LIVE session coverage...
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Is Emanuel bouncing back?

Thursday, Mar 27, 2014

* Partial results of two Anzalone-Liszt-Grove Research polls taken for state Rep. Christian Mitchell’s primary campaign show Mayor Rahm Emanuel apparently bouncing back in March from some big trouble last December with African-American Democratic voters

Emanuel favorability African Americans 18-64

    55 favorable, 38 unfavorable MARCH

    42 favorable 51 unfavorable DECEMBER

Emanuel favorability Africa Americans non-college

    60 favorable 28 unfavorable MARCH

    48 favorable 45 unfavorable DECEMBER

* Also

Emanuel has a base of senior African American voters — those over the age of 65 — in this district poll; his standing did not change much in the past months with his favorables holding at 62 per cent.

This is just one House district on the South Side, so it would be better to see broader results. Still, the mayor’s movement is quite interesting.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


30 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:38 pm:

    It is interesting, even within the small geographic area.

    Off the top of my head, I can’t think of any one or two things that would account for a bump.


  2. - Arizona Bob - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    Back in December, the stench of the teachers strike and the school closings was still on everyone’s mind. Many blamed Rahm and it became a “white (Rahm) vs african american (Karen Lewis)”
    issue. Kids and families are adjusted now, so they gravitate towards their standard perception postion


  3. - PoolGuy - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:09 pm:

    He gave a good talk on CNBC this morning about the Forbes Reinventing America Summit going on in Chicago this week.


  4. - crazybleedingheart - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    He has lowered the ratio of jock white wonderboy advisors telling him he’s doing just great with “constituencies” that seem based on zillionaires, yuppies, the internet, and/or people outside of Chicago.

    He’s been reaching out directly to communities, trying to shift away the very clear FOAD message of his first few years.

    As memories of the school disaster fade, some are buying what he’s selling.

    Entirely justified skepticism remains.


  5. - Commander Norton - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:20 pm:

    Hey, I know! Maybe they’ve all been watching Chicagoland on CNN! Well, maybe not. But if they did watch it, they’d learn that the Mayor, despite being Jewish, is probably a candidate for sainthood.


  6. - I'm New Here - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:24 pm:

    Came her to offer the same theory on Chicagoland. Had to turn it off midway through the first episode lest I be subjected to any more propaganda.

    Thank goodness it’s spawned some serious questions about the Mayor’s policies:

    http://www.dnainfo.com/chicago/20140327/downtown/rahms-flip-phone-ridiculed-by-chicagoland-viewers-but-he-stands-by-it


  7. - Upon Further Review - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    Rather meaningless, so far removed from the mayoral election. As noted, the district sampled is too small to be representative of the entire community.


  8. - Soccermom - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:48 pm:

    By some definitions, St. Teresa de Avila was Jewish. So there is a precedent.


  9. - 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:51 pm:

    I think the rebound, if it is a real rebound, correlates nicely with the drop in murders.

    Also, Ben Joravksy doesn’t have a column in the Defender.


  10. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 2:56 pm:

    Maybe the CTU strategy of attacking a candidate backed by Preckwinkle backfired?

    But I suspect Arizona Bob is correct…animosity toward the Mayor was huge immediately following the strike and bound to subside.


  11. - Tom B. - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    First, I’d like to remind everyone that seldomly


  12. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:45 pm:

    A lot could be going on here. Arizona Bob’s hypothesis or crazybleedingheart’s. I would also add that as the city decreases in AfAm pop, are some of Rahm’s critics leaving the city? Not that so many would leave as to turn around poll results like this, but it’s just something to throw out there.


  13. - Wensicia - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 3:58 pm:

    I would think the super cold winter played a part. There was less violence in the streets. The success of CPS’s safe-passage program also helped.


  14. - Walker - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:16 pm:

    Karen Lewis, and some community activists, way overreacted and got some anti-Rahm publicity.

    Now more realistic views will reemerge among the public.


  15. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 4:24 pm:

    If there was a poster child for what’s wrong with the Democratic Party Leadership, Rahm would be at the head of the class.


  16. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 5:10 pm:

    Rahm is what’s wrong with the Democratic Party? Look I get he’s done a lot of unpopular things but I still haven’t seen him do anything that hasn’t been talked about for years and never acted upon. At least he’s being decisive rather than drag things out for years and sidestep a bunch of stuff.

    Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t. It shouldn’t be a big surprise that poll numbers are up. Crime is down and the Armageddon of the school closings didn’t happen.


  17. - David Ormsby - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:01 pm:

    Interesting.


  18. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:07 pm:

    @PMcP….Let’s start with NAFTA and his shameless business contacts created during Rahm’s working for Clinton. He entered a revolving door that propelled him into an 18 month investment banking career with $16 million dollar payday. Considering his educational background consisting of training as a dance instructor, not a bad Shtick.


  19. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:38 pm:

    Your complaint is NAFTA? Dear lord, get over it. You do realize that it has raised living standards in countries outside of the US. It’s poor local short-term policy but good long term benefit for the world in general. I understand being against it but lowering trade barriers is good in the long-term, which is what we need to focus on here.

    So he got a payday afterwards from people he met, it doesn’t make NAFTA bad policy.


  20. - Precinct Captain - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:47 pm:

    ==Everything the CTU and parents said would happen absolutely didn’t==

    You mean things like lower grades and test scores, because you can’t really judge that yet since the school year isn’t over and the tests aren’t in. There was an evidence-free Tribbie editorial the other day that claimed everything was up, but provided zero statistics.

    We also know that it was false that all kids would be moving to better performing schools.

    http://www.wbez.org/node/107216#performance


  21. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 6:53 pm:

    Yea, the tribune story was light on facts but what is undeniable is the fact that safe passage works. It’s a start and these changes, unfortunately, are generational rather than immediate. I make no qualms about kids going to lower performing schools from ones that were closed but the rhetoric has died down and there is no evidence that things are out of control. Again, the rebound in poll numbers makes complete sense.


  22. - Louis Howe - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:41 pm:

    @PmCp…”Get over it”…Really…Stagnant incomes for 95% of Americans, 40 years of negative trade balances costing millions of American jobs and a Democratic Party economic policies more aligned with Wall Street than main street. Rahm is one of the many Democrat sell-outs, and if he ever is foolish enough to run statewide, we’ll beat his Fxxry ass like a drum.


  23. - PMcP - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 7:51 pm:

    @Louis Howe

    Yes, “get over it.” Yes, American incomes have stagnated but the long-term benefits of free-trade agreements will correct that issue, which is starting to happen. Manufacturing is returning to the US because the arbitrage market of low wages is becoming less profitable as wages in emerging markets increase and capacity is constrained in the transportation markets, which repatriates the manufacturing jobs back to the US to support local demand and take advantage of the inverse transportation glut (i.e. lots of full shipments coming in but empty containers going out, thus an arbitrage market in exports exists). If we move in a long-term fashion, investors (Wealthier individuals) will benefit initially but the benefits will even out, eventually, and it will be a good thing for the world, not just the US. I completely understand the animosity and hardships created by NAFTA in the US but I imagine if you speak to people in the countries that jobs were shipped to, they would have a bit of a different story, in the long-run it is beneficial for everyone.


  24. - Oh Come On! - Thursday, Mar 27, 14 @ 8:43 pm:

    It would fun to see Rahm bounced from office or down the street like a basketball tossed from a ten story building, but I am fantasizing.


  25. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 7:53 am:

    The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.

    If Emanuel expected to run Chicago like any gadfly politician who uses the Office as a stepping stone to a bigger spotlight, he won’t find Chicagoans happy to watch him do that.

    Chicagoans are in Chicago to work, raise a family and earn a living. Hey, a lot of Chicagoans actually root for the Cubs - what does that tell you? Few are so delusional enough to believe that Chicago is anything else but a place that is too cold in the winter, too hot in the summer, too flat to enjoy a view from a hill or mountain resort, and folks don’t come to Chicago to romp along in ocean sands. Consequently, they prefer their mayor to focus on keeping their streets safe, potholes filled, water potable, and schools functioning.

    So when outsiders view Chicago, they almost always get it wrong. The last thing any Chicago mayor needs is an office full of non-Chicagoans giving him or her any advice. Because these people don’t understand Chicagoan priorities.

    Emanuel will be fine as long as he focuses on the least glamorous aspects of the Mayor’s Office because that is where he will build any political popularity. Hey - Chicagoans know that if you don’t earn your pay, it doesn’t matter how well you can speak or look dressed in a suit.

    We like our mayors capable of hauling away our garbage, not spewing political garbage on WGN.


  26. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 8:20 am:

    –The most popular Chicago mayors don’t make news - they leave fingerprints that Chicagoans recognize and respect.–

    I wonder what any of that is intended to communicate.

    There are words, strung together in a complete sentence, but it’s all jabberwocky.

    What are you trying to say? I don’t have a clue. What drove you to write it?


  27. - VanillaMan - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:05 am:

    Good grief.

    If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.


  28. - Mokenavince - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:44 am:

    Rahm will still win the next election. There is no
    one who can beat him at this time.
    The man works his tail off and the City is starting to change.
    No one has better PR.


  29. - NW Illinois Dem - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 9:48 am:

    The CNN “ChicagoLand” series is enhancing the Mayor’s standing as well.


  30. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 28, 14 @ 11:36 am:

    –If you were the Wizard of Oz, you would have asked the Tin Man why he needed a heart.–

    LOL, whatever you say, Scarecrow. I still don’t have a clue as to what you’re trying to communicate.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Speaker Madigan: Rauner should keep "non-budget issues" out of budget process
* Rauner blasts Madigan
* Question of the day
* Caption contest!
* The gift that keeps on giving
* Today's number: $34 million
* I got nothing good to tell you
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* Happy Memorial Day!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Mobile Internet To Be Worth More Than Apple By 2018
        * Apple Watch OS update seems to have crippled the heart rate sensor
        * Apple promotes Jony Ive to new Chief Design Officer post
        * iPhone 6s camera improvements might involve Sony again
        * New HTC One ME9 leak highlights various color options
        * Evidence points to Microsoft work on 5.7-inch Windows Phone handset
        * Mr. Muscle is one of the simplest one-tap games around

        * Twitter Reportedly In Talks To Acquire Flipboard
        * Audi Develops Synthetic Gasoline Made From Plants
        * Jony Ive Is Now Apple’s Chief Design Officer
        * Apple’s Jony Ive Promoted to Company’s Chief Design Officer
        * Apple's Jony Ive gets promoted to chief design officer
        * Twitter Has Held Talks to Acquire Flipboard
        * There are only two ways you should see the country by wheeled vehicle: buy a convertible and take as

        * Podcast: White Sox first quarter grades
        * New-look White Sox run into old problems at quarter pole
        * White Sox Minor League Update: May 24-30
        * Quintana finds rough going against Twins
        * White Sox look to turn things around on trip
        * Twins 8, White Sox 1: Lumber slumbers through homestand
        * Quintana finds rough going against Twins

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Illinois Governor Spends Big in Fight With Legi.....
        * Question of the day..
        * Democrats introduce proposed $36.3 billion budg.....
        * Illinois Democrats offer FY 2016 budget with cu.....
        * Speaker Madigan: Rauner should keep “non-budget.....
        * Illinois Democrats to offer FY 2016 budget with.....
        * Madigan says Dems have their own spending plan .....
        * Teenage girl missing 8 days from East Garfield .....
        * Rauner blasts Madigan..
        * UPDATE 1-Illinois Democrats offer FY 2016 budge.....


        * Democrats introduce proposed $36.3 billion budget for 2016
        * Twister kills 13 in Mexico border city; 12 missing in Texas
        * The Latest: Mexican president to visit tornado-stricken city
        * Bears release Ray McDonald after arrest in California
        * Rauner spokesman rips Illinois Democrats for 'broken' budget
        * Standoff between Rauner, Democrats hangs over Legislature
        * Safety system needed before Illinois line operational
        * Police: Decatur man shot dead, 4 injured at club
        * Replica of Lincoln funeral train to make stop in Hammond
        * Chicago police seek help finding driver in fatal hit-and-run

        * Rauner spokesman rips Illinois Democrats for 'broken' budget
        * Illinois Democrats introduce proposed 2016 budget
        * Campaign-style tactics fuel legislative gridlock
        * Illinois crib bumper bills stall in Senate
        * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
        * Special funds inviting bailout target for Illinois
        * Illinois road construction funds get swept
        * Law fails to stop Illinois schools from fattening pensions
        * Rauner agenda surfaces at Capitol
        * Illinois prisons director resigns 2 months after taking job

        * Boeing takes top spot in 2015 largest publicly traded companies list
        * Terminal spending
        * Plenty of rivals are following WeWork into co-working competition
        * How Wal-Mart is hurting Mondelez
        * Why this proposed emergency room annoys the hospital industry


          * Is the water safe for swimming? There's an app for that
          * YouTube video shows apparent Albany Park shootout
          * Girl, 14, went missing more than a week ago on West Side
          * About $20,000 stolen in McKinley Park burglary
          * 3 wounded in separate city shootings
          * Bears release Ray McDonald after arrest on domestic violence charge
          * Gay marriage challenges cost Indiana $1.4M in attorney fees
          * Court orders senator-elect wanted in Chicago over 'Orange is the New Black' case released
          * Anglers urged to monitor live bait for juvenile Asian carp
          * Residents worry about privacy, security


          * Chicago Bears' Ray McDonald arrested in domestic violence case
          * Bears release Ray McDonald after domestic violence arrest in California
          * The unsung hero of urban planning who made it easy to get around Chicago
          * Expert panel criticizes medical care at Illinois prisons
          * Chicago school board to consider charter relocations, renewals
          * 'Lifebooks' help kids in foster care track their history
          * Vets' best friend: Two veterans trekking cross-country with the dogs that 'saved their lives'
          * Illinois Supreme Court hears $10B Phillip Morris appeal
          * Sheriff calls on feds to investigate Puerto Rican agencies that send addicts to Chicago
          * Sheriff names clinical psychologist to run Cook County Jail


          * Rauner spokesman rips Illinois Democrats for 'broken' budget
          * U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Support free trade for Illinois farmers' sake
          * Campaign-style tactics fuel legislative gridlock
          * Bernard Schoenburg: Adam Lopez, Rob Mellon, vie to win Aaron Schock's former U.S. House seat for Democrats
          * Illinois crib bumper bills stall in Senate
          * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
          * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
          * Our Opinion: Will someone please lead Illinois?
          * Special funds inviting bailout target for Illinois
          * Andy Shaw: Campaign finance in a sorry state


          * Upcoming Services
          * Texas prep chooses Illini volleyball
          * C-U Memorial Day Services 2015
          * Memorial Day Services 2015
          * Little damage reported with Mercer County tornado
          * Pedestrian hit by car has non-life-threatening injuries
          * Programs feature history, nature, fun on the river
          * Illinois couple welcomes their 100th grandchild
          * Illinois Baseball: NCAA selection
          * May 26 Illinois baseball chat


          * Alcohol a factor in canoeist's death, police say
          * Cougars beat Timber Rattlers 6-3
          * Dundee-Crown tops Huntley; Jacobs up next
          * Cubs lose 2-1, but Maddon's happy with his team so far
          * District 95 special ed meeting

          * Ryan Mullen makes move as Rás opens up
          * The 5 most interesting Senate races right now
          * Q&A: Illinois Rep. Terri Bryant Focuses on...
          * Local radio show on WMBD focuses on middle...
          * GOP members take a stand against allowing ...
          * Monument to honor LGBT veterans in nationa...
          * John McCain mocks Obama for calling climat...
          * Tammy Duckworth voted Yes on $612 Billion ...
          * Private practice physicians struggling
          * Divided GOP rejects allowing illegal immig...

          * Congress' familiar path: short-term solutions...

          * Bomb threat, man on no-fly list delay Kirk......
          * Senator Mark Kirk: Military Veteran Suppor......

          * When Did They Put A Hardware Store There?
          * The Last Piece
          * Hope You're Having A Great Memorial Day
          * EXTRA: May I have my 2 ½ hrs back?
          * The [Tuesday] Papers
          * And Also Appearing....
          * The Weekend In Chicago Rock
          * The Construction of Chicago's New Riverwalk in Photos
          * My pop fought in two wars against the fascists.: Spain in 1936 and in the Pacific in 1944.
          * My pop fought in two wars against the fascists: Spain in 1936 and in the Pacific in 1944.


          * The Illinois Department of Public Health Urges Illinoisans to Take Precautions Against West Nile Virus - Illinois Department of Public Health offers tips for avoiding mosquito bites
          * IDOT Suspends Non-Emergency Road Work for Memorial Day Holiday Weekend - Lanes Opened to Improve Traffic Flow
          * Illinois State Fire Marshal Recognizes EMS Week
          * IDOT, ISP: Drive Safe, Drive Smart Over Memorial Day Weekend - Click It or Ticket Campaign Continues, New “Driving Dead” Episode Debuts
          * Breakfast Club Fans Can Take Home Movie Memorabilia with Special 30th Anniversary Auction - Theater Chairs from Set of Iconic Movie Up for Sale




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller