. - Joan Dykstra - Wednesday, Mar 19, 14 @ 7:28 am:

    I received an email alerting me that a poster named “joan” has been weighing in on the 13th Congressional race. Just to be clear, I don’t post or generally read Cap Fax. I find it to be the same echo chamber of misinformed, relentlessly junior high unkindnesses.

    Since my name has inexplicably become part of the dialogue, let me take this one time to comment. I was a very part-time, unpaid volunteer for Ms. Harold for a few months last summer. Our first conversation was after her decision to move back to C-U. She is a wonderful young woman and I’m privileged to know her. However, my plate is full with teaching and community volunteer work during the school year and I wasn’t involved with her race. Yes, I’m really a teacher. I worked in Congressman Johnson’s office for his last two years but my life-long career is teaching.

    I have always been a strong advocate in a true Primary process; that is, real choices for voters in each party. It ultimately makes candidates and their party stronger. Congressman Davis has worked hard throughout the 13th District during the Primary process and in his time in Congress. He is, by far, the better candidate in the General Election and will prevail in November.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* *** UPDATED x1 *** This just in... Denny Hastert indicted
* What Isn’t Exelon Telling You about Its Corporate Bailout Legislation?
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Update on lobbying the executive branch
* Afternoon thought
* Today's illustrative tweet
* On the bright side...
* "Always bet on nothing"
* More on strike preparedness
* Workers' comp reforms go down in flames
* Ask the Insurance Industry “Where’s the money?”
* Today's quotable
* An ever-widening war
* Back to the future?
* Why Illinois Needs The Low Carbon Portfolio Standard
* Keep calm and... Oh, nevermind
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Google Now On Tap feature works without having to leave an app
        * Here’s A First Look At Android M
        * HBO Now will finally be available on Android devices soon
        * Google to have offline support for Chrome, Maps, YouTube
        * New Google Photos announced, comes with free unlimited storage
        * Google Photos and Google Cardboard bring new experiences to the App Store
        * Verizon DROID details leaked, new lineup in the works

        * Google Play Store Has Been Updated To Be More Family Friendly
        * Automatic App Data Backup Will Be Part Of Android M
        * Dashlane Will Work With Android M’s Fingerprint Security
        * Path Confirms Sale of Social Networking App to KakaoTalk
        * Fitbit Responds To Jawbone’s Lawsuit And Allegations
        * Everything you need to know from Google I/O's keynote
        * Android M Settings Will Have Light And Dark Theme Options

        * Beck hopes to build on debut, earn return trip
        * White Sox hurt by miscues, can't bottle up O's
        * White Sox hurt by miscues, can't bottle up O's
        * Dominant Sale sets up tight Game 1 victory
        * White Sox recall Webb for twin bill coverage
        * No sweat: Sale sizzles to stifle O's in Sox win
        * Pipeline Inbox: White Sox eyeing arm at No. 8?

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * House passes police reform, body camera bill..
        * Today’s illustrative tweet..
        * Land surveyors give notice for high voltage tra.....
        * Senate bill would give Chicago a casino and 7 y.....
        * Guns, ammo among cuts to fix Kane County sherif.....
        * Union presses measure to prevent strike, lockout..
        * Effort to expand gambling likely to be pushed i.....
        * Unions take aim at lockout by Rauner..
        * Despite meetings with suburban lawmakers, are m.....


        * Ex-US Speaker charged in relation to payments of hush money
        * Union presses measure to prevent strike, lockout
        * Latest on Dennis Hastert: Ex-House speaker resigns from firm
        * Illinois man cleared of 1999 murder freed from prison
        * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushed into summer
        * Illinois Lawmakers vote Rauner lawsuit reform proposal

        * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushed into summer
        * Body camera rules, other police reforms approved by Illinois House
        * Springfield-area unemployment at seven-year low in April
        * April unemployment rates fall in all Illinois metro areas
        * Illinois Senate to consider plan for new casinos in Chicago, elsewhere
        * Report: Rauner's education secretary paid with funds from state agency facing cuts
        * Records show Rauner's edication secretary paid under IDHS
        * Records show Rauner's education secretary paid under IDHS
        * Portion of Illinois' same-sex marriage law to sunset soon
        * Gay conversion therapy ban clears Illinois Senate committee

        * Walgreens chairman says company never planned to leave U.S.
        * Allstate seeks to follow Google as CEO mulls selling driver data
        * Review: Ramen Takeya
        * Northwestern Memorial, KishHealth in talks to affiliate
        * GOP's Obamacare fix is no fix, actuaries argue


          * Aaron Schock's flight with donor detailed in affidavit
          * Police body cameras may be funded by $5 fee under Illinois lawmakers' plan
          * College of DuPage sees applications rise amid controversy
          * Police swarm Waukegan home of registered sex offender on prank 911 call
          * Rauner appointees take seats on Tollway board
          * 2 found dead in fire on SW Side
          * Hastert statue shelved at Illinois Capitol
          * Ex-Speaker Hastert charged with lying to FBI about hush money withdrawals
          * Fall from ladder nets Merrillville man $2.4 million jury verdict
          * Owner 'extremely upset' after video catches dog walker kicking beagle


          * Chicago school board to consider charter relocations, renewals
          * Ex-US Speaker Hastert indicted on bank-related charges
          * Vets' best friend: Two veterans trekking cross-country with the dogs that 'saved their lives'
          * After pig farm raises a stink, Hoosiers debate rural-city divide
          * City planners and neighborhood residents map out Chinatown’s future
          * City planners and neighborhood residents map out Chinatown's future
          * Sheriff calls on feds to investigate Puerto Rican agencies that send addicts to Chicago
          * Illinois prisons director resigns 2 months after taking job
          * Nebraska repeals death penalty, but U.S. isn't quite ready to abandon it
          * Illinois moves to downgrade pot possession to a fine


          * Effort to expand Illinois gambling likely pushed into summer
          * Body camera rules, other police reforms approved by Illinois House
          * Springfield-area unemployment at seven-year low in April
          * Cinda Klickna: Threats do not equate to leadership
          * Report: Rauner's education secretary paid with funds from state agency facing cuts
          * Portion of Illinois' same-sex marriage law to sunset soon
          * Gay conversion therapy ban clears Illinois Senate committee
          * Changes made to Gov. Rauner's hiring-reform legislation
          * Bernard Schoenburg: Langfelder seeks diversity, but looks at 'interior' of appointees
          * Eugene Robinson: Stop logging our phone calls


          * Moline police to hang out on roof
          * Community Impact recipients honored
          * Aviation talk in Svoy turns into debate on drones
          * Aviation talk in Savoy turns into debate on drones
          * Visit Champaign County, Urbana rekindling funding relationship
          * North Clay house hit by gunfire
          * LLCC names new Jacksonville director
          * IHSA Boys 1A Track and Field State prelims
          * SCRA hands out $1.54M in spring grants
          * Scott authority hands out $1.54M in grants


          * Illinois house committee approves police body camera measure
          * Sensory Garden Playground near Wheaton preps for grand opening
          * Win is worth the wait for WW South's Page
          * Union presses measure to prevent strike, lockout
          * Response by owner of broken oil pipeline faces scrutiny

          * Focus on medical manufacturing in Peoria
          * Duckworth sticks verbal shiv into opponent...
          * My congressman, Adam Kinzinger, seems to t...
          * Local Manufacturing Leaders Brainstorm Col...
          * Democrats face contested primaries in 2016...
          * Bustos, Durbin announce $600,000 in federa...
          * Democrats hope for Hillary Clinton coattails
          * Milbank: Ted Cruz, charlatan
          * Congresswoman Duckworth and 135 House Coll...
          * Business and Government Leaders Discuss Ec...

          * Knight: Durbin a principled but pragmatic ......
          * Why thousands of members of the military w......
          * Senator Durbin to ITT Tech: Stop the Hypoc......
          * Will Democrats keep hammering the Kochs?...

          * Knight: Durbin a principled but pragmatic ......
          * Illinois National Guard soldiers to deploy......
          * Duckworth sticks verbal shiv into opponent......
          * Joanna Lumley and a grandson of Sir Winsto......
          * San Bernardino County gets $14 million fro......

          * EPI Wage Trend Chart
          * EXTRA: Could Hastert make a trio of people convicted post-politically?
          * Chicago Higher Schoolers Hold Climate Action Rally
          * Should America be the World's Policeman?
          * Where's Weyermuller: At the "Fight For Freedom Rally 2015"
          * Thorner: Schweikart reviews overdue account of America's true history
          * Former U.S. House Speaker Denny Hastert accused of evasion, lying to FBI
          * Murphy speaks out on Democrats' proposed budget
          * Carson and Huckabee to headline conservative meeting in Tinley Park July 31
          * Silent Movie Filmed In Uptown A Century Ago Rediscovered, Restored


          * Celebrate National 529 Day with a College Illinois!® Savings Plan - Enrollment Open Through June 1st
          * State Announces Business Resource Event Coming to Aurora - ‘Make a Connection’ networking and resource program promotes economic growth of small and diverse businesses
          * Gulf War Veteran Reports for Duty as IDVA Women Vets Coordinator, Vet Business Champion
          * Illinois EPA Pollution Prevention Interns begin Twelve Week Program at Illinois Facilities - Students find cost-effective approaches for reducing environmental impacts
          * Vietnam Veteran Confirmed as IDVA Assistant Director




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller