Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar

Illinois rated second most likely governor’s office to flip parties

Posted in:

Illinois
Pundit rankings

When it comes to gubernatorial races, Republicans say they’re victims of their own success from two great election cycles in a row. Going into 2018, Republicans control a near-record high of 33 governor’s mansions, including a number in blue and swing states.

So the only place for Democrats to go in 2018 may be up. What Democrats win back is critical for the future of their party. Many of the governors in these states will have strong influence over the legislative districts drawn when new Census data arrives in 2020.

A full election cycle before that, Democrats will have a lot of opportunities to chip away at their deficit. Of our top 10 governor races in 2018, eight are for Republican-held seats. […]

2. Illinois (Republican held. Previous ranking 4): This is probably the most drastic move on our list. Everyone we spoke to agrees that Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) is one of the, if not the, most vulnerable governors in America, despite his billions. He’s facing another billionaire, J.B. Pritzker, of one of the wealthiest families in the country. What happens when two billionaires clash can be unpredictable, but the emergence of a third-party conservative candidate, state senator Sam McCann, really hurts Rauner’s already iffy chances for reelection.

Thoughts?

posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:27 pm

Comments

===…but the emergence of a third-party conservative candidate, state senator Sam McCann, really hurts Rauner’s already iffy chances for reelection.===

That’s really it.

McCann changes things more than Pritzker moving things(?)

Comment by Oswego Willy Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:30 pm
surprised there’s one more likely

Comment by Anonymous Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:33 pm
We can only hope this is accurate and we get rid of this disastrous failure.

Comment by Norseman Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:36 pm
The tea leaves are there for those who want to read them.

Comment by anon2 Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:36 pm
Maybe just wishful thinking on my part but I thought or hoped Bruce would be gone no matter who ran against him and even thought he was so bad he would not win with or without a third party candidate. But in back of my mind all I hear is MadiganMadigan maybe that will work for him I hope not

Comment by DuPage Saint Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:38 pm
Once more, Rauner is not a billionaire, or at least does not claim to be. He is many things, but not that.

Comment by perry noya Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:46 pm
Perry
Any there is substantial offshore Raunerwealth that is not being counted? Seems like a pretty good possibility to me.

Comment by Ole' Nelson Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:50 pm
Should say any chance there is offshore wealth.

Comment by Ole' Nelson Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:51 pm
Once again, Illinois is being disrespected in DC.
We’re number one.

Comment by Keyrock Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:51 pm
Ironic that in two states even more Blue than Illinois - Maryland and Massachusetts - GOP governors who took a more co-operative, less confrontational approach are cruising to re-election. Had Rauner governed more like them, he’d probably be re-elected too - and be well positioned to run for President in 2024. Such a wasted opportunity.

Comment by DarkHorse Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:52 pm
==despite his billions.==

Not billions of dollars. Maybe billions of “Madigans”

Comment by Da Big Bad Wolf Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 3:57 pm
Caio Bruce

Comment by El Conquistador Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 4:02 pm
==despite his billions==

Not good; get your facts right before making predictions.

Comment by Wensicia Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 4:11 pm
Ironic that in two states even more Blue than Illinois - Maryland and Massachusetts - GOP governors who took a more co-operative, less confrontational approach are cruising to re-election.

-Those governors took a humble cooperative approach while Rauner took the I’m a millionaire and it’s my way or the highway approach.

Not all millionaires/billionairez are like Rauner though, but if he wasn’t one you would of seen him govern in a different way instead of one where he thinks he can just do whatever this term and buy another one anyway.

Comment by Real Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 4:13 pm
Is Vegas posting any odds yet on this race?

Comment by illini Friday, Aug 17, 18 @ 4:16 pm