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* An August poll taken for Democratic congressional candidate David Gill had him leading Rodney Davis by six points. Gill’s latest poll has him up by just a single point…
The poll, paid for by the campaign of Democratic candidate David Gill, shows Gill with 40 percent, Republican Rodney Davis with 39 percent and independent John Hartman with 8 percent. The survey of 400 registered, likely voters was taken Sept. 26 and 27.
Gill’s tiny lead is well within the poll’s 4.9 percentage point margin of error, according to pollster Donna Victoria.
* Money may be a factor here. Gill is being outspent, which is why he may have released the poll…
A new report by the Federal Election Commission on so-called “independent” or “superPAC” spending in the race shows that $1.795 million has been devoted to the race, most of it against Gill. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce entered the race over the weekend, saying it would put $500,000 in advertising to oppose Gill. A 30-second ad posted online by the Chamber of Commerce hits Gill for his support of President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act and for a plan to raise taxes “on job creators.” […]
The DCCC is still the biggest spender in the race, having devoted $567,122 on ads attacking Davis.
But according to the Gill campaign, slightly more than $1 million has been spent either by the independent groups or by the Davis campaign on ads opposed to Gill.
If all goes well, subscribers will have their own poll results for this district tomorrow morning.
* And, no surprise, the negative ads in that district aren’t gonna stop. Retiring Congressman Tim Johnson called for a cease fire the other day. Nobody is heeding it…
Neither the Republican nor Democratic candidates has embraced the idea, and both the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee indicated they’ll continue to use attack ads in the new congressional district that runs from Champaign-Urbana southwest to the Edwardsville and Collinsville areas in southwestern Illinois.
In fact, the DCCC made a $238,669 media buy on Tuesday — the day the retiring Republican congressman made his request — for more ads opposing Republican candidate Rodney Davis of Taylorville. The DCCC now has invested $805,791 in the 13th District race, almost half of the $2 million that six separate superPACs have spent in the district since August.
“We stand by our ads,” said Haley Morris, a spokeswoman for the DCCC.
The Republican congressional PAC also indicated it would not abide by Johnson’s request. It has spent more than $330,000 on ads opposing Democrat David Gill.
“Bottom line, David Gill and his extremely partisan policies are bad for Illinois families,” said Katie Prill, a spokeswoman for the NRCC.
* Gill’s latest TV ad is about jobs and outsourcing…
* Related…
* Mud and money - A classic liberal and a traditional conservative are in a tight race for the new 13th Congressional District
posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 11:26 am
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YDD -
I will NOT count my Cannoli, until they are filled!
Rich, you still get the Vig.
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 11:30 am
Money talks, honesty walks.
Comment by walkinfool Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 11:31 am
Good grief. This could wind up being closer than Plummer-Enyart and Schilling-Bustos. If I may speak off the cuff here, a Davis loss would be embarrassing for Congressman Shimkus and Illinois GOP Chairman Pat Brady.
Comment by Team Sleep Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 2:13 pm
Those are pretty good numbers for Gill, considering what’s been thrown at him on TV. Rodney’s turning out to be a dud of a candidate.
Comment by Former Downstater Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 3:05 pm
That Gill is even one point ahead in this district with the Chicago Democrat albatross around his neck and the funding advantage that Davis has is frankly amazing to me given the reputation this guy has had as some kind of out-there disorganized gadfly campaigner.
As for the ad, anyone know exactly which factory is shown here? The concern about loss of factory jobs and the effects of the global economy would seem to resonate in that district now more than ever with the CAT shutdown/layoffs coming in Decatur.
Comment by hisgirlfriday Thursday, Oct 4, 12 @ 3:25 pm
Davis will win. The good Doctor doesn’t fit this district, while Davis does.
Comment by VanillaMan Friday, Oct 5, 12 @ 8:21 am
OK, let’s back up for a second here. Does anybody actually believe that if Gill is elected, he’ll be able to institute the “Gill plan” to upend NAFTA or MFN status with China? He’ll be a freshman Democratic member in what is almost certainly a Republican House. And NAFTA and MFN have bipartisan support. I know this is probably appealing to rural populism, but from a practical standpoint it just seems a little outlandish.
Comment by Mowatcher Friday, Oct 5, 12 @ 9:31 am