SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Cross leads Frerichs 42-35

Wednesday, Jun 18, 2014

* Another We Ask America poll

The poll, which has a margin of error of 3.07 percentage points, [surveyed] 1,021 likely voters […]

“Both the Comptroller’s and Treasurer’s offices don’t garner much earned media, and neither of the candidates for treasurer are that well known by the electorate, although Cross certainly has held a position that gives him wider state coverage,” says We Ask America Chief Operating Officer Gregg Durham. “That helps to explain his stronger-than-expected support among Democrats. Bottom line: We think it will be Labor Day or later until a clear picture will emerge in this race.” […]

Cross had support from 23 percent of Democrats while only 13 percent of Republicans crossed party lines for Frerichs.

Despite being from downstate Champaign, Frerichs trailed far west-suburban Cross among downstate respondents 46-32. But, should the pattern of this poll continue, Frerichs could offset any downstate losses with his strong showing in Chicago, where he led Cross 50-24.

Cross spent some bucks to win his contested GOP primary, so that’s playing into this as well as the likely Republican-friendly cycle itself. Cross leads among independents 42-24.

Cross also leads among women 39-35.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


19 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:16 am:

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - what part of my record do I need to flip, ignore, or forget about to turn this around? #AmateurHour


  2. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:23 am:

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - we need more height puns. I have the fever, and the only cure is more height puns #SNL

    To the Post,

    Keep in mind, and I think this is huge;

    Topinka running her campaign against Sheila will help Cross in the down ballot. Lisa and Jesse, flip to vote for Topinka…stay GOP, vote Cross.

    Simon has been awful out there, and her getting beat, (read; getting beat, not losing) on Union endorsements and other base groups Sheila thought she had will help the next race, just by staying in the GOP column for one more race.

    Cross-Frerichs; This could be the closest race of all the Statewides.


  3. - walker - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:42 am:

    Cross has a big-time name recognition advantage. Only big money, well-spent in media, will get Frerichs in this thing.


  4. - Neiled It - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:57 am:

    No surprise here, except probably to team Frerichs. Everytime that guy opens his mouth he says something regrettable. It really is something to watch when a candidate continues to nail their own coffin. And while it will probably be the closest statewide I would bet Cross at at least 55% right now.


  5. - John Boch - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 11:08 am:

    I had always thought Frerichs did a pretty decent job representing his district in Champaign and Vermilion Counties.

    He kind of had a reputation as being “flexible” to the wishes of the community (some might call it sticking his finger into the wind). He would always use some of those weasel-like words to hedge his statement, but in the end, he voted with common sense most of the time (with the exception of the big income tax hike).

    Not sure he’s ready for statewide office.

    For some I’m sure he’s not liberal enough. For others he’s a downstater, which translates to “not one of us” to too many Chicagoans.

    John


  6. - Ty Webb - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:10 pm:

    Cross winning independents nearly 2-1…bad news for Tax Hike Mike..


  7. - champaigndweller - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:22 pm:

    Frerichs has been my rep–he’s a nice guy, but my impression is that he’s beholden to Madigan and often has to support issues that aren’t in step with those in his district.


  8. - Rich Miller - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:25 pm:

    champaigndweller, he’s a Senator, so he’s not even in MJM’s chamber.

    Sheesh.


  9. - Springfield Chick - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 1:01 pm:

    Didn’t necessarily see it coming, but Frerichs has seemed a little out of his league here. The Cross crew is running a far superior campaign at this point. Tall Mike better not be taking downstate for granted, Cross seems to be playing well all over.


  10. - Almost the Weekend - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 1:20 pm:

    Too many undecideds at this point. And I’m sorry We Ask America has made adjustments, but after 2012 and the 2014 gubernatorial primary I still have my doubts about the accuracy of this poll, or any poll for that matter especially with Eric Cantor losing.

    With that being said, Rich has mentioned this before previously too. It would be nice to know Frerichs’ strategy in these upcoming 4.5 months. He has a huge cash advantage, but what is his messaging? And he still doesn’t seemed to have recovered from that botched announcement tour. I agree with OW this will probably be the closest down-ballot race.


  11. - The Prince - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 2:35 pm:

    The poll is kind of difficult to digest because I would estimate that, unlike in the other constitutional office races, 99 percent of the electorate has never heard of either of these guys.


  12. - Dave Fako - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 2:46 pm:

    A poll for a race like this at this point in time is not a test of what voters feel about the candidates, their positions, values, etc. and in this case a voting decision may never get based on any of that.

    This poll and other surveys on this race this early with two candidates who likely have marginal name ID as WAA alluded to is essentially a test of: 1) what little name ID each candidate has with the better known candidate likely getting more support; 2) Party ID - as in less partisan voters are gravitating to the Party Label they may generally prefer this time around; 3) The overall political environment in relation to the voters’ party ID preferences.

    This can and will change a lot between now and November based on the environment and what these candidates do and don’t do, but in the end it will never amount to a significantly substantive decision since voters spend about 0.1 seconds per week thinking about State Treasurer.


  13. - Precinct Captain - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    ==voters spend about 0.1 seconds per week thinking about State Treasurer.==

    Who knew so many people were thinking about the treasurer’s office so much?


  14. - Barney - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 7:03 pm:

    I agree with fako but the point that has to be very troubling for Frerichs right now is how independents are breaking across the board for GOP. If Frerichs, Quinn or Simon lose indies at the rate they are it will be tough if not impossible for them to win.


  15. - railrat - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 7:12 pm:

    golf “handicap” vs. Chinese custom made suits ….me thinks in Ill. golf wins !!


  16. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 8:08 pm:

    What Fako said, as amended by Precinct Captain.

    99.9% of voters will spend exactly zero time thinking about this race between now and October.

    @Barney:

    I have not seen any internal data, but Fako is right, the weather will change.

    I suspect what is largely driving Independents is pure anti-incumbency, and that creates opportunities for Frerichs, and problems for Cross.

    Tom cross got us into this mess, and although I like Cross personally, Frerichs is gonna remind folks of that. There is a lot of pension bills, a lot of borrowing that happened with cross as a Yes.

    If I were a betting man, I would bet on Frerichs.


  17. - Alyssa Walters - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    Looks good for Cross! Maybe mike should rethink those tax hikes!


  18. - Phylicia R - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 10:05 am:

    I fully consider myself a democrat, however I am completely with Tom on his run for treasurer. I believe mike has done a good job in the senate, however Tom has an extensive amount of knowledge on how to lead from all the time he has spent in the house. Down the road Mike would make a good candidate, but for now I believe we should stick with someone who is prepared to balance the budget and keep taxes low.


  19. - Anal Avenger 6969 - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 1:05 pm:

    Honestly I think that MF is a great candidate however hhis inexqerience is not only obvious but is also painful to watch, I think if we give him a couple more years then he’d be excellent but now I think TC’s experience really give him the upper hand.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* No pension bump for Stermer, MJM still not persuaded on special session
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More comptroller stuff
* 1:30 comptroller announcement expected - Stermer appointed, says he will resign January 12th
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Comptroller stuff
* Golden Horseshoe Awards
* Bears open thread
* More adventures in misgovernance
* Question of the day - Golden Horseshoe Awards
* Petulance all around
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Android Community Weekly Digest: Dec. 21, 2014
        * The Perfect Gaming Phone
        * Google releases Android 5.0.2 for Nexus 7 (2012) tablet
        * Announcement timing is everything
        * Galaxy Note Edge Review
        * Oppo R5 vs HTC One M8: Thin vs. Powerful
        * Bring Back the Old School with the NES30 Bluetooth Controller [DEALS]

        * Tech Journalist and Podcaster, Tom Merritt [Cool Tools Show # 18]
        * Darn Tough Socks
        * HP Chromebook 14 Touchscreen Model Launches For $440
        * Android One Smartphones Bangladesh And More Countries
        * BlackBerry And Boeing Working On Self Destructing Smartphone
        * Instagram is worth $35 billion
        * New Asus ZenFone To Feature Dual rear Cameras

        * The year in injuries: White Sox have been better, could've been worse
        * Williams: Make protesting voices heard through vote
        * Williams: Make protesting voices heard through vote
        * White Sox also had a December to remember 100 years ago
        * Terrerobytes: Future of Cuban baseball complicated on both sides
        * White Sox sign George Kottaras to a minor league deal
        * Kottaras to join White Sox with Minor League deal

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers..
        * Letter: Rauner needs to tell us his plan..
        * Quinn to deliver Christmas cards to wounded sol.....


        * 4 people including 2 children killed at Rockford home
        * 4 found dead, including 2 children, in Rockford
        * Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * Illinois to get $1.6M for Heart of Dallas Bowl
        * Report: Illinois treasurer OK'd raises for dozens
        * 1 dead, many injured in shooting at suburban party
        * Milestone in osprey program as birds migrate
        * Raising juror pay, reducing juries gets mixed reviews
        * Police looking for suspect in Effingham shooting
        * Firefighters battle grain bin fire for 9 hours

        * Raising juror pay gets mixed reviews
        * Gov. Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * State treasurer employees get raises, stipends as Rutherford’s term comes to end
        * Springfield-based U.S. attorney’s investigations nab 13; race questions raised
        * 2nd Illinois prison with possible chickenpox
        * Quinn signs bill increasing juror pay
        * Quinn names longtime aide Jerry Stermer comptroller until Jan. 12
        * Quinn signs law to nix deadline for asbestos lawsuits
        * Quinn to name comptroller replacement this afternoon
        * Madigan says T-Mobile settlement shields consumers

        * Can Garcia's run for mayor fire up independents?
        * Chicago's newest workout (and personal statement) options
        * A photo shop for photographers
        * The Life of Patrick Ryan: Act II, Scene 2
        * Office conversions kick small firms to the curb


        * Lakeview pot dispensary on hold; Tunney opposes Halsted location
        * Despite community pleas, CPS puts Dyett HS out for proposals
        * Quinn to appoint new Illinois Comptroller today
        * Gov. Quinn appoints longtime aide as Illinois comptroller
        * Watch: President Obama's year-end press conference
        * Rewriting the Sony cyberattack script
        * time for new course in Cuba
        * Are Rahm's numbers creeping up? New internals show him near 50
        * Obama guidance, press schedule, Dec. 19, 2014. Press conference
        * A whole lot of nothing from the City Council


        * 1 killed after shooting leads to police pursuit
        * Chicago-based Cards Against Humanity doles out pieces of Maine island
        * South Loop crash kills 2, hospitalizes 1
        * 1 dead, 5 wounded in separate West, South side shootings
        * Man killed at house party shooting was headed to Army
        * Bronzeville man held on $300K in Loop convenience store robbery
        * Borman Expressway closed in both directions
        * Operation Santa delivers cheer to fallen or injured officers' families
        * Mayoral challengers call for suspension of red light camera program
        * Cops warn of attempted child luring on West Side


        * Listen to State Week - December 19, 2014
        * Quinn Picks Budget Chief To Be Temporary Comptroller
        * 'Uber-gentrification' a force in Chicago's West Loop
        * Durbin leaving Congressional roommates behind
        * Worries rise in Russia as ruble falls
        * Improviser finds purpose in Chicago police mental health crisis trainings
        * Chicago 'petcoke' handler says it'll enclose piles
        * Waukegan woman seeks to trademark 'I can't breathe'
        * Obama re-establishing US relations with Cuba
        * Teaching hospitals hit hardest by medicare fines for patient safety


        * Quote of the day: Monday, Dec. 22, 2014
        * Raising juror pay gets mixed reviews
        * Gov. Quinn set to go to Maryland to visit soldiers
        * Quote of the day: Sunday, Dec. 21, 2014
        * Bernard Schoenburg: Rauner talks of dogs, housing and the work ahead as governor
        * State treasurer employees get raises, stipends as Rutherford’s term comes to end
        * Cathy Becker: Because it’s the right thing to do
        * T. Ray McJunkins: Justice, righteousness descend to fulfill dream
        * Springfield-based U.S. attorney’s investigations nab 13; race questions raised
        * 2nd Illinois prison with possible chickenpox


        * Filling Santa's ears
        * Establishing a river port
        * Brenda Steinmetz
        * Mary Kirby
        * Donald Stroud
        * Carolyn Foss
        * Hubert Armes
        * Kimberly Brown
        * Charles Rice
        * Mary Edwards


        * Stafford, Suh lead Lions over Bears 20-14
        * Report: Mississippi recruit QB Chad Kelly arrested
        * Report: Former Clemson QB Chad Kelly arrested
        * Kane leads Blackhawks past Maple Leafs 4-0
        * Women's Top 25 Capsules

        * Exclusive: Southwest's oil swap trade waiv...
        * How To Fix Congress
        * Caterpillar sees Cuba relations as an oppo...
        * Washington outraged over Sony decision
        * Bost Readies to Join Congress
        * Champaign post office will honor black pol...
        * Cuba could be beneficial for Illinois trade
        * Ex-Gov. Ryan says new markets will open in...
        * Last frigate at Naval Station Everett retu...
        * Illinois Rep. Mike Bost flips his lid over...

        * Returning Overseas Profits Must Be in Tax ......
        * Durbin OK With Budget...
        * Durbin on Korea Hack...

        * Ex-General On Benghazi: 'We Should Have Tr......
        * Soldiers Reunite With Families Just In Tim......
        * Menorah lighting marks 6th night of Hanukkah...

        * Will school officials be like judges?
        * My condolences to the NYPD
        * Is It Good To Be Paul Vallas Now?
        * Rahm says SEIU 73’s Boardman can bargain away employee pensions. I don’t think so.
        * Elected retired delegates are on a watch list at the IEA RA.
        * Tollway Testing Apps To Let Drivers Pay Tolls, Get Travel Info
        * Rubio.
        * Sunday reads.
        * Mayor Emanuel continues getting cash from firms managing Chicago's pension money
        * Islamic State Mocks US With Photoshopped Santa Held Hostage


        * Governor Quinn Appoints Jerry Stermer as Illinois Comptroller
        * Governor Quinn Calls Legislative Special Session - Governor Urges Legislature to Set Up 2016 Special Election for Comptroller
        * Governor Quinn Announces Illinois’ Unemployment Rate Hits New Low - Illinois’ Economic Comeback Continues; Unemployment Rate Falls to Lowest Level in More than Six Years
        * Illinois Ranks #1 in Volunteer Rate Among the Country’s 8 Largest States - 2.57 Million Illinoisans Give $7.2 Billion in Service
        * Law Enforcement, IDOT Make Final Push to Save Lives in 2014, Roadside Safety Checks Planned Over Holidays - New Episode of “The Driving Dead” Premieres Friday as Holiday Travelers are Reminded to Drive Sober and Buckle Up




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller