SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Poll: Cross leads Frerichs 42-35

Wednesday, Jun 18, 2014

* Another We Ask America poll

The poll, which has a margin of error of 3.07 percentage points, [surveyed] 1,021 likely voters […]

“Both the Comptroller’s and Treasurer’s offices don’t garner much earned media, and neither of the candidates for treasurer are that well known by the electorate, although Cross certainly has held a position that gives him wider state coverage,” says We Ask America Chief Operating Officer Gregg Durham. “That helps to explain his stronger-than-expected support among Democrats. Bottom line: We think it will be Labor Day or later until a clear picture will emerge in this race.” […]

Cross had support from 23 percent of Democrats while only 13 percent of Republicans crossed party lines for Frerichs.

Despite being from downstate Champaign, Frerichs trailed far west-suburban Cross among downstate respondents 46-32. But, should the pattern of this poll continue, Frerichs could offset any downstate losses with his strong showing in Chicago, where he led Cross 50-24.

Cross spent some bucks to win his contested GOP primary, so that’s playing into this as well as the likely Republican-friendly cycle itself. Cross leads among independents 42-24.

Cross also leads among women 39-35.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


19 Comments
  1. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:16 am:

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - what part of my record do I need to flip, ignore, or forget about to turn this around? #AmateurHour


  2. - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:23 am:

    @FakeMikeFrerichs - we need more height puns. I have the fever, and the only cure is more height puns #SNL

    To the Post,

    Keep in mind, and I think this is huge;

    Topinka running her campaign against Sheila will help Cross in the down ballot. Lisa and Jesse, flip to vote for Topinka…stay GOP, vote Cross.

    Simon has been awful out there, and her getting beat, (read; getting beat, not losing) on Union endorsements and other base groups Sheila thought she had will help the next race, just by staying in the GOP column for one more race.

    Cross-Frerichs; This could be the closest race of all the Statewides.


  3. - walker - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:42 am:

    Cross has a big-time name recognition advantage. Only big money, well-spent in media, will get Frerichs in this thing.


  4. - Neiled It - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 10:57 am:

    No surprise here, except probably to team Frerichs. Everytime that guy opens his mouth he says something regrettable. It really is something to watch when a candidate continues to nail their own coffin. And while it will probably be the closest statewide I would bet Cross at at least 55% right now.


  5. - John Boch - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 11:08 am:

    I had always thought Frerichs did a pretty decent job representing his district in Champaign and Vermilion Counties.

    He kind of had a reputation as being “flexible” to the wishes of the community (some might call it sticking his finger into the wind). He would always use some of those weasel-like words to hedge his statement, but in the end, he voted with common sense most of the time (with the exception of the big income tax hike).

    Not sure he’s ready for statewide office.

    For some I’m sure he’s not liberal enough. For others he’s a downstater, which translates to “not one of us” to too many Chicagoans.

    John


  6. - Ty Webb - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:10 pm:

    Cross winning independents nearly 2-1…bad news for Tax Hike Mike..


  7. - champaigndweller - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:22 pm:

    Frerichs has been my rep–he’s a nice guy, but my impression is that he’s beholden to Madigan and often has to support issues that aren’t in step with those in his district.


  8. - Rich Miller - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 12:25 pm:

    champaigndweller, he’s a Senator, so he’s not even in MJM’s chamber.

    Sheesh.


  9. - Springfield Chick - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 1:01 pm:

    Didn’t necessarily see it coming, but Frerichs has seemed a little out of his league here. The Cross crew is running a far superior campaign at this point. Tall Mike better not be taking downstate for granted, Cross seems to be playing well all over.


  10. - Almost the Weekend - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 1:20 pm:

    Too many undecideds at this point. And I’m sorry We Ask America has made adjustments, but after 2012 and the 2014 gubernatorial primary I still have my doubts about the accuracy of this poll, or any poll for that matter especially with Eric Cantor losing.

    With that being said, Rich has mentioned this before previously too. It would be nice to know Frerichs’ strategy in these upcoming 4.5 months. He has a huge cash advantage, but what is his messaging? And he still doesn’t seemed to have recovered from that botched announcement tour. I agree with OW this will probably be the closest down-ballot race.


  11. - The Prince - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 2:35 pm:

    The poll is kind of difficult to digest because I would estimate that, unlike in the other constitutional office races, 99 percent of the electorate has never heard of either of these guys.


  12. - Dave Fako - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 2:46 pm:

    A poll for a race like this at this point in time is not a test of what voters feel about the candidates, their positions, values, etc. and in this case a voting decision may never get based on any of that.

    This poll and other surveys on this race this early with two candidates who likely have marginal name ID as WAA alluded to is essentially a test of: 1) what little name ID each candidate has with the better known candidate likely getting more support; 2) Party ID - as in less partisan voters are gravitating to the Party Label they may generally prefer this time around; 3) The overall political environment in relation to the voters’ party ID preferences.

    This can and will change a lot between now and November based on the environment and what these candidates do and don’t do, but in the end it will never amount to a significantly substantive decision since voters spend about 0.1 seconds per week thinking about State Treasurer.


  13. - Precinct Captain - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 3:39 pm:

    ==voters spend about 0.1 seconds per week thinking about State Treasurer.==

    Who knew so many people were thinking about the treasurer’s office so much?


  14. - Barney - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 7:03 pm:

    I agree with fako but the point that has to be very troubling for Frerichs right now is how independents are breaking across the board for GOP. If Frerichs, Quinn or Simon lose indies at the rate they are it will be tough if not impossible for them to win.


  15. - railrat - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 7:12 pm:

    golf “handicap” vs. Chinese custom made suits ….me thinks in Ill. golf wins !!


  16. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Wednesday, Jun 18, 14 @ 8:08 pm:

    What Fako said, as amended by Precinct Captain.

    99.9% of voters will spend exactly zero time thinking about this race between now and October.

    @Barney:

    I have not seen any internal data, but Fako is right, the weather will change.

    I suspect what is largely driving Independents is pure anti-incumbency, and that creates opportunities for Frerichs, and problems for Cross.

    Tom cross got us into this mess, and although I like Cross personally, Frerichs is gonna remind folks of that. There is a lot of pension bills, a lot of borrowing that happened with cross as a Yes.

    If I were a betting man, I would bet on Frerichs.


  17. - Alyssa Walters - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    Looks good for Cross! Maybe mike should rethink those tax hikes!


  18. - Phylicia R - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 10:05 am:

    I fully consider myself a democrat, however I am completely with Tom on his run for treasurer. I believe mike has done a good job in the senate, however Tom has an extensive amount of knowledge on how to lead from all the time he has spent in the house. Down the road Mike would make a good candidate, but for now I believe we should stick with someone who is prepared to balance the budget and keep taxes low.


  19. - Anal Avenger 6969 - Thursday, Jun 19, 14 @ 1:05 pm:

    Honestly I think that MF is a great candidate however hhis inexqerience is not only obvious but is also painful to watch, I think if we give him a couple more years then he’d be excellent but now I think TC’s experience really give him the upper hand.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed until Memorial Day
* Gaming bill could grow
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - OT update
* Question of the day
* He gone
* Harmon: Rauner is "bullying" and "holding the entire state hostage"
* Today's quotable
* Madigan tax hike defeated
* Another welcomed change
* Business as usual is right
* Rauner to unveil actual bills today, with no "right to work" in sight
* Serving Consumers, Honoring Veterans – Credit Union Cooperative Values in Action
* Your daily "right to work" roundup
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * According to Google’s research, Security Questions aren’t all that secure
        * Near or far-sighted? Let Lumia be your eyes
        * Android M may bring along two-year update guarantee for Nexus devices
        * Android Community Weekly Digest: May 24, 2015
        * Signatures and improved delete options on the way to Inbox by Gmail
        * New look at Google Photos starts to reveal direction for the app
        * What do you look for in your tech reviewers?

        * 7 Ways to Build an Engaged Instagram Following
        * MIITO Next Generation Kettle Heats Water Directly In Your Cup (video)
        * Motorola Moto Maxx Gets Android 5.0.2 Update
        * Arduino Announces New Sister Brand : Genuino (video)
        * The Elder Scrolls Online Tamriel Unlimited Now Available For Digital Pre-order
        * Apple TV Streaming To Feature Local TV Stations
        * Wii reportedly burns down everything a man owns

        * White Sox Minor League Update: May 24-30
        * Quintana finds rough going against Twins
        * White Sox look to turn things around on trip
        * Twins 8, White Sox 1: Lumber slumbers through homestand
        * Quintana finds rough going against Twins
        * Noesi returns to rotation as Sox head to Toronto
        * White Sox still seeking return to norms

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        May 2015
        April 2015
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Speed control technology part of 110 mph Amtrak.....
        * Ideology, not money, holding up state budget deal..


        * The Latest on weather: More rain in store for Memorial Day
        * Deadly storms swamp Plains, Midwest, force Texans from homes
        * Indiana man wanted on warrants captured after chase
        * Lake Michigan fishing charters hang on despite challenges
        * Officials: $1M spent on medical care for jailed Chicago teen
        * Des Plaines River dams being removed to restore natural flow
        * Vermont hosting Great Lakes scientists at not-so-great lake
        * Authorities search Wisconsin River for Chicago man, 21
        * Man dies after falling off catwalk during Chicago concert
        * Campaign-style tactics fueling Illinois legislative gridlock

        * Campaign-style tactics fuel legislative gridlock
        * Illinois crib bumper bills stall in Senate
        * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
        * Special funds inviting bailout target for Illinois
        * Illinois road construction funds get swept
        * Law fails to stop Illinois schools from fattening pensions
        * Rauner agenda surfaces at Capitol
        * Illinois prisons director resigns 2 months after taking job
        * House Democrats vote down workers comp bill
        * Langfelder talks DNR lake partnership

        * Boeing takes top spot in 2015 largest publicly traded companies list
        * Terminal spending
        * Plenty of rivals are following WeWork into co-working competition
        * How Wal-Mart is hurting Mondelez
        * Why this proposed emergency room annoys the hospital industry


          * 3 dead, 2 wounded in Chicago shootings
          * Man rescued from Chicago River
          * Owner offers reward for return of dog stolen from West Loop apartment
          * Tornado watch for north central, northwest Illinois
          * 'No contact' order sought against local radio host
          * Cal City man held on $250K bail after allegedly lunging at cops with knife
          * Man dies following Northwest Side motorcycle crash
          * Evanston man charged with abusing toddler son
          * Feces-covered dogs removed from North Shore home show improvement
          * Boy found in South Shore is reunited with his family


          * Illinois Supreme Court hears $10B Phillip Morris appeal
          * Sheriff calls on feds to investigate Puerto Rican agencies that send addicts to Chicago
          * Sheriff names clinical psychologist to run Cook County Jail
          * Illinois prisons director resigns 2 months after taking job
          * Obama library foundation raised $5.4 million in 2014
          * Illinois moves to downgrade pot possession to a fine
          * Emanuel calls on Chicagoans to prevent 'lost generation'
          * Grand Jury Indicts 6 Baltimore Officers In Freddie Gray's Death
          * Inauguration Day: New City Council faces serious financial problems
          * Avian flu outbreak takes poultry producers into uncharted territory


          * U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Support free trade for Illinois farmers' sake
          * Campaign-style tactics fuel legislative gridlock
          * Bernard Schoenburg: Adam Lopez, Rob Mellon, vie to win Aaron Schock's former U.S. House seat for Democrats
          * Illinois crib bumper bills stall in Senate
          * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
          * Statehouse Insider: Relax, there's a whole week left get it all done
          * Our Opinion: Will someone please lead Illinois?
          * Special funds inviting bailout target for Illinois
          * Andy Shaw: Campaign finance in a sorry state
          * Illinois road construction funds get swept


          * Police Beat
          * After tornado sighted Sunday, chance of rain remains
          * Bettendorf biker riding to thank Navy SEAL
          * Remembering the sacrifice of local heroes
          * Tornado watch in effect until early Monday
          * Pedestrian transported by ambulance after being struck by SUV
          * Wait is over: Illinois will host baseball regional
          * Moline family escapes from house fire
          * Bettendorf looks to boost its façade program
          * Small Beardstown class has a spirit of volunteerism


          * LEADING OFF: Hamilton back, Navy vet highlights Memorial Day
          * Canoeist on Loon Lake dies chasing after cat
          * Hawks cry foul over Horford's ejection from Game 3
          * LeBron's triple-double helps Cavs top Hawks in thriller
          * Hawks' Horford ejected from Game 3 for throwing elbow

          * Kinzinger: Obama Needs to Lead Against Gro...
          * John McCain mocks Obama for calling climat...
          * Dem and GOP lawmakers agree: ISIS gaining ...
          * Is it time to send U.S. troops back to Iraq?
          * U.S. Rep. Thornberry Juggles Politics as P...
          * Chicago: 'We got a beautiful city, but it ...
          * Roger That: Costello bill extends honors f...
          * Takai Joins a Push to Support New Mothers ...
          * Nerstrom remembered at PTSD awareness event
          * Poll: Duckworth Zaps Zopp in U.S. Senate D...

          * Speed control technology part of 110 mph A......
          * Senators urge Obama administration to bloc......

          * U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Support free trade fo......

          * May 9th ward community meeting
          * Exclusive! The Real Reasons That Dude Was Banned From Wrigley
          * Memorial Day “Massacre” a bad memory of how ugly labor tensions once were, and don't need to go back to
          * We Miss Paulie More Than He Misses Us
          * Checking In On Summer Pieces
          * Random fact for the evening...
          * SportsMonday: What, Hawks Worry?
          * Know Your Rights!
          * Meet The 20th District Police Commander
          * Bruce Rauner's Secret Government


          * The Illinois Department of Public Health Urges Illinoisans to Take Precautions Against West Nile Virus - Illinois Department of Public Health offers tips for avoiding mosquito bites
          * IDOT Suspends Non-Emergency Road Work for Memorial Day Holiday Weekend - Lanes Opened to Improve Traffic Flow
          * Illinois State Fire Marshal Recognizes EMS Week
          * IDOT, ISP: Drive Safe, Drive Smart Over Memorial Day Weekend - Click It or Ticket Campaign Continues, New “Driving Dead” Episode Debuts
          * Breakfast Club Fans Can Take Home Movie Memorabilia with Special 30th Anniversary Auction - Theater Chairs from Set of Iconic Movie Up for Sale




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller