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Governors State downgraded to junk status, ISU also hit

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Illinois

* From S&P…

CHICAGO (S&P Global Ratings) Aug. 5, 2016–S&P Global Ratings lowered its underlying rating three notches to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB+’ on Governors State University Board of Trustees, Ill.’s series 2007 and 2012 university facilities system (UFS) revenue bonds and series 2008 and 2009 certificates of participation (COPs), issued on behalf of Governors State University (GSU or the university). The outlook is negative.

“The downgrade and negative outlook reflect our view of Illinois’ ongoing severe challenges due to its weak financial position, and the resultant impact on GSU’s financial position which, in our opinion, creates significant liquidity risk for the university and without correction or intervention, could result in a negative cash balance by August 2017,” said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Jessica Wood. Additionally, the university’s operations have been deficit on a full-accrual basis for the past couple of years, and this is expected to continue given the state pressures.

Throughout fiscal 2016, the state’s public universities, including GSU, received only a small fraction of historical operating appropriations, placing significant liquidity stress on these institutions given their dependence on these funds to support operations. Furthermore, given the length of the fiscal 2016 budget impasse and the absence of a substantial agreement among elected leaders, it is our opinion that state appropriation outcomes will remain uncertain through at least fiscal 2017. […]

Illinois State University Debt Ratings Lowered To ‘A’ On Fiscal Uncertainty; Outlook Negative

CHICAGO (S&P Global Ratings) Aug. 4, 2016–S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term rating to ‘A’ from ‘A+’ on Illinois State University Board of Trustees’ auxiliary facilities system (AFS) revenue bonds. In addition, we lowered our long-term rating and underlying rating (SPUR) on existing bonds and certificates of participation (COPs), issued on behalf of Illinois State University (ISU), to ‘A’ from ‘A+’. The outlook, where applicable, is negative.

“The downgrade reflects our view of ongoing operational and liquidity uncertainty attributable to budgetary stresses at the state level,” said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Ashley Ramchandani. “While the state has provided stop-gap funding and ISU does not have immediate liquidity pressures, state budgetary pressures have, and will, in our view, continue to negatively affect the university such that we believe its credit profile is now more consistent with the ‘A’ rating.”

The negative outlook reflects the aforementioned challenges that we believe the university will continue to face over the next two years, and their potential impact on the university, particularly if the state continues to delay, reduce, or not provide operating appropriations and of Monetary Assistance Program (MAP) funding. The funding situation remains unresolved for fiscal 2017.

The state of Illinois passed a stop-gap budget on the final day of the fiscal year 2016 (June 30), providing higher education institutions with $1 billion of funds to support operations during the first six months of fiscal 2017. Under this budget, which was approved by both houses and signed by the governor, ISU is scheduled to receive approximately $38 million of state operating appropriations and $6 million of MAP funds for spring semester of fiscal 2016. While receipt of these state operating appropriations mitigated liquidity risks, we do not view these stop-gap measures as a long-term solution to ISU’s state funding support given the state has yet to make substantial progress toward a budget for fiscal 2017. Please see the full analysis (published Feb. 22, 2016) for more information.

The ‘A’ rating reflects our view of ISU’s enterprise profile, which we assessed as strong, characterized by stabilizing enrollment, a respectable demand profile with improved matriculation and moderate selectivity for the rating. We also assessed ISU’s financial profile as strong, with robust balance sheet metrics and consistently negative operating performance on a full-accrual basis (though somewhat positive on a cash basis) because of historical softening in enrollment and operating in a challenging state funding environment. Combined, we believe these credit factors lead to an indicative stand-alone credit profile of ‘a’ and long-term rating of ‘A’.

posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:23 pm

Comments

Alrighty - everythin’ is proceedin’ to plan. Nothin’ to see here.

Comment by Dr X Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:31 pm
Sadly, a feature, not the bug.

Comment by Oswego Willy Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:33 pm
Just hoping my niece can finish her MA at ISU in the next 3 year before the status declines further.

Comment by illini Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:36 pm
Thank you Rauner, may we have another (ratings downgrade).

Comment by Norseman Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:43 pm
Bruce Rauner failed. How many downgrades does this make? Is he catching up to Quinn?

Comment by Ducky LaMoore Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:44 pm
Just one more reason in a long, long list to Vote Accordingly on every level. The General and the Veto Session will be where those first votes will be taken. “The funding situation remains unresolved for fiscal 2017.” This will have to be addressed sooner or later. Rauner is content to let it be kicked. It’s going to take the ILGA working together, at least enough of them to defeat vetoes, to start the digging out again because Rauner will not take ownership of a state tax increase.

Comment by Anon221 Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 3:45 pm
illini: Finishing is one thing, but the devaluation of a degree by harming institutions and their reputations affects your niece and everyone who holds a degree from IL.

Comment by Blue Bayou Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 4:13 pm
Pretty soon they’re going to have to change the logo to IOU.

My alma mater too. Ouch.

Comment by 47th Ward Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 4:17 pm
==Sadly, a feature, not the bug===

Perhaps Governors state will need to close.

Comment by atsuishin Friday, Aug 5, 16 @ 4:24 pm