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* Yet another dustup today about who is leaving Illinois and for what reasons. Rep. Guzzardi makes some valid points…


Slight clarification, @ShiaKapos: I said that families making >$100K are moving to New York, LA and the Twin Cities, with much higher top rates. Fact check: https://t.co/HTsWHAJPUW

Also @illinoispolicy I have a tiny crown for you, King of Confusing Correlation and Causation đź‘‘ https://t.co/gmayWNJ5hU

— Will Guzzardi (@WillGuzzardi) April 15, 2019


* But, campaign history is not on his side…


.@WillGuzzardi wants middle-class Illinoisans to trust that the man he called a liar will not hike their income taxes and will deliver property tax relief. #twill #JBillions pic.twitter.com/mP6KWxqaQ8

— Illinois Policy (@illinoispolicy) April 15, 2019


March 14 was just 6 days before the Democratic primary. Everyone knew that Guzzardi’s candidate Sen. Daniel Biss was going down, but the left was still piling on hard. The Internet is forever.

* Related…

* Former gubernatorial candidate Biss stumps for ‘fair tax’

posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 2:58 pm

Comments

  1. News flash: Populations move to populated places. Didn’t Poison’s “Fallen Angel” already cover this ground?

    I wonder how many $100K families in Philadelphia or Phoenix are relocating to the Twin Cities?

    Comment by City Zen Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:06 pm

  2. As for the IPI’s tweet today, zzzzzzz. Politicians of the same party attack each-other during primaries. Guzzardi supports progressive taxation with Pritzker today. That’s what counts.

    Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:14 pm

  3. I remember the public polls being closer than the result ended up being, so Guzzardi might have been hoping that Biss could eek out a win with last minute momentum.

    Of course, the public polls significantly understated Pritzker’s support (I believe Pritzker’s internal polls were quite accurate though).

    And Grandson of Man is right, well-functioning parties can duke it out in the primary then unite behind the winner and work together for common goals should the primary winner get elected

    Comment by Grand Avenue Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:32 pm

  4. There are multiple ways for Twitter users to delete old tweets.

    If you use your government name on Twitter, consider regularly purging your old tweets — if not for the sake of your employment or your political work, do it for your kids.

    – MrJM

    Comment by @misterjayem Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:35 pm

  5. –.@WillGuzzardi wants middle-class Illinoisans to trust that the man he called a liar will not hike their income taxes and will deliver property tax relief. #twill #JBillions–

    Sad that the scholars at IPI emerged from their think tanks to discover that politicians often rip their opponents to shreds in primaries then make nice afterwards.

    Must have been their first election. Thoughts and prayers for your lost innocence.

    (Maybe don’t look back at what Trump’s primary opponents said about him then, and what they say now).

    Comment by wordslinger Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:35 pm

  6. Re-googling the polls, it looks like my memory was half right - the polls had Pritzker with the lead outside the margin of error, but they all had him in the 30s so people thought the undecideds might break against him. However, many of those undecideds voted for Pritzker and he won decisively.

    Comment by Grand Avenue Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:41 pm

  7. Another example of why politicians should not tweet. There will always be a record. {sigh}

    Comment by {Sigh} Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:51 pm

  8. Far lefties like Guzzardi know little more than one gear - go for the jugular because you’re either with us or against us, much like President Obama recently noted. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2019/04/07/obama_worried_that_progressives_are_creating_circular_firing_squad_with_purity_tests_and_rigidity.html

    Comment by Shytown Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 3:59 pm

  9. Alternative people in the same party should not viciously go after one another during primaries. Save the name calling for the general.

    Comment by twowaystreet Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 4:01 pm

  10. Guzzardi: We can’t trust that Pritzker will raise revenue once he wins.
    Pritzker: hey, I won, here’s a plan to raise revenues that I’m actively fighting for.
    Guzzardi: great!

    IPI/Miller: [robble robble robble]

    Seriously, Guzzardi’s top tweet has nothing to do with the series of tweets that IPI and Miller are citing as…hypocritical, I guess? Weird flex, but go off.

    Comment by Anon Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 4:03 pm

  11. There’s absolutely no inconsistency between Guzzardi’s top tweet and the series that Rich and IPI are citing as somehow hypocritical. One’s about the effect of progressive tax policy, the latter is questioning whether Pritzker is sufficiently committed to progressive tax policy.

    Comment by Anon Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 4:08 pm

  12. Someday, people like Guzzardi may wake up and get the clue that nobody leaves a state simply because of one tax rate (out of many).

    Saying CA, NY, etc., have higher rates is really missing the point. People leave because it all piles on - the property taxes, the sales taxes, the transfer taxes, etc.

    It piles on, governments never make a real effort to cut or reform, and people don’t trust its ability to do so in the future.

    Comment by Someday Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 4:33 pm

  13. “People leave because it all piles on - the property taxes, the sales taxes, the transfer taxes, etc.”

    In Illinois it certainly isn’t the rich anti-tax crowd. They’re paying a lower share of SALT than everyone else. They’ve paid low state income taxes for decades.

    “governments never make a real effort to cut or reform”

    Pritzker’s fair tax push is a good reform effort, to get more revenue, invest and pay our bills. We don’t want reforms that will turn us into a low-wage state.

    Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 4:51 pm

  14. == If you use your government name on Twitter, consider regularly purging your old tweets — if not for the sake of your employment or your political work, do it for your kids. ==

    Not if the tweets are public records under FOIA.

    Comment by Three Dimensional Checkers Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 5:01 pm

  15. Ironically I know some people who move their residence to their summer homes in Indiana not because of Illinois taxes but because Indiana kills you in property taxes if you are not a resident.

    Comment by Been There Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 5:41 pm

  16. Sorry wrong thread

    Comment by Been There Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 5:42 pm

  17. The fact is that we are losing population. That’s been the case for a very long time in the Chicago region. But we backfill the losses with immigrants. Future population growth would be a big plus to help mitigate our fiscal problems.

    Comment by Southwest Sider Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 6:50 pm

  18. – But we backfill the losses with immigrants. –

    When did your peeps backfill here?

    Comment by wordslinger Monday, Apr 15, 19 @ 6:54 pm

  19. Biss himself was just campaigning for the fair tax/graduated income tax. It’s all good.

    Comment by Grandson of Man Tuesday, Apr 16, 19 @ 7:49 am

  20. @MrJM - shouldn’t deleting tweets be an even bigger sin for a politician (or journalist)? Instead of a public record, you get to just wipe out everything you said unless some organization like Archive.org records it? If I saw someone doing that I’d feel perfectly justified assuming the worst (conflicts of interest, maybe even racism/sexism).

    Comment by lake county democrat Tuesday, Apr 16, 19 @ 7:49 am

  21. Downstate counties on the Indiana border actually have the out migration across the State line.

    These are folks who do not need to leave their job, and simply sell their house and move to a lower property tax situation a few miles across the border.

    Insurance agents and others who deal directly with these folks describe this process as increasingly routine. Certainly a much different dynamic than urban areas, but it is happening.

    Some downstate border counties have contemplated working with the neighboring State on attracting new industry and settling for their fair share of the new population to assist the economy. In a kind of “if you can’t beat them, join them” strategy. These are the thinking folks, not the types at the Effingham succession rally.

    Comment by You Bet Tuesday, Apr 16, 19 @ 9:14 am

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