SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Is Emanuel bouncing back?

Thursday, Mar 27, 2014

* Partial results of two Anzalone-Liszt-Grove Research polls taken for state Rep. Christian Mitchell’s primary campaign show Mayor Rahm Emanuel apparently bouncing back in March from some big trouble last December with African-American Democratic voters

Emanuel favorability African Americans 18-64

    55 favorable, 38 unfavorable MARCH

    42 favorable 51 unfavorable DECEMBER

Emanuel favorability Africa Americans non-college

    60 favorable 28 unfavorable MARCH

    48 favorable 45 unfavorable DECEMBER

* Also

Emanuel has a base of senior African American voters — those over the age of 65 — in this district poll; his standing did not change much in the past months with his favorables holding at 62 per cent.

This is just one House district on the South Side, so it would be better to see broader results. Still, the mayor’s movement is quite interesting.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


30 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:38 pm:

    It is interesting, even within the small geographic area.

    Off the top of my head, I can’t think of any one or two things that would account for a bump.


  2. - Arizona Bob - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    Back in December, the stench of the teachers strike and the school closings was still on everyone’s mind. Many blamed Rahm and it became a “white (Rahm) vs african american (Karen Lewis)”
    issue. Kids and families are adjusted now, so they gravitate towards their standard perception postion


  3. - PoolGuy - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    He gave a good talk on CNBC this morning about the Forbes Reinventing America Summit going on in Chicago this week.


  4. - crazybleedingheart - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    He has lowered the ratio of jock white wonderboy advisors telling him he’s doing just great with “constituencies” that seem based on zillionaires, yuppies, the internet, and/or people outside of Chicago.

    He’s been reaching out directly to communities, trying to shift away the very clear FOAD message of his first few years.

    As memories of the school disaster fade, some are buying what he’s selling.

    Entirely justified skepticism remains.


  5. - Commander Norton - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    Hey, I know! Maybe they’ve all been watching Chicagoland on CNN! Well, maybe not. But if they did watch it, they’d learn that the Mayor, despite being Jewish, is probably a candidate for sainthood.


  6. - I'm New Here - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:24 pm:

    Came her to offer the same theory on Chicagoland. Had to turn it off midway through the first episode lest I be subjected to any more propaganda.

    Thank goodness it’s spawned some serious questions about the Mayor’s policies:

    http://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20140327/downtown/rahms-flip-phone-ridiculed-by-chicagoland-viewers-but-he-stands-by-it


  7. - Upon Further Review - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    Rather meaningless, so far removed from the mayoral election. As noted, the district sampled is too small to be representative of the entire community.


  8. - Soccermom - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:48 pm:

    By some definitions, St. Teresa de Avila was Jewish. So there is a precedent.


  9. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:51 pm:

    I think the rebound, if it is a real rebound, correlates nicely with the drop in murders.

    Also, Ben Joravksy doesn’t have a column in the Defender.


  10. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:56 pm:

    Maybe the CTU strategy of attacking a candidate backed by Preckwinkle backfired?

    But I suspect Arizona Bob is correct…animosity toward the Mayor was huge immediately following the strike and bound to subside.


  11. - Tom B. - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    First, I’d like to remind everyone that seldomly


  12. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:45 pm:

    A lot could be going on here. Arizona Bob’s hypothesis or crazybleedingheart’s. I would also add that as the city decreases in AfAm pop, are some of Rahm’s critics leaving the city? Not that so many would leave as to turn around poll results like this, but it’s just something to throw out there.


  13. - Wensicia - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:58 pm:

    I would think the super cold winter played a part. There was less violence in the streets. The success of CPS’s safe-passage program also helped.


  14. - Walker - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:16 pm:

    Karen Lewis, and some community activists, way overreacted and got some anti-Rahm publicity.

    Now more realistic views will reemerge among the public.


  15. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:24 pm:

    If there was a poster child for what’s wrong with the Democratic Party Leadership, Rahm would be at the head of the class.


  16. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    Rahm is what’s wrong with the Democratic Party? Look I get he’s done a lot of unpopular things but I still haven’t seen him do anything that hasn’t been talked about for years and never acted upon. At least he’s being decisive rather than drag things out for years and sidestep a bunch of stuff.

    Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t. It shouldn’t be a big surprise that poll numbers are up. Crime is down and the Armageddon of the school closings didn’t happen.


  17. - David Ormsby - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:01 pm:

    Interesting.


  18. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:07 pm:

    @PMcP….Let’s start with NAFTA and his shameless business contacts created during Rahm’s working for Clinton. He entered a revolving door that propelled him into an 18 month investment banking career with $16 million dollar payday. Considering his educational background consisting of training as a dance instructor, not a bad Shtick.


  19. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:38 pm:

    Your complaint is NAFTA? Dear lord, get over it. You do realize that it has raised living standards in countries outside of the US. It’s poor local short-term policy but good long term benefit for the world in general. I understand being against it but lowering trade barriers is good in the long-term, which is what we need to focus on here.

    So he got a payday afterwards from people he met, it doesn’t make NAFTA bad policy.


  20. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:47 pm:

    ==Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t==

    You mean things like lower grades and test scores, because you can’t really judge that yet since the school year isn’t over and the tests aren’t in. There was an evidence-free Tribbie editorial the other day that claimed everything was up, but provided zero statistics.

    We also know that it was false that all kids would be moving to better performing schools.

    http://www.wbez.org/node/107216#performance


  21. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:53 pm:

    Yea, the tribune story was light on facts but what is undeniable is the fact that safe passage works. It’s a start and these changes, unfortunately, are generational rather than immediate. I make no qualms about kids going to lower performing schools from ones that were closed but the rhetoric has died down and there is no evidence that things are out of control. Again, the rebound in poll numbers makes complete sense.


  22. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:41 pm:

    @PmCp…”Get over it”…Really…Stagnant incomes for 95% of Americans, 40 years of negative trade balances costing millions of American jobs and a Democratic Party economic policies more aligned with Wall Street than main street. Rahm is one of the many Democrat sell-outs, and if he ever is foolish enough to run statewide, we’ll beat his Fxxry ass like a drum.


  23. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:51 pm:

    @Louis Howe

    Yes, “get over it.” Yes, American incomes have stagnated but the long-term benefits of free-trade agreements will correct that issue, which is starting to happen. Manufacturing is returning to the US because the arbitrage market of low wages is becoming less profitable as wages in emerging markets increase and capacity is constrained in the transportation markets, which repatriates the manufacturing jobs back to the US to support local demand and take advantage of the inverse transportation glut (i.e. lots of full shipments coming in but empty containers going out, thus an arbitrage market in exports exists). If we move in a long-term fashion, investors (Wealthier individuals) will benefit initially but the benefits will even out, eventually, and it will be a good thing for the world, not just the US. I completely understand the animosity and hardships created by NAFTA in the US but I imagine if you speak to people in the countries that jobs were shipped to, they would have a bit of a different story, in the long-run it is beneficial for everyone.


  24. - Oh Come On! - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 8:43 pm:

    It would fun to see Rahm bounced from office or down the street like a basketball tossed from a ten story building, but I am fantasizing.


  25. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 7:53 am:

    The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.

    If Emanuel expected to run Chicago like any gadfly politician who uses the Office as a stepping stone to a bigger spotlight, he won’t find Chicagoans happy to watch him do that.

    Chicagoans are in Chicago to work, raise a family and earn a living. Hey, a lot of Chicagoans actually root for the Cubs - what does that tell you? Few are so delusional enough to believe that Chicago is anything else but a place that is too cold in the winter, too hot in the summer, too flat to enjoy a view from a hill or mountain resort, and folks don’t come to Chicago to romp along in ocean sands. Consequently, they prefer their mayor to focus on keeping their streets safe, potholes filled, water potable, and schools functioning.

    So when outsiders view Chicago, they almost always get it wrong. The last thing any Chicago mayor needs is an office full of non-Chicagoans giving him or her any advice. Because these people don’t understand Chicagoan priorities.

    Emanuel will be fine as long as he focuses on the least glamorous aspects of the Mayor’s Office because that is where he will build any political popularity. Hey - Chicagoans know that if you don’t earn your pay, it doesn’t matter how well you can speak or look dressed in a suit.

    We like our mayors capable of hauling away our garbage, not spewing political garbage on WGN.


  26. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 8:20 am:

    –The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.–

    I wonder what any of that is intended to communicate.

    There are words, strung together in a complete sentence, but it’s all jabberwocky.

    What are you trying to say? I don’t have a clue. What drove you to write it?


  27. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:05 am:

    Good grief.

    If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.


  28. - Mokenavince - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:44 am:

    Rahm will still win the next election. There is no
    one who can beat him at this time.
    The man works his tail off and the City is starting to change.
    No one has better PR.


  29. - NW Illinois Dem - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:48 am:

    The CNN “ChicagoLand” series is enhancing the Mayor’s standing as well.


  30. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 11:36 am:

    –If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.–

    LOL, whatever you say, Scarecrow. I still don’t have a clue as to what you’re trying to communicate.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Mendoza transition team responds to the Sun-Times' Madigan conspiracy theory
* *** UPDATED x1 - Durkin responds *** Back to the future: Madigan demands "memorandums of understanding"
* Question of the day
* Shimkus loses out on plum post
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Moody's says Rauner veto is just one of many problems facing CPS
* *** UPDATED x4 - Mendoza responds - Munger calls suit "cowardly" *** Lawsuit filed over legislator pay
* The "green energy" side of the Exelon bill
* Caption contest!
* How is this "breaking our agreement"?
* Positioning, practicalities and politics weigh heavily against a House override
* Report: A decade to reach solvency, if leaders cooperate on tough plan
* *** UPDATED x2 *** Rauner goes into the lion's den
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* Lenovo Phab 2 Pro Video Review: More than just Tango?
* You can now play Oprah Winfrey’s mobile game on your Android device
* Copy and paste trick could unlock iOS 10 devices in Lost Mode
* Apple Store App for iOS Updated With Rich Notifications, One-Tap Apple Watch Purchases
* Fitbit Blaze review
* [TA Deals] Get started with Linux at a steep discount
* Beddit 3 knows if you’ve been sleeping. It knows if you’re awake.

* White Sox plans could clear up at Meetings
* Garcia among White Sox non-tender options
* White Sox plans could clear up at Meetings
* Peace & glove: Owners, players reach CBA deal
* Peace & glove: Owners, players reach CBA deal
* In-market deals? Chicago clubs address report
* Garcia among White Sox non-tender options

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Rauner: Rahm Should 'Tone Down' Rhetoric After .....
* Behind Rauner’s sudden war with state’s other t.....
* Emanuel: Rauner 'bailed out' power companies, b.....
* Kadner: Everybody lies about school funding in .....
* Supt. Johnson Asks Lawmakers To Stop Revolving .....
* Behind Rauner's sudden war with state's other t.....
* Rauner Defends Support of Exelon Bill, Veto of .....
* Back to the future: Madigan demands “memorandum.....


* Chicago-area judge who let clerk take bench has Alzheimer's
* Illinois lawmakers sue to get paid despite state budget mess
* Warrant charges Rockford teen with shooting another teen
* United Airlines will pay $2.4 million to settle with SEC
* Chicago establishes legal fund for those facing deportation
* Rauner says he's 'proud' of Exelon subsidy to spare 2 plants
* Illinois school districts increasingly rely on local funding
* The Latest: Munger: Lawmakers suing over pay are 'cowards'
* Illinois lawmakers sue to get paid despite state budget mess
* Rauner: Money for Chicago schools still part of budget talks

* Electronic road signs are dark near Effingham due to budget
* State lawmakers vote to spare 2 nuclear plants
* Legislature OKs Exelon subsidy plan, goes to Rauner
* Rauner: No more stopgap budgets without property tax freeze, term limits
* Illinois shutters nation's last prison roundhouse
* Clinton nuclear plant has history of cost, job uncertainty
* AFSCME files lawsuit over labor contract
* Rauner to Dems: No budget without term limits, property tax freeze
* AFSCME files suit over labor contract
* Rauner, leaders meet again, but still no progress

* Why Planned Parenthood donors are thanking Mike Pence
* Behind Rauner's sudden war with state's other top Dem
* McDonald's in China is a tall order
* John Wilson, founder of art expo that began Navy Pier's revival, dies at 82
* A chicken coop for the 21st century


* Jack Higgins’ perspective for December 4, 2016
* Bears worried about Colin Kaepernick’s wheels more than kneeling
* Purple Line service halted after person hit by train in Evanston
* Man sentenced 7 years for initiating sexual servitude with minors
* Sunday Letters: Trump drains swamp — into the White House
* Hunter success and the wariness of mallards: Aaron Yetter’s blog
* Shaw: City launches bag tax with hot air
* John Fountain: Tell me again what a cop would never do
* DCFS investigating death of 1-year-old boy at Rogers Park daycare
* Despite money woes, CPS unveils ‘supplemental capital agenda’


* Man gets prison for traveling to Aurora to have sex with children
* Marine drove wrong way in I-88 crash that killed him, ride-share driver, passenger: police
* Cubs sign LHP Brian Duensing to 1-year contract
* Oak Lawn settles with firefighter dismissed following on-duty phone sex probe
* LeBron James arrives at United Center wearing Cubs uniform
* CTA Purple Line service suspended after person hit by train
* Food truck ruling to decide mobile food's fate in Chicago
* Emanuel: Rauner 'bailed out' power companies, bailed on CPS students with pension money veto
* Developer closes on loan for 70-story residential tower in Streeterville
* Trump, backers ask courts to halt 3 recounts; judge rejects request in Wisconsin


The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.


* Electronic road signs are dark near Effingham due to budget
* State lawmakers vote to spare 2 nuclear plants
* Legislature OKs Exelon subsidy plan, goes to Rauner
* Our View: This Week’s Thumbs up/Thumbs Down
* Rauner: No more stopgap budgets without property tax freeze, term limits
* Illinois shutters nation's last prison roundhouse
* Clinton nuclear plant has history of cost, job uncertainty
* AFSCME files lawsuit over labor contract
* Rauner to Dems: No budget without term limits, property tax freeze
* AFSCME files suit over labor contract


* Anthony Meads sentencing
* Illinois school districts increasingly rely on tax funding
* PODCAST: Illini Notebook with Brian Barnhart on VCU
* 45 years for Champaign man
* 45 years for Champaign man (w/video)
* Updated: 'So many smiles'
* Murdale Water District issues boil order
* Schock wants trial in Peoria's federal court
* Judge who let clerk take bench has Alzheimer's
* 'So many smiles'


* Naperville activist shot in Chicago leaves legacy of 'togetherness'
* How a Trump administration could shape the internet
* Alabama-Florida for SEC title looks like massive mismatch
* The Latest: Democratic Sen. Heitkamp meets with Trump
* Chicago-area judge who let clerk take bench has Alzheimer's

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Senators drafting bill to limit Trump-era ......
* US Senators Seek to Halt Deportations Prom......

* SEIU leaders say planned Monday strike by ......
* Dick Durbin Says Goodbye To Mark Kirk - FO......

* Morning Minute: U.S. economy showed strong growth in last quarter; consumer confidence climbs
* REALTOR® Jim Kinney named to state’s Bicentennial Commission
* EXTRA: Madigan spouse, Burke, Sox & Cubs chairs (but no Bears) on state Bicentennial celebration commission
* ILGOP Launches new website, "BossMadigan.com"
* Illinois Dems sue Comptroller for overdue paychecks
* AFP-IL Exec Director says "End the Subsidies, Say No to the Bailout Bill"
* East St Louis Township Supervisor pleads guilty to wire fraud, embezzling public funds
* Serving on Mahomet Village Board worth sacrifice for Cook
* JIB files complaint against Judge Valarie E. Turner
* Next legal webinar features ‘Recent Case Reviews, Legislation and Year-end Items’


* Thanksgiving Holiday Travel Brings Lowest Fatality Rate In Six Years
* Governor Announces Appointments to Illinois Bicentennial Commission
* Stateville Correctional Center’s F House Officially Closed
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* IEMA Highlights Safety during the Holidays - Encourages holiday shoppers to give preparedness gifts this year




      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller