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1,140 new cases, 125 additional deaths

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* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced 1,140 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 125 additional deaths.

- Bond County: 1 male 70s
- Champaign County: 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s
- Christian County: 1 male 70s
- Cook County: 1 male 30s, 2 females 40s, 1 male 40s, 3 females 50s, 6 males 50s, 5
females 60s, 8 males 60s, 1 unknow 60s, 8 females 70s, 18 males 70s, 10 females 80s, 17
males 80s, 6 females 90s, 5 males 90s, 1 male 100+
- DuPage County: 1 female 80s, 2 males 90s
- Kane County: 1 female 70s
- Lake County: 1 male 50s, 1 female 60s, 2 females 80s, 3 females 90s, 2 males 90s
- Madison County: 1 female 70s
- McHenry County: 1 male 60s, 1 female 70s
- McLean County: 1 female 80s
- Monroe County: 1 female 80s
- St. Clair County: 1 male 60s, 2 males 70s, 1 female 90s
- Will County: 1 male 50s, 1 male 60s, 1 male 70s, 2 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 female 90s

Alexander County is now reporting a case. Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 25,733 cases, including 1,072 deaths, in 90 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years.

…Adding… New cases still on a plateau…

posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 2:43 pm

Comments

Yep, time to reopen.

Comment by PublicServant Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:09 pm
It’s a tough time where the realities are so stark one can’t tell if it’s a sincere post or satire.

Comment by Candy Dogood Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:25 pm
-New cases still on a plateau-

Agree that the downward slope is significantly less steep than the upward side. But it is downward trending and is the lowest new case total in 10 days. This is worth celebrating and very cautious optimism.

Comment by Data Guy Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:25 pm
Much like the low count of deaths on Sunday didn’t reflect a downturn, neither does a single low day of cases. On the flip side the high count of deaths reported today only takes on meaning if there is a consistent number at this level or higher.

It is the nature of statistics to have fluctuations. If you look at the case count before today over the last week the range is from 1,173 to 1,672. Those were on consecutive days, so a drop of 206 in cases from yesterday could be entirely due to statistical fluctuations.

Comment by muon Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:54 pm
===the high count of deaths reported today only takes on meaning===

Lagging indicator. 3-4 weeks.

Comment by Rich Miller Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:55 pm
===This is worth celebrating===

One day is not a trend.

We need like 14 days of that happening every day.

Comment by Rich Miller Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 3:56 pm
on what date were large nursing home deaths counted?

Comment by Amalia Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 4:12 pm
-One day is not a trend-

100% agree. But if you did a linear regression trend line on any day from 4/7 and on, you would see a negative slope. Not definitive but encouraging. Thus, cautious optimism.

-could be entirely due to statistical flucations-

Yes, one day could be. But the trend over the last 10 days is downward sloping. Cautiously optimistic that it continues. We need another week of data.

Comment by Data Guy Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 4:25 pm
The record number of deaths is discouraging, but we can unfortunately probably expect to see the daily deaths continue to increase even as the new case growth rate decreases, given the lag between time of diagnosis and death. That does not mean that the social distancing measures aren’t working, though.

The Washington Post had a piece out about how the virus may attack other organ systems beyond just the respiratory system (heart, kidneys, nerves, etc.). No slam-dunk evidence of this (and if it is happening it looks like it’s only in a subset of severe COVID-19 cases), but something to keep an eye on, especially if we see a spike in deaths from cardiovascular problems or kidney failure.

Comment by Homeschool Prom King Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 6:44 pm
These numbers are disappointing. I was forced to make a scary run to the grocery today. While everybody was social distancing, there were a decent amount without masks or gloves. Even the elderly. Sorry to see.

Comment by My 2 Cents Thursday, Apr 16, 20 @ 9:37 pm