Some bold polling claims
Thursday, Sep 25, 2025 - Posted by Rich Miller
* This is a bold statement, considering Bean is only receiving support from 10 percent of voters in her own poll…
Former Congresswoman Melissa Bean is the clear front-runner in the Democratic primary election for Illinois’s 8th Congressional District.
* The results…
In a field of nine candidates where none is well known or has a base of support, Bean leads with 10% of the vote, followed by Junaid Ahmed at 8%, Kevin Morrison at 5%, Yasmeen Bankole at 3%, Dan Tully at 3%, and Neil Khot and other candidates at 1% each.
Um, Bean was in Congress and she’s only two points ahead of Junaid Ahmed in a poll with a margin of error of ±4.9 percent?
Like I said: bold.
* More…
She begins with a lead that only increases as voters get more engaged. […]
In a race this open, simulating later stages of the race, when voters have more information, is crucial to understanding where a race wants to go. In the IL-08 Democratic primary, it wants to break towards Melissa Bean.
When voters hear just the current job and the hometown of all nine candidates, Bean’s lead doubles to 20%.
Curious whether the poll said she is CEO of Mesirow Wealth Advisors. Also, home town? That’s a question?
* More…
Moreover, when we simulated communication for the five candidates in the race who have or will raise significant resources, Melissa Bean dominates. She gains another 11 points up to 31% and separates herself from the pack.
No disclosure about what that “simulated communication” was.
* Politico…
The survey also shows 68 percent of voters remain undecided, according to the polling memo obtained by Playbook.
Not saying at all that Bean won’t or can’t win. Just saying I got a chuckle out of reading these bold claims.
- John Lopez - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:05 pm:
Any polling using push-poll questions to draw a conclusion always suspect, especially one over a month old that’s made public right before September 30 fundraising deadline. Given Bean hadn’t entered the race when poll was taken in August remarkable she leads with 10 percent given she’s been out of Congress for 15 years and the 8th Congressional District nothing like it was geographically when Bean served.
Some nuggets suggest the other 9 Democratic candidates pushing extreme progressive platforms hurt them.
Since Bean entered the race, only Cook County Board Member Kevin Morrison has taken a public shot at her on social media. Like the U.S. Senate primary, IL-08 Democrats will turn nasty and the gloves will come off soon.
- anon2 - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:15 pm:
Bean has name ID, however, she may be a tad conservative for the 2026 Dem primary voters.
- System Reboot - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:16 pm:
At a time when old school Democratic politicians are underwater amongst us rank and file Democrats, Wall Street exec is NOT a selling point amongst Dem primary voters, AND she voted against compensation for 9/11 first responders…sure, let’s go with “front-runner”
- Rich Miller - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:25 pm:
===made public right before September 30 fundraising deadline===
I do not see how this raises her a thin dime for knowledgeable donors.
- NotRich - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:38 pm:
I won’t send a dime until she hits 12%
- Save Ferris - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 2:46 pm:
99% sure that Bean left Mesirow last year.
- Save Ferris - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 3:10 pm:
Bean left in late 2022. Earlier than I remembered.
https://citywire.com/ria/news/mesirow-appoints-wealth-management-ceo-eyes-ria-m-and-a-push/a2437741
- Candy Dogood - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 3:19 pm:
===Just saying I got a chuckle out of reading these bold claims.===
When you consider that Melissa Bean has run for congress 5 times and lost 2 of those 5 campaigns the bold claims are a little more discouraging. Perhaps she is aiming to make it an even 3 losses and 3 wins.
She has a lot of work to do and if they believe this hype that be her campaign’s undoing.
- BE - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 3:32 pm:
==simulated communication for the five candidates==
For a moment, my first thought was that they asked ChatGPT…
- LOL - Thursday, Sep 25, 25 @ 3:35 pm:
Whoever is doing comms for her opponents is going to have a field day with her record. There’s a reason politicians don’t always make comebacks 10 years later… some of those positions did not age well!