SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Is Emanuel bouncing back?

Thursday, Mar 27, 2014

* Partial results of two Anzalone-Liszt-Grove Research polls taken for state Rep. Christian Mitchell’s primary campaign show Mayor Rahm Emanuel apparently bouncing back in March from some big trouble last December with African-American Democratic voters

Emanuel favorability African Americans 18-64

    55 favorable, 38 unfavorable MARCH

    42 favorable 51 unfavorable DECEMBER

Emanuel favorability Africa Americans non-college

    60 favorable 28 unfavorable MARCH

    48 favorable 45 unfavorable DECEMBER

* Also

Emanuel has a base of senior African American voters — those over the age of 65 — in this district poll; his standing did not change much in the past months with his favorables holding at 62 per cent.

This is just one House district on the South Side, so it would be better to see broader results. Still, the mayor’s movement is quite interesting.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


30 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:38 pm:

    It is interesting, even within the small geographic area.

    Off the top of my head, I can’t think of any one or two things that would account for a bump.


  2. - Arizona Bob - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    Back in December, the stench of the teachers strike and the school closings was still on everyone’s mind. Many blamed Rahm and it became a “white (Rahm) vs african american (Karen Lewis)”
    issue. Kids and families are adjusted now, so they gravitate towards their standard perception postion


  3. - PoolGuy - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    He gave a good talk on CNBC this morning about the Forbes Reinventing America Summit going on in Chicago this week.


  4. - crazybleedingheart - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    He has lowered the ratio of jock white wonderboy advisors telling him he’s doing just great with “constituencies” that seem based on zillionaires, yuppies, the internet, and/or people outside of Chicago.

    He’s been reaching out directly to communities, trying to shift away the very clear FOAD message of his first few years.

    As memories of the school disaster fade, some are buying what he’s selling.

    Entirely justified skepticism remains.


  5. - Commander Norton - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    Hey, I know! Maybe they’ve all been watching Chicagoland on CNN! Well, maybe not. But if they did watch it, they’d learn that the Mayor, despite being Jewish, is probably a candidate for sainthood.


  6. - I'm New Here - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:24 pm:

    Came her to offer the same theory on Chicagoland. Had to turn it off midway through the first episode lest I be subjected to any more propaganda.

    Thank goodness it’s spawned some serious questions about the Mayor’s policies:

    http://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20140327/downtown/rahms-flip-phone-ridiculed-by-chicagoland-viewers-but-he-stands-by-it


  7. - Upon Further Review - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    Rather meaningless, so far removed from the mayoral election. As noted, the district sampled is too small to be representative of the entire community.


  8. - Soccermom - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:48 pm:

    By some definitions, St. Teresa de Avila was Jewish. So there is a precedent.


  9. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:51 pm:

    I think the rebound, if it is a real rebound, correlates nicely with the drop in murders.

    Also, Ben Joravksy doesn’t have a column in the Defender.


  10. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:56 pm:

    Maybe the CTU strategy of attacking a candidate backed by Preckwinkle backfired?

    But I suspect Arizona Bob is correct…animosity toward the Mayor was huge immediately following the strike and bound to subside.


  11. - Tom B. - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    First, I’d like to remind everyone that seldomly


  12. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:45 pm:

    A lot could be going on here. Arizona Bob’s hypothesis or crazybleedingheart’s. I would also add that as the city decreases in AfAm pop, are some of Rahm’s critics leaving the city? Not that so many would leave as to turn around poll results like this, but it’s just something to throw out there.


  13. - Wensicia - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:58 pm:

    I would think the super cold winter played a part. There was less violence in the streets. The success of CPS’s safe-passage program also helped.


  14. - Walker - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:16 pm:

    Karen Lewis, and some community activists, way overreacted and got some anti-Rahm publicity.

    Now more realistic views will reemerge among the public.


  15. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:24 pm:

    If there was a poster child for what’s wrong with the Democratic Party Leadership, Rahm would be at the head of the class.


  16. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    Rahm is what’s wrong with the Democratic Party? Look I get he’s done a lot of unpopular things but I still haven’t seen him do anything that hasn’t been talked about for years and never acted upon. At least he’s being decisive rather than drag things out for years and sidestep a bunch of stuff.

    Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t. It shouldn’t be a big surprise that poll numbers are up. Crime is down and the Armageddon of the school closings didn’t happen.


  17. - David Ormsby - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:01 pm:

    Interesting.


  18. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:07 pm:

    @PMcP….Let’s start with NAFTA and his shameless business contacts created during Rahm’s working for Clinton. He entered a revolving door that propelled him into an 18 month investment banking career with $16 million dollar payday. Considering his educational background consisting of training as a dance instructor, not a bad Shtick.


  19. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:38 pm:

    Your complaint is NAFTA? Dear lord, get over it. You do realize that it has raised living standards in countries outside of the US. It’s poor local short-term policy but good long term benefit for the world in general. I understand being against it but lowering trade barriers is good in the long-term, which is what we need to focus on here.

    So he got a payday afterwards from people he met, it doesn’t make NAFTA bad policy.


  20. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:47 pm:

    ==Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t==

    You mean things like lower grades and test scores, because you can’t really judge that yet since the school year isn’t over and the tests aren’t in. There was an evidence-free Tribbie editorial the other day that claimed everything was up, but provided zero statistics.

    We also know that it was false that all kids would be moving to better performing schools.

    http://www.wbez.org/node/107216#performance


  21. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:53 pm:

    Yea, the tribune story was light on facts but what is undeniable is the fact that safe passage works. It’s a start and these changes, unfortunately, are generational rather than immediate. I make no qualms about kids going to lower performing schools from ones that were closed but the rhetoric has died down and there is no evidence that things are out of control. Again, the rebound in poll numbers makes complete sense.


  22. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:41 pm:

    @PmCp…”Get over it”…Really…Stagnant incomes for 95% of Americans, 40 years of negative trade balances costing millions of American jobs and a Democratic Party economic policies more aligned with Wall Street than main street. Rahm is one of the many Democrat sell-outs, and if he ever is foolish enough to run statewide, we’ll beat his Fxxry ass like a drum.


  23. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:51 pm:

    @Louis Howe

    Yes, “get over it.” Yes, American incomes have stagnated but the long-term benefits of free-trade agreements will correct that issue, which is starting to happen. Manufacturing is returning to the US because the arbitrage market of low wages is becoming less profitable as wages in emerging markets increase and capacity is constrained in the transportation markets, which repatriates the manufacturing jobs back to the US to support local demand and take advantage of the inverse transportation glut (i.e. lots of full shipments coming in but empty containers going out, thus an arbitrage market in exports exists). If we move in a long-term fashion, investors (Wealthier individuals) will benefit initially but the benefits will even out, eventually, and it will be a good thing for the world, not just the US. I completely understand the animosity and hardships created by NAFTA in the US but I imagine if you speak to people in the countries that jobs were shipped to, they would have a bit of a different story, in the long-run it is beneficial for everyone.


  24. - Oh Come On! - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 8:43 pm:

    It would fun to see Rahm bounced from office or down the street like a basketball tossed from a ten story building, but I am fantasizing.


  25. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 7:53 am:

    The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.

    If Emanuel expected to run Chicago like any gadfly politician who uses the Office as a stepping stone to a bigger spotlight, he won’t find Chicagoans happy to watch him do that.

    Chicagoans are in Chicago to work, raise a family and earn a living. Hey, a lot of Chicagoans actually root for the Cubs - what does that tell you? Few are so delusional enough to believe that Chicago is anything else but a place that is too cold in the winter, too hot in the summer, too flat to enjoy a view from a hill or mountain resort, and folks don’t come to Chicago to romp along in ocean sands. Consequently, they prefer their mayor to focus on keeping their streets safe, potholes filled, water potable, and schools functioning.

    So when outsiders view Chicago, they almost always get it wrong. The last thing any Chicago mayor needs is an office full of non-Chicagoans giving him or her any advice. Because these people don’t understand Chicagoan priorities.

    Emanuel will be fine as long as he focuses on the least glamorous aspects of the Mayor’s Office because that is where he will build any political popularity. Hey - Chicagoans know that if you don’t earn your pay, it doesn’t matter how well you can speak or look dressed in a suit.

    We like our mayors capable of hauling away our garbage, not spewing political garbage on WGN.


  26. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 8:20 am:

    –The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.–

    I wonder what any of that is intended to communicate.

    There are words, strung together in a complete sentence, but it’s all jabberwocky.

    What are you trying to say? I don’t have a clue. What drove you to write it?


  27. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:05 am:

    Good grief.

    If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.


  28. - Mokenavince - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:44 am:

    Rahm will still win the next election. There is no
    one who can beat him at this time.
    The man works his tail off and the City is starting to change.
    No one has better PR.


  29. - NW Illinois Dem - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:48 am:

    The CNN “ChicagoLand” series is enhancing the Mayor’s standing as well.


  30. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 11:36 am:

    –If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.–

    LOL, whatever you say, Scarecrow. I still don’t have a clue as to what you’re trying to communicate.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Ginning up the base
* Cool new online stuff
* It's just basic mathematics
* $580 MILLION EXELON RATE HIKE?? That’s the price tag for their nuke bailout…EVERY YEAR!
* Schilling sat on racist recording for three months
* Question of the day
* Dold campaign celebrates Sabato ratings change
* Rate "K Text"
* Today's quotable
* Frerichs lashes out at outside intervention in campaign
* McKeon upset by "hatchet job"
* Run away! Run away!
* *** UPDATED - Quinn response *** Rauner complains that Quinn "stole" his accomplishment
* Two colleagues, two different takes on a reporter's resignation
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraising updates
* Rauner with 2-1 money lead over Quinn
* Waukegan school strike finally ends
* *** UPDATED x2 Siedle responds - Rauner response *** Today's must-read
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Crosstabs, cable TV buys, mail, etc.
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Metal unibody phones Samsung Galaxy A3, A5 get official announcements
        * Latest Q3 2014 IDC figures show Xiaomi now 3rd in smartphones shipped
        * In The Best Conditions, iOS-Exclusive Vainglory Is A Top-Notch MOBA
        * Xiaomi sees meteoric rise to number three global smartphone OEM
        * HTC is making a mistake by not making the One M8 Eye broadly available
        * LG’s latest smartphone screen asks, “bezels? What bezels?”
        * Samsung Gear S prepares for US arrival as AT&T and T-Mobile share sales details

        * Unsticker.Me Gets Rid of Stickers from Your Facebook Feed
        * Take Out Your Frustrations on These Anti-Stress Rubber Mushrooms
        * Cover Your Laptop’s Camera, Protect Your Privacy with CameraBadge
        * Now This is Handy: Hair Drying Gloves
        * Ubisoft Sneaks in Assassin’s Creed Unity Phantom Blade Just in time for Halloween
        * LIM Innovations Looks to Finally Take Prosthetic Legs Into the 21st Century
        * Marvel Studios Announces Phase 3 of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, Including Captain Marvel in 2018

        * Minnie Miñoso belongs in the Hall of Fame
        * Development of young core in '15 can define Chicago's future
        * Abreu leads White Sox GIBBY hopefuls with five noms
        * Allen, Wills among new faces on Hall's Golden Era ballot
        * The offseason begins with a new Chicago manager and old arguments
        * World Series Game 7: Notes and discussion
        * Guillen, White Sox look back on '05 championship


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Why I'm voting for Pat Quinn - Chicago Tribune..
        * Gov. Quinn visited Triton College on Oct. 28 - .....


        * 3 killed when train strikes SUV
        * Waukegan teachers approve contract ending strike
        * 2 killed, 8 injured in construction zone wreck
        * Suburban judge attacked by inmate in courtroom
        * Man charged in death of Rockford attorney in crash
        * Inmate freed in landmark Illinois case
        * Social issues take backseat in governor's race
        * Illinois basketball court not damaged by water
        * Quinn, Rauner pick up newspaper endorsements
        * Judge won't sentence absent former Ohio official

        * Attorney general seeks clarifications from Topinka’s former nonprofit
        * Inmate freed from Jacksonville prison in landmark Illinois case
        * Cross opposes income tax hike extension
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take back seat in governor’s race
        * Madigan’s office seeks clarifications from former Topinka nonprofit
        * Cross says no to income tax hike extension, sales tax on services
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take backseat in governor’s race
        * Illinois inmate freed in landmark capital punishment case
        * Rauner says women will decide governor's race
        * Judge denies ex-representative new bribery trial

        * Lake Shore Drive ramps by McCormick Place set for early 2015 construction
        * Groupon forecast falls short of estimates
        * Groupon mulls overseas options as forecast falls short
        * Groupon hires advisers top find partners for Asia businesses
        * Groupon hires advisers to find partners for Asia businesses


        * Garcia: I'm a serious mayoral candidate, not just a protest vote
        * A higher standard of criminal justice
        * Ex-Northwestern doctor to pay $475K to settle fraud claims
        * Sad day  when  Catholic  schools  close
        * Chicago bead merchant Ronnie Klein, whose Loop business drew stars, dead at 65
        * Chicago bead merchant Ronnie Klein, whose Loop business drew stars, dead at 65
        * Durbin, Oberweis square off for final time
        * State’s attorney investigating alderman’s prize offer to voters
        * Face it: Animator has found a great way to pass time on his commute
        * Refund those unfair yellow-light tickets


        * Installation begins on Wallenda's tightrope over Chicago River
        * Off-duty police officer beaten and robbed in the Loop
        * Teen wounded in Morgan Park shooting, at least 3 others injured across city
        * Alleged lieutenant of drug kingpin 'El Chapo' seeks minimum 10-year term
        * Waukegan district, teachers come to terms after monthlong strike
        * Judge again orders Crystal Lake South bleachers to come down
        * Naperville high school cancels activities after bomb threat
        * Officials: Defendant in Maywood court attacked judge
        * Rauner, Quinn squabble over who deserves credit for digital lab
        * Coroner: Body buried in Indiana is missing relative of dead woman, slain man


        * Prisoner Freed After Recanting Testimony "Angry"
        * The Choice Of Choice: Gov. Candidates On Abortion
        * Group Has A Goal Of Improving Access To Preschool In Macon County
        * Turn out for what? Will young voters make it to the polls, or stay home as usual?
        * As Infrastructure Crumbles, Trillions Of Gallons Of Water Lost
        * Authorities: Springfield Woman's BAC Three Times The Legal Limit
        * 2014 Election Coverage: Citizens, here's your homework!
        * Aldermen skip chance to ask about city’s handling of police commander
        * Immigrant Rights Groups: Demand Oustrips Slots For Driver's Licenses
        * U-S Senate Candidates Differ On Ebola Response And More


        * Esther Cepeda: Elizabeth Pena: Trailblazer on the big screen
        * Andy Shaw: Voter turnout instrumental to reform
        * Ty Fahner: What if the Court rejects pension reform?
        * Attorney general seeks clarifications from Topinka’s former nonprofit
        * Quote of the Day: Friday, Oct. 31
        * Inmate freed from Jacksonville prison in landmark Illinois case
        * Cross opposes income tax hike extension
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take back seat in governor’s race
        * Illinois inmate freed in landmark capital punishment case
        * Rauner says women will decide governor's race


        * Campaigns go into overdrive this weekend
        * Final debate brings up new issues for 13th District candidates
        * Letter: Special education on the wrong track
        * Letter: Murrayville reunion a wonderful event
        * Murray adds 100M tons to Illinois' coal holdings
        * Workshop on managing edges of wooded areas set for Nov. 15
        * Kroner's Week 10 storylines: Saturday's games
        * HS Volleyball: 3A Regional Championship
        * Foundation to host fundraiser
        * Franklin County voters to elect new county clerk, county board members


        * Girls volleyball: Huntley dominates DeKalb
        * Burlington Central storms back to take crown
        * Hossa reaches scoring milestone in Hawks victory
        * Scouting: Tri-Cities round one playoff games
        * Football: Scouting Round 1 playoffs, Lake County

        * Patrick Cannon defense strategy rare but n...
        * Feds fine Jesse Jackson Jr.'s campaign com...
        * Ex-Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. faces sen...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...

        * Election 2014 Endorsements...
        * Election 2014 Endorsements...
        * Election 2014 Endorsements...
        * Election 2014 Endorsements...
        * Election 2014 Endorsements...

        * How first lady, Rauner factor into their p......
        * Celeb Spotting...
        * ISIS Has More Land, Money, and Fighters Th......
        * A Republican Senate Victory Could Splinter......
        * Rehabilitation Institute of Chicago Celebr......

        * DNA Info: Englewood Whole Foods Developers Looking for More Tenants
        * Sorry Mark Brown but I don't think it is about the money...
        * Waukegan Teachers Reach Deal With Board Of Ed
        * Waukegan Teachers Reach Deal With Board Of Ed (UPDATED)
        * You think the Hinsdale board was crappy to teachers? Look at what they are doing to plow over the support staff.
        * Mark Anderson: Chicago progressives have an embarrassment of riches.
        * Rahm and Sun-Times editor Jim Kirk.
        * The Chicago Transit Authority and Rahm’s water carriers at the Sun-Times.
        * John Dillon. The choices.
        * The court issues an injunction against the Philadelphia Schools Commission.


        * Editorial: Rauner best choice as governor to begin to reverse Illinois’ fortunes
        * Quinn to celebrate Rauner’s UI Labs accomplishment
        * Another Democrat Runs Away From Pat Quinn
        * Governor Pat Quinn Statement on Tentative Agreement to End Waukegan Teacher Strike, Return Students to Classrooms - State Education Chief Worked Overnight to Reach Common Ground, Students Heading Back to School on Monday
        * Governor Quinn Joins UI LABS to Break Ground on New Digital Manufacturing Hub - Digital Manufacturing and Design Innovation Institute Set to Open in 2015, Create Jobs




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller