Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Braun campaign was in serious denial
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Braun campaign was in serious denial

Friday, Mar 4, 2011

* Right up to the end, the cheerleaders in Carol Moseley Braun’s campaign were predicting she’d run up huge numbers in the black wards and among women. This is from a memo sent by the campaign to supporters on February 3rd

Never has credible African-American received less than 75 percent of African-American vote.

Never has lone credible woman candidate lost woman vote in multi candidate race with three credible male candidates.

The problem, of course, was that she wasn’t a “credible” black or female candidate.

As late as the Thursday before election day, Braun adviser David Schaffer was still predicting Braun would score at least 60 percent among black voters. That’s some serious denial.

* Also, Braun campaign manager Mike Noonan has apparently decided to protect his reputation by going public

Mike Noonan, Ms. Braun’s campaign manager, said the candidate and aides like Mr. Schaffer changed campaign strategy on the assumption that Ms. Braun was guaranteed the support of blacks when black leaders chose her as the community’s consensus candidate.

“It was a terrible mistake,” Mr. Noonan said this week. “The thinking was: ‘Why waste our time with African-American voters? They have no other place to go.’.” […]

Soon after that [nominating petition-gathering] success, Mr. Noonan said, he clashed with her. “We had fundamentally different views of how campaigns should be run,” he said, adding that Ms. Braun had made it impossible for him to schedule even the most basic campaign activities.

One e-mail shows that Ms. Braun canceled a meeting with an alderman on the eve of the event in December. “Nobody asked me about meeting with” the alderman, Ms. Braun wrote. “It can be rescheduled for another time that we clear.”

After a campaign loss like this, staff will almost always try to blame the candidate. In this instance, it’s almost entirely true. But going public is a bit on the gauche side.

* Meanwhile, if you want to see what can happen if you repeatedly fail to return a reporter’s calls, just read this story about Ald. Brendan Reilly’s involvement in the 46th Ward campaign

One of [Reilly’s] top lieutenants in ousting longtime 42nd Ward Alderman Burt Natarus four years ago, Dave Clarkin, is likely to take over as manager of Ms. Phelan’s runoff campaign, she says. And there are lots of other rumors about precinct help Ms. Phelan is getting from Mr. Reilly — who, like Mr. Clarkin, once worked for Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan.

So, what’s up?

The answer appears to be that, just like Mr. Madigan, Mr. Reilly is trying to carve out a role for himself as an influence peddler in the new City Council, someone who has allies not just because of his beliefs but because of his wallet.

Mr. Reilly — who’s failed to return several phone calls on what he’s doing in other wards this season — certainly won’t be the first Chicago official to try to build a coalition. At the legislative level, Mr. Madigan long has been a master at doing so.

But I find it a bit odd that someone hailed as a big reformer, like Mr. Reilly, can be so quiet about his reasons in messing around in wards that are dramatically different than his.

It’s a classic pile-on. I’ve done versions of this myself with people who won’t call me back. There’s a penalty for not cooperating. Usually, though, I prefer to stick to simply berating them for their silence.

After Reilly finally called Hinz back, he explained that Molly Phelan supported his first aldermanic campaign and that Clarkin lives in the ward. Clarkin told me this week that he’s now hearing gunfire in his neighborhood during the day, when his wife takes their new baby outside, rather than just at night. That, he said, was a big motivation to get more involved in the runoff.

Also, the “influence peddler” accusation seems a bit much since Reilly was only apparently involved in two races. Madigan never confines himself to such minor power plays. These are the real players

Mayor-elect Rahm Emanuel called on a secretly funded political group Thursday to disclose the names of donors behind its efforts to elect a pro-business, pro-Emanuel City Council.

Emanuel’s request came in response to Thursday’s Tribune story about the group For A Better Chicago. In turn, the group’s leader said future donations to council candidates will be transparent, and one alderman said she would return the group’s money.

Emanuel reiterated that his campaign is “totally independent” from the group that is aligned with his interests. But the group, run by a Chicago political consultant who managed Emanuel’s successful 2002 bid for Congress, shouldn’t use a “quirk in the law” to avoid revealing its donors, Emanuel said. […]

The Tribune reported that of the 14 runoff races for aldermen, For A Better Chicago has endorsed eight candidates. Seven of those eight candidates told the Tribune that Emanuel offered his support to them after his Feb. 22 election victory. The paper reported Thursday that none of the candidates in the other runoff races had received offers of support from Emanuel.

Emanuel dodged questions about why he has only offered help to runoff candidates who also are being backed by For A Better Chicago.

* Related…

* Emanuel Wading Into City Council Runoffs

* What Does the For a Better Chicago PAC Want From Rahm Emanuel, Aldermen, and Us?: You can take a look at their endorsements. I added up how many times their 34 endorsements intersected with the endorsements of others, and it went like this: Sun-Times (29 out of the Sun-Times’s 43 endorsements), Tribune (26 out of 44), Chicago Federation of Labor (26 out of 38), Chamber of Commerce (23 out of 34), AFSCME (21 out of 29), Citizen Action (16 out of 25), SEIU (15 out of 29), IVI-IPO (11 out of 26), Chicago Teachers’ Union (10 out of 25).

* Rahm Emanuel likes Wilco, Lucinda Williams and idea of music district

* Rahm’s return to White House

* Rahm Emanuel wants top cop and schools chief in place by his inauguration May 16

* What is Emanuel thinking? Dropout solution is ridiculed: “Students who drop out of school should face consequences that force them to reconsider their action. Rahm will push for a law that immediately revokes the driver’s license of any student who drops out of high school.”

* Brown: Are police more unhappy than others?

* Emanuel Applauds 5 New Chicago Grocery Stores in Food Deserts

* Chicago’s Zipcar deal expected to save city $400,000

* Mayor-elect Rahm Emanuel pledges to make Chicago a clean energy nucleus

* Together, we’re strong, Daley tells suburbs - In Wheaton, mayor talks about city, suburbs working together

* The Pawar Win: Against All Odds

* Daley: U.S. a ‘country of whiners’

- Posted by Rich Miller        

19 Comments
  1. - Jasper - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 6:30 am:

    Lost a lot of respect for Hinz with that one. Anybody who bashes Reilly and includes positive quotes from Fioretti is out of their mind. Those two are as different as they possibly can be. Hinz takes routine (Reilly backs people he likes) and makes it seem evil. Either Hinz is helplessly out of touch or he’s got an axe that needs to be ground.


  2. - Quinn T. Sential - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 6:55 am:

    After Reilly’s embarrassing defeat in the City Council over the McPlayland Museum invasion in the “forever free and clear” Grant Park, he thought that it might be helpful going forward if he had an ally or two in the City Council.


  3. - One to the Dome - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 7:29 am:

    I agree with Rich about Noonan going public. Granted CMB campaign was problematic and top heavy, but Noonan was also managing the campaign of Rich Bradley (HDO backed) in the race against Sen Iris Martinez…51:41 Martinez. just the facts…


  4. - Canned Yard - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 7:42 am:

    It’s one thing to make your bones running deep-pocketed campaigns (Franks and Lisa Madigan, come to mind) where the Speaker has an interest and volunteers just seem to appear out of nowhere. It’s another to read the tea leaves yourself and go all-in as Noonan and Reyes did with Braun. Being able to manage all that chaos is easy when the Speaker has your back. Not so much when the candidate can say, “Hey, I call the shots.”

    Interesting Reilly story. He and Clarkin know the downside of avoiding a reporter. Better off exiting Boss Bar and picking up the phone.


  5. - Belle - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 8:05 am:

    Dear Mayor Daley:
    You may be right that we tend to be a nation of whiners.
    One of the things that we love to whine about is being robbed by politicians. That may be a problem for you since you think you did everything for us…maybe we just cannot appreciate you? You wasted a lot of money the past couple of decades helping your buddies and family become wealthy with projects that were not always necessary or well executed not to mention all of the people who were hired that will now receive pensions for doing almost nothing.
    You were generally doing what you wanted to do not what was always the right thing. We are a bit upset but it was all our fault for trusting you.
    You, your family and your friends have plenty of money and many of these people have gotten away with some criminal acts.
    Please go to a foreign country and stay out of the news while we try to recuperate from the past two decades of this very dysfunctional relationship.


  6. - wordslinger - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 8:44 am:

    Hopefully, we’ll get to see who’s backing For a Better Chicago as Emanuel tries to put together 26.


  7. - Boone Logan Square - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 8:48 am:

    The Zipcar deal might be a useful model for public-private partnerships. Now if the city would contract for a sensible recycling contract that doesn’t simply give revenues away like the parking meter fiasco did, a long-term path to reducing debt is possible.


  8. - Robert - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 9:00 am:

    nothing wrong with helping a friend, I agree. I saw firsthand that Molly Phelan had an impressive/intimidating army of attorneys in the precincts on election day, challenging voters who weren’t eligible.


  9. - He Makes Ryan Look Like a Saint - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 9:02 am:

    The number one rule in a campaign is never assume anything. Thinking someone is going to vote for you just because they are the same race was a mistake, and insult to the voters. If you are a bad canidate as Ms Braun was people see it. Hopefully the black caucus in Chicago will see the is no longer relevant and now maybe she will go away.


  10. - Jasper - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 9:48 am:

    Hinz seems a bit obsessed with the topic. He wrote about it the next day too: http://www.chicagobusiness.com/section/blogs?blogID=greg-hinz&plckController=Blog&plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&uid=1daca073-2eab-468e-9f19-ec177090a35c&plckPostId=Blog:1daca073-2eab-468e-9f19-ec177090a35cPost:55f4dc86-351e-44ed-ae3c-5eb530f8ec72&plckScript=blogScript&plckElementId=blogDest


  11. - Wumpus - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 9:58 am:

    CMB is a true pioneer.
    Never has credible African-American received less than 75 percent of African-American vote.

    Our esteemed Black Leadership thought she was credible.

    This moment in Black History


  12. - Cheryl44 - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 10:01 am:

    Zipcar? I-Go is locally-owned and they have cars downtown also. It’s ridiculous to go with the company that’s corporate offices are elsewhere if they could deal with a local company.


  13. - John Parnell - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 10:23 am:

    Typically a campaign staffer blames the candidate for any loss, and basks in glory among his peers when a win occurs. But Noonan has always been given credit when it wasn’t due. While working for House members under Madigan he would create riffs with other candidates on the ballot. His “going public” is just a way to try to save his fanny. Why didn’t he just walk away if he knew he wasn’t listened to early in the campaign? He just stayed for the payday. It’s hard to believe that he voiced no objection to using Rod McCullough as Braun’s pollster, but Noonan didn’t say a thing and took his paycheck.


  14. - Excessively Rabid - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 10:25 am:

    Word for the day: credible.


  15. - Redbright - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 10:28 am:

    I interviewed both candidates in the 46th (for a group endorsement). Cappleman is running to be the social service alderman; Phelan is running for the business development alderman. Both are very capable people just with very different priorities.

    I don’t know about the 46th ward voters but outsiders are more like to prefer Phelan. She’s appears more energetic and has been promoting an Uptown Music District (which Rahm seems to like too).


  16. - A. Hack - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 10:40 am:

    Anyone who has watched Noonan’s career can’t be surprised that he’s publicly throwing his candidate under the bus before the body is even cold. While its true that most campaign staffers blame the candidate — its usually done privately among peers, not with the press.

    But Noonan has been a legendary and divisive self promoter since his earliest days with the Speaker. Anyone else remember the two page Sun-Times spread he had written about himself when he was managing the first Lisa Madigan campaign? It was jaw dropping.

    It was never a question of whether Noonan would go to the press to try to save his reputation at someone else’s expense, it was only a question of how long he would wait. The answer? Not very long.


  17. - Responsa - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 11:13 am:

    I love the idea of a live music district. It’d be a great draw for tourists, conventioners and locals alike. Do it, Do it!


  18. - The Captain - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 11:37 am:

    I used to believe in the monolithic black vote until I saw what it did for Howard Brookins. He only broke 50% in four wards: 6, 8, 21 and 34. Heck Larry Suffredin took over 20% in 4, 5, 7, 24 and 28, and Anita Alvarez took over 20% in 15, 16, 20 and 37.

    Regardless of what candidate you work for you have to be completely open to the possibility that you might lose and be willing to learn from the past to have any chance at putting together a winning strategy. Unless you’re just really lucky.


  19. - amalia - Friday, Mar 4, 11 @ 1:14 pm:

    Noonan managed Rich Bradley against Iris Martinez? and got that loss? knowing that back then would have made me lose the respect for Noonan I’m losing now over his public bashing of CMB. she’s a horror show, but do it in private Noonan. classless.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed until Sunday afternoon
* Pritzker attacks Rauner property tax freeze as "political stunt," outlines his own idea
* Et tu, Diana?
* *** UPDATED x1 *** Rauner claims SDems "caved" to Madigan, Cullerton's office responds
* Question of the day
* Bost pot, meet Bost kettle
* *** UPDATED x2 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - This just in...
* Another hostage goes down
* Firefighters endorse Pritzker
* Dueling press releases: Rauner vs. DGA
* New Rauner video uses TV talking heads to help make his points
* Some suburbs and college towns are shrinking, too
* Today's must-read
* Kennedy's "next phase"
* Pritzker borrows yet another move from Rauner playbook
* *** UPDATED x4 - Civic Committee: Work it out - Rauner: Madigan "intentionally misleading," SDems "caved" to Madigan on grand bargain*** Madigan lays out progress to Civic Committee, asks for help dealing with Rauner
* *** LIVE *** Session coverage
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* Rauner faces uncertain future in next election .....
* Illinois lawmakers pass workers' compensation m.....
* Armstrong: Volunteers for NCAA finals elevate R.....
* Speak Out - Chicago Tribune..
* Illinois lawmakers pass workers' compensation m.....


* EXCHANGE: Drug, mental health court grads get second chance
* EXCHANGE: Morton company helping driverless cars become real
* Program in Illinois that serves the poor gets $1.1 million
* Union official accused of defrauding Social Security
* Illinois lawmakers pass workers' compensation measures
* DCFS releases report that examined dead toddler's case file
* Illinois men accused of sexually assaulting New Mexico girl
* $5 million bond set for man charged in death of Peoria woman
* Woman rescued from Montana woods feared bears, ate lilies
* Prosecutor: Fatal shooting during traffic stop justified

* Senate approves workers' comp changes
* Push for downtown Springfield casino taking shape
* Push for Springfield casino taking shape
* Push for smaller Springfield casino taking shape
* Census: Springfield population drops below 2010 levels
* Census: Springfield-Sangamon Co. population drops below 2010 levels
* Senate panel questions state warehouse leasing process
* Senate committee questions the leasing process in which Illinois acquires warehouses
* Trump budget draws different Illinois reviews
* Bernard Schoenburg: Senate Democrats take action; situation still tense

* U of C extends Zimmer's tenure
* Why Rauner won't stop talking about a property tax freeze
* Forget supersonic. Hypersonic is the military's new speed.
* The surprise in Chicago's latest Census tally
* The season's daunting theater offerings got you stymied? 


* Man charged with DUI in 90 mph Riverside rollover crash
* Chicago tasted Indy glory through Billy Arnold, Pat Flaherty
* 3 children among 5 injured in Albany Park house fire
* Boy, 16, dies after Lowell crash
* Pelfrey pitches out of predicament, offense powers Sox over Tigers
* Georgia Nicols horoscopes for May 27, 2017
* CPD officers injured in crash in Park Manor
* River Forest stroke survivor on the comeback trail
* Airlines have rules about taking photos, video on planes
* Man wanted for attempted kidnapping in Albany Park


* All aboard: Joliet Rocket steamin' into town
* Cheap out: Five fun things to do for free
* Quigley says Russia probe is 'in its infancy'
* Chicago in epicenter of charter school teacher contract disputes
* Local veterans sought for Library of Congress oral history project
* Aurora to tear down house that had 81 police calls in year
* For this father and son, attending the Indy 500 isn't merely a getaway, it's a pilgrimage
* Disabato: Providence grad Sam Travis slams two hits in Boston Red Sox debut
* Jake Arrieta struggles as Cubs fall 4-0 to Dodgers
* Chicago police add hundreds of extra cops for Memorial Day weekend


» Senate Passes Workers' Compensation Bills — Most Republicans Reject It
» State Week: Tax Hike Getting Cold Shoulder
» Popular Music Store Finds New Home On Navy Pier
» For West Side Students, Playing Outside Is Protesting Against Gun Violence
» Offline And On Paper: Chicago Teens Make Zines In An Ephemeral World
» Judge Refuses To Dismiss Murder Case Against Chicago Cop Who Shot Laquan McDonald
» Chicago Firm Will Run $1 Billion Overhaul Of Union Station
» State Committee Approves Tougher Sentences For Repeat Gun Offenders
» Census Data: Chicago Lost 9,000 More Residents Last Year
» Does New Neighborhood Watch Reduce Crime Or Create Resident-Cops?


* Charles Krauthammer: Why Middle East peace starts in Saudi Arabia
* Illinois Policy Institute: Prosperity is possible for Illinois
* Senate approves workers' comp changes
* Thumbs Up: To Hope Learning Academy for opening an inclusive restaurant
* Illinois Chamber of Commerce: Seize the opportunity
* Push for downtown Springfield casino taking shape
* Push for Springfield casino taking shape
* No: Trumpcare would result in less service, bigger bills
* Yes: Replacement would afford women better options, lower costs
* Push for smaller Springfield casino taking shape


* Photo: Graduation — Winchester
* Virginia class of 2017 small, but diverse
* Photo: Graduation — Triopia
* Photo: Graduation — Franklin
* Photo: Graduation — Westfair Christian Academy
* Janet Kirby
* Police Beat
* JHS valedictorian encourages classmates to keep their passion
* Extension offers tips for pruning
* Illinois Lottery


* Afghan official says 18 killed in suicide car bomb attack
* Girls are increasingly being married off in war-torn Yemen
* Boys volleyball scoreboard: Friday, May 26, results
* S. Korea responds to reported vessel hijacking off Somalia
* Melania Trump's pricey jacket draws attention in Sicily

* Teacher raised in Yorkville running agains...
* Protesters continue die-in at US Rep. Rand...
* PHOTOS: Protesters stage die-in at Randy H...
* Jim Walz Will Challenge Randy Hultgren for...
* US Rep. Randy Hultgren's office the scene ...
* Second Democrat announces bid to unseat Hu...
* Sweet: Hultgren, Roskam, Kinzinger avoid b...
* Local Republicans, Democrats praise appoin...
* House GOP takes first steps to undo financ...
* 40 Congressmen Write Letter Advocating for...

* Trumpcare Would Worsen Opioid Crisis in Du......
* Trumpcare Would Worsen Opioid Crisis in Du......
* Program in Illinois that serves the poor g......

* Program in Illinois that serves the poor g......

* News media too trivial to be liberal; the reminisces of a reporter-type person
* Free Guided Sidewalk Tours Of George Maher Mansions on Hutchinson On Saturday, June 3
* Klein's Bakery To Open Saturday Morning In Buena Park
* The Walgreen's on 95th & King Drive is closing
* Provisions Uptown To Hold Soft Opening Next To Uptown Theater on Tuesday Morning
* Kiss Kiss Cabaret, Special Pricing This Holiday Weekend
* “The Driver’s Side” – News From The Motorist’s Perspective
* Learn how to protect your business from cybercrime at IDFPR conference
* Illinois REALTORS® headquarters closed Monday for Memorial Day
* Governmental Affairs team watching out for REALTORS® during holiday weekend


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* OnePlus 5 spec claims, Galaxy S8 Iris scanner update & more – Pocketnow Daily
* Ever bought a OnePlus phone? Refer your peeps, share the benefits
* Wireless industry veteran is out as Tidal CEO
* Essential teases a unique, mysterious image of upcoming smartphone
* Best Buy has a pretty good iPad and Surface sale for Memorial Day
* Nova Launcher takes on Android O notification dots
* Siri Bug Allows Cellular Data to be Disabled From Lock Screen Without a Passcode

* Abreu captures some of his rookie-year magic
* Melky's 3-run shot caps Sox win over Tigers
* Melky's 3-run shot caps Sox win over Tigers
* Holland gets ball to open twin bill vs. Tigers
* Giolito's no-no provides big confidence boost
* Oblique injury forces Covey to DL
* Pelfrey to face Tigers to open set


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller