SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Quinn ain’t alone: Lots of governors in electoral jeopardy

Friday, Aug 8, 2014

* Reid Wilson at the Washington Post

With no big national wave benefiting either party this year, some Democrats and Republicans are finding themselves unexpectedly competitive in territory that’s usually anything but — and at least half a dozen governors in so-called safe states, who tend to expect few bumps on this stretch of the road to re-election, are finding their campaign fortunes oddly uncertain.

Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D) faces voters this Saturday in a Democratic primary in which he has outspent his opponent, state Sen. David Ige (D), by a 10-to-1 margin. Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback (R) won with more than 63 percent of the vote in 2010 in his heavily Republican state. But polls show both incumbents trailing.

Connecticut Gov. Dannel Malloy (D) faces a fierce challenge from businessman Tom Foley (R), who is expected to win his primary election next week. Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn (D) trails his opponent, venture capitalist Bruce Rauner (R), in an ordinarily blue state. South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) faces a close rematch against state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D) that has drawn national attention. And Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal (R) is running neck and neck with state Sen. Jason Carter (D), in a state where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1998. […]

Quinn, who won office with just 47 percent of the vote in 2010, signed what he said was a temporary income tax hike, then proposed making the increase permanent.

“Quinn has to significantly improve on his own 2010 performance, after raising income taxes, after falling way short on improving the economy and in the midst of a federal investigation into a 2010 anti-violence program and a lawsuit over patronage hiring practices at the Department of Transportation,” said Rich Miller, editor of Capitol Fax, an Illinois political publication.

Subscribers know the rest of my comment, which also included a warning that Quinn can’t ever be counted out.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


15 Comments
  1. - Sausage - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 9:51 am:

    Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania will be lucky to get 40%


  2. - A guy... - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    Interesting that the nationals gave more ink to this race than any of the others. Not surprising they tapped Miller as a source. That’s a paper that does a little more research than just about anyone else.


  3. - Apocalypse Now - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:12 am:

    As it stands today, Rauner will win by a margin of 4% to 5%. Quinn barely beat Brady, who was at a very distinct financial advantage and a social conservative. Quinn got votes from people who viewed him as a nice competent guy and probably felt he should be given a chance to clean up the Blago mess. After 4 years, voters may still view Quinn as a nice guy, but they definitely don’t view him, as competent, and may just view him, as little shady.


  4. - North Shore Joe - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:19 am:

    The one difference between 2010 and 2014 is union involvement. National attention. Turnout will be higher than everyone thinks. Rauner knows this which is why he is softening his image, running toward the middle. He’s going into a prevent defense essentially. Trying to avoid a rising tide.

    I still give Rauner the edge, the deck is clearly stacked against Quinn. But I am not counting out the #12 seed.


  5. - ZC - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:34 am:

    Re governor’s races: 1) No gerrymandered states, it makes these races intrinsically more competitive; 2) Some Republican governors got in on a very “red” 2010 wave year and now they’re on defense, kind of like the Senate Democrats elected in 2008; 3) Bad economies can cut against governors of either party. And then it’s a cheat but 4) States are kind of their own balls of wax, their own idiosyncracies - witness Quinn.

    At the national level the playing terrain still favors the Republicans but expect the gubernatorials to be more of a “wash,” with at least one very “blue” and “red” state swapping executive control.


  6. - VanillaMan - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:45 am:

    It is a stretch to see a national trend out of this, but that won’t prevent some “experts” from finding one and writing about it.


  7. - CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:54 am:

    Let’s note that all the things that Flip/Mitt Rauner is that NoTaxBill was are items that scare whack jobs/wing nuts away(btw whacks and wing nuts are most likely off year election voters)
    And once the Cayman Cutie arrives to folo Flip around to talk about what everyone REALLY does with the BizWiz posse…..whoa
    Fire, Aim, Ready !


  8. - walker - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 11:03 am:

    CFS back on the rap track today.


  9. - DuPage - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 11:53 am:

    I read that in Kansas they lowered taxes to attract more businesses and jobs to the state. (A Rauner-like plan.) That was supposed to result in more revenue for the state. It did not work out, but it did blow a huge hole in their budget.


  10. - A guy... - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 12:14 pm:

    === CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:54 am:====

    Dude,with every post you illustrate what an angry world you live in. Get an ice cream cone or something.


  11. - wordslinger - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 12:37 pm:

    –Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania will be lucky to get 40% –

    Tom Corbett will be lucky if he doesn’t get indicted for obstruction of justice for his handling as AG of the Sandusky investigation. Sandusky claimed two new victims as Corbett’s office slow-walked it in his runup to the governor’s race.


  12. - Grandson of Man - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    There is also another big race in Wisconsin, Gov. Walker vs. Mary Burke. I haven’t really been following this race, but the polls show that they’re basically tied.

    I just perused this race. I think Burke has business experience and she’s hitting Walker on his 250,000 jobs pledge.

    I read that the budget cuts have hurt Wisconsin. Consumer spending there is weaker than the national average.

    http://www.jsonline.com/business/consumer-spending-in-wisconsin-lags-that-of-nation-b99326489z1-270336721.html

    There is some trickle-down failure happening in Wisconsin and in Kansas right now, with the tax cuts and budget cuts.


  13. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 3:12 pm:

    Yep–after all of the Rough Times so many Folks have gone through over recent years, not really a Shocker when one thinks about it. There’s a General Uncertainty about if ANYone in or seeking Office really knows what they’re doing sometimes…plus, let’s just say the POTUS’ limited accomplishments after the Rousing Appeal in 2008 of “Yes We Can” left many realizing, just a few short years later, that as we so often know when it comes to actual Governinance, whether in the States, or Federally, that often times it turns out that “No you CAN’T!” seemingly more so will apply…!


  14. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 3:14 pm:

    Whoops–that was meant to read above, “…to actual Governance…!”


  15. - corbett adventure resort - Tuesday, Aug 19, 14 @ 7:46 am:

    Jaagar Village amazing resort in corbett for adventure Safari Jim
    Corbett National Park is best for Adventure resort


TrackBack URI

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's cable TV buys
* *** UPDATED x1 - Griffin gives another million *** Rauner giving more cash to state GOP
* Question of the day
* Schimpf trying to raise money to air radio spot
* This is what you'd call a "tell"
* #QsforQuinn
* Frerichs wants Cross to call off the state party dogs
* Rauner Internet ad pairs Quinn with Blagojevich
* Bost claims poll shows him up by 4
* More than just unclear on the concept
* Quinn: "Everybody in? I'm driving"
* The sleep gap
* DCCC releases second Bost "rant" ad
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Dropping the iPhone 6, reviewing the Moto X, and drooling over HTC Rumors | Pocketnow Weekly 114
        * iPhone 6 Plus tear down, Gear payments, Google’s Active Watching & more – Pocketnow Daily
        * iPhone 6 and 6 Plus Out-Of-Warranty Repairs Cost Up to $299/$329
        * Verizon Will Be Getting iPhone 6-Friendly Wi-Fi Calling In 2015
        * Apple iPhone 6 unboxing: it’s about the feels (Video)
        * Tintag rechargeable item tracker hits Indiegogo
        * Microsoft’s new Windows app videos might hint at that no-more-Phone rebranding

        * Microsoft Delays Chinese Xbox One Launch to “End of This Year”
        * Another iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus Drop Test, Survived Successfully (Video)
        * Samsung Galaxy A5 (SM-A500) Spotted In The Wild
        * Inside Alibaba’s Lavish IPO After-Party — Video! Audio! Photos! Shrimp!
        * Swatch’s Co-Inventor Thinks Swiss Watch Industry Might Have Missed The Smartwatch Boat
        * Apple Hit With Lawsuit Over FaceTime Patents
        * NVIDIA GPU & Physically Based Lighting Show “Moon Landing Was Real”

        * Konerko back in action for final 10 games
        * Offense helps Quintana overcome early lapses
        * Noesi tries to block Rays at Tropicana Field
        * White Sox 4, Rays 3: Fifth-inning outburst enough for Jose Quintana
        * Offense helps Quintana overcome early lapses
        * Konerko back in action for final 10 games
        * Updates: Former White Sox playing meaningful September baseball


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Mayor Emanuel, Governor Pat Quinn, Secretary Of.....
        * Excerpts of editorials from Illinois newspapers..


        * Spokane's Cupich to be next Chicago archbishop
        * Quinn: No pension 'plan B' before court ruling
        * 4 charged in shooting death of Chicago 9-year-old
        * Ind. Toll Road operator plans to file bankruptcy
        * Charges announced in shooting death of 9-year-old
        * Illinois awards $25.8M in health outreach grants
        * Elgin police aim to recruit Spanish-speakers
        * Fallon to pay up, broadcast show in Chicago
        * Prostitution sting leads to 13 arrests in Paducah
        * Board chairman defends UI job denial to professor

        * Quinn: No pension ‘Plan B’ before court ruling
        * Sangamon Co. judge: Libertarian candidate for governor can stay on ballot
        * Illinois’ jobless rate continues 6-month decline
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * Jeb Bush headlining Chicago fundraiser for Rauner
        * Rochester resident to lead State Board of Elections
        * GOP appeal seeks to knock Libertarian gubernatorial candidate off ballot
        * Jesse White to focus on technology, highway safety if re-elected
        * Rauner’s ethics reform plan targets lobbyists, lawmakers

        * AP: Spokane bishop to replace Cardinal George
        * Illinois awards $25.8 million in health outreach grants
        * Flight attendants reach tentative deal with American Airlines
        * Options Clearing Corp. CEO to retire
        * Fallon to pay up, broadcast show in Chicago


        * Apple fans answer the iPhone’s call
        * Seminars, fairs aimed to help with ‘confusing’ CPS enrollment process
        * Four charged in shooting death of 9-year-old
        * Why Durbin voted yes on funding Syrian rebels: Sweet
        * Faternity suspended from Loyola University for 3 years
        * Reports: Bishop Blase Cupich of Spokane will be Cardinal Francis George successor
        * AP: Bishop Blase Cupich of Spokane will be Cardinal Francis George successor
        * Jesse White Tumbler shot to death


        * At least 8 wounded in city shootings
        * Reports: Spokane bishop to succeed Cardinal George as Chicago archbishop
        * Police: Gang members thought boy, 9, was warning rivals and killed him
        * Evanston man diagnosed with West Nile virus
        * Former Harvey schools chief gets probation for misconduct, theft of $78,000
        * Chicago River fall bridge lifts start Saturday
        * Day after appearance at Native American group, Rauner won't say if Redskins' name should change
        * Boy, 16, fatally shot in Old Town was member of Jesse White Tumblers
        * Prosecutors want to try as adult girl charged in Endia Martin's slaying
        * Girl rescued from retention basin near Plainfield middle school


        * Cupich to be next Chicago archbishop
        * Treasurer Candidate Tom Cross Says He Would Sue The Legislature To Force A Balanced Budget
        * Listen to State Week - September 19, 2014
        * Quinn Defends Public Education, Though He's A Product of Private Schools
        * Chris Mooney: More Evidence-Based Policymaking Needed
        * African Drumming At Southwind Park On Saturday
        * Investors gather in Chicago seeking cannabis businesses
        * Climate, Space Create Challenges For Local Food
        * Can A Governor Really Create Jobs?
        * How do you find high school dropouts?


        * Deborah Davis: NFL sends mixed messages over Ray Rice case
        * Charles Krauthammer: The jihadi logic
        * Quinn: No pension ‘Plan B’ before court ruling
        * Sangamon Co. judge: Libertarian candidate for governor can stay on ballot
        * Our Opinion: Anchor’s cancer struggle hits home
        * Bob Gilligan: Advisory questions seek voter input — sort of
        * Illinois’ jobless rate continues 6-month decline
        * GOP’s Rauner no fan of gambling, airport slots
        * Esther Cepeda: Pity the vanishing bobolink
        * Jeb Bush headlining Chicago fundraiser for Rauner


        * Racers taking to the streets in Greenfield
        * Voice of the Reader: Third party needed
        * Edna Bruce
        * Garrett Miller
        * Mary Jones
        * Harold Wheaton Sr.
        * Joseph Grissom
        * Everette 'Gene' Schumaier
        * Ronald Hines
        * Barbara Kelly-Thompson


        * Westmont topples Lisle
        * Batavia breaks away from St. Charles East in 3rd quarter
        * Hersey gives fans a kick with overtime win
        * Barrington comes up big against Wheeling
        * Montini recovers with big second half to secure win

        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement in...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...
        * Rep. Jan Schakowsky discounts threat from ...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...
        * Schakowsky backs striking workers at Juno ...
        * U.S. Rep. Schakowsky Gearing Up For Novemb...

        * Senator Durbin Announces More Than $2.7 Mi......
        * Senator Durbin Announces More Than $2.7 Mi......
        * Senator Durbin Announces More Than $2.7 Mi......
        * Senator Durbin Announces More Than $2.7 Mi......
        * Senator Durbin Announces More Than $2.7 Mi......

        * Durbin, Oberweis See Eye to Eye on Obama's......

        * The Weekend Desk Report
        * Cubs pick up yet another ex-Sox minor league affiliate for organization
        * Addressing Mental Illness in the Justice System Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart
        * Common Core Math Standards Add Up To Big Money For Education Companies
        * The Beachwood Radio Sports Hour #18: Return To Bear Mountain!
        * Hooray for cartoonists.
        * Swiffers. My days as a custodian.
        * GCA community forum with Karen Lewis
        * Illinois Job Creators: Do-Rite Die & Engineering's Alan Szymanski
        * UPS to hire 8,700 in Chicagoland


        * Illinois Chamber of Commerce Endorses Rauner for Governor
        * Rauner Web Ad: “Cut from the Same Cloth”
        * Illinois Department of Human Rights Commemorates International Day of Peace
        * Quinn Misleads Public on IDOT Again
        * Governor Quinn Visits Chicago’s Hydro, Inc. as Illinois’ Unemployment Rate Continues to Drop - State Jobless Rate Reaches Lowest Level in Six Years




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller