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* Press release…
The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced 1,346 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 80 additional deaths.
Cook County: 1 female teens, 1 male 30s, 2 males 50s, 11 females 60s, 5 males 60s, 5 females 70s, 11 males 70s, 5 females 80s, 4 males 80s, 1 female 90s, 5 males 90s, 1 female 100+, 1 male 100+
DuPage County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 2 males 80s, 1 male 90s
Jackson County: 1 male 80s
Lake County: 1 male 70s, 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 male 100+
Macon County: 1 female 70s, 2 females 80s, 1 male 80s
McHenry County: 3 males 70s
Monroe County: 1 female 90s
Ogle County: 1 female 80s
Rock Island County: 1 male 50s
St. Clair County: 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s
Whiteside County: 1 male 70s
Will County: 1 female 50s, 1 male 50s, 1 male 60s, 1 female 70sUnion County is now reporting a case. Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 24,593 cases, including 948 deaths, in 89 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years.
…Adding… Graph of new cases…
posted by Rich Miller
Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 2:44 pm
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Previous Post: Slowing the upward curve is just not enough
Next Post: Plan by eight Senate Republicans is a bit on the ghoulish side
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I’m watching the governor. I think this is the first time ever that I’ve criticized a reporter from a reputable news org, but whoever that is who won’t stop asking about the secret flights. It’s irresponsible to talk about it when the supplies aren’t here yet. Report on it once the planes land and the supplies are in our warehouses.
Comment by Cheryl44 Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:04 pm
Look on the bright side–there were no questions about cancelling the primary today.
Comment by ajjacksson Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:30 pm
Rich. As you know my google skills are limited if nonexistent. Has there been any data released on hospitalization numbers per data? Releases per day? Also wondering if the McCormick Center is receiving patients yet, and if so, who is manning the makeshift hospital.
Comment by Blue Dog Dem Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:33 pm
The governor addressed what he thought the curve would look like on the way down. I agree it will not be a steep drop It will probably be a rough mirror image of what it looks like on the way up.
Comment by Captain Who Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:43 pm
===probably be a rough mirror image of what it looks like on the way up===
No. Much slower drop. Keep up please https://capitolfax.com/2020/04/15/the-decline-may-not-be-as-fast-as-the-rise/’
and https://capitolfax.com/2020/04/15/slowing-the-upward-curve-is-just-not-enough/
Comment by Rich Miller Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:49 pm
Blue Dog,
JB has spoken about these numbers frequently.
Comment by Chicago Cynic Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:50 pm
Blue Dog, IDPH is putting the numbers on their site. Look there.
Comment by Rich Miller Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:54 pm
Rich, I either missed it, or the doctor did not give a recovery rate today. Can you direct me to that information. Thanks
Comment by Mama Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 3:59 pm
Rich. Found it thanks. Looks like our statewide beds vs icu beds at around 33% untapped. I am assuming Chicago area is maxed out(?). Still no info on how the McCormickCtr thing is going.
Comment by Blue Dog Dem Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 4:02 pm
==Still no info on how the McCormickCtr thing is going==
It’s empty and they are hoping it stays empty
Comment by Demoralized Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 4:17 pm
Has there been a report on an outbreak at the Tyson processing plant in Joslin? There was a mention made of this on an unrelated board.
I checked the QC Times on-line, and googled, and nothing.
Comment by jaykay sr Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 4:18 pm
If you can put a moving average on the graph you can see the flattening
Comment by CapnCrunch Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 5:45 pm
“rough mirror image of what it looks like on the way up”
More likely an inverse of the climb up. A long slow decline.
Comment by Huh? Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 5:58 pm
A moving average on the graph of daily deaths will show the same effect.
Comment by CapnCrunch Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 5:58 pm
“If you can put a moving average on the graph you can see the flattening”
If you graph the base 10 logarithm of the daily and total cases, the total cases look like the left side of a bell curve. It graphically describes the term “bending the curve”. Several weeks ago it was rising steeply. Now, the curve is bending over into the left side of a bell curve.
The daily number of cases fluctuates up and down, but is also bending over into a rough left side of a bell curve.
In any case, the curves have not reached a peak or started to level off.
With my wild imagination, ill informed and uneducated speculation, I expect the total number of cases to eventually flatten to a plateau that gradually increases then slowly fall.
My idle time and curiosity got the better of me. Wikipedia’s page for Illinois keeps a running record of the daily case announcements. That is where I started and loaded the numbers into a spreadsheet to produce the graph. Now for the daily numbers, I use the CapFax updates.
Comment by Huh? Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 6:16 pm
Can you put up a chart for daily death tolls?
I realize that might sound a trifle ghoulish, but that really is the key variable over the long term — just how much of a threat is COVID-19 to the general public?
Comment by Lord Voldemort Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 6:54 pm
Sorry Rich, thanks for correcting me. The descent will be slower although it will probably look sawtoothed by the time it hits bottom. There will bad days among the good on the way down.
Comment by Captain Who Wednesday, Apr 15, 20 @ 6:57 pm