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* Polling memo…
In a recent survey of likely voters in next year’s Democratic primary in Illinois, Congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi now holds a 20-point lead over his closest opponent in the race for the nomination for U.S. Senate. Raja has expanded his advantage over Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton and Congresswoman Robin Kelly as he continues to introduce himself to voters across the state.
* Chart…
* More…
Raja’s advantage in this race is broad. He leads among men and women, across the ideological spectrum, and both inside and outside of the Chicago media market.
Among voters who have participated in the last three Democratic primary elections in Illinois, Raja leads by an even wider 47 – 20 percent margin over Stratton, with Kelly taking 12 percent of these voters.
* Methodology…
Results are taken from a survey of 800 likely voters in the March 2026 Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Illinois. Interviews were conducted by live dialers via telephone and through text-to-web responses between August 12-17, 2025. Results carry a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence interval.
Discuss.
posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 1:48 pm
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Contacted yesterday to participate in a poll, that started routinely than switched into a Raja smear via the questions. It then went on to smear Stratton, before it ended. It said things about both I doubt to be true. If that is the campaign strategy, you should drop now Rep Kelly. It was beneath you, and very unbecoming.
Comment by Lincoln Lad Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 2:15 pm
Given what he’s spent I would hope so. But durable lead? Don’t hold your breath.
Comment by New Day Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 2:16 pm
There are many miles to go — “undecided” is still making a strong showing — but this can’t be anything but good news for Raja.
– MrJM
Comment by @misterjayem Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 3:18 pm
I think Raja will win, and will likely win comfortably, but at this point a hefty lead by him’s to be expected. He’s basically the only one prominently putting his name out there with ad buys.
So the numbers are probably technically soft at the moment, but I do think barring a major misstep by him that they’ll likely hold.
Comment by TJ Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 3:55 pm
Gotta be happy with that start, even if it’s early in the game. March is closer than most people think.
Comment by Frida's Boss Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 4:18 pm
I said it 6 months ago-why did JB enter the primary with an endorsement of Stratton who notwithstanding her being LG was both unknown and not particularly qualified
Comment by Sue Friday, Aug 22, 25 @ 4:29 pm