More from that Fox/AP analysis
Thursday, Nov 8, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Let’s return to the Fox News/AP Illinois election analysis. Here are most of the responses which had at least 779 respondents (some were much lower)…
* Trump job approval
* Direction of the country
Right direction 34%
Wrong direction 66%
* Impact of Trump admin’s trade policies on national economy
Help 32%
Hurt 55%
No difference 12%
* Impact of Trump admin’s trade policies on local economy
Help 26%
Hurt 48%
No difference 26%
* Views of the Affordable Care Act
Repeal the law entirely 17%
Repeal parts of the law 25%
Leave the law as is 17%
Expand the law 41%
* Immigration policy - immigrants living in the U.S. illegally
Offered a chance to apply for legal status 68%
Deported to the country they came from 31%
* Do you think the way Democrats talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?
Yes, it is 42%
No, it is not 57%
* Do you think the way Republican talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?
Yes, it is 62%
No, it is not 38%
* Do you think the way Democrats/Republicans talk about politics these days is leading to an increase in acts of violence, or don’t you think so?
Yes, both 20%
Democrats but not Republicans 23%
Republicans but not Democrats 42%
No, neither 16%
Discuss.
- hisgirlfriday - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 12:53 pm:
This tells me Republicans are gonna have a really hard time in this state as long as Trump looms over everything.
The question is how long the stench lasts.
Is this a blip or was Rauner simply the Schwarzenegger fluke in the IL GOP’s version of the Cali GOP death spiral?
- anon2 - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:04 pm:
The blue wave in the suburbs means a long spell in the desert for the GOP. No party can lose both the City and the ‘burbs and win.
- VanillaMan - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:10 pm:
LOL
In Texas, Mr. Spock is clean shaven, and in Illinois, he has a goatee.
Beam me up Scottie, there’s no future here.
- Not quite silent majority - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:10 pm:
When the GOP (Rauner leading the charge) went full on Proft it signaled their death in the burbs. The far right and the far left don’t stand a chance in suburbia. If you think Pritzker’s stands are too far left, you might check your own compass
- Perrid - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:12 pm:
Not too much surprising me of these that you posted Rich, not in a blue state like IL. The “Sex, party with leaners” table was interesting. Rauner got more Republican/Independent women than Men. Shows what I know, because I expected men to be more conservative.
Also, in the “Ideology” table, a bigger percentage of Very Liberal voters voted for Rauner than Somewhat Liberal (21% vs 11%), which I don’t understand at all.
Pritzker got the Catholic and Other Christian vote, which surprises me. I would have flipped Catholic and Protestant. I don’t really get how you vote for JB if you’re mad at Rauner over HB40 or lying to the Cardinal, but OK.
- Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:16 pm:
===if you’re mad at Rauner over HB40 or lying to the Cardinal====
The signing of HB40 was bad enough, but lying before you do it… that coulda made a big difference to vote JB to retire Rauner for good.
Some said… a Dem would’ve signed it too…
… but would they have lied to a Cardinal before doing it?
Dunno. But Rauner did.
- El Conquistador - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:21 pm:
I’m left with the question “how do any GOPers get elected?”
- AlfondoGonz - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:32 pm:
The Democratic party has taken a step back since the Obama’s provided such a shining example of how to focus on ideas and lead in a inclusive way that is always dignified.
The Democratic party would have to take a few dozen more steps back to catch down to the current GOP, whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs”
- Skeptic - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:44 pm:
“whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs” You forgot “Blame Madigan” and fearmongering.
- Anonymous - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 1:51 pm:
apparently Fox news is now credible for Cap Fax readers
- Perrid - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:04 pm:
@anonymous, Rich posted the methodology link, and it seems legit to me. Also said that Fox did it with the AP.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-voter-analysis-full-methodology-statement
- Lucky Pierre - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:12 pm:
That is sarcasm Perrid
if it the poll went the other way it would be discredited here
- Archpundit - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 2:19 pm:
===apparently Fox news is now credible for Cap Fax readers
Fox polling operation is well done. It has a small house effect which you can read about on 538, but nothing out of the ordinary.
- LakeCo - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 3:42 pm:
==whose platform seems to have become “tax cuts for rich and trigger libs”==
You also forgot “be afraid of brown people” and “win at any cost.”
- Demoralized - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 4:40 pm:
==if it the poll went the other way it would be discredited here==
Yay. Still playing the victim. Exactly how much longer is that going to last now that the election is over?
- Oswego Willy - Thursday, Nov 8, 18 @ 4:44 pm:
“Lucky Pierre”
When does the new programming kick in?
Raunerism got walloped on Tuesday.
It was in all the papers.
If you’re not going to help now, when will you?