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Today’s number: Up to 95,000 lost jobs

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Illinois

The Illinois Health and Hospital Association has said block grants for Medicaid, combined with the loss of subsidized private insurance [via the ACA], could lead to a potential loss of $11.6 billion to $13.1 billion in annual “economic activity” in Illinois. The IHA says that translates to a potential loss of 84,000 to 95,000 jobs.

The hospital association is an interest group, so take its job numbers with a grain of salt.

But, man, even if those lost jobs are half that number. Whoa.

posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 10:57 am

Comments

===The hospital association is an interest group, so take its job numbers with a grain of salt.===

Well, those people will just have to get all the new construction jobs that Trump is creating with his protectionist utopia.

Comment by PublicServant Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:07 am
Some Republican Senators at the national level have come up with a plan to let the states decide whether to keep the ACA in their states. The details are fuzzy, of course, but the fiscal implications for the individual states could be significant, presuming an overall decrease in federal funding for the ACA. State taxpayer would have to decide if they want to make up the difference.

Comment by Cassandra Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:21 am
The people of Springfield are soon to be hit hardest.

The state is about 25% of the workforce there. State employees are being crunched hard.

Between Saint John’s, Memorial, and Springfield clinic that is about 40% of cities employees. With the ACA going out the door they are going to be hurting.

These two areas are going to be hurt bad. And since they are about 65% of workforce that will bleed into nearly all other workers in retail, restaurants, and other places.

This will ultimately impact the Springfield public workers who work for the city.

Rauner was right when he said he was going to shake-up Springfield. Between Rauner and Trump they are going to downright destroy Springfield

Comment by John Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:21 am
Yea- it made lots of sense to more then double Illinois Medicaid population assuming the Feds would keep funding most of it

Comment by Sue Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:23 am
And how much economic activity will be generated by people being able to spend their dollars on the services they want rather than being taxed and forced to buy what they don’t want?

Comment by Flip side Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:30 am
Hey I don’t use the roads in IL south of I-80. Why am I being taxed and forced to pay for something I don’t want?

Comment by Lefty Lefty Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:40 am
“And how much economic activity will be generated by people being able to spend their dollars on the services they want rather than being taxed and forced to buy what they don’t want?”

First, you need to make the case for how individuals without health insurance will be able to afford it without the ACA. Show your work.

Comment by Nick Name Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:43 am
Last one out turn off the light.

Comment by Lew Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:45 am
Sue, this is what the Illinois law on the expanded Medicaid population says.

“If Illinois’ federal medical assistance percentage (FMAP) is reduced below 90% for persons eligible for medical assistance under this paragraph 18, eligibility under this paragraph 18 shall cease no later than the end of the third month following the month in which the reduction in FMAP takes effect.”

So, you know, not entirely unforeseen.

Comment by Juice Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 11:57 am
You have to eonder what the Republicans thought the consequences would be of building out this hude health care infrastructure and then taking all the money away.

Comment by The Way I See It Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 12:04 pm
===Hey I don’t use the roads in IL south of I-80. Why am I being taxed and forced to pay for something I don’t want?===

Because you want to eat.

Comment by Six Degrees of Separation Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 12:13 pm
We’re there 95,000 jobs added since 2014? Or is the ACA responsible for the maintenance of those jobs?

Comment by LTSW Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 12:13 pm
–Yea- it made lots of sense to more then double Illinois Medicaid population assuming the Feds would keep funding most of it–

Geez, you don’t even try.

–Medicaid: 3,117,939 people in Illinois are covered by Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program, including 1,457,307 children and 308,374 seniors and people with disabilities covered by both Medicaid and Medicare. The ACA expanded Medicaid eligibility and strengthened the program for those already eligible.

340,000 Illinoisans have gained coverage through Medicaid: An estimated 340,000 Illinoisans have health insurance today because Illinois expanded Medicaid under the ACA. –

I make a 340,000 increase to a former base of 2.8 million about a 12.5% increase, not “more than double.”

https://www.hhs.gov/healthcare/facts-and-features/state-by-state/how-aca-is-working-for-illinois/index.html

Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 12:43 pm
One thing’s for sure, the 850,000 in Illinois who gained health insurance through expanded Medicaid and subsidized private health insurance plans are going to end up at the doctor’s offices, emergency rooms, and in the hospitals eventually.

Somebody’s going to eat that expense. In Cook County, at least, it’s likely to be taxpayers.

Under ACA, for the first time in memory, federales money put the Cook County Hospital System in the black. And for the first time ever, the number of insured patients exceeded uninsured patients.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-cook-county-health-0708-biz-20150707-story.html

Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 2:28 pm
They also claimed Medicaid expansion would create jobs. No actual evidence of that happening in reality, despite billions in new spending; only in their “models.”

Comment by Anonymous Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 9:26 pm
The ACA expanded Medicaid to more than 600,000 able-bodied childless adults (based on current enrollment for newly eligible category, per HFS). Seniors, individuals with disabilities, kids, and parents were not included in the expansion.

Comment by Anonymous Tuesday, Jan 24, 17 @ 9:29 pm