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* Not shocking, really. But if this trend does hold up, a whole lot of political pundits are gonna be eating crow…
That's a strikingly high %. Very typical number in this line of work is clearing 1/3 of challenges (BTW, Preckwinkle needs about 78% of their challenges to be sustained to win). If this is correct and holds whole way through, the Preckwinkle team made stuff up. Shocking if true. https://t.co/VbdcCqZhvP
— Thomas C. Bowen (@thomascbowen) December 13, 2018
It seems like everybody reported that the standard for turning in signatures is three times the amount needed. That was news to me because the standard I’ve always been told is twice the number of signatures needed. Mendoza turned in twice the minimum.
So, we’ll see. I think Mendoza will survive, but like everyone else who’s been commenting on this, I haven’t examined her sheets myself.
* Meanwhile…
Bill Daley just reported raising another $250,000, extending his fundraising lead in the race to become Chicago's next mayor. He's now raised $2.95 million.
— Bill Ruthhart (@BillRuthhart) December 13, 2018
The A-1 report is here. Lots of lawyers, plus $10K from Leslie Liautaud, an author who is married to Jimmy John Liautaud.
And as we discussed yesterday, Daley is no longer facing a challenge to his petitions.
…Adding… Speaking of Daley’s petitions, there’s nothing suspicious about this at all /s…
3 people collected 11,000(!!!) ballot signatures for Daley campaign. Enshrine them in Illinois campaign hall of fame https://t.co/pk5FnFMSuo
— Chicago Bars (@chicagobars) December 13, 2018
* Remember this from yesterday?…
* Kristi Dunn Kucera has served as spokesperson for Chicago mayoral candidate Amara Enyia. She sent this e-mail to reporters today…
As of December 12, 2018, I no longer represent Mayoral Candidate Amara Enyia as Communications Director. In light of several unknown and troubling factors that I was not privy to during the campaign, I am unable to effectively continue in this role. I wish her the best in her endeavor.
The specifics of the factors Kucera references weren’t immediately known. Kucera was still listed Wednesday as the media contact on Enyia’s website.
Sources within the Enyia campaign said this shakeup comes as the campaign heads to the next level. With more financing and more momentum comes the hiring of more experienced political staff.
They could probably use a spokesperson with more campaign experience, but the Enyia campaign hasn’t reported receiving any contributions since the end of October.
* Related…
* Cook County Board Repeals Tax Break for Popular Parking Apps
* McCarthy points lots of fingers on crime wave—but not at himself: In a wide-ranging and occasionally rambling speech in which he seemed to blame just about everyone else but himself for the city’s woes, McCarthy, who was fired by Mayor Rahm Emanuel after the Laquan McDonald shooting, depicted himself as a truth teller in a city that, to paraphrase the old saying, don’t want nobody nobody sent.
* Mayoral contenders have more to say on anti-crime plans: I also heard from a supporter of Lori Lightfoot plugging her plan to put police rookies on the day shift rather than dangerous overnight hours so they get a better opportunity to know the neighborhood they’re patrolling. … I also heard from a supporter of Lori Lightfoot plugging her plan to put police rookies on the day shift rather than dangerous overnight hours so they get a better opportunity to know the neighborhood they’re patrolling.
posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:07 pm
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–In a wide-ranging and occasionally rambling speech in which he seemed to blame just about everyone else but himself for the city’s woes, McCarthy, –
Running the ‘ol Rauner playbook?
Might want to check the scoreboard on how that worked.
Comment by wordslinger Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:13 pm
This Preckwinkle vs. Mendoza fight is going to be nasty. And with each being able to go back to their current gig if they lose, the bad feelings will linger for years.
Comment by Skinny Vinny Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:16 pm
Rich - I’ve heard for a long time (30+ years now) that 2x the minimum is safe for signatures gathered mainly in single-family owner occupied areas, but 3x should be gotten if the area is primarily multi-family with a lot of rental units. The former areas have higher percentages of people registered, and they don’t move around as much.
Comment by titan Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:22 pm
One of Daley’s donors is former Congressman Harold Ford, Jr.
Comment by Nuke the Whales Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:30 pm
–in a city that, to paraphrase the old saying, don’t want nobody nobody sent.–
When that nobody is from New York City I imagine that is true.
Comment by Ron Burgundy Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:32 pm
So Mendoza and Preckwinkle gonna fight to the death for the honor to lose to Daley in the runoff? What a weird campaign strategy from each “campaign”.
Comment by From the 'Dale to HP Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:35 pm
I was of the belief of double the signatures you’re in good shape to submit.
Can Bill Daley get 19-23% to get to a runoff? I dunno.
Can Preckwinkle and Mendoza get to 19-23% to get in a runoff? Probably.
As of right now, if Mendoza continues to stay in… tough to see others, maybe outside Daley, to get in a place of one or two.
Seeing Bill Daley finish a campaign is worth the price of admission
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:40 pm
With $2.95M in the bank Daley can buy just about anything - with the exception of a new last name.
Comment by Pundent Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 12:43 pm
Not to be a contrarian but I wouldn’t set in stone that Preckwinkle will be in the run-off. While she very likely will, there is a whole lot of campaign ahead and a lot of votes that can and will break in surprising ways.
Comment by Anonymous Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 1:51 pm
I’m inclined to believe the version of events provided by the Amara campaign. As Rich pointed out the current spokesperson lacks experience that the new comms director has. Also the fact that they hired a new comms director from New York the day after Kucera quit hurts the credibility of Kucera’s version of events.
Comment by Anonymous Thursday, Dec 13, 18 @ 3:22 pm