SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Simon releases two month old poll that has her trailing

Friday, Mar 21, 2014

* I don’t see how these horse race numbers released by Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon prove much of anything…

One survey, taken by Lake Research Partners in late January, show that Sheila Simon, who’s giving up her spot as lieutenant governor to run for comptroller, trails veteran GOP incumbent Judy Baar Topinka by a fairly narrow 39 percent to 32 percent among likely general election voters. 29 percent were undecided or not answering.

* And this finding assumes that Simon will have the money to deliver such a punch

Team Simon also points to a finding that just 35 percent give Ms. Topinka a “good” or “excellent” job rating, while 46 percent rate it “fair” or “poor.” And, when voters were asked about Ms. Topinka’s drawing of a large pension, those surveyed were heavily negative. Look for that to crop up as a line of attack by Ms. Simon against Ms. Topinka this fall.

The survey also found that 44 percent of those surveyed want a change in the comptroller’s office, while 27 percent want to continue current policies. It has an error margin of plus or minus 4 percent.

Simon was using the results of that poll to fundraise in February. We’ll see how she did soon.

* And this is kind of interesting

The survey found Mr. Cross ahead 34 percent to 30 percent over the Democratic nominee, state Sen. Michael Frerichs, with Mr. Cross getting an impressive 21 percent of the vote in heavily Democratic Chicago.

That poll was taken March 6 and 7 and had an error margin of plus or minus 4.8 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


34 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 12:57 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - look @Capitolfax, the other polls I had seen had me down 15 and 12. Being down 7 Rocks! #NumberTwoInGovtNoNumberTwoRunningAlone


  2. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 12:59 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - My next poll will show that 18% know I am the daughter of a Simon: “Paul” #GeneticsLotto #AsLongAsItHelpsWhoCares


  3. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:01 pm:

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - Yikes! Trailing Tom Cross in Simon Poll. Better start making up better votes I didn’t take to catch up. #TallTales


  4. - And I Approved This Message - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:03 pm:

    I find it hard to believe that 44% of those surveyed had the faintest idea what the comptroller’s office does,let alone want a change in the office. It must have been a seriously loaded question to get that result.


  5. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:06 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - what @Capitolfax failed to mention is that I am only trailing by 6 in Carbondale. #SameOleResult

    @FakeSheilaSimon - again, if you look at my polling against the GOP Nominee for AG, I lead by 3! #WhyDidYouForsakeMeLisa

    @FakeSheilaSimon - when asked, those polled thought I would make a better AG than Topinka 33-31. Take that! #DidYouKnowAttyGenWasMyFirstChoice


  6. - Precinct Captain - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:12 pm:

    “when voters were asked about Ms. Topinka’s drawing of a large pension, those surveyed were heavily negative. Look for that to crop up as a line of attack by Ms. Simon against Ms. Topinka this fall.”

    The Topinka retort was that Simon should be doing better because she is Paul Simon’s daughter, but how many voters honestly remember Paul Simon? Most of my generation probably don’t even know who he is.


  7. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:14 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - being down 7 to a statewide official is really good considering. #WoopsGuessImStatewideTooMyBad

    @FakeSheilaSimon - wait until the Unions rally in this race. The numbers will change, alright, alright! #DidntGetTheMemo #DidntGetTheNod

    @FakeSheilaSimon - any donation will do; $1K to one Banjo string. #KeepingAboveWaterIsToughOnYourOwn

    @FakeSheilaSimon - it might seem odd touting a poll I trail in, but given my solo political history, seeing single digits should be applauded. #LemonsLemonade


  8. - North Shore Joe - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:17 pm:

    (Rauner +1.25% +105) vs. (Quinn -1.25% -105)

    (Cross +.5% +110) vs. (Frerichs -.5% +100)

    (Topinka-5.5% -150) vs. (Simon + 5.5% +150)


  9. - ??? - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:17 pm:

    ==And I Approved This Message - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:03 pm:

    I find it hard to believe that 44% of those surveyed had the faintest idea what the comptroller’s office does,let alone want a change in the office. It must have been a seriously loaded question to get that result. ==

    You took the words right out of my mouth. Unless everyone they polled was a provider or a vendor who is directly impacted by the state’s failure to pay bills on time, I can’t see how such a large percentage would even be able to assess whether the Comptroller’s Office was doing a good job or not.


  10. - Rich Miller - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:18 pm:

    ===had the faintest idea what the comptroller’s office does,let alone want a change in the office==

    You must’ve missed the last six months of Rauner’s TV ads. People no likey the government here.


  11. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:24 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - it’s not like I had a choice taking on, arguably, the most popular Republican in IL, ok. #PatImLeaving #OhNoLisaYouSaid #NowWhat #LastOption

    @FakeSheilaSimon - I look forward to campaigning and telling the voters about AG solutions for the Comptroller’s Office #SquarePegRoundHoleApproach


  12. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:25 pm:

    When voters rejected Topinka in 2006, they immediately had remorse when Blagojevich was impeached and removed from office. In similar cases when voters reject a candidate to discover that their choice was a criminal, a louse or a scumbag, the loser receives a bit of voter immunity, as though voters are apologizing for their earlier mistake of rejecting that candidate.

    Topinka is clearly a beneficiary of her 2006 misfortune. Her standing among Illinoisans rose as Blagojevich went to prison. Her long-term style of remaining in a fiduciary statewide function, as first Treasurer, and now Comptroller, keeps her viable.

    Simon chose poorly by taking Topinka on. Judy has become the Michael J. Madigan of GOP statewide office holders. She has become the GOP candidate Democratic voters can embrace as atonement for their support of the hated Mr. Blagojevich.

    I bet Rich knows of a few other examples of electoral losers who benefited by losing to a victor who imploded, making the loser appear more attractive to voters. Sometimes losers win.

    Topinka has.


  13. - Lottie O'Neill - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:28 pm:

    @OW at 1:06pm — I love that @FakeSheilaSimon is now using @JoinTomCross hashtags! #DidYouKnowAttyGenWasMyFirstChoice


  14. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:30 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - my numbers will rise when voters understand I have a Law Degree and Ms.Topinka doesn’t. #CredentiallyBiased #MakesCentsToMe

    @FakeSheilaSimon - Fiscally speaking, money well spent; commission a poll and publish results of me trailing. Will bring that common sense to the office #Got3QuartersForADollar


  15. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:32 pm:

    Meh, I think Sheila has Duke going to the Final Four in her bracket.


  16. - Laflin - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:33 pm:

    Seriously, Sanguinetti must base her speaking style off Sarah Palin.

    Did anyone else notice that?


  17. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:35 pm:

    Tom will get his “Day”.

    Plus, I am hoping for a golf outing invite from Cross! #FingersCrossEd #CheckingPhoneYepStillWorks

    @FakeSheilaSimon - Loyalty ranked low in the poll, so I should be ok if some think leaving Pat is bad #DanceWithTheOneWhoBrungYa


  18. - Amalia - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:37 pm:

    forgot all about the Topinka takes a pension and a salary thing. how is that possible? government employees who retire from, say, Chicago or Cook County, cannot then get a State job unless they defer the pension.

    garage sale Topinka seems kinda greedy. and that needs more emphasis. it may be legal, but it sure is disingenuous.


  19. - OneMan - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:43 pm:

    I have a poll that swears I am doing ok… Yeah it was a phone survey of the members of the Illinois Banjo Association, but that is a representative sample.

    Did I mention my dad is Paul Simon?


  20. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:50 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - I look forward to Labor Day weekend, and the kickoff to the real campaigning with all my Labor friends #Crickets

    @FakeSheilaSimon - poll shows I am on pace where I need to be #RunningToStandStill

    @FakeSheilaSimon - look, I trail by 7; it appears everyone is overlooking my 4 point lead over “Undecided” #SilverLiningsPlaybook


  21. - State Worker - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:51 pm:

    Amalia - Judy does not collect a pension .


  22. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:54 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - I do really question the validity of the poll, and who commissioned it, and it’s results. #OopsMyBad


  23. - steve schnorf - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:57 pm:

    I like Sheila, but among Republicans and Independents in Illinois Judy rules. If my recollection is correct she has been on the statewide ballot 5 times and has led the R ticket in votes 4 times.


  24. - Amalia - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 1:58 pm:

    @ State Worker, thanks. read something to the contrary.


  25. - John A Logan - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:00 pm:

    Here is a link that Mrs. Simon might want to take a look at.

    http://www.law.siu.edu/Faculty_staff/employment.php


  26. - North Shore Joe - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:01 pm:

    If Rahm is a Republican Democrat, Judy is a Democratic Republican.


  27. - Snucka - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:03 pm:

    Bill Brady’s poll had him at 32% a week before the election. When you commission a poll, you’re generally allowed to poll the electorate that you want to imagine rather than the electorate that you’ll have on Election Day.


  28. - A guy... - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:04 pm:

    Pat Quinn should send Sheila flowers…


  29. - SO IL M - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:07 pm:

    @FakeSarahGarfunkle-Hey if Paul Simons daughter can win because of her dad was so can I! #teamupwithsheila


  30. - fed up - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 2:36 pm:

    Illinois would be better off if we combined the Comptroller and treasurers offices. you know do more with less like Teachers, cops, fireman and all state workers are forced too. Oh thats right madigan and Cullerton refused to let that happen.


  31. - Walker - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 3:18 pm:

    “Judy rules” simply because she earns our respect by performing her job openly and effectively.

    She communicates with more clarity, honesty, and straightforward support of our state — than all the other Statewide Officers, (except maybe Bill Holland).


  32. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 3:35 pm:

    @FakeSheilaSimon - I want to wish everyone a very Happy New Year #TwoMonthsTooLate #Pattern

    @FakeSheilaSimon - Thinking about 2014. New Year’s Resolutions? #BetterPolitcalMoves #OopsTooLate


  33. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 4:27 pm:

    Well, no shocker here, really. A nice lady with strongly-held, progressive views, Sheila is. But she picked the wrong Race against JBT, Ms. Lovable, who just has garnered too many Admirers–even aMONG a good chunk of Progressive Dems. and Independents in aDDITion to her usual GOP base by things like taking vocal stances in support of SSM–created and fostered over many years of dedicated Public Service in various Positions of Leadership, has demonstrated competence in those slots, all the while displaying good will, a hearty sense of humor, and who just has that European/Czech-American down-to-earth, fun-loving, and yet serious way about her when called-for, in how she is so well able to adeptly, and comfortably, relate to the Electorate.

    Sheia’s not OUT of it by any means, but facing Ms. Popularity, kind of like the Betty White of Illinois Politics (albeit much younger), she’s going to have a real tough row to hoe, and just should’ve stuck with Pat Quinn as Lt. Gov., and likely would have had a much better shot at emerging with 4 more years in a Highly-Respectable Statewide Elected Office in which to serve the People of Illinois…!


  34. - Norseman - Friday, Mar 21, 14 @ 4:28 pm:

    Actually, I’m ecstatic that Sheila jumped ship. Vallas is more competent than she or Quinn for that matter.

    I’m looking forward to voting against Cross. As should every public sector employee and retiree.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Obama won't free Blagojevich
* Illinois now exporting rat disease
* Repub analysis shows 50-50 partisan split on 2016 campaign spending
* *** UPDATED x1 *** New Thompson Center plan pushed
* Question of the day
* Some economic development food for thought
* AFSCME responds to JT: Stop using state email to "spread your falsehoods and fear-mongering"
* Rauner not thrilled with Medicaid block grant idea
* Progress?
* Pawar talks about his plans and addresses the "Madigan question"
* Today's number: 50 years
* *** UPDATED x2 - Rauner admin responds to SEIU *** Rauner blasts basic child care service as "institutionalized brain damage"
* *** UPDATED x1 *** GOMB says Senate budget plan is unbalanced
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Galaxy S7 Nougat, 600MHz Auction, and Battle of the Voice Assistants | #PNWeekly 236
* Legacy versions of Google Drive apps will be cut off from service access
* AT&T raises upgrade fees once again
* Meitu app tracks and sends data back to China
* CIRP survey: 15 percent of iPhone 7 buyers switched from Android
* Founderkit taps founders to suggest the best tools to get a company off the ground
* Moto X Pure Edition will get Android 7.0 Nougat by June

* Fans will be able to stream live games in '17
* New Hall of Famers get their close-up
* Williams says Hall not just for 'all-time greats'
* Collins named fourth-best catching prospect in MLB
* Raines gets Hall's call in final year on ballot
* The end of Raines' career was noteworthy, too
* Raines gets Hall's call in final year on ballot

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Editorial: Listen to Illinois Senate leaders an.....
* Governor Bruce Rauner announced today that Illi.....
* Rauner vs. AFSCME Fight Costing The State - FOX.....
* Illinois contingent in Washington to celebrate .....
* Illinois contingent in Washington to celebrate .....
* Rauner budget office says Senate plan won't era.....
* Gov. Rauner wary of 'Obamacare' repeal without .....
* Brown: Rare and refreshing—Democrat, Republican.....
* Sneed: Patti Blagojevich still hopeful, despite.....
* Education Desk: Biss Brings Pensions Into Ed Fu.....


* 25 Illinois sites added to the national historic register
* 'Theatre Week' bonanza features 120 Chicago-area productions
* Washington lawyer to become lawyer for the city of Chicago
* Police: Man shot by Lake County officer dies
* Judge in ex-Illinois congressman's trial recuses herself
* Illinois lawmakers look into taxing sugary beverages
* Correction: Chicago-Gun Ranges story
* Indiana lawmakers look to develop South Shore Line
* Handful of rat virus cases seen in Wisconsin and Illinois
* Republicans revive plans to sell Thompson Center in Chicago

* Jesse White wants ads on license plate renewal reminders to offset cost
* A new tax on sodas, sugary drinks? It might be part of Illinois budget deal
* Jesse White wants ads on license renewal reminders to offset cost
* Jesse White wants advertisements on license renewal reminders to help offset cost
* New state app aims to help students with career choices
* U of Illinois trustees endorse plan to increase enrollment
* Blagojevich doesn't get early prison release from Obama
* Republicans revive plans to sell Thompson Center in Chicago
* U of I looking to increase enrollment by 15 percent
* Rauner budget office says Senate plan won't erase deficit

* New McDonald's 'Vendor Village' gets plan commission OK
* Mexico says drug lord 'El Chapo' Guzman extradited to U.S.
* Aon nears $4.5 billion sale of Aon Hewitt
* What's at stake for Chicago exchanges as Trump takes the oath
* Big Ten Network creating video game league


* ‘NCIS: Los Angeles’ star Miguel Ferrer dies at 61
* IDPH reports six cases of viral illness linked to rats
* Editorial: Listen to Illinois Senate leaders and say uncle
* McCarthy: Nothing to provide on subpoena in Jacksons’ divorce
* Police announce increased DUI patrols on Lake Shore Drive
* Boy, 15, shot in Englewood
* 49-year-old man shot in Homan Square
* Kinzinger warns about Russia. Kirk: No ‘white Republicans’ on AF1
* Men with repressed memories of sex abuse sue Presbyterian church
* Man, 32, shot in Englewood


* Joe Biden, endangered species
* Brutal honesty key in career turnaround for Northwestern's Scottie Lindsey
* LeBron James, Stephen Curry highlight all-star starters list that mostly gets it right
* Trump boasts about his 'big victory': 'I outworked anybody who ever ran for office'
* Off-duty cop charged with murder to be released on electronic monitoring
* State police: Suspect in Gary K-9 shooting dies
* 1 dead, 7 wounded after South, West side shootings
* Oakland Raiders file application with NFL to relocate to Las Vegas
* Bulls' Jimmy Butler earns first All-Star Game starting berth
* As moms march this weekend, they carry a difficult burden


The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.


* Jesse White wants ads on license plate renewal reminders to offset cost
* Our View: Thumbs Up to a finished Route 29 project
* A new tax on sodas, sugary drinks? It might be part of Illinois budget deal
* George Will: The waterbeetle of American politics
* Eugene Robinson: Trump is wrong about black America
* Jesse White wants ads on license renewal reminders to offset cost
* Jesse White wants advertisements on license renewal reminders to help offset cost
* New state app aims to help students with career choices
* U of Illinois trustees endorse plan to increase enrollment
* Blagojevich doesn't get early prison release from Obama


* Eureka's Zobrist event moving indoors
* Ram advances at Australian Open
* Ex-Illini and area player in all-star games
* Illini coaches: Five years and counting
* Asmussen's Hoop it up: Sooners rise to the occasion
* Tate: Groce's job status is talk of town
* Area prep girls' basketball leaders: Week of Jan. 16
* TRS executive director talks pensions for teachers
* HS Boys Basketball: VC Tournament
* Rauner names Southern Illinois Healthcare surgeon to the SIU board


* Stevenson finds leverage in showdown vs. Libertyville
* Wheaton North remains perfect in DVC
* Leonard has 34, Spurs overcome Gasol's injury to top Nuggets
* WW South bounces back against Glenbard North
* Geneva dumps Streamwood to snap 2-game skid

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Durbin on Attending Trump Inauguration - C......
* Sen. Durbin plans to join rally day after ......
* New Senate bill seeks sweeping H-1B change......

* Kinzinger warns about Russia. Kirk: No 'wh......
* Ex-U.S. Sen. Kirk may open lobbying office......

* EXTRA: Just a thought – would you rather be Hank Aaron, or Bob Gibson?
* IDOT issues ice storm warning for southern Illinois
* Former IL GOP Senate candidate visits D.C. for Trump Inauguration
* Di Leo: The Job Creation Machine of the Free World
* RPAC fundraising kicks off at Professional Standards Workshops
* Housing Opportunity Working Group to feature global fair housing advocate
* Ald. Cappleman: Even More Art Coming To Uptown Thanks To Grant Money
* We’re on ‘GN tonight with Justin Kaufman.
* TRS private equity firms listed.
* Amendment to the Illinois Lead Poisoning Prevention Act


* Governor Rauner Recognizes Illinois’ Progress In Bringing High Speed Internet to Schools, Students
* Illinois Department of Public Health Reports Six Cases Of Viral Illness Linked To Ratteries - General public at low risk of infection
* 2017 Illinois Tax Filing Season Begins Monday, January 23rd - IDOR fraud efforts resulted in over $20 million in savings in 2016
* Reality Check App Puts Career Planning Tools in the Hands of Youth, Job Seekers - Going Mobile Initiative in Illinois Making Rapid Progress
* Governor Discusses Importance of Apprenticeships




      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller