SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s number: 4.8 percent

Tuesday, Aug 12, 2014

* The New Republic

“The realignment of the parties in the South following the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s has created a reality in which today most African American voters are Democrats and most white conservative voters are Republicans.”

That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

According to research by David Bositis, in 1994, 99.5 percent of black state legislators in the South served in the majority. By 2010, the percentage had fallen to 50.5. Today, it’s a mere 4.8 percent.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


29 Comments
  1. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:24 am:

    D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage. Not sure there is anyone in the bullpen though.
    They aren’t going to flip the southern states blue in a Presidential/Gubernatorial election. But they can at least reclaim some grip on redistricting and have a chance at winning the house in the next decade.


  2. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:46 am:

    But oh, the conservatives claim that the Democratic Party is the party that hurts African Americans — look at the (Southern) Democrats that voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    Apparently, according to their theory, the same white racists (and their progeny) that are now Republicans left for reasons that have nothing to do with civil rights. I suppose that somehow they got enlightened about race issues and moved to the Republican Party, rather than the Republican Party moving its platform to oppose civil rights. Because, you know, Nixon’s Southern Strategy never happened.


  3. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:50 am:

    D’s lost a lot of statehouses in 2010. Looks like most of them in the South.


  4. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:52 am:

    –D’s really need to find a new John Edwards-type that they can put on the national stage.–

    Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.


  5. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:54 am:

    Because I read the Capitol Fax blog before I read the NY Times (make of that what you will, Rich), I did not include this link to make the point about the conservative claim that African Americans should be Republicans because Democrats opposed civil rights:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/12/opinion/can-the-gop-ever-attract-black-voters.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=c-column-top-span-region&region=c-column-top-span-region&WT.nav=c-column-top-span-region&_r=0


  6. - Under Further Review - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:55 am:

    I am not denying that Nixon utilized a “Southern” strategy, but it is worth noting that Alabama Governor George Wallace, who was a third party candidate in 1968, had been a segregationist Democrat.

    I took exception to the notion that African American and white voters realigned politically due to the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s. The African American voters switched their party preferences twenty-five to thirty years earlier.
    “Big Bill” Thompson, Chicago’s last Republican mayor, received substantial support from African American voters in almost all of his citywide campaigns. A decade after he left office, following an election in which he carried the African American vote while losing to Anton Cermak, Democratic candidates were carrying African American precincts in Chicago.


  7. - fed up - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 9:59 am:

    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    Really, someone from Illinois is going to talk Gerrymandering. Talk about glass houses and stone throwing.


  8. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:00 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?


  9. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?


  10. - Jimmy CrackCorn - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    ==Maybe not so much a John Edwards-type, lol.==

    Well I was going to say Bill Clinton type, but we run into the same issue.Ha. But you know what I mean… white, photogenic, populist, with a poverty agenda that people voting against their self-interest can wrap their heads around.


  11. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:20 am:

    @Under Further Review: I think you are right about realignment in the North going back to FDR, although that was based largely on civil rights. It gets complicated at that time in the North because the Republican Party was split between supporters of civil rights and those who opposed civil rights all the way until 1968. For example, in 1964 the platform was pro-civil rights, but the candidate voted against the Civil Rights Act.

    In the South, though, African Americans were solidly Republican in local races until the 1960s. The article Rich quotes is talking about the South, not the North, so I wasn’t really precise in delineating the difference.


  12. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:24 am:

    That means that, as Democrats have lost ground in statehouses in Alabama and elsewhere across the South, so have African Americans.

    He means to claim that African Americans are worse off in the South today, than they were when the Democrats were in total control?


  13. - Federalist - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:35 am:

    From my reading of history, there were two big realignments in voting patterns.

    First, FDR. With and after him many Blacks went Democratic much more than before.

    Second, after the civil rights legislation in the 1960’s the White South went increasingly, and in electoral terms, almost solid Republican. This seems to have happened in the North also but to a much lesser extent.


  14. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:45 am:

    =”Lost ground”= versus 1994, or 2010, if you read the article. [not vs. Jim Crow Dems pre-1960s]

    Got those partisan spectacles firmly focused?

    Word’s “willfully ignorant statement” captures it, though we appreciate yours most of the time.


  15. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    Perhaps the black voter is starting to realize that the Democrats have actually held them back economically by diminishing their desire to achieve on their own?

    Seems that I have heard many talk about starting to realize just how social programs can be a double edged sword if the one edge gives and the other creates dependence upon the system. May explain why many are moving away from the Democrat party?


  16. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:01 am:

    ===wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 10:04 am:

    –Because we all know how great things were in Alabama for African Americans when the Democrats were in control between 1832-1972, right?–

    That’s an incredibly, willfully ignorant statement. Because the parties have kind of changed a little bit, haven’t they?===

    Slinger, acknowledging the changes, it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted since many of those changes took place. “Willfully ignorant” is too strong a statement, even for you.


  17. - RonOglesby - Now in TX - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:04 am:


    Down in Dixie, they’ve got the art and science of the gerrymander down pretty cold, too.

    I don’t know, I think some states in the north (like Illinois) can sure give them a run for their money!


  18. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:08 am:

    Here’s the key quote from the NYT article that VM linked to:

    “The party that hopes to attract black students is the party whose congressional leadership filed a baseless lawsuit against the first African-American president. It is the party whose representatives allied with birthers who demanded that the president prove his citizenship. It is the party that has endorsed the evisceration of the Voting Rights Act and made it more difficult for the very people it is courting to actually cast a ballot for its candidates. Senator Paul himself has expressed ambivalence about enforcing the Civil Rights Act of 1964.”


  19. - Anon - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:10 am:

    Party realignment got momentum in 1948 when the Democrats adopted Hubert Humphrey’s civil rights plank, the Dixiecrats walked out, and Strom Thurmond ran for president. Strom later joined the GOP, as did most conservative southern Democrats.


  20. - Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?


  21. - walker - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:14 am:

    Let’s be real. Gerrymandering has been endemic to American politics, since our country was founded. For all I know, some American colonies did it too, when picking governing bodies. It exists right now in almost every state, if you look at the maps, even some created by so-called independent bodies.


  22. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:33 am:

    === Anonymous - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:11 am:

    - it’s hard to consider that Democrats have done much more than take their votes for granted -

    Are you implying that, for the most part, African American voters are stupid? That they can’t tell who is representing their best interests?

    You see a lot of democrats proposing ways to make voting more difficult?====

    No, not in the least. I’m “implying” that most African Americans are actually hopeful. They’ve received more attention from Democrats and have been more loyal to them. I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others). If you’ve noticed, Rauner has been doing a lot of this. Our message is to preach about offering opportunities to seize. We need to get much, much better at it. You want to play the race game Anonymous. I’m not biting. There are great examples growing every day of African Americans succeeding and building equity in the American Dream. There’s not nearly enough focus on those examples. Allowing high crime to victimize families, poor education choices and constant temptation from outlaw gangs is cheating our fellow citizens. I would argue that the Democratic approach (well intentioned!) has been to treat the symptoms and ignore the base problems of poverty and repression. There’s a better way. It needs foundational change. You can’t promise a little bit today to ignore a more difficult path that guarantees a better more sustainable tomorrow.

    Committing to a steady long term plan has never been a strength in politics, but it’s the only way to change things with generational mileposts we must achieve.


  23. - 47th Ward - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 11:47 am:

    ===I’m more than implying, I’m stating, that Democrats have taken this voting bloc for granted. Republicans need to do a far better job reaching out to the Black Community (and others).===

    “The incident was in no way isolated. Under the leadership of Hubbard and Marsh, Alabama Republicans have jammed through numerous pieces of legislation with no Democratic input, or even debate. There was the anti-illegal-immigration bill that, among other things, required public schools to determine students’ immigration status, barred illegal immigrants from enrolling in any public college after high school, and made it a crime to knowingly rent a home to an illegal immigrant. (Much of the law was later overturned in federal courts.) There was the legislation that mandated that Alabamans show photo identification in order to vote. There was the anti-abortion bill that would have forced three of the state’s five abortion clinics to close. (In early August, a federal judge rejected the law as unconstitutional.) There was the piece of legislation that dramatically loosened provisions on firearms and another that contained sweeping new welfare restrictions, including mandatory drug-testing for recipients with a narcotics conviction. Meanwhile, statehouse Republicans successfully blocked Democratic bills seeking to require Governor Robert Bentley to accept the federal government’s offer, as part of the Affordable Care Act, to expand Medicaid in the state.”

    I suspect some of the commenters haven’t read the article. Yes, A Guy, Republicans need to do a FAR better job of reaching out.


  24. - Formerly Known As... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:05 pm:

    It shifted once, and it is shifting again.

    Locally that does not necessarily mean towards Illinois Republicans, but away from Illinois Democrats.


  25. - VM - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:08 pm:

    @Sunshine:

    “May explain why many [African Americans] are moving away from the Democrat party?”

    I don’t think there’s much of a factual basis for that statement.


  26. - justthefacts - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 12:51 pm:

    It is worth noting that the president who signed civil rights legislation into law was a Southern Democrat. Would Goldwater have signed that bill? That should answer your question.


  27. - wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.


  28. - A guy... - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 2:08 pm:

    == wordslinger - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 1:29 pm:

    Yeah, A Guy, those black voters just don’t know what’s good for them. Hard to believe they’re not just flocking to the Dixie GOP.===

    Never said anything close to that. Kind of a putzy response there. They’ve been over-promised and under-delivered for decades. They know what’s good for them, they’re just having a very difficult time achieving it within either party structure. You want to argue it, let’s go. But, I’ll choose my own words. Just as you do without my objection.


  29. - Sunshine - Tuesday, Aug 12, 14 @ 8:40 pm:

    VM, would love to hear the facts as you see them?? Please, enlighten us all.


TrackBack URI

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Karen Lewis endorses Chuy Garcia for mayor
* Friday night TV ad rating
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Proft responds to HRO
* Quinn, Rauner head downstate
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - HRO responds to Proft
* Emptying out my in-box
* Vast Majority of Illinois Voters Support Renewable Energy, Energy Efficiency
* Inducement or just a party?
* Question of the day
* UPDATE: $580 MILLION EXELON RATE HIKE?? Do They Really Need a Bailout After Making Nearly $1 BILLION In The Last 90 Days?
* Very late Rauner oppo
* *** UPDATED x2 *** And speaking of abortion...
* GOP defends Rauner on "employer-provided birth control"
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Friday morning fundraising report
* It's not anything new, but that doesn't make it Kosher
* Polling averages, models, projections, etc.
* Today's number: $3.5 million
* Rauner makes "Top 10" robocall list
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Cable TV buy report and a spending update
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Minuum iOS update picks up new languages, advanced settings (Giveaway)
        * A final word from Taylor Martin
        * Battleheart Legacy signals Mika Mobile’s return to Android
        * AT&T and Verizon Boost Monthly Wireless Data in Ongoing Competition
        * Smash Champs lets you become a legendary trainer
        * Poynt pad tries to be all-in-one payment system for business
        * Truedialer app helps you manage contacts and calls

        * Trent Reznor Working On Secret Music Project At Apple
        * Apple Could Face Trademark Battle In India Over “iFon”
        * Samsung Announces Assassin’s Creed Unity Bundle With Their Products
        * This week in bitcoin: FinCEN guidelines label exchanges, payments processors as money transmitters
        * Orange HTC RE Camera Reportedly Delayed
        * Roku Now Able To Play Content From Google Play
        * BBM Updated With Timed Messages And Message Retraction

        * White Sox opt to decline Paulino's '15 option
        * White Sox have flexibility to pursue multiple upgrades
        * White Sox offseason plan roundup: Third base
        * Minnie Miñoso belongs in the Hall of Fame
        * Development of young core in '15 can define Chicago's future
        * Abreu leads White Sox GIBBY hopefuls with five noms
        * Allen, Wills among new faces on Hall's Golden Era ballot


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Quinn, Rahm thank Safe Passage workers..
        * Diana Rauner talks about candidacy of husband B.....
        * Quinn, Rauner talk jobs, early voting Friday..
        * Illinois Governor candidates Quinn, Rauner on t.....
        * Illinois Dems dig deep to keep governor's office..
        * State gives $2.5M grant for new Geneseo pool..
        * As punctuality plummets, Amtrak confronts freig.....
        * BC-IL--Illinois News Digest 6 pm, IL..


        * Creator of Operation couldn't afford own operation
        * Union backs county commissioner for Chicago mayor
        * Lake Michigan waves slam Chicago lakeshore
        * Judge won't close hearing in Islamic State case
        * Lake Michigan waves slam Chicago lakeshore
        * Wallenda ready for windy Chicago tightrope walks
        * Woman charged with defrauding Illinois couple
        * Quinn, Rauner talk jobs, early voting Friday
        * Judge won't close hearing in Islamic State case
        * Cook County Jail guard faces theft charge

        * Former Gov. Edgar to campaign with Rauner
        * Attorney general seeks clarifications from Topinka’s former nonprofit
        * Inmate freed from Jacksonville prison in landmark Illinois case
        * Cross opposes income tax hike extension
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take back seat in governor’s race
        * Madigan’s office seeks clarifications from former Topinka nonprofit
        * Cross says no to income tax hike extension, sales tax on services
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take backseat in governor’s race
        * Illinois inmate freed in landmark capital punishment case
        * Rauner says women will decide governor's race

        * SEC examines Caterpillar's accounting for Bucyrus
        * Cubs hire Maddon as manager, fire Renteria
        * A stormy Lake Michigan swamps Lake Shore Drive – and sinks Chicago's mood
        * A stormy Lake Michigan swamps Lake Shore Drive — and sinks Chicago's mood
        * Chicago Marathon champion fails doping test, agent says


        * Garcia: I'm a serious mayoral candidate, not just a protest vote
        * A higher standard of criminal justice
        * Ex-Northwestern doctor to pay $475K to settle fraud claims
        * Sad day  when  Catholic  schools  close
        * Chicago bead merchant Ronnie Klein, whose Loop business drew stars, dead at 65
        * Chicago bead merchant Ronnie Klein, whose Loop business drew stars, dead at 65
        * Durbin, Oberweis square off for final time
        * State’s attorney investigating alderman’s prize offer to voters
        * Face it: Animator has found a great way to pass time on his commute
        * Refund those unfair yellow-light tickets


        * Trial to begin for Darien man charged in 2012 killing
        * Karen Lewis endorses Garcia for mayor in new video
        * Federal judge refuses government request to close terrorism hearing
        * Emanuel's top attorney: Watchdog had no right to sue
        * Cops release photos in robbery and attack of police sergeant
        * Cops warn of armed robberies at South Side businesses
        * Mom, 3 kids killed in crash heading to Halloween parade
        * Doctor in indecency case can open door to trick-or-treaters
        * Widow of officer killed in crash speaks out for first time
        * Snow showers, temperatures in 30s for Halloween night


        * Scary Story: St. Michael And Mr. Pyles By H.W. Devlin
        * Dodging DUIs: Secretary of State Candidates Faceoff
        * Cook County posting indigent burials in 'virtual cemetery'
        * Whom do you trust when it comes to nutrition advice?
        * Zombie barge sinking in storm at Navy Pier
        * The digital afterlife
        * Making Buildings Healthier From The Inside Out
        * Scary Story: Planes By Ted Morrissey
        * Listen to State Week - October 31, 2014
        * "Monster Mash" Celebrates Halloween With Classical Music


        * Former Gov. Edgar to campaign with Rauner
        * Esther Cepeda: Elizabeth Pena: Trailblazer on the big screen
        * Andy Shaw: Voter turnout instrumental to reform
        * Ty Fahner: What if the Court rejects pension reform?
        * Attorney general seeks clarifications from Topinka’s former nonprofit
        * Quote of the Day: Friday, Oct. 31
        * Inmate freed from Jacksonville prison in landmark Illinois case
        * Cross opposes income tax hike extension
        * Gay marriage, abortion issues take back seat in governor’s race
        * Illinois inmate freed in landmark capital punishment case


        * High school football playoff scoreboard, Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2014
        * Unchained
        * No permanent damage from sprinklers at Bottenfield
        * Two sentenced for role in home invasion
        * Cedarhurst Center for the Arts features comic strip art
        * Clinton firefighters put new fire boat through its paces
        * Politics Notebook: Quinn makes stop at SIUE
        * Quinn makes stop at SIUE
        * School: DCFS also investigating East St. Louis teacher allegation
        * UI ag complex gets boost from state funding


        * Union leader backs county commissioner for Chicago mayor
        * Group makes last push for Butterfield tax request
        * Democrats dig deep to keep governor's office
        * Edgar to campaign with Rauner
        * Waves slam Chicago lakeshore

        * Patrick Cannon defense strategy rare but n...
        * Feds fine Jesse Jackson Jr.'s campaign com...
        * Ex-Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr. faces sen...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...

        * Oberweis gearing up to take on Durbin in m......
        * Jeanne Shaheen says Scott Brown voted to r......
        * Jeanne Shaheen says Scott Brown voted to r......
        * Jeanne Shaheen says Scott Brown voted to r......
        * Jeanne Shaheen says Scott Brown voted to r......

        * Sen. Mark Kirk questioned by Triton students...
        * If Republicans Take Senate, Why It Won’t Last...

        * Halloween parties in the neighborhood.
        * BPN Safe Trick-or-Treating Cancelled
        * Reminder: Methadone Clinic protest Saturday at 10:30am
        * BPN Safe Trick-or-Treating Still On
        * Rahm and Sun-Times editor Jim Kirk.
        * Mark Anderson: Chicago progressives have an embarrassment of riches.
        * You think the Hinsdale board was crappy to teachers? Look at what they are doing to plow over the support staff.
        * The Chicago Transit Authority and Rahm’s water carriers at the Sun-Times.
        * The court issues an injunction against the Philadelphia Schools Commission.
        * Garcia Says Chicago Mayoral Run 'Is Not A Protest Candidacy'


        * Editorial: Governors, raining taxpayer $ on Illinois
        * Governor Quinn and Mayor Emanuel Thank New Safe Passage Workers - Nearly 700 Additional Workers Hired This Year to Serve 133 Schools, 69,000 Students Across the City
        * Editorial: Rauner best choice as governor to begin to reverse Illinois’ fortunes
        * Quinn to celebrate Rauner’s UI Labs accomplishment
        * Another Democrat Runs Away From Pat Quinn




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller