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* This is an Ogden & Fry poll. I don’t always run its polls, but it seems to be in line with other polls and I’m told the mobile to landline split was 50/50. Also, the small business response was too interesting to pass up…
Q1: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing handling the Coronavirus outbreak in the United States?
STRONGLY APPROVE 38.7%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 7.8% [46.6%]
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 6.5%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 42.3% [48.8%]
DON’T KNOW 4.7%Q2: Do you approve or disapprove of the job JB Pritzker is doing handling the Coronavirus outbreak here in Illinois?
STRONGLY APPROVE 39.4%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21.5% [60.9%]
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 9.9%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 25.0% [ 34.9%]
DON’T KNOW 4.1%Q3: Do you support or oppose the current stay at home order in place here in Illinois?
STRONGLY SUPPORT 49.4%
SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 21.0% [70.4%]
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 10.3%
STRONGLY OPPOSE 15.5% [25.8%]
DON’T KNOW 3.8%Q4: Are you concerned that states might lift their stay at home orders too quickly, or too slowly?
TOO QUICKLY 54.9%
TOO SLOWLY 29.6%
DON’T KNOW 15.5%Q5: Do you believe that small retail businesses should be allowed to open immediately, as long as they follow the same social distancing requirements that big box stores have to follow?
YES 75.3%
NO 12.2%
DON’T KNOW 12.6%Q6: Do you believe that religious institutions should be allowed to open immediately, as long as they follow the same social distancing requirements that big box stores have to follow?
YES 54.2%
NO 34.5%
DON’T KNOW 11.3%Q7: Thinking about the race for State Representative in November, if the election were held today, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Republican Candidate 40.3%
Democratic Candidate 46.2%
Undecided 13.6%
* Methodology…
Ogden & Fry conducted a seven-question poll for Get Illinois Right on Thursday May 7th, statewide regarding favorability of candidates and approval of executive handling of the Coronavirus Pandemic with 537 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely 2020 General Election voters. The margin of error for this poll is +/- 4.32% at the 95% confidence interval.
Get Illinois Right is a political action committee run by GOP Rep. Keith Wheeler. Reps. Mark Batinick and Ryan Spain are proposing legislation to allow small businesses to reopen under social distancing guidelines.
*** UPDATE *** An April 27-May 4 Washington Post-Ipsos poll found that 71 percent of Illinoisans approve of Gov. Pritzker’s handling of the crisis. Just 27 percent disapproved.
The poll also had bad news for Georgia’s governor. 39 percent approved and 61 percent disapproved of his handling of the pandemic. That governor is trying to open faster than most others…
Abbott, DeSantis and Kemp face blowback for reopening their states on a faster schedule. Nationally, 56 percent of Americans say their state government has handled restrictions on businesses “about right,” with 28 percent saying restrictions have been lifted “too quickly” and 16 percent saying they have not been lifted quickly enough. But nearly half of Floridians (48 percent) and majorities in both Texas (59 percent) and Georgia (65 percent) say their state government is “lifting restrictions too quickly.”
The Georgia sample size was quite small, however, at just 219.
posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:25 am
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No reason most small businesses and religious institutions can’t open safely and practice social distancing more effectively than Walmart and Home Depot have for the past 8 weeks JB.
Comment by Lucky Pierre Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:31 am
I think the 50/50 landline-mobile split is going to skew to an older demographic. Considering family, friends and clients, I don’t know anyone under 50 who has landline at home. I don’t know what that does to the open/stay home breakdown, but it would seem likely to skew it stay home.
Comment by The Ford Lawyer Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:31 am
Distancing and face coverings.
Comment by Marquee Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:36 am
Is there any regional data on the approve / disapprove rating? Downstate vs Chicago type spread?
Might be interesting to compare the favorables vs rate of infection in different areas.
Comment by SKI Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:44 am
Until stores can handout, and insist on their customers wearing, a mask, they can ‘open up’, but no one’s going to show up.
Comment by PublicServant Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:44 am
=No reason most small businesses and religious institutions can’t open safely and practice social distancing more effectively than Walmart and Home Depot have for the past 8 weeks JB.=
Small business, maybe. Churches are pretty risky. It’s not just staying 6 feet apart. Being in an enclosed space with a lot of breathing people is risky:
https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them?fbclid=IwAR0_m5jR7QHWrr8NkC-ZfBZYXnkwmr9knFYtwa5uXWBt1uvsaOcFVkggda0
Comment by LakeCo Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:44 am
Churches are God’s big box retailer.
Comment by City Zen Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:45 am
=== An April 27-May 4 Washington Post-Ipsos poll found that 71 percent of Illinoisans approve of Gov. Pritzker’s handling of the crisis. Just 27 percent disapproved.
The poll also had bad news for Georgia’s governor. 39 percent approved and 61 percent disapproved of his handling of the pandemic. That governor is trying to open faster than most others…===
That, and consumer confidence driving the opening with scientific rationale… that’s how you lead a state, now 3rd behind New York and New Jersey, with a plan
Open up too early, we will face a return that will be real.
Oh. That’s not me.
=== Dr Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert and a central figure in the government’s response to the coronavirus, plans to deliver a stark warning to the Senate: Americans would experience “needless suffering and death” if the country opens up prematurely.===
Cite?
=== In an email sent to the New York Times late Monday night, he laid out what he intends to say.
“The major message that I wish to convey to the Senate HLP committee tomorrow is the danger of trying to open the country prematurely,” he wrote. “If we skip over the checkpoints in the guidelines to ‘Open America Again’, then we risk the danger of multiple outbreaks throughout the country. This will not only result in needless suffering and death, but would actually set us back on our quest to return to normal.”===
Ignoring science, the polling the governor is (lack of a better term or phrase) enjoying… the 27% are pushing, according to Dr. Fauci…
”… needless suffering and death…”
Sobering.
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:45 am
Questions about the age and location of the respondents is available in the crosstabs on pages four and five of the document to which Rich linked.
Looks sound to me.
– MrJM
Comment by @misterjayem Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:48 am
Finally some questions about specific policy flashpoints. There is ample room for opinion to slip on the guv. If he maintains his staunch opposition to opening churches and shops, it will shift further.
Lockdown until eradication is a minority position, too, and will only become increasingly so as the months wear on and the peak keeps shifting.
Comment by JB13 Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:50 am
Let us join with Mr/Ms SKI on the regional cross tabs..curious whether folks in the Bailey-Bryant crew are as whacky as them.
BTW could someone tell Rep/Sen Bryant that Don Harmon is the Senate President….that was the opening mistake with Tom Miller this a.m.
Comment by Annonin Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:51 am
Yesterday’s COVID-19 briefing by Pritzker was depressing, with the coronavirus peak coming in the future. A good general will find ways to boost the troops’ morale. To keep support high, Pritzker would need to find more optimism and give people rewards somehow.
Comment by Grandson of Man Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:51 am
Most churches aren’t the size of Walmart. They’re usually fairly packed. Church services usually last for at least a hour. I can be in and out of Walmart in less than 20 minutes with my food for the week.
And finally, you need food to live. You don’t need to be in a physical church to worship, let alone live. Stop it with the disingenuous comparisons to “box stores”. It’s silly and shows you are either foolish or dishonest.
Comment by Perrid Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:52 am
==If he maintains his staunch opposition to opening churches and shops==
He isn’t staunchly opposed. He’s laid out the plan for how things will reopen.
==Lockdown until eradication is a minority position==
Yeah, it is. Especially since I’ve not seen one person advocate for that.
Comment by Demoralized Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:52 am
@Lucky Pierre:
The owner of “Jeri’s Grill” shutdown permanently after fifty-seven years. Some small businesses like this Chicago diner cannot open up and practice social distancing. Most of the seats are at the counter.
I am afraid that many popular coffee shops will not be able to reopen with social distancing or survive the shutdown. Illinois may be the last state to reopen.
Comment by Practical Politics Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 9:57 am
I think this is pretty easy to understand – social distancing is not a guarantee of not getting this virus. It’s among the best precautions you can take to avoid getting it. Couple that with wearing a mask is an advantage, but still not a guarantee. If we want to start letting 12 million people in the state back to going to church, frequenting small businesses and restaurants and attending social and sporting events then like Dr. Fauci said Americans are going to needlessly suffer and experience more death. Unless we are all going to accept that tens of thousands of more people are going to die and that’s OK, then we have to keep doing what we’re doing. This is not going to be into perpetuity. And the more we adhere to the stay at home guidelines the sooner we will get through this. The more that people are out there, the longer it will take until we can get to a point where we can engage openly and more publicly again.
Comment by Shytown Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 10:05 am
Whoever must defy the stay at home order and go to a house of worship in the middle of a pandemic, while not observing masks, social distancing and limited gatherings, is not only selfish but doesn’t have that strong of faith to begin with.
Comment by Grandson of Man Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 10:08 am
=== I am afraid that many popular coffee shops will not be able to reopen with social distancing or survive the shutdown. Illinois may be the last state to reopen.===
… and yet many of the regions should hit Phase 3 by May 29th…
Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 10:13 am
=The owner of “Jeri’s Grill” shutdown permanently after fifty-seven years=
This one hits hard - our neighborhood diner going away. Monty Gaels just down the street and that new-ish South African BBQ joint are both gone forever too.
Comment by Joe Bidenopolous Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 11:26 am
JB sadly opened a can of worms when he broadened categories of businesses that can open (under reduced capacity) to include nonessential things like drive ins and churches. Now, any places that can social distance have a grievance, even if that distancing is not helpful in preventing transmission (e.g., singing in church or being in a restaurant). Nonessential businesses that can limit capacity and keep social distance, especially downstate, are likely to be the camel’s nose for the EO.
Comment by Jibba Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 11:31 am
Unless things change state employees–including the Capitol Complex–will be returning to work and state buildings reopening June 1. Albeit with social distancing and mask requirements at work. And having to eat lunch at your desk at work if possible.
Comment by Chatham Resident Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 11:33 am
I have no problem with small Specialty retail establishments opening up with social distancing, masks, and capacity reduction.. I’m only going to go in, get my purchase, and get out.
It’s the sit, stay a while, public places that I won’t go, its the apparel, jewelry, shoe places I won’t go. It’s the restaurants, Churches, and bars I won’t go to.
Comment by thoughts matter Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 12:08 pm
Strongly agree with Perrid.
Comment by SouthSide Markie Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 12:52 pm
On both issues I agree with the Poll.
Kind of unusal for me!
Comment by OpentoDiscussion Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 1:05 pm
I think JB needs to do a little additional educating at the podium. Social distancing is only part of this. Your risk increases the longer you’re in an enclosed space with someone who is infected. (Take a look at that amazing story of the Chinese restaurant where the AC unit sent the virus flying from one table to another.) Churches are particularly difficult because people can sit in there for more than an hour. It’s also impossible to practice social distancing and pass the plate, or take part in communion. Not to mention, singing seems to be a great way to move the virus long distances. So choirs are particularly at risk.
Comment by Soccermom Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 1:30 pm
Just one person infected 52 others at a choir practice in Washington State. https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/washington/articles/2020-05-12/us-choir-outbreak-called-superspreader-event-in-report
Comment by Soccermom Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 1:31 pm
I’m losing patience with all the people who are comparing numbers in New York with numbers in other places. We don’t know how many will eventually get it and get sick and those other places. So you’re comparing snapshots from different locations on the curve
Comment by Soccermom Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 2:00 pm
You cannot open up businesses and have people stay at home.
For the businesses to open, employees have to go to work.
For employees to go to work, they have to have child care, take mass transit, get haircuts, drycleaning, etc.
Also, if people are following the order, there should be no one shopping in the furniture store.
Comment by Yellow Dog Democrat Tuesday, May 12, 20 @ 5:53 pm
This is ridiculous. Suicides, drug overdoses and domestic abuse are skyrocketing. People are dying because they can’t get cardiac surgeries and cancer care. Starvation. More people will soon be dying of the “cure” than the disease. Open the country. Protect the vulnerable. Herd Immunity. Most people won’t even know they’ve had it. Look up Dr. Barke’s speech in California.
Comment by Anonymous Wednesday, May 13, 20 @ 1:38 pm