SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Quinn ain’t alone: Lots of governors in electoral jeopardy

Friday, Aug 8, 2014

* Reid Wilson at the Washington Post

With no big national wave benefiting either party this year, some Democrats and Republicans are finding themselves unexpectedly competitive in territory that’s usually anything but — and at least half a dozen governors in so-called safe states, who tend to expect few bumps on this stretch of the road to re-election, are finding their campaign fortunes oddly uncertain.

Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D) faces voters this Saturday in a Democratic primary in which he has outspent his opponent, state Sen. David Ige (D), by a 10-to-1 margin. Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback (R) won with more than 63 percent of the vote in 2010 in his heavily Republican state. But polls show both incumbents trailing.

Connecticut Gov. Dannel Malloy (D) faces a fierce challenge from businessman Tom Foley (R), who is expected to win his primary election next week. Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn (D) trails his opponent, venture capitalist Bruce Rauner (R), in an ordinarily blue state. South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) faces a close rematch against state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D) that has drawn national attention. And Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal (R) is running neck and neck with state Sen. Jason Carter (D), in a state where no Democrat has won the governorship since 1998. […]

Quinn, who won office with just 47 percent of the vote in 2010, signed what he said was a temporary income tax hike, then proposed making the increase permanent.

“Quinn has to significantly improve on his own 2010 performance, after raising income taxes, after falling way short on improving the economy and in the midst of a federal investigation into a 2010 anti-violence program and a lawsuit over patronage hiring practices at the Department of Transportation,” said Rich Miller, editor of Capitol Fax, an Illinois political publication.

Subscribers know the rest of my comment, which also included a warning that Quinn can’t ever be counted out.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


15 Comments
  1. - Sausage - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 9:51 am:

    Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania will be lucky to get 40%


  2. - A guy... - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    Interesting that the nationals gave more ink to this race than any of the others. Not surprising they tapped Miller as a source. That’s a paper that does a little more research than just about anyone else.


  3. - Apocalypse Now - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:12 am:

    As it stands today, Rauner will win by a margin of 4% to 5%. Quinn barely beat Brady, who was at a very distinct financial advantage and a social conservative. Quinn got votes from people who viewed him as a nice competent guy and probably felt he should be given a chance to clean up the Blago mess. After 4 years, voters may still view Quinn as a nice guy, but they definitely don’t view him, as competent, and may just view him, as little shady.


  4. - North Shore Joe - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:19 am:

    The one difference between 2010 and 2014 is union involvement. National attention. Turnout will be higher than everyone thinks. Rauner knows this which is why he is softening his image, running toward the middle. He’s going into a prevent defense essentially. Trying to avoid a rising tide.

    I still give Rauner the edge, the deck is clearly stacked against Quinn. But I am not counting out the #12 seed.


  5. - ZC - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:34 am:

    Re governor’s races: 1) No gerrymandered states, it makes these races intrinsically more competitive; 2) Some Republican governors got in on a very “red” 2010 wave year and now they’re on defense, kind of like the Senate Democrats elected in 2008; 3) Bad economies can cut against governors of either party. And then it’s a cheat but 4) States are kind of their own balls of wax, their own idiosyncracies - witness Quinn.

    At the national level the playing terrain still favors the Republicans but expect the gubernatorials to be more of a “wash,” with at least one very “blue” and “red” state swapping executive control.


  6. - VanillaMan - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:45 am:

    It is a stretch to see a national trend out of this, but that won’t prevent some “experts” from finding one and writing about it.


  7. - CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:54 am:

    Let’s note that all the things that Flip/Mitt Rauner is that NoTaxBill was are items that scare whack jobs/wing nuts away(btw whacks and wing nuts are most likely off year election voters)
    And once the Cayman Cutie arrives to folo Flip around to talk about what everyone REALLY does with the BizWiz posse…..whoa
    Fire, Aim, Ready !


  8. - walker - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 11:03 am:

    CFS back on the rap track today.


  9. - DuPage - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 11:53 am:

    I read that in Kansas they lowered taxes to attract more businesses and jobs to the state. (A Rauner-like plan.) That was supposed to result in more revenue for the state. It did not work out, but it did blow a huge hole in their budget.


  10. - A guy... - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 12:14 pm:

    === CircularFiringSquad - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 10:54 am:====

    Dude,with every post you illustrate what an angry world you live in. Get an ice cream cone or something.


  11. - wordslinger - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 12:37 pm:

    –Tom Corbett in Pennsylvania will be lucky to get 40% –

    Tom Corbett will be lucky if he doesn’t get indicted for obstruction of justice for his handling as AG of the Sandusky investigation. Sandusky claimed two new victims as Corbett’s office slow-walked it in his runup to the governor’s race.


  12. - Grandson of Man - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 1:46 pm:

    There is also another big race in Wisconsin, Gov. Walker vs. Mary Burke. I haven’t really been following this race, but the polls show that they’re basically tied.

    I just perused this race. I think Burke has business experience and she’s hitting Walker on his 250,000 jobs pledge.

    I read that the budget cuts have hurt Wisconsin. Consumer spending there is weaker than the national average.

    http://www.jsonline.com/business/consumer-spending-in-wisconsin-lags-that-of-nation-b99326489z1-270336721.html

    There is some trickle-down failure happening in Wisconsin and in Kansas right now, with the tax cuts and budget cuts.


  13. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 3:12 pm:

    Yep–after all of the Rough Times so many Folks have gone through over recent years, not really a Shocker when one thinks about it. There’s a General Uncertainty about if ANYone in or seeking Office really knows what they’re doing sometimes…plus, let’s just say the POTUS’ limited accomplishments after the Rousing Appeal in 2008 of “Yes We Can” left many realizing, just a few short years later, that as we so often know when it comes to actual Governinance, whether in the States, or Federally, that often times it turns out that “No you CAN’T!” seemingly more so will apply…!


  14. - Just The Way It Is One - Friday, Aug 8, 14 @ 3:14 pm:

    Whoops–that was meant to read above, “…to actual Governance…!”


  15. - corbett adventure resort - Tuesday, Aug 19, 14 @ 7:46 am:

    Jaagar Village amazing resort in corbett for adventure Safari Jim
    Corbett National Park is best for Adventure resort


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed until Monday
* The Pat Quinn rehab tour continues
* Question of the day
* IML, firefighters unite on "public duty rule"
* Nuclear Energy: Vital for Illinois’ Clean Power Plan Goals
* Tackling opioid overdoses
* Why didn't Hastert's secret come out sooner?
* A silly idea
* AG Madigan wants GA to eliminate statute of limitations for felony criminal sexual assault and sexual abuse crimes against children
* Caption contest!
* A very weird and specific law applies only to one county clerk
* Today's quotable
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* LG K530 and K535 could be new additions to the budget-friendly K-series
* Best screen protectors for the Samsung Galaxy S7 Edge
* AnyMote Home review
* Apple to Analyze Recovered iPhone of Florida Teens Lost at Sea
* Second Android N Developer Preview is now available for the Nexus Player
* HTC delays Marshmallow update for AT&T’s One M8 and One M9
* How important is the warranty when you purchase a smartphone?

* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* Eaton's fine bunt puts winning rally in motion
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* Ventura ejected after arguing over slide rule
* Sale eyeing 6-0 start in series finale against O's
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles
* White Sox rally late for wild win over Orioles

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Illinois Policy | Illinois' comeback story star.....
* Illinois higher education funding bill offers h.....
* House Speaker Michael Madigan makes rare appear.....
* Local groups counting on stopgap funding plan –.....
* Madigan on phone for county fundraiser – The St.....
* State constitutional amendments – including gra.....
* StateHouse Insider: Time for lawmakers to hunke.....
* Burke saved Trump $11.7M in Chicago property-ta.....


* U of Illinois reaches agreement with non-tenured faculty
* Disbarred Naperville attorney gets 4-plus years for scheme
* Review finds police shooting of mentally ill man justified
* Naperville must spend $2.5M on handicap accessibility
* Illinois man charged with threatening prosecutor
* Central Illinois Mitsubishi plant sold to liquidation firm
* Illinois budget standoff forces 300 layoffs at Chicago State
* Flooding leaves behind sand, debris in Illinois county
* NIU faculty to form union, seeks voice in school decisions
* Troopers step up highway enforcement for prom, graduation

* Constitutional amendments face a deadline this week
* Local groups counting on stopgap funding plan
* Normal's Mitsubishi plant sold to liquidation firm
* Director of George W. Bush museum appointed to lead Lincoln museum in Springfield
* Swastikas, noose lead U of I to call for tolerance
* Illinois weighs college aid for students in U.S. illegally
* Young offenders hindered by system, panel finds
* Advocates fear chaos after Rauner home health care ruling
* Report: Laws holding back juveniles with criminal records
* Business leaders say early childhood education funding is key to filling STEM jobs in future

* A challenging climate for Chicago entrepreneurs
* Does Acme make a Rauner-catching machine?
* You're not imagining it, techies: Investment and valuations are dropping
* What Clinton needs to do now to win
* Student housing is one of real estate's hottest sectors—and Chicago's at the heart of it


* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for May 1, 2016
* Dear Abby: She punishes mom for getting remarried
* Arthur Bryan III, owned The Redhead Piano Bar, dead at 55
* NW Side high school teacher dies in I-294 chain-reaction crash
* University of Illinois, non-tenured faculty reach deal
* 14-year-old boy shot in Chatham
* Extra-alarm fire hits SW Side mattress warehouse
* Officials: Student sexually assaulted near DePaul’s Loop campus
* Chicago chefs on special dishes they’d make Mom for Mother’s Day
* WATCHDOGS: The Donald & the Democrat; Burke saved Trump $11.7M


* 'Obama out.' President gets last jabs in at White House Correspondents' dinner
* Jose Abreu redeems himself with game-winning hit for White Sox
* 2 firefighters hurt in extra-alarm blaze on Southwest Side
* 1 dead, 6 wounded after South Side shootings
* Halliburton faces deadline in $28 billion Baker deal
* White Sox 8, Orioles 7
* Openly gay lead singer of Neon Trees changing tune on Mormon religion
* Saturday's recap: White Sox 8, Orioles 7
* Fatal accident puts spotlight on Aurora intersection
* White House Correspondents' Association Dinner


* Our View: Keep focus, momentum moving on rail consolidation
* Angie Muhs: Meet the newest reader advisory board
* Constitutional amendments face a deadline this week
* Local groups counting on stopgap funding plan
* Madigan on phone for county fundraiser
* Time for lawmakers to hunker down at the Capitol
* (No heading)
* Gina Gemberling: Tourism is critical economic driver for Springfield
* Charles Krauthammer: The world according to Trump
* U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Why Gitmo can't be closed


* Stay-at-home mom wins women's marathon
* Kenyan native wins men's marathon
* Asmussen: Marathon today, Lovie tomorrow
* Kroner's many faces of all those races
* UI roundup: Illini men win at Drake Relays
* Men's tennis rematch set between UI, OSU
* Saturday's highlights: Centennial soccer wins title
* All-female crews help Habitat for Humanity in constructing home for single mom
* Busey Illinois Youth Run 2016
* Patriots pick Karras


* Boys water polo: Saturday, April 30 scoreboard
* Girls track: Saturday, April 30 scoreboard
* Softball: Saturday, April 30 scoreboard
* Girls soccer: Saturday, April 30 scoreboard
* Girls water polo: Saturday, April 30 scoreboard

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Cahokia Mounds Could Become National Monum......

* U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk: Why Gitmo can't be cl......

* Northbound Lanes Open On Broadway; Overnight Closures Monday thru Wednesday
* Another McHenry County Schnook Shoots Self in Foot
* Weyermuller: When did Drake U turn against conservatives like Turning Point USA?
* Citizen journalist David Daleiden faces continued legal jeopardy
* Elizabeth Warren endorses Duckworth for U.S. Senate
* Tennessee makes it legal for counselors to practice religious beliefs
* Biga: The Eloi Arrive a Tad Early
* Where's Weyermuller? With Ozzie at Special Olympics 2016 kickoff
* Teachers (Deborah Meier).
* Straight out of Brooklyn.


* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact




Hosted by MCS -- CapitolFax.com Privacy Policy -- SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax -- Advertise Here -- Mobile Version -- Contact Rich Miller