SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Is Emanuel bouncing back?

Thursday, Mar 27, 2014

* Partial results of two Anzalone-Liszt-Grove Research polls taken for state Rep. Christian Mitchell’s primary campaign show Mayor Rahm Emanuel apparently bouncing back in March from some big trouble last December with African-American Democratic voters

Emanuel favorability African Americans 18-64

    55 favorable, 38 unfavorable MARCH

    42 favorable 51 unfavorable DECEMBER

Emanuel favorability Africa Americans non-college

    60 favorable 28 unfavorable MARCH

    48 favorable 45 unfavorable DECEMBER

* Also

Emanuel has a base of senior African American voters — those over the age of 65 — in this district poll; his standing did not change much in the past months with his favorables holding at 62 per cent.

This is just one House district on the South Side, so it would be better to see broader results. Still, the mayor’s movement is quite interesting.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

  1. - wordslinger - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:38 pm:

    It is interesting, even within the small geographic area.

    Off the top of my head, I can’t think of any one or two things that would account for a bump.

  2. - Arizona Bob - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    Back in December, the stench of the teachers strike and the school closings was still on everyone’s mind. Many blamed Rahm and it became a “white (Rahm) vs african american (Karen Lewis)”
    issue. Kids and families are adjusted now, so they gravitate towards their standard perception postion

  3. - PoolGuy - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    He gave a good talk on CNBC this morning about the Forbes Reinventing America Summit going on in Chicago this week.

  4. - crazybleedingheart - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    He has lowered the ratio of jock white wonderboy advisors telling him he’s doing just great with “constituencies” that seem based on zillionaires, yuppies, the internet, and/or people outside of Chicago.

    He’s been reaching out directly to communities, trying to shift away the very clear FOAD message of his first few years.

    As memories of the school disaster fade, some are buying what he’s selling.

    Entirely justified skepticism remains.

  5. - Commander Norton - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    Hey, I know! Maybe they’ve all been watching Chicagoland on CNN! Well, maybe not. But if they did watch it, they’d learn that the Mayor, despite being Jewish, is probably a candidate for sainthood.

  6. - I'm New Here - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:24 pm:

    Came her to offer the same theory on Chicagoland. Had to turn it off midway through the first episode lest I be subjected to any more propaganda.

    Thank goodness it’s spawned some serious questions about the Mayor’s policies:

  7. - Upon Further Review - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    Rather meaningless, so far removed from the mayoral election. As noted, the district sampled is too small to be representative of the entire community.

  8. - Soccermom - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:48 pm:

    By some definitions, St. Teresa de Avila was Jewish. So there is a precedent.

  9. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:51 pm:

    I think the rebound, if it is a real rebound, correlates nicely with the drop in murders.

    Also, Ben Joravksy doesn’t have a column in the Defender.

  10. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:56 pm:

    Maybe the CTU strategy of attacking a candidate backed by Preckwinkle backfired?

    But I suspect Arizona Bob is correct…animosity toward the Mayor was huge immediately following the strike and bound to subside.

  11. - Tom B. - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    First, I’d like to remind everyone that seldomly

  12. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:45 pm:

    A lot could be going on here. Arizona Bob’s hypothesis or crazybleedingheart’s. I would also add that as the city decreases in AfAm pop, are some of Rahm’s critics leaving the city? Not that so many would leave as to turn around poll results like this, but it’s just something to throw out there.

  13. - Wensicia - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:58 pm:

    I would think the super cold winter played a part. There was less violence in the streets. The success of CPS’s safe-passage program also helped.

  14. - Walker - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:16 pm:

    Karen Lewis, and some community activists, way overreacted and got some anti-Rahm publicity.

    Now more realistic views will reemerge among the public.

  15. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:24 pm:

    If there was a poster child for what’s wrong with the Democratic Party Leadership, Rahm would be at the head of the class.

  16. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    Rahm is what’s wrong with the Democratic Party? Look I get he’s done a lot of unpopular things but I still haven’t seen him do anything that hasn’t been talked about for years and never acted upon. At least he’s being decisive rather than drag things out for years and sidestep a bunch of stuff.

    Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t. It shouldn’t be a big surprise that poll numbers are up. Crime is down and the Armageddon of the school closings didn’t happen.

  17. - David Ormsby - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:01 pm:


  18. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:07 pm:

    @PMcP….Let’s start with NAFTA and his shameless business contacts created during Rahm’s working for Clinton. He entered a revolving door that propelled him into an 18 month investment banking career with $16 million dollar payday. Considering his educational background consisting of training as a dance instructor, not a bad Shtick.

  19. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:38 pm:

    Your complaint is NAFTA? Dear lord, get over it. You do realize that it has raised living standards in countries outside of the US. It’s poor local short-term policy but good long term benefit for the world in general. I understand being against it but lowering trade barriers is good in the long-term, which is what we need to focus on here.

    So he got a payday afterwards from people he met, it doesn’t make NAFTA bad policy.

  20. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:47 pm:

    ==Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t==

    You mean things like lower grades and test scores, because you can’t really judge that yet since the school year isn’t over and the tests aren’t in. There was an evidence-free Tribbie editorial the other day that claimed everything was up, but provided zero statistics.

    We also know that it was false that all kids would be moving to better performing schools.

  21. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:53 pm:

    Yea, the tribune story was light on facts but what is undeniable is the fact that safe passage works. It’s a start and these changes, unfortunately, are generational rather than immediate. I make no qualms about kids going to lower performing schools from ones that were closed but the rhetoric has died down and there is no evidence that things are out of control. Again, the rebound in poll numbers makes complete sense.

  22. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:41 pm:

    @PmCp…”Get over it”…Really…Stagnant incomes for 95% of Americans, 40 years of negative trade balances costing millions of American jobs and a Democratic Party economic policies more aligned with Wall Street than main street. Rahm is one of the many Democrat sell-outs, and if he ever is foolish enough to run statewide, we’ll beat his Fxxry ass like a drum.

  23. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:51 pm:

    @Louis Howe

    Yes, “get over it.” Yes, American incomes have stagnated but the long-term benefits of free-trade agreements will correct that issue, which is starting to happen. Manufacturing is returning to the US because the arbitrage market of low wages is becoming less profitable as wages in emerging markets increase and capacity is constrained in the transportation markets, which repatriates the manufacturing jobs back to the US to support local demand and take advantage of the inverse transportation glut (i.e. lots of full shipments coming in but empty containers going out, thus an arbitrage market in exports exists). If we move in a long-term fashion, investors (Wealthier individuals) will benefit initially but the benefits will even out, eventually, and it will be a good thing for the world, not just the US. I completely understand the animosity and hardships created by NAFTA in the US but I imagine if you speak to people in the countries that jobs were shipped to, they would have a bit of a different story, in the long-run it is beneficial for everyone.

  24. - Oh Come On! - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 8:43 pm:

    It would fun to see Rahm bounced from office or down the street like a basketball tossed from a ten story building, but I am fantasizing.

  25. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 7:53 am:

    The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.

    If Emanuel expected to run Chicago like any gadfly politician who uses the Office as a stepping stone to a bigger spotlight, he won’t find Chicagoans happy to watch him do that.

    Chicagoans are in Chicago to work, raise a family and earn a living. Hey, a lot of Chicagoans actually root for the Cubs - what does that tell you? Few are so delusional enough to believe that Chicago is anything else but a place that is too cold in the winter, too hot in the summer, too flat to enjoy a view from a hill or mountain resort, and folks don’t come to Chicago to romp along in ocean sands. Consequently, they prefer their mayor to focus on keeping their streets safe, potholes filled, water potable, and schools functioning.

    So when outsiders view Chicago, they almost always get it wrong. The last thing any Chicago mayor needs is an office full of non-Chicagoans giving him or her any advice. Because these people don’t understand Chicagoan priorities.

    Emanuel will be fine as long as he focuses on the least glamorous aspects of the Mayor’s Office because that is where he will build any political popularity. Hey - Chicagoans know that if you don’t earn your pay, it doesn’t matter how well you can speak or look dressed in a suit.

    We like our mayors capable of hauling away our garbage, not spewing political garbage on WGN.

  26. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 8:20 am:

    –The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.–

    I wonder what any of that is intended to communicate.

    There are words, strung together in a complete sentence, but it’s all jabberwocky.

    What are you trying to say? I don’t have a clue. What drove you to write it?

  27. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:05 am:

    Good grief.

    If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.

  28. - Mokenavince - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:44 am:

    Rahm will still win the next election. There is no
    one who can beat him at this time.
    The man works his tail off and the City is starting to change.
    No one has better PR.

  29. - NW Illinois Dem - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:48 am:

    The CNN “ChicagoLand” series is enhancing the Mayor’s standing as well.

  30. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 11:36 am:

    –If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.–

    LOL, whatever you say, Scarecrow. I still don’t have a clue as to what you’re trying to communicate.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* This just in... $12 million contribution to Leader Durkin, $2 million to Munger
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* *** UPDATED x2 *** Duckworth doesn't play in Peoria
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Let's be careful out there
* Question of the day
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Political events calendar
* *** UPDATED x1 *** What today's cyber attack could mean for election day
* Rewriting history
* Army Corps of Engineers taking back state park
* Fire everything!!!
* More horrible pension news
* More flowery Madigan praise from Bradley
* Because... Madigan!
* Looking on the dark side
* Lawyers: Mayor Emanuel is "not a policymaker for the city"
* Duckworth has huge cash advantage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition and a campaign roundup
* Good morning!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Visit our advertisers...






Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

* Blass leaks Long Island project, the Huawei Mate 9 Pro
* AT&T buys Time Warner for $85 billion
* Let’s chat Nintendo Switch and LeReactions to LeEco Le Pro 3 | #PNWeekly 223
* Should Microsoft give up on Windows 10 Mobile?
* Google makes it easy to get screen replacements for the Pixel and Pixel XL
* Don’t expect to see any more modular smartphones from LG
* Siri and Pixel's Google Assistant Compete Side-by-Side in New Video

* Getz to oversee White Sox Minor Leagues
* Getz to oversee White Sox Minor Leagues
* International draft stands to benefit White Sox
* Davidson reflects on 'whirlwind' 2016 season
* Starting pitcher rankings: White Sox have four of them
* Podcast: 2016 Chicago White Sox Infield Review
* White Sox Rumors: Sox hire Chris Getz as new Director Of Player Dev...


Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0


* Rauner administration awards 1100 non-union wor.....
* Labor groups backing anti-Rauner super PAC - Th.....

* Overjoyed Chicago Cubs fans turn attention to World Series
* Cubs beat Dodgers 5-0 to reach 1st World Series since 1945
* Cubs fans celebrate team's 1st World Series berth since 1945
* EXCHANGE: A secret and forgotten life still lives in letters
* Little Calumet clear for paddling for 1st time in decades
* EXCHANGE: Sterling Toastmasters Club celebrates 60 years
* The Latest: Cubs fans hit the streets after NLCS victory
* Rauner administration awards 1,100 non-union workers bonuses
* Rauner administration awards 1,100 non-union workers bonuses
* Chicago woman faces federal charges in alleged ticket scam

* Statehouse Insider: Tomorrow's a new day; in Illinois, that may not be good
* Cook County lawyer who posed as judge criminally charged
* 1,100 non-union state workers getting $3,016 bonuses
* Springfield veteran honored for volunteer work
* Central Illinois soldier killed in Afghanistan
* Rauner administration awarding more than $3 million in bonuses to non-union workers
* SIU injury-prevention program reinstated through stopgap budget
* Survey: 386 state jobs could relocate to Springfield
* SIU injury-prevention program reinstated through state's stopgap spending plan
* Illinois unemployment rate holds at 5.5 percent

* Like our roundup? Share it around.
* AT&T buying Time Warner in $86 billion deal
* It's official: AT&T buys Time Warner for $85 billion
* There's a new way to replace old gas mains—but not in Chicago
* Is Neapolitan's Kelly Golden the new reigning queen of fashion?

* 1 critical after Little Village shooting
* Man shot in South Austin
* 17-year-old boy shot in Little Village
* Man shot in Austin
* Man shot on North Side
* Today at Chicago International Film Festival: ‘The Handmaiden’
* Man shot, critically wounded in Brighton Park
* Aerial surveys, Illinois and Mississippi rivers: Yetter’s blog
* Police: Man shot to death in Lawndale
* Young man, “Express yourself,” and big bass: Fish of the Week

* Pioneer Press Class 7A football playoff preview
* Donald Trump's 'nasty woman' remark adds to woes with female voters
* Four killed, 11 wounded in citywide shootings
* Steve Bartman should throw out first pitch at Wrigley
* Hillary Clinton takes fight to Arizona, long a Republican stronghold
* The Cubs have a plan for the ages
* Comic's comic Kevin Meaney has died at age 60
* Observations from the Blackhawks' 5-4 shootout victory over the Maple Leafs
* For former Cubs, National League pennant 'a mind-blowing experience'
* 2 blasts hit Japanese city, killing 1; suicide suspected

The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.

* Our Opinion: With poor choices, Clinton gets nod for president
* Statehouse Insider: Tomorrow's a new day; in Illinois, that may not be good
* Bernard Schoenburg: DelGiorno apologizes for backer's vulgar Facebook post
* Cooler temperatures lead to greater needs
* Women for Women tops half million mark
* Cook County lawyer who posed as judge criminally charged
* 1,100 non-union state workers getting $3,016 bonuses
* Springfield veteran honored for volunteer work
* Central Illinois soldier killed in Afghanistan
* Charles Krauthammer: My vote, explained

* Extra: Senior living in central Illinois
* Ambulance Director gets new contract; new Regional Superintendent of Schools No. 30 named
* Recycling event brings new life to tires
* PFOP: Dual church membership headache for Stevenson
* Oct. 23 Bob Asmussen Top 25
* Illinois Civil Air Patrol squadron assists FEMA with disaster relief In NC after hurricane
* Look ahead: Top picks from Melissa Merli for the week to come
* Don Follis: Voting with your life is ultimate test for humility
* Voices: The rabbit and the penknife
* John Roska: Cameras of media OK in many Illinois courts

* Purdue University's football season impacts local economy
* Bill Murray to receive humor prize at Kennedy Center
* Democratic hopeful aims to unseat Hawaii's only GOP lawmaker
* Younger, diverse voters are reshaping California politics
* Mundelein high school sued in connection to teen's suicide

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Photos: State's Attorney Glasgow, Senator ......
* Durbin Joins Women for Clinton Group - FOX......

* Should A Stroke Disqualify A Candidate? - ......
* Dems count on Duckworth 'W,' Kirk predicts......

* Morning Minute: NAR identifies top home buyer and seller trends over last 35 years
* Illinois REALTORS® give Rep. McAuliffe IE support
* They've Got The Power, They've Got The Speed, To Be The Best In The National League
* Chicago #Cubs championship history #postseason
* EXTRA: It’s about time!!!
* Walls closing in on Rhonda Crawford. What should the sanction be?
* Gooseberry Playlot Nears Completion On Malden
* Treasure Island Foods Slated As Anchor Retail Tenant of Maryville Development
* Where's Weyermuller?At #P**ssygrabsback protest at Chicago's Trump Tower
* Top IR picks for third week of October 2016

* Illinois EPA Sponsors Interactive Environmental Education Event with Riverton Elementary School - Riverton Third and Fourth Graders “Dive In!” to Celebrate the Environment
* Illinois Department of Veterans’ Affairs Honors Veteran Mr. George Pempek
* Illinois Partners with State of Telangana, India to Strengthen Smart State Initiatives - State to state agreement to accelerate opportunities and service to citizens
* Illinois EPA Announces Vehicle Emissions Testing Network Updates - New Contract to Offer More Efficient, Less Expensive Tests
* Annual Training Underway For Gas Station Owners, Service Technicans

      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller