Campaign notebook
Tuesday, Jul 12, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
* This is legal, but the Chicago FOP president is still gonna have to explain to his members why he spent their cash to help a losing candidate pay back a loan to herself after the election…
Jones was clobbered by Sen. Rob Martwick (D-Chicago).
* WMBD…
Bailey made national headlines after his comment on the Highland Park mass shooting that left seven dead. Bailey said, “let’s move on and celebrate the independence of this nation”. He later apologized for his comments.
“No, I apologized for that and as a matter of fact that was taken out of context,” said Bailey
Then why apologize?
* Really old news…
THIS RACE IS GETTING WEIRD: Democrat Alexi Giannoulias and Republican Dan Brady may face another opponent on the ballot for secretary of state. His name is (drum roll) Jesse White, a Libertarian, who shouldn’t be confused with Democrat Jesse White, who has held the job for 20-plus years.
We discussed a State Journal-Register story about the Jesse White development way back in January.
* Tom Kacich…
Democrat Paul Lange, running for Congress in a district that gave Donald Trump 72 percent of the vote in 2020, knows he’s something less than a longshot against incumbent U.S. Rep. Mary Miller, R-Oakland, who bulldozed another incumbent Republican two weeks ago.
“I think I have a chance,” said the Quincy man who last ran for public office (and lost) as a candidate for state representative in 1994 and 1996. “Is it a large chance? No. But you know, I grew up a fan of the Baltimore Colts and the Baltimore Orioles.” […]
Lange said he isn’t relying on state or national Democratic committees to support his campaign.
He’s not “relying” on them because they’re not going to give him any money. Donald Trump won the district by 38.6 percentage points in 2020 and 38.1 percent in 2016. Bruce Rauner won it by 26 percent. The only statewide Democrat to eke out a victory was Jesse White (the real one, not the Libertarian). JW won by 3.2 percentage points in 2018. All of this reliable data is easily accessible online.
* This is the most Dan Lipinski thing ever. Gin up lots of favorable news media coverage, allow volunteers to collect thousands of signatures and oops…
Sure Dan…
Lipinski said the law didn’t play into his decision not to run. “I was told a challenge would very likely prevail,” he told Playbook. “And challenging the law would demonstrate how the system is rigged by the two parties against independents.”
* You really can fool some of the people all of the time with nonsense…
* Related…
* Major fundraising underdogs among challengers to unseat incumbents: “You know, I don’t want to say, well, Madigan would have won it and Welch didn’t sort of thing,” Redfield said. “Because you can’t ever go back. Madigan, a couple of cycles ago, you’d be shocked.”
- New Day - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:38 am:
OMG, that Peggy Hubbard stuff is wild. Click on it and read some of the comments from crazy town. Wow. My favorite? “Keep digging. I’ll bet Illinois really went for Trump.” Uh huh. Right.
- Amalia - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:40 am:
FOP tactics mindblowingly infuriating. also infuriating, selling Jones to the public as some sort of pro choice candidate. rubbish.
- SaulGoodman - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:41 am:
I love the “my map and the 2020 map are similar.”
Weird, that voters haven’t moved.
- Ron Burgundy - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:42 am:
-Lipinski said the law didn’t play into his decision not to run. “I was told a challenge would very likely prevail,”-
Sure, AFTER you were told that you were toast and could have avoided the whole mess by simply not voting in the Democratic primary. A simple “I screwed up” is the correct answer.
- The Way I See It - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:49 am:
Wonder who Lipinski voted for in the D primary last month.
- JoanP - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:52 am:
Peggy Hubbard needs a reality check and a proofreader
- A guy - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:54 am:
Censure*
- Hannibal Lecter - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:56 am:
=== Wonder who Lipinski voted for in the D primary last month ===
Probably wrote himself in.
- Annonin' - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:56 am:
Speakin’ of campaign finacnce scams we noticed noted “reformer” Jim Nowlan quit ‘Riffie’s committee to remake the IL Supreme Court in May and then it became an indy expenditure posse and then a bunch, via out of state vendors, to “support” Steve Kim. A added chapter to the ‘Riffie debacle.
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:56 am:
Mary Miller won the race that mattered.
I would t hold my breath for Dem cash in that race to take Miller on.
Hubbard might be one of those conspiracy theorists that Chairman Tracy refused to welcome k to the party, but when Chairman Tracy made it clear that Hubbard is welcome… that’s the ILGOP
- Oswego Willy - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 10:58 am:
Bailey wants to move in from saying that the tragedy in Highland Park is something we ALL need to move in from… so it’s no shocker that Bailey can’t even clean up what he said, he wants to move on from moving on.
Vote accordingly
- JS Mill - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:03 am:
=“No, I apologized for that and as a matter of fact that was taken out of context,”=
I guess the video Bailey released was doctored by him? because he said what he said in full context.
- TheInvisibleMan - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:09 am:
Yikes. That Hubbard thread is the epitome of “Eternal September” on the internet.
- cover - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:12 am:
= Probably wrote himself in. =
THAT would be the most Lipinski thing ever.
- Friendly Bob Adams - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:19 am:
“Taken out of context” is pretty funny in the era of ubiquous video recording. But hey, you can’t blame a guy for trying.
- Socially DIstant Watcher - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:20 am:
=== Probably wrote himself in. =
THAT would be the most Lipinski thing ever. ==
Did he file to run as a write in? If not, and he voted D just to write himself in anyway, that would be the most Lipinski thing ever.
- Just Sayin - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:25 am:
==Turns out, Lipinski couldn’t run as an independent anyway because he said he took a Democratic primary ballot last month==
Who are others who might join Dan’s “independents” movement? Dunkin, Franks and Drury sound like good candidates for that movement to me. Maybe David Gill too, and Springfield alderman Joe McMenamin.
- MZ - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:34 am:
As someone who’s voted Republican since the 2010 midterm elections when I was finally old enough to vote I honestly want to tell Paul Lange to hang in there. I’m really thankful for his longshot campaign against Mary Miller. I’m not sure if there are enough of us sick of the far right direction of the Republican party but I know there’s a good chunk willing to vote for Democrats over these far right nuts.
- Big Dipper - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:49 am:
It’s always: 1) I didn’t say that; or 2) it was taken out of context; or 3) that’s not what I meant. Just own who you are.
- Just Sayin - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:50 am:
==As someone who’s voted Republican since the 2010 midterm elections when I was finally old enough to vote I honestly want to tell Paul Lange to hang in there.==
How much longer before the Miller campaign plays the “Madigan” card–actually the Mike McClain card? And tries to find whether Lange had ties to McClain and thus ComEd.
- Big Dipper - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:51 am:
Or if you’re Irvin, 4) I don’t remember saying that.
- Montrose - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:53 am:
“we have uncovered information” - You mean you looked at campaign donation disclosure information? She writes like these are bunch of transaction that happened on the dark web.
- Lurker - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:55 am:
This is still one of the best lies of the year (and that is saying a lot):
“Total coincidence,” said Steve Suess, the chair of the Libertarian Party of Illinois
- PublicServant - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 11:58 am:
Catanzara gives Peggy Hubbard a run for the money when it comes to Trump-like campaign financing tactics.
- Nagidam - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 12:40 pm:
That Peggy Hubbard is something. A simple google search of Mary Salvi will dispel the Salvi family as anti-Trumpers.
- Independent - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 12:42 pm:
Hubbard’s reference to “Peter Roscum”, wanting to “censor”, not censure, Kinzinger, plus the oddly placed commas are sadly par for the course for many unhinged red hats. I will give her points for a lack of exclamation points and Caps Lock key. It still reads like a ransom note written by a kindergartner.
- cal skinner - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 1:10 pm:
Could Hubbard be referring to former Congressman Peter Roskam?
- Illinois - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 1:14 pm:
I hear the Illinois Democratic County Chairs event in Chicago last night focused on their top priorities - but no one heard a word about one of the Democrat’s top national congressional priorities — the 17th CD.
Amazing.
- G'Kar - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 1:29 pm:
I know Miller will win, but I do hope against hope that a PAC will run as in her district show just how she is crazy.
- Vote Quimby - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 1:35 pm:
I couldn’t not look… from the comments on the Hubbard post. My favorite:
(Ives’) BREAKTHROUGH IDEAS is a psyop on conservatives. She backs RINOs and Globalists, such as Judge Daniel Shanes and other members of the Richard Irvin slate. She appears to have misappropriated $2.5M of Dick and Liz Uihlein’s money (U-line Corporation) to sabotage Darren Bailey, Peggy Hubbard, Tom DeVore, etc. But, the one they rigged the election against was Peggy Hubbard b/c they did not think she would fight back 😅😂🤣🥲
- SIUEalum - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 2:33 pm:
I’m convinced that Hubbard genuinely believes that the ILGOP ‘establishment’ backed Salvi because Hubbard is the only one who can beat Duckworth.
- hisgirlfriday - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 3:23 pm:
That FB comment that Jeanne Ives is running a psyops on the GOP base stuck with me too. What do you even do with people whose brains are so broken?
- Chris - Tuesday, Jul 12, 22 @ 4:08 pm:
Bailey knows he screwed up Bigly and now he’s making a bad story worse by talking about it and keeping it alive into week two. Maybe this massive gaffe impacted potential donors views on his viability and he just now figuring it out?