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* I told subscribers about this a couple of weeks ago. Illinois Review…
Friday night at DuPage County Chairman Dan Cronin’s annual Corned Beef & Cabbage bash, Lieutenant Governor Evelyn Sanguinetti wasn’t shy about her intentions to run for the 6th CD in 2020. “I’m seriously thinking that I will run,” she said, and nodded her head yes when asked if that information could be shared with Illinois Review readers.
Sanguinetti - sporting a cast on her shin after a bout with a treadmill - successfully kept herself ideologically kept herself separated from Governor Bruce Rauner during her term and during the re-election campaign. She always made it clear she held her own opinions on issues that would hold up in her home district - despite her “good soldier” efforts to campaign on the team’s behalf.
Sanguinetti said she’d spoken with Roskam’s people and that they thought it was unlikely Roskam would seek re-election, so she was planning to move forward to regain the 6th for the Republicans.
Democrat Sean Casten defeated the incumbent Peter Roskam by 7.2 points last November.
posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:49 am
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As a democrat, I would welcome this with open arms.
Comment by So_Ill Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:52 am
–Sanguinetti… successfully kept herself ideologically kept herself separated from Governor Bruce Rauner during her term and during the re-election campaign–
Really really? How so how so? What does that mean that mean?
Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:53 am
Rauner’s right hand? Sean should pray for that.
Comment by PublicServant Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:53 am
Is that why her former Chief of Staff Brian Costin is now the Assistant State Director of Americans for Prosperity? Because she kept her distance? Okay…
Comment by Honeybear Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:56 am
==sporting a cast on her shin after a bout with a treadmill== Hoo boy, I’d hate to be the company that manufactured the treadmill.
Comment by SAP Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:56 am
what else does she have to do with her time now. Pretty ineffective as a Lt. governor.
Comment by Anonymous Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:01 am
This is excellent news. Plus, in theory, her lawsuit against the treadmill will have wrapped up by then.
Comment by lakeside Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:05 am
I’m pretty disappointed so far in Casten. He has made anywhere hear the impact as some of the other freshmen Dem reps.
Comment by SSL Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:10 am
*hasn’t
Comment by SSL Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:12 am
Gotta watch them treadmills.
Comment by Blue Dog Dem Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:12 am
**Sanguinetti - sporting a cast on her shin after a bout with a treadmill **
When is she filing the lawsuit?
Comment by SaulGoodman Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:12 am
So much for winning that seat back. She also kept herself separated from doing anything effective in the last job she had. Casten would win easier than against Roskam.
Comment by Ron Burgundy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:13 am
We had an electio, get over it.
Comment by A 400lb. Guy on a bed Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:17 am
Successfully separated, that’s one way of looking at the election results after you’ve been on team Rauner
Comment by Rabid Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:19 am
Hey, maybe Bruce can give her some campaign cash and can tape a few campaign commercials for her. I can hear it now..Hi, I’m Bruce Rauner.
Comment by The Dude Abides Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:20 am
“Ineffective as a Lt. governor”, really? Just what Lt. governor has been effective and for that matter just what job do they serve other than being ready to be governor if needed. So it seems on that basis she did an excellent job!
Comment by NeverPoliticallyCorrect Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:20 am
==- SSL - Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:10 am:
I’m pretty disappointed so far in Casten. He has made anywhere hear the impact as some of the other freshmen Dem reps.==
Why, because he hasn’t spent enough time on social media or saying absurd things to get attention?
He’s acting like a freshman representative should. Head down, doing his job.
Comment by So_Ill Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:27 am
===Sanguinetti - sporting a cast on her shin after a bout with a treadmill===
You can’t make this up.
She’s a caricature. Slip and Sue…
Does she have a chance against Casten?
The Rauner shadow here won’t help her, even as Rauner may have had better numbers than Roskam, it’s a presidential election year, with Trump.
We’ll see
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:32 am
== I’m pretty disappointed so far in Casten. He has made anywhere hear the impact as some of the other freshmen Dem reps. ==
Nothing about Casten’s campaign suggested he was going to Washington to shake things up. Haven’t you noticed an inverse correlation between how much these candidates talked about the Mueller investigation on the trail to how impactful they have been?
Comment by A Non E. Moose Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:38 am
Slip&Sue and ChopperJim as GOPie picks to rgain the house. Peloai must be paying these two. Too funny.
Comment by Annonin' Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:41 am
== Why, because he hasn’t spent enough time on social media or saying absurd things to get attention? ==
I worked to get Casten elected but let’s not pretend he doesn’t tweet multiple times a day and got in hot water for his tweets during the election.
Comment by A Non E. Moose Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:41 am
Casten’s wobbled on the Green New Deal and Roll Call’s reporting he mad 800k off his energy companies last year. He’s the weakest of the newly elected Dem Reps. Not sure Sanguinetti’s the one to take him on but he’s the most vulnerable of them.
Comment by Bill Baar Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:46 am
===He’s the weakest of the newly elected Dem Reps.===
Compared to Underwood, I would concur.
The real mixed bag is the POTUS numbers with suburban women versus the traditional base GOP voters staying with the party and POTUS.
Can Sanguinetti keep enough GOPers at home, and attract independent suburban women? Dunno yet.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:50 am
===Casten’s wobbled on the Green New Deal===
And that’s going to help a Republican… how?
Comment by Rich Miller Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 11:59 am
=He’s the weakest of the newly elected Dem Reps.=
So exactly what would you be looking for from a freshman congressman 60 days in?
Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:01 pm
OW, POTUS might be a big glob of orange hair gel by 2020 if he keeps tweeting and melting down at his current pace.
Comment by don the legend Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:07 pm
===…might be a big glob of orange hair gel by 2020 if he keeps tweeting and melting down at his current pace===
… and still carry 20 or so states…
Stranger than fiction.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:08 pm
OW’s position of “We’ll see” is the right position here. She’s very popular within her area and was able to identify her separation with Gov. Rauner there. She fits well in that district, and in a presidential election cycle, her chances are even better.
The election with Casten and Roskam was more about Roskam than Casten. People were upset with Roskam for a variety of different reasons. She doesn’t inherit that baggage, which was a lot heavier than any Rauner baggage there.
Now Casten needs to be at work while an an opponent works the district.
We’ll see.
Comment by A guy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:17 pm
Saguinetti would be welcomed by Casten as a sure boost to his re-election effort.
As for Cronin’s Friday, Corned Beef and Cabbage fundraiser, are we to assume that Cronin does observe Lenten dietary restrictions?
Comment by Practical Politics Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:18 pm
===She’s very popular within her area and was able to identify her separation with Gov. Rauner there.===
Cite the popularity besides your belief and where separation existed with Rauner.
===She fits well in that district===
This may or may not be true, but Casten’s win, in the suburbs, as a Dem in this atmosphere was what propelled the House to flip, and Illinois’ 2 suburban House seats too. If anything, Casten reflects the mood of these districts.
===…in a presidential election cycle, her chances are even better.===
POTUS is not going to help IL GOPers.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:22 pm
==He’s the weakest of the newly elected Dem Reps.=
So exactly what would you be looking for from a freshman congressman 60 days in?==
Apparently more Instagram videos and anti-semitic tropes.
Comment by So_Ill Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:26 pm
So_Ill, my comment was made in jest, mocking certain freshmen House dems that have been anointed as the chosen ones, despite doing nothing but adding to the very global warming they despise by never keeping their mouths shut.
Not that Casten is going to do anything but serve his own interests.
Comment by SSL Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:42 pm
She can sell trees at the rest stops on the interstate, she is quilafide.
Comment by Red rider Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:53 pm
As a distant observer of Illinois politics during the past few years, could anyone tell me what she’s done?
I mean, better than a white guy in this day and age, but by how much? Empty suit is what comes to mind.
Comment by Ol' Pedro Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 12:55 pm
=She’s very popular within her area and was able to identify her separation with Gov. Rauner there.=
Roskam couldn’t separate himself from Trump and Sanguinetti couldn’t separate herself from Rauner. Hard to see that dynamic changing in 2 years.
Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:01 pm
Rauner won’t be as toxic in November 2020 as he was in November 18 (See: George W. Bush).
Comment by Anonymous Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:10 pm
They got cows to tip in Washington, gurlfriend?
Comment by Ducky LaMoore Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:11 pm
CD 6 and 14 should have a 75% chance of flipping back. The GOP just needs to find better candidates than the tarnished LT. Gov.
Comment by Flowing Comb Over Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:18 pm
==Cite the popularity besides your belief and where separation existed with Rauner.==
She is very popular in Milton, Winfield, York, Palatine, and Wheeling Townships, as well as the areas of Lake and McHenry County where the district seeps into. Her biggest difference was in the area of being compassionately and passionately Pro-Life. She made no secret of that while traveling around. She was a very energetic campaigner and traveled a lot for an LG. She is bilingual, she’s latina, and she’s a she. All those things will help.
==POTUS is not going to help IL GOPers.==
Not often, but this is one of the very few places, in addition to the Underwood district where he will be helpful. Not saying either Roskam or Hultgren would have won, but they sure did a lot better with Trump on the ballot than not.
Comment by A guy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:20 pm
==… and still carry 20 or so states…==
And Trump will definitely carry more than 20 states.
Comment by A guy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:21 pm
===she is very popular in Milton, Winfield, York, Palatine, and Wheeling Townships, as well as the areas of Lake and McHenry County where the district seeps into.==
Still just “opinion”, nothing to base that on but your belief of what you think.
===Her biggest difference was in the area of being compassionately and passionately Pro-Life. She made no secret of that while traveling around.===
That is a significant difference, will suburban independent women see that as a plus? Dunno.
===She is bilingual, she’s latina, and she’s a she. All those things will help.===
This *is* probably true, but will her pro-life stance while running with POTUS here in Illinois make that a wash too? Dunno.
===Not often, but this is one of the very few places, in addition to the Underwood district where he will be helpful. Not saying either Roskam or Hultgren would have won, but they sure did a lot better with Trump on the ballot than not.===
So POTUS is still more of a hurt than help with a presidential turnout?
That’s more wishful thinking than analysis(?)
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:29 pm
She starts out down two often Republican votes in this house. She is too close to Rauner. Anti-choice doesn’t help either.
Comment by Last Bull Moose Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:50 pm
=She is very popular in Milton, Winfield, York, Palatine, and Wheeling Townships, as well as the areas of Lake and McHenry County where the district seeps into.=
Well maybe she’s very popular with you and the crowd you run with but I’m not sure if I’d take much comfort in that. Heck I remember how at this stage of the game you were absolutely certain that Roskam was going to get re-elected. How’d that work out for you?
Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:57 pm
–She fits well in that district, and in a presidential election cycle, her chances are even better.–
Is she running as a Democrat? Because in Non-Bizarro-World Illinois, Democratic votes increase substantially more than Republican in presidential years.
Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 1:59 pm
–Heck I remember how at this stage of the game you were absolutely certain that Roskam was going to get re-elected.–
By more than ten points, was the claim.
Missed it by that much, Baghdad Bob…..
Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:02 pm
==And that’s going to help a Republican… how?==
Dampen enthusiasm in Casten’s base especially if he seems to be cashing in per The Roll Call piece.
==So exactly what would you be looking for from a freshman congressman 60 days in?==
Just what Underwood does. There are Show Horses and Work Horses in Congress. Casten’s taking the Show Horse path and Underwood’s not.
Comment by Bill Baar Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:04 pm
–Not saying either Roskam or Hultgren would have won, but they sure did a lot better with Trump on the ballot than not.–
Also in Non-Bizarro-World Illinois, BB, Trump was not on the ballot in 2018, but he was president.
And here’s how Trump helped Roskam and Hultgren, comparing the last two non-prez elections.
Roskam won by 34 points in 2014, and lost by 7 points in 2018 for a -41 points.
Hultgren won by 34 points in 2014, and lost by 5 points in 2018, for a minus -39 points.
Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:21 pm
Sling, the last cycle in DuPage was indeed Bizarro World…The Dems got everyone out, far exceeded their usual off year numbers. The GOP didn’t. Had they, Roskam would have won. He had other issues, mostly with his own base, that depressed his turnout significantly. Trump voters were very uninspired and stayed home. They won’t with him on the ballot. 2014 is lightyears away from where we are now. In 2016 Roskam won big, even with Hillary winning the district. Roskam had trouble hanging on to the Trump voters, the hard R, and the middle. That district will be a very tough hold. Time will tell. As you pointed out, I missed that one terribly. Given the bizarro circumstances in DuPage this last cycle, I wasn’t alone.
Comment by A guy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:47 pm
===Trump voters were very uninspired and stayed home. They won’t with him on the ballot.===
You think Trump will do better in Illinois, even in those districts
Casten and Underwood sit?
What do you base this on? Trump is still heavily under water in Illinois.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:55 pm
Trump was 41-56 under water in last polling…
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 2:58 pm
== Trump is still heavily under water in Illinois.==
Agreed. And I suspect he’ll stay that way as long as Cook County continues to be part of Illinois. In those districts though, he fares a lot better. Voters taught Rosty a lesson with Michael Flanagan. That might be the same case in reverse here. We’ll know in 2020.
I’m agreeing heartily with your position of “we’ll see”. A lot of legislative roll calls will take place in Springfield and DC that will get some attention in Du Page. We’ll see how much.
Comment by A guy Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 3:13 pm
=Given the bizarro circumstances in DuPage this last cycle, I wasn’t alone.=
If only we could put our finger on what’s happened since 2016 to result in such a unexplainable outcome in this last cycle. I’m at a loss. But I’m sure whatever it was it won’t be an issue in 2020. Keep hope alive.
Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 3:43 pm
=She’s very popular within her area and was able to identify her separation with Gov. Rauner there.=
My primary election night memory (when Rauner narrowly defeated Ives) was of Sanguinetti jumping up and down for joy on stage along side Rauner like a child who was told that her parents were taking her to Disneyland.
Her separation from Rauner was an illusion. Of course, she claims never to have met the man now.
Comment by Bronx Cheer Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 5:37 pm
@wordslinger:
Blaming Trump does not explain why Hultgren and Roskam ran such lackluster campaigns in 2018. Hultgren sat on a pile of money and let Underwood outspend him throughout the campaign. When he finally opened his wallet, he was unable to purchase television time and rushed out some dull radio advertisements.
Comment by Bronx Cheer Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 5:41 pm
–Blaming Trump does not explain why Hultgren and Roskam ran such lackluster campaigns in 2018.–
Sorry.
What explains 40 point shifts from 2014 and 20 point shifts from 2016?
–Sheriff Lobo?
–The Hamburglar?
–Heat Miser?
–Q?
Help me out, cousin? What am I missing?
Comment by wordslinger Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 7:09 pm
Rauner did win this district in 2018 so her ties to him will not be what sinks her chances. Trump is still pretty unpopular in upper middle class suburbia, so 2020 it would be how Trump does here.
Comment by papak Tuesday, Mar 19, 19 @ 10:29 pm