SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s number: 4.8 percent

Tuesday, Aug 12, 2014

* The New Republic

“The realignment of the parties in the South following the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s has created a reality in which today most African American voters are Democrats and most white conservative voters are Republicans.”

That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

According to research by David Bositis, in 1994, 99.5 percent of black state legislators in the South served in the majority. By 2010, the percentage had fallen to 50.5. Today, it’s a mere 4.8 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


29 Comments
  1. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:24 am:

    D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage. Not sure there is anyone in the bullpen though.
    They aren’t going to flip the southern states blue in a Presidential/Gubernatorial election. But they can at least reclaim some grip on redistricting and have a chance at winning the house in the next decade.


  2. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:46 am:

    But oh, the conservatives claim that the Democratic Party is the party that hurts African Americans — look at the (Southern) Democrats that voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    Apparently, according to their theory, the same white racists (and their progeny) that are now Republicans left for reasons that have nothing to do with civil rights. I suppose that somehow they got enlightened about race issues and moved to the Republican Party, rather than the Republican Party moving its platform to oppose civil rights. Because, you know, Nixon’s Southern Strategy never happened.


  3. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:50 am:

    D’s lost a lot of statehouses in 2010. Looks like most of them in the South.


  4. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:52 am:

    –D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage.–

    Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.


  5. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:54 am:

    Because I read the Capitol Fax blog before I read the NY Times (make of that what you will, Rich), I did not include this link to make the point about the conservative claim that African Americans should be Republicans because Democrats opposed civil rights:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/12/opinion/can-the-gop-ever-attract-black-voters.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region&region=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region&_r=0


  6. - Under Further Review - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:55 am:

    I am not denying that Nixon utilized a “Southern” strategy, but it is worth noting that Alabama Governor George Wallace, who was a third party candidate in 1968, had been a segregationist Democrat.

    I took exception to the notion that African American and white voters realigned politically due to the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s. The African American voters switched their party preferences twenty-five to thirty years earlier.
    “Big Bill” Thompson, Chicago’s last Republican mayor, received substantial support from African American voters in almost all of his citywide campaigns. A decade after he left office, following an election in which he carried the African American vote while losing to Anton Cermak, Democratic candidates were carrying African American precincts in Chicago.


  7. - fed up - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:59 am:

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    Really, someone from Illinois is going to talk Gerrymandering. Talk about glass houses and stone throwing.


  8. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?


  9. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?


  10. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    ==Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.==

    Well I was going to say Bill Clinton type, but we run into the same issue.Ha. But you know what I mean… white, photogenic, populist, with a poverty agenda that people voting against their self-interest can wrap their heads around.


  11. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:20 am:

    @Under Further Review: I think you are right about realignment in the North going back to FDR, although that was based largely on civil rights. It gets complicated at that time in the North because the Republican Party was split between supporters of civil rights and those who opposed civil rights all the way until 1968. For example, in 1964 the platform was pro-civil rights, but the candidate voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    In the South, though, African Americans were solidly Republican in local races until the 1960s. The article Rich quotes is talking about the South, not the North, so I wasn’t really precise in delineating the difference.


  12. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:24 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    He means to claim that African Americans are worse off in the South today, than they were when the Democrats were in total control?


  13. - Federalist - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:35 am:

    From my reading of history, there were two big realignments in voting patterns.

    First, FDR. With and after him many Blacks went Democratic much more than before.

    Second, after the civil rights legislation in the 1960’s the White South went increasingly, and in electoral terms, almost solid Republican. This seems to have happened in the North also but to a much lesser extent.


  14. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:45 am:

    =”Lost ground”= versus 1994, or 2010, if you read the article. [not vs. Jim Crow Dems pre-1960s]

    Got those partisan spectacles firmly focused?

    Word’s “willfully ignorant statement” captures it, though we appreciate yours most of the time.


  15. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    Perhaps the black voter is starting to realize that the Democrats have actually held them back economically by diminishing their desire to achieve on their own?

    Seems that I have heard many talk about starting to realize just how social programs can be a double edged sword if the one edge gives and the other creates dependence upon the system. May explain why many are moving away from the Democrat party?


  16. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    ===wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?===

    Slinger, acknowledging the changes, it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted since many of those changes took place. “Willfully ignorant” is too strong a statement, even for you.


  17. - RonOglesby - Now in TX - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:04 am:


    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    I don’t know, I think some states in the north (like Illinois) can sure give them a run for their money!


  18. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:08 am:

    Here’s the key quote from the NYT article that VM linked to:

    “The party that hopes to attract black students is the party whose congressional leadership filed a baseless lawsuit against the first African-American president. It is the party whose representatives allied with birthers who demanded that the president prove his citizenship. It is the party that has endorsed the evisceration of the Voting Rights Act and made it more difficult for the very people it is courting to actually cast a ballot for its candidates. Senator Paul himself has expressed ambivalence about enforcing the Civil Rights Act of 1964.”


  19. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Party realignment got momentum in 1948 when the Democrats adopted Hubert Humphrey’s civil rights plank, the Dixiecrats walked out, and Strom Thurmond ran for president. Strom later joined the GOP, as did most conservative southern Democrats.


  20. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?


  21. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:14 am:

    Let’s be real. Gerrymandering has been endemic to American politics, since our country was founded. For all I know, some American colonies did it too, when picking governing bodies. It exists right now in almost every state, if you look at the maps, even some created by so-called independent bodies.


  22. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:33 am:

    === Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?====

    No, not in the least. I’m “implying” that most African Americans are actually hopeful. They’ve received more attention from Democrats and have been more loyal to them. I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others). If you’ve noticed, Rauner has been doing a lot of this. Our message is to preach about offering opportunities to seize. We need to get much, much better at it. You want to play the race game Anonymous. I’m not biting. There are great examples growing every day of African Americans succeeding and building equity in the American Dream. There’s not nearly enough focus on those examples. Allowing high crime to victimize families, poor education choices and constant temptation from outlaw gangs is cheating our fellow citizens. I would argue that the Democratic approach (well intentioned!) has been to treat the symptoms and ignore the base problems of poverty and repression. There’s a better way. It needs foundational change. You can’t promise a little bit today to ignore a more difficult path that guarantees a better more sustainable tomorrow.

    Committing to a steady long term plan has never been a strength in politics, but it’s the only way to change things with generational mileposts we must achieve.


  23. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:47 am:

    ===I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others).===

    “The incident was in no way isolated. Under the leadership of Hubbard and Marsh, Alabama Republicans have jammed through numerous pieces of legislation with no Democratic input, or even debate. There was the anti-illegal-immigration bill that, among other things, required public schools to determine students’ immigration status, barred illegal immigrants from enrolling in any public college after high school, and made it a crime to knowingly rent a home to an illegal immigrant. (Much of the law was later overturned in federal courts.) There was the legislation that mandated that Alabamans show photo identification in order to vote. There was the anti-abortion bill that would have forced three of the state’s five abortion clinics to close. (In early August, a federal judge rejected the law as unconstitutional.) There was the piece of legislation that dramatically loosened provisions on firearms and another that contained sweeping new welfare restrictions, including mandatory drug-testing for recipients with a narcotics conviction. Meanwhile, statehouse Republicans successfully blocked Democratic bills seeking to require Governor Robert Bentley to accept the federal government’s offer, as part of the Affordable Care Act, to expand Medicaid in the state.”

    I suspect some of the commenters haven’t read the article. Yes, A Guy, Republicans need to do a FAR better job of reaching out.


  24. - Formerly Known As... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:05 pm:

    It shifted once, and it is shifting again.

    Locally that does not necessarily mean towards Illinois Republicans, but away from Illinois Democrats.


  25. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:08 pm:

    @Sunshine:

    “May explain why many [African Americans] are moving away from the Democrat party?”

    I don’t think there’s much of a factual basis for that statement.


  26. - justthefacts - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:51 pm:

    It is worth noting that the president who signed civil rights legislation into law was a Southern Democrat. Would Goldwater have signed that bill? That should answer your question.


  27. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.


  28. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 2:08 pm:

    == wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.===

    Never said anything close to that. Kind of a putzy response there. They’ve been over-promised and under-delivered for decades. They know what’s good for them, they’re just having a very difficult time achieving it within either party structure. You want to argue it, let’s go. But, I’ll choose my own words. Just as you do without my objection.


  29. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 8:40 pm:

    VM, would love to hear the facts as you see them?? Please, enlighten us all.


TrackBack URI

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* *** UPDATED *** THIS JUST IN... Judge orders permanent stay on pension law
* Today's number: 10 percent
* Unclear on the concept
* Could be a big day
* Question of the day
* Illinois leaders react to Obama's immigration order
* TrackBill – An Introduction
* Caption contest!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Jolla phone scores big discount in celebration of crowdfunding success
        * The Week in iPhone Cases: American flags, Adidas, leather pouches, and more
        * Amazon could go ad-supported for new video service
        * Ohm Bluetooth speaker is also a Qi wireless charger
        * Withings Wireless Blood Pressure Monitor review: HealthKit compatibility doesn't add much
        * Nexus 6 packs a hidden notification LED
        * Mind4 Android based drone carries a GoPro

        * Fab Is Close to a Fire Sale, but CEO Goldberg Gets Yet Another Chance
        * European Parliament Wants To Break Google Up Into Smaller Companies
        * Nexus 6 Has A Hidden Notification LED, Will Need Root Access
        * Motorola Acknowledges Fatal Bug In AT&T’s Nexus 6
        * The often overlooked reason why Facebook converts so well
        * Cut a Rope or String without Any Tools Using Friction
        * Apple’s $450M plan to settle ebook price-fixing gets green light

        * Down year doesn't derail White Sox hopes for Johnson
        * White Sox reportedly asking about catcher Montero
        * Nine things about White Sox waiver claim Onelki Garcia
        * Sox add five to 40-man roster, DFA Ronald Belisario, outright Jared...
        * Sox protect four from Rule 5 Draft
        * White Sox Charities continue to make positive impact
        * Ranking the top 25 prospects from the Arizona Fall League

        ...............


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        November 2014
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Judge rejects Illinois pension reform law - CNBC..
        * Judge: Illinois pension overhaul unconstitution.....
        * If Labor stayed home, then they reaped what the.....
        * Illinois judge set to rule on state's pension l.....
        * Colorado oil, gas task force begins outlining k.....
        * Quinn vs. Emanuel in mayoral race? It would be .....


        * New study shows impact of military in Illinois
        * Congressman says he still deciding what to do next
        * State to refund retiree health care money
        * Legislative leaders weigh in on pension decision
        * Rauner wants quick ruling on pension law appeal
        * Legislative leaders weigh in on pension decision
        * AG Madigan to 'immediately' appeal pension ruling
        * Illinois prepares for Obama's immigration action
        * Labor unions declare victory in pension ruling
        * Man charged in 1981 slaying of Chicago woman

        * State to refund $60 million in retiree health care money
        * State pension changes ruled unconstitutional; appeal to Illinois Supreme Court next
        * State pension changes ruled unconstitutional; appeal to Illinois Supreme Court likely
        * Illinois pension case likely headed to high court
        * Judge: Pension ruling to come Friday
        * Rauner mum on fixes for ‘dire’ state finances, wants Quinn to freeze hiring
        * Rauner mum on fixes for ‘dire’ state finances
        * Judge to hear pension law arguments today
        * Split court: Illinois red-light camera law stands
        * Lawmaker seeks background checks for ridesharing drivers

        * Rich Miller on Springfield
        * Rauner election starts feeding frenzy for jobs
        * Illinois judge set to rule on state's pension law
        * House GOP sues administration over health care law
        * Threat becomes reality: House GOP sues Obama over health care law


        * Dr. Lawrence Solomon: Renowned dermatologist, book collector loved a mystery
        * 3 Daley scandals cost Chicago taxpayers over $6 million
        * As prisons swell, Illinois needs wiser policies
        * The Watchdogs: Rahm Emanuel’s silent partner in mayoral campaign: Mike Madigan
        * The Watchdogs: Rahm Emanuel’s silent partner in mayoral campaign: Mike Madigan
        * Rahm Emanuel’s silent partner in mayoral campaign: Mike Madigan
        * Chicago Police posting videos on Facebook to help find suspects
        * Business owners seeking pot shop licenses in Illinois faced lawsuits elsewhere
        * Arne Duncan not taking sides on CPS’ seeking delay on PARCC test
        * Out-of-power comet lander deserves praise


        * Orland Park massage parlor accused of offering sex
        * Ferguson police chief: Darren Wilson unlikely to return, indicted or not
        * Key ruling on Illinois pension law expected today
        * Security guard wounded during robbery at Bridgeport diner
        * Police alert after man tries to lure boy, 12, on Northwest Side
        * Immigrants in Chicago find Obama executive action bittersweet
        * James Foley's kindness, passion, faith lauded in Northwestern memorial
        * Kustok murder case to conclude by Christmas
        * Bruce Rauner says he hopes Illinois Supreme Court gives clue on pension law
        * Drivers will pay $1.90 to travel 10-mile stretch of Elgin-O'Hare tollway


        * State To Refund Retiree Health Care Money
        * Labor unions celebrate judge's ruling against Illinois pension law
        * Judge Finds Reductions In Pension Benefits Unconstitutional
        * Pension Ruling Imminent
        * Hoosiers divided over Obama’s executive action on immigration
        * Illinois Symphony Orchestra Joins The Circus For Holiday Pops
        * School Funding Testimony Taken At Capitol
        * Incoming U of I President Speaks To Springfield Audience
        * To Restore Executive Mansion, Rauner Plans Private Funds
        * Alderman says police overtime is main reason he voted against mayor's budget


        * State to refund $60 million in retiree health care money
        * State pension changes ruled unconstitutional; appeal to Illinois Supreme Court next
        * Mark Lawlor: Input sought from area residents on Grain Belt Express project
        * Esther Cepeda: Pass the ketchup
        * E.J. Dionne: A mission for Jeb Bush
        * Deckle McLean: Plagiarism comes with a price
        * Quote of the Day: Friday, Nov. 21, 2014
        * Quote of the Day: Nov. 22, 2014
        * Judge: Pension ruling to come Friday
        * Rauner mum on fixes for ‘dire’ state finances, wants Quinn to freeze hiring


        * Historical Christmas Bazaar set Saturday in Cobden
        * Updated: Pension ruling to be appealed
        * House GOP sues Obama administration on health law
        * Smithton man charged with battering school principal, teacher
        * Champaign for winner
        * (No heading)
        * Urbana celebrates Boneyard Creek project completion
        * Couple indicted for alleged abuse of 3-year-old
        * Freezing rain expected to fall Friday night
        * Update: Carrier Mills man arrested for making bomb threat


        * Champion female bobsledder awaits male crew
        * Guilty plea for man who helped kill Arlington Heights dad
        * Heart ailment fundraiser Sunday in Palatine
        * Convict charged in 1981 slaying of Chicago woman
        * State to refund retiree health care money

        * Patrick Cannon defense strategy rare but n...
        * Feds fine Jesse Jackson Jr.'s campaign com...
        * Ex-Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. faces sen...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...

        * Senator Durbin Statement On Sale Of Corint......
        * Senator Durbin Statement On Sale Of Corint......
        * Senator Durbin Statement On Sale Of Corint......
        * Senator Durbin Statement On Sale Of Corint......
        * Senator Durbin Statement On Sale Of Corint......

        * Devereaux and union reach accord before Ha......
        * Riopell: Kirk says 2016 opponents have 'qu......

        * Kirk blames Republicans for Obama's executive amnesty
        * Durbin's vote against Keystone Pipeline XL riles unions
        * BuzzFeed: Top 7 Ways Chicago Incumbent Aldermen Will Try To Win Re-Election
        * Jim Broadway’s weird comparison of pension bribes to parents’ opting out of PARCC.
        * A big win. A good day.
        * Rauner field manager explains the win
        * State Sens. Link, Harmon unfamiliar with basic research on minimum wage [video]
        * The Beachwood Radio Sports Hour #26: Paging Professor Trestman
        * The Weekend Desk Report
        * The Week In Chicago Rock


        * Illinois Residents Asked to Put the Tobacco Down - Support the Great American Smokeout – November 20
        * Governor Quinn Statement on President Obama’s Executive Action
        * Governor Quinn Statement on Selection of New University of Illinois President
        * Governor Quinn Statement on Senate Committee Passage of Minimum Wage Legislation
        * Governor Quinn Statement on the Installation of Archbishop Blase Cupich




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller