SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s number: 4.8 percent

Tuesday, Aug 12, 2014

* The New Republic

“The realignment of the parties in the South following the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s has created a reality in which today most African American voters are Democrats and most white conservative voters are Republicans.”

That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

According to research by David Bositis, in 1994, 99.5 percent of black state legislators in the South served in the majority. By 2010, the percentage had fallen to 50.5. Today, it’s a mere 4.8 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


29 Comments
  1. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:24 am:

    D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage. Not sure there is anyone in the bullpen though.
    They aren’t going to flip the southern states blue in a Presidential/Gubernatorial election. But they can at least reclaim some grip on redistricting and have a chance at winning the house in the next decade.


  2. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:46 am:

    But oh, the conservatives claim that the Democratic Party is the party that hurts African Americans — look at the (Southern) Democrats that voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    Apparently, according to their theory, the same white racists (and their progeny) that are now Republicans left for reasons that have nothing to do with civil rights. I suppose that somehow they got enlightened about race issues and moved to the Republican Party, rather than the Republican Party moving its platform to oppose civil rights. Because, you know, Nixon’s Southern Strategy never happened.


  3. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:50 am:

    D’s lost a lot of statehouses in 2010. Looks like most of them in the South.


  4. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:52 am:

    –D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage.–

    Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.


  5. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:54 am:

    Because I read the Capitol Fax blog before I read the NY Times (make of that what you will, Rich), I did not include this link to make the point about the conservative claim that African Americans should be Republicans because Democrats opposed civil rights:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/12/opinion/can-the-gop-ever-attract-black-voters.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region&region=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region&_r=0


  6. - Under Further Review - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:55 am:

    I am not denying that Nixon utilized a “Southern” strategy, but it is worth noting that Alabama Governor George Wallace, who was a third party candidate in 1968, had been a segregationist Democrat.

    I took exception to the notion that African American and white voters realigned politically due to the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s. The African American voters switched their party preferences twenty-five to thirty years earlier.
    “Big Bill” Thompson, Chicago’s last Republican mayor, received substantial support from African American voters in almost all of his citywide campaigns. A decade after he left office, following an election in which he carried the African American vote while losing to Anton Cermak, Democratic candidates were carrying African American precincts in Chicago.


  7. - fed up - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:59 am:

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    Really, someone from Illinois is going to talk Gerrymandering. Talk about glass houses and stone throwing.


  8. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?


  9. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?


  10. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    ==Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.==

    Well I was going to say Bill Clinton type, but we run into the same issue.Ha. But you know what I mean… white, photogenic, populist, with a poverty agenda that people voting against their self-interest can wrap their heads around.


  11. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:20 am:

    @Under Further Review: I think you are right about realignment in the North going back to FDR, although that was based largely on civil rights. It gets complicated at that time in the North because the Republican Party was split between supporters of civil rights and those who opposed civil rights all the way until 1968. For example, in 1964 the platform was pro-civil rights, but the candidate voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    In the South, though, African Americans were solidly Republican in local races until the 1960s. The article Rich quotes is talking about the South, not the North, so I wasn’t really precise in delineating the difference.


  12. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:24 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    He means to claim that African Americans are worse off in the South today, than they were when the Democrats were in total control?


  13. - Federalist - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:35 am:

    From my reading of history, there were two big realignments in voting patterns.

    First, FDR. With and after him many Blacks went Democratic much more than before.

    Second, after the civil rights legislation in the 1960’s the White South went increasingly, and in electoral terms, almost solid Republican. This seems to have happened in the North also but to a much lesser extent.


  14. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:45 am:

    =”Lost ground”= versus 1994, or 2010, if you read the article. [not vs. Jim Crow Dems pre-1960s]

    Got those partisan spectacles firmly focused?

    Word’s “willfully ignorant statement” captures it, though we appreciate yours most of the time.


  15. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    Perhaps the black voter is starting to realize that the Democrats have actually held them back economically by diminishing their desire to achieve on their own?

    Seems that I have heard many talk about starting to realize just how social programs can be a double edged sword if the one edge gives and the other creates dependence upon the system. May explain why many are moving away from the Democrat party?


  16. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    ===wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?===

    Slinger, acknowledging the changes, it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted since many of those changes took place. “Willfully ignorant” is too strong a statement, even for you.


  17. - RonOglesby - Now in TX - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:04 am:


    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    I don’t know, I think some states in the north (like Illinois) can sure give them a run for their money!


  18. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:08 am:

    Here’s the key quote from the NYT article that VM linked to:

    “The party that hopes to attract black students is the party whose congressional leadership filed a baseless lawsuit against the first African-American president. It is the party whose representatives allied with birthers who demanded that the president prove his citizenship. It is the party that has endorsed the evisceration of the Voting Rights Act and made it more difficult for the very people it is courting to actually cast a ballot for its candidates. Senator Paul himself has expressed ambivalence about enforcing the Civil Rights Act of 1964.”


  19. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Party realignment got momentum in 1948 when the Democrats adopted Hubert Humphrey’s civil rights plank, the Dixiecrats walked out, and Strom Thurmond ran for president. Strom later joined the GOP, as did most conservative southern Democrats.


  20. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?


  21. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:14 am:

    Let’s be real. Gerrymandering has been endemic to American politics, since our country was founded. For all I know, some American colonies did it too, when picking governing bodies. It exists right now in almost every state, if you look at the maps, even some created by so-called independent bodies.


  22. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:33 am:

    === Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?====

    No, not in the least. I’m “implying” that most African Americans are actually hopeful. They’ve received more attention from Democrats and have been more loyal to them. I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others). If you’ve noticed, Rauner has been doing a lot of this. Our message is to preach about offering opportunities to seize. We need to get much, much better at it. You want to play the race game Anonymous. I’m not biting. There are great examples growing every day of African Americans succeeding and building equity in the American Dream. There’s not nearly enough focus on those examples. Allowing high crime to victimize families, poor education choices and constant temptation from outlaw gangs is cheating our fellow citizens. I would argue that the Democratic approach (well intentioned!) has been to treat the symptoms and ignore the base problems of poverty and repression. There’s a better way. It needs foundational change. You can’t promise a little bit today to ignore a more difficult path that guarantees a better more sustainable tomorrow.

    Committing to a steady long term plan has never been a strength in politics, but it’s the only way to change things with generational mileposts we must achieve.


  23. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:47 am:

    ===I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others).===

    “The incident was in no way isolated. Under the leadership of Hubbard and Marsh, Alabama Republicans have jammed through numerous pieces of legislation with no Democratic input, or even debate. There was the anti-illegal-immigration bill that, among other things, required public schools to determine students’ immigration status, barred illegal immigrants from enrolling in any public college after high school, and made it a crime to knowingly rent a home to an illegal immigrant. (Much of the law was later overturned in federal courts.) There was the legislation that mandated that Alabamans show photo identification in order to vote. There was the anti-abortion bill that would have forced three of the state’s five abortion clinics to close. (In early August, a federal judge rejected the law as unconstitutional.) There was the piece of legislation that dramatically loosened provisions on firearms and another that contained sweeping new welfare restrictions, including mandatory drug-testing for recipients with a narcotics conviction. Meanwhile, statehouse Republicans successfully blocked Democratic bills seeking to require Governor Robert Bentley to accept the federal government’s offer, as part of the Affordable Care Act, to expand Medicaid in the state.”

    I suspect some of the commenters haven’t read the article. Yes, A Guy, Republicans need to do a FAR better job of reaching out.


  24. - Formerly Known As... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:05 pm:

    It shifted once, and it is shifting again.

    Locally that does not necessarily mean towards Illinois Republicans, but away from Illinois Democrats.


  25. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:08 pm:

    @Sunshine:

    “May explain why many [African Americans] are moving away from the Democrat party?”

    I don’t think there’s much of a factual basis for that statement.


  26. - justthefacts - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:51 pm:

    It is worth noting that the president who signed civil rights legislation into law was a Southern Democrat. Would Goldwater have signed that bill? That should answer your question.


  27. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.


  28. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 2:08 pm:

    == wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.===

    Never said anything close to that. Kind of a putzy response there. They’ve been over-promised and under-delivered for decades. They know what’s good for them, they’re just having a very difficult time achieving it within either party structure. You want to argue it, let’s go. But, I’ll choose my own words. Just as you do without my objection.


  29. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 8:40 pm:

    VM, would love to hear the facts as you see them?? Please, enlighten us all.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Mendoza transition team responds to the Sun-Times' Madigan conspiracy theory
* *** UPDATED x1 - Durkin responds *** Back to the future: Madigan demands "memorandums of understanding"
* Question of the day
* Shimkus loses out on plum post
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Moody's says Rauner veto is just one of many problems facing CPS
* *** UPDATED x4 - Mendoza responds - Munger calls suit "cowardly" *** Lawsuit filed over legislator pay
* The "green energy" side of the Exelon bill
* Caption contest!
* How is this "breaking our agreement"?
* Positioning, practicalities and politics weigh heavily against a House override
* Report: A decade to reach solvency, if leaders cooperate on tough plan
* *** UPDATED x2 *** Rauner goes into the lion's den
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

  
* How AMOLED technology works
* Google is opening up Santa’s Village until December 24th
* Apple VP of Special Projects Paul Deneve Removed From Leadership Webpage [Update: Still at Apple]
* Lenovo Phab 2 Pro Video Review: More than just Tango?
* You can now play Oprah Winfrey’s mobile game on your Android device
* Copy and paste trick could unlock iOS 10 devices in Lost Mode
* Apple Store App for iOS Updated With Rich Notifications, One-Tap Apple Watch Purchases

* White Sox plans could clear up at Meetings
* Lawrie, Garcia settle with White Sox for 2017
* Garcia, Lawrie settle with White Sox for 2017
* Peace & glove: Owners, players reach CBA deal
* White Sox plans could clear up at Meetings
* Garcia among White Sox non-tender options
* White Sox plans could clear up at Meetings

...............


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress

Loading


* Rauner says he's 'proud' of Exelon subsidy to s.....
* Rauner: Money for Chicago schools still part of.....
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....
* Rauner Names Members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....
* Madigan responds to governor's request for addi.....
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial C.....


* State high court to hear wind power appeal
* Southwestern Indiana plane crash kills lone person aboard
* Rauner names members of Illinois Bicentennial Commission
* EXCHANGE: Rockford firefighters help veteran battling cancer
* EXCHANGE: For student veterans, tattoos tell quite a story
* Illinois sees warmest fall on record since 1931
* Illinois sees warmest fall on record since 1931
* Police advise against unsupervised searches of missing boy
* Police advise against unsupervised searches of missing boy
* Chicago-area judge who let clerk take bench has Alzheimer's

* Lawmakers sue comptroller for not paying them
* Electronic road signs are dark near Effingham due to budget
* State lawmakers vote to spare 2 nuclear plants
* Legislature OKs Exelon subsidy plan, goes to Rauner
* Rauner: No more stopgap budgets without property tax freeze, term limits
* Illinois shutters nation's last prison roundhouse
* Clinton nuclear plant has history of cost, job uncertainty
* AFSCME files lawsuit over labor contract
* Rauner to Dems: No budget without term limits, property tax freeze
* AFSCME files suit over labor contract

* Why Planned Parenthood donors are thanking Mike Pence
* Behind Rauner's sudden war with state's other top Dem
* McDonald's in China is a tall order
* John Wilson, founder of art expo that began Navy Pier's revival, dies at 82
* The backstory behind that CPS veto


* Fire chief: 9 killed in Oakland, California, warehouse fire
* Sunday Sitdown: Michael LaPidus looks to expand Q-BBQ nationwide
* Still a tough road for diabetics, despite advances
* At 24, Cicero mom known internationally for her ‘Fight for $15’
* Fire causes $150K in damage to Elgin dollar store
* THE WATCHDOGS: Taxpayers paying for UNO schools — again
* WATCHDOGS: Chicago’s deadliest neighborhoods get greenest cops
* Blackhawks searching for a backup with Corey Crawford ill
* Cook County to outsource most tests in death cases
* Woman grazed in South Shore shooting


* China hopes Trump call with Taiwan's president won't lead to 'damaged' ties
* 9 dead, more missing after fire races through Oakland warehouse during concert
* Corey Crawford out Saturday because of illness, Blackhawks review backup options
* 1 dead, 13 wounded in city shootings
* How and why Boko Haram targets teachers and schools in Nigeria
* 3 Elgin stores damaged by fire
* Jacob Keller shrugs off taunts, leads Fenwick over OPRF in overtime
* Logic says Wisconsin, but look for Penn State to roll to Big Ten title
* Pressure building to take down Utah's 'Zion Curtain' liquor law — which shields patrons from seeing booze
* Bears vs. 49ers? Who cares? Well, outcome matters to each in NFL draft


The widget AQL4JYGHIY powered by Feed Informer does not exist.


* Guest Column: Where is the bailout for human services?
* Charles Krauthammer: After a mere 25 years, the triumph of the West is over
* Lawmakers sue comptroller for not paying them
* Electronic road signs are dark near Effingham due to budget
* State lawmakers vote to spare 2 nuclear plants
* Legislature OKs Exelon subsidy plan, goes to Rauner
* Our View: This Week’s Thumbs up/Thumbs Down
* Rauner: No more stopgap budgets without property tax freeze, term limits
* Illinois shutters nation's last prison roundhouse
* Clinton nuclear plant has history of cost, job uncertainty


* Coffee with the Plant Experts 12-03-16
* Daily Digest 12/3/16
* Mission sets meal for Christmas Eve
* PODCAST: Bill Craig of ReMax Realty Associates 12-3-16
* PODCAST: Holder Wealth Management 12-3-16
* Rantoul police looking for missing boys
* Weekend planner: Time for a little shopping
* Roanoke board OKs raises for ambulance personnel
* Hamilton Walker's planning to open mid-month
* Champaign business is lone bidder for Kickapoo cafe, river trips


* Emergency officials: We won't let pipeline protesters freeze
* Campus attack could be latest terror case in heartland state
* Elgin dollar store badly damaged in fire
* Monroe County officer's name to be carved on memorial wall
* Bergdahl seeks pardon from Obama to avert desertion trial

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Sen. Dick Durbin Unveils Protection Effort......

* SEIU leaders say planned Monday strike by ......

* Rep. Ives spells out opposition to Exelon bailout bill
* Illinois Review readers most "liked" stories for first week in December 2016
* Chicago Chamber, Retail Merchants' report calls for Exelon bailout to save nuclear plants
* IR Readers take to Twitter
* Like a Stradivarius.
* Keeping retirement weird. How not to fight back in the Trump era.
* Will Rauner be eaten by Chicago “bear” now sleeping in Illinois “woods?”
* Morning Minute: U.S. economy showed strong growth in last quarter; consumer confidence climbs
* REALTOR® Jim Kinney named to state’s Bicentennial Commission
* EXTRA: Madigan spouse, Burke, Sox & Cubs chairs (but no Bears) on state Bicentennial celebration commission


* Thanksgiving Holiday Travel Brings Lowest Fatality Rate In Six Years
* Governor Announces Appointments to Illinois Bicentennial Commission
* Stateville Correctional Center’s F House Officially Closed
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* IEMA Highlights Safety during the Holidays - Encourages holiday shoppers to give preparedness gifts this year




      Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller