SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s numbers

Monday, Jul 7, 2014

* Click for a larger image

* From the story

The party led by a wealthy financier is starting the summer campaign season at a nearly 2-to-1 fundraising disadvantage.

Fueled by unlimited contributions in the governor’s race, Democrats and Republicans combined have about twice as much money as they had four years ago, according to a Crain’s analysis of financial reports by almost four dozen key political organizations and candidates. But as the party in power, Democrats now have about $26.9 million, or almost double Republicans’ cash.

GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner has roughly $8.5 million on hand, thanks to a recent $2.5 million donation from hedge-fund executive Ken Griffin, but still trails Gov. Pat Quinn, with almost $10 million. Fundraising caps on that race were removed because of the nearly $6.6 million Mr. Rauner has given to his own campaign, much of which was spent during the primary.

Factor out that race, and Democratic candidates and political organizations statewide have $2.72 on hand for every $1 held by Republicans, Crain’s finds.

Yeah, but Rauner recently gave the state GOP $500,000 and more is surely on the way.

…Adding… As YDD notes in comments, it’s highly doubtful that Lisa Madigan will be spending much of her own cash horde. Some of that Dem “advantage” is not really an advantage.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


32 Comments
  1. - Anonymous - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:32 am:

    Quinn had a huge cushion in COH on April 1, and looks like Rauner’s already staged to blow by him. Not surprising.


  2. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:33 am:

    Yes, Rich, and I don’t expect Lisa Madigan will be spending $4.9 million this time around, either.


  3. - Formerly Known As... - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:34 am:

    That’s a lot of money to buy a lot of chicken suits on both sides. Not to mention plenty of negative ads, since neither have much innovative or positive to offer.

    Quinn’s best feature is that his term is almost up. Rauner’s best feature is that he isn’t Quinn.


  4. - phocion - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:39 am:

    This data kinda destroys the carefully nurtured narrative about those evil rich Republicans trying to buy elections.


  5. - VanillaMan - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:43 am:

    If you still watch television - you better turn it off. THE AD SEASON is about to begin.


  6. - Precinct Captain - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:46 am:

    Gubernatorially phocion, I’d say it strengthens it. Particularly when you consider Rauner’s massive self funding, which broke the contribution caps. Quinn is almost all cash on hand. Rauner has been doing gangbusters since April.


  7. - oyvah today - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:46 am:

    [This person has been banned for life.]


  8. - CirularFiringSquad - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:03 pm:

    And as the article mentioned the accounting does not include all the dark money being spent against D’s, spending by GOPie shadow orgs ( i.e. ReBoot, IPI, BGA, etc.)

    Most still waiting for media to press Mitt Rauner on the dark money spending that ran Congressman Shock out of the race.


  9. - Brendan - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:06 pm:

    The quote about Quinn’s nearly $10 million on hand and Rauner’s almost $8.5 million on hand don’t jibe with the chart.

    Based on the chart, those figures should be comparative totals raised, and the cash on hand for Quinn should be dwarfing Rauner’s.

    Either the quote is wrong or the chart is inaccurate/poorly executed.

    Just saying…


  10. - wordslinger - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:10 pm:

    Rauner won’t have any problem outspending Quinn.

    But some of the other GOP funds are indicative of what happens when you let your party apparatus wilt on the vine


  11. - Timmeh - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:16 pm:

    It’s not about the cash on hand; it’s about how much they’re going to spend.


  12. - DuPage - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:26 pm:

    Rauner has enough money he could buy up enough air time to limit Quinn’s ability to run ads.


  13. - modest proposal - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:27 pm:

    I disagree with YDD - Money is money. Its better to have it than to not have it. If Lisa wasn’t as good of a fundraiser then maybe her opponent would be better financed. Just because the money isn’t spent, doesn’t nullify its existence.


  14. - Paul Merrion - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:30 pm:

    Brendan: The dark colors in the lines for Quinn and Rauner show cash on hand as of March 31; the lighter colors show the amount raised since then. As the story notes, the figures don’t account for expenditures since March 31 or contributions smaller than $1,000.


  15. - train111 - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:33 pm:

    So how is the average person to relate?

    I go to work every day, pay my taxes, try to be a good provider for my family and a good citizen but have to sit here and listen to the “Dipocrats” and “Redumblicans” spend gobs and gobs of money that I can’t dream of ever seeing on attack adds that poison the political atomosphere, all the while not having “Clue One” about what they are going to actually do if they are elected.
    No wonder Americans are so pessimistic!!!
    What’s the point?


  16. - John Galt - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:35 pm:

    PC: It only strengthens it if you take one narrow view to look at it and ignore the inconvenient data. If you take the overall picture–the AG race, Secretary of State, legislative PACs, the Dems have had the GOP licked in the fundraising game in Illinois for years. The broader view speaks of overall health of the state parties.

    And there are the private super PACs or “dark” money as CFS claims for the GOP (although I’d hardly call Andy Shaw a shill for the GOP), but we also aren’t including stuff that goes overwhelmingly to the D column–money and volunteer hours provided by labor unions. And at least federally, for every Koch brother, there’s a George Soros.

    Let’s not kid ourselves here. The Democratic Party in Illinois is not the scrappy little upstart–the little guy fighting against the mean old rich guy. They ARE the 800lb gorilla in the state.

    If you’re a died in the wool liberal or Democrat, that’s nothing to run away from. The spin you should be spinning is: “donations and campaign resources is simply a reflection that our platform and message resonates with the people of Illinois–and the fact that we are beating the GOP in that game also reflects that our vision for Illinois is superior in the eyes of the citizenry.”

    That’s the spin you go with–not to deny that the Democratic Party doesn’t have a resource advantage up and down the ballot.


  17. - Louis G Atsaves - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:38 pm:

    What? Republican having less money to spend on campaigns than Democrats? About time someone exploded the myth of Republican money machines vs. poor poverty stricken stone cold broke Hillary Clinton types of Democrats who claim not to have a penny in their campaign funds. Democrats have been outspending Republicans for years and few have noticed. Add the “dark” money spent by both sides and Democrats still have the edge. Ask Emmanuel about his new PAC that was formed last week and instantly was funded to the tune of $! million.


  18. - John Galt - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:38 pm:

    RE: Lisa Madigan’s war chest–in people’s experience, at what point does it make sense to start spending money in a war chest on behalf of other candidates? I see the logic in building up a nice emergency reserve for oneself. But if somebody is ambitious and wants to have influence beyond just their own elected office, what’s the tipping point at which it makes sense for a Lisa Madigan type to start cutting five-figure checks to other people?


  19. - John Galt - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:44 pm:

    **I really wish this website had a edit function**

    1) Dyed in the wool.
    2) Are simply a reflection
    3) Not to deny that the Democratic Party has a resource advantage…

    Sheesh.


  20. - John Galt - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:44 pm:

    4) An edit function.

    I need some more coffee.


  21. - Team Sleep - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:57 pm:

    YDD and Modest are both correct. Lisa is not likely to parse out much of her war chest, but that same war chest that she hordes certainly helps keep potential serious challengers (or at least big-time self-funders) at bay.


  22. - Try-4-Truth - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:59 pm:

    ===== - oyvah today - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 11:46 am:

    I did not vote for the tard in office.=====

    Highly offensive. Please go away and never do that again.


  23. - Oswego Willy - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 1:09 pm:

    Money raised is always a good to look at. This cycle maybe more about money “spent” than money raised.

    When Rauner can drop $500K to the state party at any moment, and Bruce can dial up any number of supporters and get $100K after hanging up. Rauner raises cash by the boatload. Raises. Not just his own.

    These charts and numbers are great for discussion, but the real measurement will be money spent.

    Spent.

    Raising … this cycle is not met with your usual hurdles. Different ball game this time.


  24. - Precinct Captain - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 1:18 pm:

    Democrats do not have a dark money edge Louis. Other than that, campaign finance is pretty even in contributions that are trackable. The presidential campaigns in 2012 were basically even.

    “Conservative political nonprofits spent almost five times as much as liberal ones in 2012, according to Open Secrets data. So far in 2014, they have spent almost twice as much” (Politifact). The RNC has also been outraising the DNC since January 2013, although DSCC and DCCC have been doing better than their GOP counterparts this year. House GOP candidates are also outraising Democratic candidates this cycle on a per candidate basis by about 25k.

    http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2014/jun/23/do-many-billionaires-support-democratic-party/

    http://www.opensecrets.org/overview/index.php


  25. - Precinct Captain - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 1:27 pm:

    ==- train111 - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 12:33 pm:==

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFcimAkwy5I

    Galt, there’s a reason I said “gubernatorially,” because I was focusing specifically on the gubernatorial race. Other than that, I would agree with most of what you wrote. One reason Dems kick tail in Illinois is entrenched incumbency advantages. Why donate to GOPers who are never in office?


  26. - steve schnorf - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 2:22 pm:

    the most significant number I see by far is dollars raised since the primary in the gov’s race


  27. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 2:32 pm:

    I believe the AG raised a big chunk of that change when folks thought she was running against Quinn for governor.

    Lisa doesn’t play powerbroker with her campaign fund. If she wants to help a candidate, she can best help by sending her volunteers. Her vols are the highest caliber in the state.


  28. - wordslinger - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 2:43 pm:

    –I believe the AG raised a big chunk of that change when folks thought she was running against Quinn for governor.–

    Jokes on them.

    I’m sure her volunteers are top-notch, but I imagine there are some Dems who would accept some of that cheddar she hoovered up while giving every indication she was running for governor.

    Nobody was dishing out that cash for another AG run.


  29. - John Galt - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 2:58 pm:

    “Nobody was dishing out that cash for another AG run.”

    Agreed, and that goes for volunteers gearing up for runs as well. To what extent do pols like Lisa Madigan burn their would-be supporters when they don’t follow through? I’m sure the die hards don’t care about spending time or money on a phantom project. But on the margins, you’d think it’d tick people off, no?

    Either that money or volunteer time could be spent on more worthy pursuits like family, business, or leisure activities, or at least on another political project that actually moves forward…


  30. - Formerly Known As... - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 3:13 pm:

    “Democratic-aligned super PACs entered the election year with a more than 2-to-1 fundraising advantage over increasingly fractured Republican groups, a USA TODAY analysis shows.”

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2014/02/01/democratic-super-pacs-win-fundraising-race-while-republican-groups-falter/5101945/


  31. - modest proposal - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 6:03 pm:

    Team Sleep - I think I can agree on your analysis which combines mine and YDD’s thoughts.


  32. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Monday, Jul 7, 14 @ 7:27 pm:

    Potential challengers stay at bay because she is Lisa Madigan.

    The GOP does not want Lisa Madigan to have a serious opponent.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Economic trouble ahead?
* Chicago loses another great
* Today's quotable
* Question of the day
* *** UPDATED x1 *** A curious little e-mail survey
* Ploy or not, Chicago has to administer exams
* The master of understatement strikes again
* AG Madigan's "top 10" list
* The battle for Willie Wilson
* Motorcycle safety spending up while mass transit, Amtrak and DNR cut
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Cancer screening cuts decried
* Rookie mistakes
* Today's number: 2
* Two more problems for Aaron Schock
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Samsung releases official camera samples from Galaxy S6
        * Get Samsung Galaxy S 6 apps before they’re even released
        * MWC 2015 daily wrap-up: Day 1
        * Lenovo Vibe Shot: hands-on with the camera-centric smartphone (Video)
        * Bradley Horowitz confirms he’s in charge of Google’s Photos and Streams
        * Google submits plans for moveable, “futuristic” new digs
        * Google Play Store birthday sale offers ten-cent apps, media deals

        * The Pocket-Sized Daily Survival Bag
        * Oculus poaches key Google X executive
        * New Steve Jobs biography promises 'sensational' untold stories
        * Aim to Save for a Third of Your Child’s College to Spread Out Costs
        * Apple Watch Power Reserve feature will save battery life, report says
        * ‘Ship to Cuba’ Option Shows Up on Amazon Amid Diplomatic Talks
        * Diversity in Video Game College Programs: Not as Awful as the Rest of Tech

        * Depth gives White Sox options in Sale's absence
        * Camp notes: Arizona rain washes out intrasquad game
        * Rodon prefers to let his game do the talking
        * Outfield prospect Hawkins not rushing his progress
        * Podcast: Good bye, Mr. White Sox
        * Minnie Miñoso an all-time great, all of the time
        * No one meant more to White Sox than Minoso

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        March 2015
        February 2015
        January 2015
        December 2014
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Rookie mistakes..
        * Motorcycle safety spending up while mass transi.....
        * Chuck Sweeny: Is commuter rail in region's futu.....
        * Illinois governor says New Jersey is 'going dow.....
        * 'Black Madam' falls ill after 2 days of colorfu.....
        * Vikings have had 'open dialogue' with Peterson..
        * Rahm Emanuel's Chicago Nears Fiscal Free Fall..
        * Amtrak Funding Cuts Could Impact Travelers..
        * Illinois lawmakers propose measure to battle he.....
        * Cuomo’s last hope: For a legacy, fix New York’s.....


        * Cubs expect `dusty' year amid Wrigley Field renovations
        * Heavy snow hits Arizona, hail turns California beach white
        * Illinois lawmakers propose measure to battle heroin abuse
        * Eastern Illinois U. names Bradley provost new president
        * PharmaCann to accept its 2nd marijuana grow permit
        * Former Gov. Quinn earning $11,396 monthly pension
        * Federal study: Foster kids struggle to get health screenings
        * Consumer debt, identity theft top Illinois consumer gripes
        * Slick freeway leads to Champaign-area interstate crashes
        * US Paralympians share tips at track clinic in Vernon Hills

        * Rauner: New Jersey is 'going down the drain'
        * Hunters, outdoorsmen hope for ally in Rauner
        * Tim Butler, congressional staffer, selected to fill former Rep. Rich Brauer's seat
        * Schock reimburses costs for lavish 'Downton Abbey' office decor
        * Brauer replacement could be chosen as early as Saturday
        * Quinn advocates consumer rights, blasts Rauner's budget
        * Rauner says he's 'staying out' of Chicago mayor's race
        * Quinn advocates consumer rights in Loyola speech
        * Judge won't delay sentencing for former state lawmaker Farnham
        * Lt. Gov. Sanguinetti says GOP should court women, Latinos

        * Wintrust restarts Illinois deals engine with Glen Ellyn acquisition
        * Latest Aaron Schock money probe: Taxpayers footed $14,000 bill for private planes
        * Layoffs hit Crate & Barrel
        * Lincoln Park home built in 2008 fetches $3.1 million
        * CPS caves to $1.4 billion federal threat over Common Core test


          * Man charged with robbing woman on NW Side
          * Union members speak out against right-to-work in Wisconsin
          * PharmaCann gets latest license to grow medical marijuana
          * Man killed by Metra train on the Far South Side
          * Authorities request burial for baby found at McHenry Co. morgue
          * Rep. Schock reimburses taxpayers for private plane to Bears game
          * FBI searching for gunman in Hometown bank robbery
          * Tone Grant, convicted in financial scandal, dies in prison
          * Cook County offering free measles vaccinations in Palatine
          * Grateful Dead tickets going for as much as $15K for 3-day run in Chicago


          * I Believe In The Piano
          * Comprehensive, Controversial Heroin Legislation Introduced
          * Houston Shredded: Springfield Mayor Loses Primary
          * Foundations Help Fill School Funding Gaps
          * Ex-Gov. Quinn Begins Collecting $137,000 Pension
          * Ex-Gov. Quinn Begins Collecting Six-Figure Pension
          * WUIS / SJ-R Business Report - Sprucing Up Springfield; Karpman Furs Closing
          * Will Rauner Get Tough On Getting Tough On Crime?
          * AP: Lawmaker Aaron Schock billed private planes, concerts to taxpayers
          * White Sox icon Minnie Minoso dies


          * Rauner: New Jersey is 'going down the drain'
          * Jorge Chapa: Illinois' majority-minority future and the age-race shift
          * Quote of the Day: Monday, March 2, 2015
          * Hunters, outdoorsmen hope for ally in Rauner
          * Our Opinion: Looking for the leaders among Springfield's candidates
          * Statehouse Insider: That's not a nice thing to say
          * Rep. Rodney Davis and Rep. Mike Bost: Strong financial markets benefit Illinois
          * Quote of the Day: Sunday, March 1, 2015
          * Bernard Schoenburg: Report talk of Houston fundraiser just 'secondhand' info
          * Scott Zeramby: Consider the environment as marijuana industry emerges in Illinois


          * 3 vie to be Blue Grass mayor
          * Brauer replacement to be sworn in Tuesday
          * Red Dress Run raises $5,500
          * PHOTOS: Stevenson School Celebrates Read Across America
          * Carr steps down from Varughese case, special prosecutor assigned
          * Carbondale woman celebrates a century
          * Fire destroys rural East Carondelet home
          * Sports Page 03-02-15
          * Flash index takes slight dip, but state's economy still growing
          * Illinois lawmakers propose measure to battle heroin abuse


          * Blues add depth, deal for Jokinen, Michalek, Bortuzzo
          * AP source: Titans tell safety Pollard he will be released
          * Royals banking on Morales, Rios to fuel power-starved lineup
          * Vehicles could compare notes about hazards on I-90
          * CTA promises quick links for commuters

          * Supercomputing: The key to America's innov...
          * It’s Been 80 Days Since the Last U.S. Mili...
          * Letter — Coleman
          * Democrats divided on attending Benjamin Ne...
          * Bost support of comp time bill has comment...
          * Mark Kirk's prepping for a barnburner — an...
          * Mark Kirk's prepping for a barnburner — an...
          * Question of the day
          * Durbin, Bustos: Bureau of Prisons To Commi...
          * HR 1153 Offers Asylum for Homeschoolers - ...

          * US Congress Awaits Controversial Netanyahu......
          * Good news from Josh Earnest: Obama’s “very......
          * Barbara Mikulski Helped Lead the Pantsuit ......

          * AIPAC’s three-pronged lobbying plan: Iran,......
          * Senate Republicans Reveal Their Supreme Co......
          * Sen. Kirk: Chicago could end up like Detro......
          * Poll shows close race between Emanuel, Garcia...
          * RiverWorks Discovery Exhibit Open at STL U......

          * Custer’s First Stand
          * BP Whiting Refinery Experiences Flare-Ups, Malfunctions During Strike
          * Durbin Calls For Reforms To Solitary Confinement In Prisons
          * SEIU Weighing Possible Involvement In Chicago Mayor's Race
          * Schock Pays U.S. Treasury For Trip To Bears Game
          * Chicago's Credit Rating Downgraded By Moody's
          * Cook County Board Pres. Preckwinkle Stays Out Of Mayoral Race
          * Still crazy after all these years.
          * EXTRA: Shadow of blue dress mean-spirited, but hidden detail not unique
          * The Dick and Deb Mell Show.


          * IEMA Urges People to Prepare for Severe Weather - Tornadoes, floods and severe storms can happen any time of year
          * IDHS helps more than 5,000 individuals with disabilities find jobs - Program offers necessary tools to earn a living wage and become more independent
          * 24th Anniversary Desert Storm Remembrance Ceremony
          * Illinois Department of Human Rights Announces 2015 Spring Training Schedule
          * Snow and Freezing Rain to Impact Travel in Illinois - IDOT Crews Prepared to Battle Winter Weather this Weekend




              Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller