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* Fox 32…
* The headline has since been changed, but not the story…
A voter opinion survey done for Republican Darren Bailey’s campaign shows Gov. JB Pritzker with a lead. But it’s closer than the landslide, 16 percentage points, Democrat Pritzker won by four years ago. […]
A survey done Sept. 8-10 for the current Republican nominee found Pritzker at 44%, Bailey 37% and libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.
Some might question the results since, before asking 500 likely voters which candidate for governor they prefer, the poll asked:
“…would you rather vote for a strongly conservative Republican candidate that will take the fight to the rich elite and tackle the big issues like fixing our economy and fighting crime or would you vote for a billionaire Democratic candidate who will focus on fighting the cultural issues like abortion rights?”
Some?
Also, the “boutique data and research agency” asked nine questions before getting to the head-to-heads.
Kinda reminds me of the Jesse Sullivan “surge” that never happened but that a handful of reporters somehow fell for.
posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:43 am
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They asked that question and then Pritzker still polls ahead of Darren Bailey? Bailey has serious problems then.
Comment by Demoralized Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:48 am
None of Fox’s news-adjacent entities feels any duty to reflect reality for its consumers. That’s not the product their viewers want anyway.
Comment by Larry Bowa Jr. Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:50 am
Wow, what awful push polling. Did they ask the 44% that said JB if they were sure afterward?
Comment by Ron Burgundy Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:50 am
Fox News: “Do you want to vote for a God-fearing Christian man of God (Jesus, obviously. Not one of those gross ones) or a demonic baby eater who will kill your grandparents?”
Also Fox News: “We’re fair and balanced, why don’t people believe us?”
Comment by Commissar Gritty Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:53 am
So, as a reader or consumer of this poll I’m suppose to take these “facts” (yeah, I typed “facts”, bear with me) when looking at the race;
=== A survey done Sept. 8-10 for the current Republican nominee found Pritzker at 44%, Bailey 37% and libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.===
And… this too;
=== It found 29% of voters have a favorable view of Bailey, 39% unfavorable. The numbers for Pritzker: 48% favorable; 45% unfavorable.===
So, I’m suppose to believe a race is within 7 points, with Pritzker *above* water, Bailey *under* water, and it’s “tight”?
Huh?
They can’t even look their “facts” and see a trend, if it’s an honest look.
Geez, Louise.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:58 am
Is the libertarian even gonna be on the ballot?
Comment by Arsenal Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:58 am
Over half of the respondents were over age 55, 71 percent are white, 71 percent have no minor children in the household, 71 percent are not in a union… and it still shows Bailey getting beat. Good luck.
Comment by Vote Quimby Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 9:59 am
I enjoy that they call abortion rights a “cultural issue”
Comment by Timzilla Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:06 am
And the funny part are the so-called “Christians” like Darren “these people” Bailey who push the “culture war”. Nothing says small government like who you can marry or if you can have children or not.
Comment by Jerry Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:08 am
No Doubt JB will win and Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out
Comment by Sue Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:15 am
Has Fox 32 never heard of a push poll?
Comment by Incandenza Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:15 am
-libertarian Scott Schluter 8%.-
If you believe Scott Schluter is polling at 8% , in Illinois, you need to put down the crack pipe.
Comment by Steve Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:16 am
Is this a “purge” surge?
Comment by Dance Band on the Titanic Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:17 am
@Sue
If the majority of people believed what you say then don’t you think JB would lose? Maybe people don’t share your outlook on life? Ever think of that. Don’t whine because you can’t get what you want.
Comment by Demoralized Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:19 am
=== Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out===
What are the lottery numbers?
If you truly believe this drivel, how can you in good conscience stay in or do business in Illinois?
Sincerely.
All I hear is that “Folks are prisoners to Democrat party bad, it hurts Illinois”
Here your driveby is a ridiculous Nostradamus prediction, that if you believe it’s true, why on earth would you subject yourself or business interests to such “badness”?
This poll, as bad or silly as it is, has Pritzker above water and the known quantity of Bailey under water.
Is the poll right about it being “close” AND right that Bailey is unliked at a large clip… while “keeping it close”?
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:20 am
Sue, is that why college graduates are leaving our neighboring states and moving to Illinois
Comment by Very old soil Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:22 am
Have to note that the Political Editor who put that story out has been covering Illinois politics for at least 40 years. He knows better.
The best you can say about his motivation is that it was just to generate clicks and controversy; the worst is that it was an in-kind political contribution in keeping with the political aims of the parent company’s owners.
Comment by Moe Berg Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:31 am
=== If you truly believe this drivel, how can you in good conscience stay in or do business in Illinois?===
Seems like a good question for Prof(i)t.
Come to think of it, you don’t have to ask Dan, as the answer is in his (modified) name.
Comment by Chris Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:46 am
“Do better, Fox” is something that could be said on an hourly or at least daily basis.
Comment by Baloneymous Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:47 am
== a strongly conservative Republican candidate that will take the fight to the rich elite and tackle the big issues like fixing our economy==
I’m 40 years old. “strongly conservative Republican candidates” have spent the entirety of my life doing the opposite of those things.
Poll might as well ask if I would like a glass of ice cold magma.
Comment by Homebody Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 10:51 am
==Kinda reminds me of the Jesse Sullivan “surge” that never happened but that a handful of reporters somehow fell for.==
A depressingly high number of political reporters do not report on politics to inform the general public. They do it to be super into politics and impress other people who are also super into politics. They’re Trekkies and getting to write on campaign surges that might happen is like writing your own fan script and hoping it gets picked up.
Comment by Nuke The Whales Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:08 am
Mike Flannery, really dude? OMG, this “poll” is so so bad. You don’t need to know much to realize when the libertarian nobody has ever heard of is at 8%, it’s time to put it down and move on. What a waste of 1s and 0s.
Comment by Chicago Cynic Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:17 am
Forget a thumb, the polling agency Bailey’s campaign contracted pounded both fists on the scale and still couldn’t forge a good outcome from it.
Comment by Roadrager Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:37 am
“libertarian Scott Schluter 8%”
Into the garbage it goes.
Comment by Correcting Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:42 am
“A new voter opinion survey shows that ‘this guy who’s really awesome’ trails ‘that guy who really sucks’ by less than a landslide.”
That’s some mighty fine journalisming, Fox32.
Mighty fine.
– MrJM
Comment by MisterJayEm Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 11:48 am
They tilted that playing field so hard to Bailey and they can’t even get him into striking distance. The best they can do is getting him into striking distance of being within striking distance.
Comment by Benjamin Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 12:10 pm
=No Doubt JB will win and Illinois will continue to lag it’s neighbors in economic opportunity all while crime will escalate and the State will lose out=
I guess Google didn’t get the memo on hopelessly lost this state is or why young people are clamoring to live in state like Indiana where women’s rights don’t mean much.
Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 12:13 pm
Saying the PAC ad was the Bailey ad may have been journalistic oversight, but in a way it’s true.
Comment by ste_with a v_en Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 1:06 pm
Photo of Bailey shows he at least knows a good joke like this poll when he sees one . . .
Comment by Flapdoodle Tuesday, Sep 20, 22 @ 2:35 pm