Latest Post | Last 10 Posts | Archives
Previous Post: Dems pounce on Greitens development
Next Post: Rate the new Rauner digital ad
Posted in:
* Pending litigation, if any…
My latest: @Drury4IL, @renato_mariotti survive their respective ballot challenges, will be on the March 20 primary ballot. Unless, of course, their objectors sue and prevail in court. #twill https://t.co/32aEuIyHD1
— David Thomas (@DaveThomas5150) January 11, 2018
posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 5:40 pm
Sorry, comments are closed at this time.
Previous Post: Dems pounce on Greitens development
Next Post: Rate the new Rauner digital ad
WordPress Mobile Edition available at alexking.org.
powered by WordPress.
Over/Under… combined vote percentage…
9.5
That’s the number.
That will effect others, but as far as tiers go, they aren’t top tier.
Sorry.
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 6:06 pm
Willy- not counting Q4 spending Drury has 785k on hand, which is 250k more than rotering, who is third in money. No one else (besides Kwame with over 1 million) has even 500k. Who is “top tier” besides Kwame in your opinion? And based on what exactly besides your like or dislike of the candidate?
Comment by PatchAdams Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 6:10 pm
- PatchAdams -
You commented on Rich’s Post when I did these…
Nothing so far, for me, has changed:
===- Oswego Willy - Monday, Nov 27, 17 @ 3:12 pm
If I whittling down to three, which is reasonable given the number that have filed or shall be filing, I have it this way…
In no particular order…
Kwame Raoul, Pat Quinn, Jesse Ruiz
Raoul should be able to consolidate a ground game that with a field as big as this, enough organizations carry enough for Raoul to keep him and his name viable, especially on Election Day itself. The early/absentee voting should be another place where Raoul could get a leg up on the big field.
Pat Quinn is probably liked enough to get 28% of the Dem vote in a crowded field with the statewide name recognition, good and also the bad. With the bad name ID, there isn’t a logical “one stop” for anti-Quinn voters, so, the larger field helps there too.
Ruiz, welp, Ruiz intrigues me enough with the Crew of money people that have committed here, and with a crowded field, can a media campaign move enough numbers that the possibility of a lacking ground game be overcome. Not filing today at 8 is a negative unless they are trying a different filing strategy in hopes that the name Ruiz will be a trigger where a ground game or field operation would step in.
Those are the three that will have my attention, but…
Rottering is the sneaky “watch” depending how efficient she can be with monies and how much more monies can be gotten.
The others are the “field” in gaming parlance===
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 6:24 pm
More candidates helps Pat Quinn right?
Quinn is first on ballot & has highest name recognition so better to be 1 or 8 than 1 of 6.
Plus this further fractures the anti-Quinn vote.
Comment by Fax Machine Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 7:14 pm
Quinn at the top spot on the ballot with the name recognition and wonlky following will be a tough out. Kwame should prevail but one never knows. Others are also rans.
Comment by NorthsideNoMore Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 7:17 pm
I don’t like Drury but it seems like a lot of people outside of the Capitol do. He’s got a unique base that appeals to while the other top tier candidates are competing with each other. He also has money.
Comment by Poll Watcher Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 7:37 pm
Do people really think Mariotti’s gonna do that badly? He has the votes of everyone in my family right now and a couple friends too. Even if anecdotes need to be taken with a grain of salt his campaign feels pretty lively, and he’s raising decent money too.
I wish I could get my hands on a poll of the race, ’cause I’m curious where things stand.
Comment by Angel's Sword Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 10:04 pm
Quinn wins by 3 point
Comment by Dupage Bard Thursday, Jan 11, 18 @ 10:26 pm
Surviving this challenge ultimately gives Drury good ammo and will help him. Those that were behind the challenge can chalk this up as a definite loss.
Comment by W.S. Wolcott Friday, Jan 12, 18 @ 8:43 am
Quinn will win due to plurality. and his amazing purple ties
Comment by Iggy Friday, Jan 12, 18 @ 8:58 am
“Drury has a unique base”. (Poll Watcher)
I honestly am unaware of such a base. Can you elaborate?
Comment by low level Friday, Jan 12, 18 @ 9:15 am
Drury has a unique base?
Who, people who prefer the also-rans?
Comment by Pieroge tirebiter Friday, Jan 12, 18 @ 9:43 am
Angel’s Sword:
Renato talks a big game on twitter but that’s about it. Nobody in IL politics really pays much attention to him tbh. It hurts to hear it but that’s the reality. He seems like a good guy but he doesn’t have enough money or fire power.
Comment by powerpuff Friday, Jan 12, 18 @ 1:12 pm