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Question of the day

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Illinois

* The voting is over two weeks from today. Your thoughts as the campaign hits the home stretch?

posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 1:56 pm

Comments

Trump actually has a chance to win.

Comment by allknowingmasterofraccoodom Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 1:59 pm
Covid will impact student turnout in Champaign, altering the results of Rodney Davis race.

Comment by Downstate Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:06 pm
Illinois has yet another Blue wave coming– nearly sweeping away all suburban House Republicans. That’ll be okay because the new suburban Democrats will have to vote on JB’s tax increase after the progressive tax goes down in flames.

Comment by Anon y mouse Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:09 pm
===Covid will impact student turnout in Champaign===

lol

How?

Comment by Rich Miller Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:12 pm
I desperately need some Xanax.

Comment by Election Worker Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:13 pm
For the love of God, please let the nightmare of the last four years end on election night.

Comment by Bob Cobb Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:19 pm
1. Progressive income tax gets defeated
2. Record turnout rate nationwide in a US Presidential election (at least in the past 100 years)

Comment by Fayette County Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:20 pm
Not voting for anyone with “R” after their name. Will vote for the tax amendment.

Think it will be a blue wave across the country.

Comment by Huh? Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:22 pm
I’m with Bob Cobb on this one. Let the nightmare end.

Comment by Benjamin Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:23 pm
- Election Worker - Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:13 pm:

I desperately need some Xanax.

Give this a try?

Take in an easy breath for a four second count…hold for seven seconds…release slowly through pursed lips for a count of eight seconds…repeat for three rounds…Try it and be amazed…anytime…anywhere… free and non-addictive.

Comment by Dotnonymous Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:25 pm
Received my “second” letter from the SOS Jesse White about not responding to my county’s VBM application offer. I was glad to see that unlike the last one this letter was constructed by a professional. It gave info about the options of in person early voting and voting on election day with the reminder to turn in any VBM ballot received but not returned if one chooses to vote in person instead. Of course, most voters who received this letter probably did not apply because they were already planning not to use VBM. All this info should have been made clear on the earlier big brother is watching you letter from the SOS.

Comment by Responsa Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:27 pm
Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is sounding better and better as a basis for a system of government.

Comment by RFR Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:28 pm
I predict a Londrigan win in a blue tsunami…overall.

Comment by Dotnonymous Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:34 pm
I love politics. or I did. this season is so tiring with bleak negative commercials. please put up some closing messages soon, candidates.

Comment by Amalia Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:42 pm
I want to be sedated.

https://youtu.be/l0usV_kf-Zc

Comment by Chicago Cynic Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:43 pm
The big winners this campaign cycle are the do nothing county chairs and precinct committee people.

Comment by Candy Dogood Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:44 pm
I think Davis wins, Trump is reelected by a bigger than thought level. Republicans keep the Senate, and gain some house seats. People are not ready for the radical changes the Democrats are offering. To Trump, Hunter Biden is a gift from Heaven.

Comment by Retired Educator Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:44 pm
You can’t expect to wield supreme executive power just ’cause some watery tart threw a sword at you

Comment by Lurker Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:47 pm
I see fewer yard signs this election

Comment by Lamb Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:50 pm
“The voting is over two weeks from today” Which can only mean the campaign for 2022 starts two weeks and a day from today.

Comment by Skeptic Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:56 pm
talk obout governors race will start 0.5 seconds after polls close.

Comment by Drake Mallard Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 2:57 pm
“Your thoughts as the campaign hits the home stretch?”

Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.

– MrJM

Comment by @misterjayem Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:08 pm
== I think Davis wins, Trump is reelected by a bigger than thought level. Republicans keep the Senate, and gain some house seats. ==

I pretty much agree with this. Rodney will be very close. Illinois won’t flip red, but there might be spots that do.

I also expect more down and dirty ads from both sides.

And there may well be yet another late October / November surprise at the National level … but with the amount of early voting going on, it may not have too much effect on the outcome.

I think the turnout will be one of the highest percentages in modern times.

Illinois specifically, I would call it a win if the GOP doesn’t lose more than 1 or 2 seats in the State House and Senate chambers.

Graduated income tax, if it passes, will be closer than Rodney’s win.

Comment by RNUG Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:12 pm
=I think Davis wins, Trump is reelected by a bigger than thought level. Republicans keep the Senate, and gain some house seats.=

Speculate how that’ll affect your pension?

Comment by Anyone Remember Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:31 pm
== Speculate how that’ll affect your pension? ==

It won’t.

But the family investments may do better under Trump. One analysis I saw predicted over 12% under Trump and around 9% under Biden.

Comment by RNUG Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:35 pm
=It won’t.=

COVID-19 relief will be the same under Trump / McConnell and Biden / Schumer?

Comment by Anyone Remember Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:43 pm
RFR, that method is sounding better and better to me all the time.

Once the election is over, I am going to hear less about state rep races in ads and more about various medications, so that is kind of a wash.

Then again, perhaps I am now just watching old person TV….

Comment by OneMan Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 3:52 pm
I see the continuing collapse of the Republican Party In Illinois

Fair Tax goes down. Too many retirees voting to protect their pensions from taxation.

Trump loses decisively. Many people cannot stomach the thought of four more years of chaos.

Comment by Last Bull Moose Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:09 pm
I believe that the October surprise we’ll be that there is not surprise. The cake is already baked. At this point it all comes down to turnout and a willingness to accept the will of the people. Turnout will exceed all prior records across all platforms.

Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:09 pm
It can’t be over soon enough.

Comment by Nameless Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:13 pm
First thought: Is it over yet?? Second thought: The polls are always right (Hoover vs. Roosevelt, 1930’s). The news headlines are always right (Dewey Defeats Truman, 1948). There is a huge majority of silent voters this time, a SCOTUS ruling that forces Electoral College members to follow the vote as applied by their State’s laws (no going rouge), and a Democratic party having its own serious issues and failures. And to Lurker’s comment about “watery tarts throwing a sword at you” being no system of government, I reply “Help, Help, I’m being repressed”

Comment by thisjustinagain Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:18 pm
I’m giving up drinking until this is over.
Sorry, bad punctuation.
I’m giving up. Drinking until this is over.

Comment by TinyDancer(FKASue) Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:37 pm
Just hope the mute button on the TV keeps working for that long for what seems to be only political ads during commercial breaks.

Comment by West Side the Best Side Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:41 pm
=== People are not ready for the radical changes the Democrats are offering.===
Radical changes? Biden? Have you seen his voting record?

Comment by Da Big Bad Wolf Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:44 pm
I refuse to make predictions after 2016, based on polling. Polls show a solid Biden lead nationally and less of a lead in swing states. If polls are reasonably accurate this election, it gives Biden a chance. Record turnout would be great in Illinois and everywhere. What does that mean when the GOP base could be shrinking thanks to older voters and Trump?

The Hunter Biden emails story may be amplified in right wing media but doesn’t seem to be getting much traction anywhere else. We have major problems in this country and state, to focus on something like that (barring an absolute bombshell that hasn’t come yet).

Comment by Grandson of Man Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 4:59 pm
Rodney Davis? Down by 1.4% Casten? Cruises to re-election LaHood? Wins big

Comment by Former State Rep Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 5:08 pm
I am in a position where I meet a lot of people from PHDs to construction laborers, union and non union people. I sit in airports and on airplanes, sit outside at hotel patios all across the US. What I am hearing is a lot of the same things I heard four years ago. I take the polemic position with some people to get to the heart of what they believe. Across the board I hear more support for the POTUS and less enthusiasm for the for former VP. This is across the Country, not just one State.

Four years ago when a lot of people here said Trump had no chance, I said he could very well win based on my unscientific observations. I have a feeling he will be re-elected. Just based again on my unscientific observations.

Comment by FormerParatrooper Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 5:48 pm
Trump is wins again. Enough people are turned off by the Harris-Biden Ticket that the far-left has lower turnout than expected. Republicans hold the Senate, maybe pick up a couple House seats but not enough to flip it. Davis hangs on by a thread. Tax amendment fails. State GOP is still wandering list in the woods.
Two weeks after the election Biden announces late stage Alzheimer’s and goes out of the public eye. Riots pick back up across the Country. The next Congress sees a nasty fight for Speaker and Pelosi is ousted for someone more Racial Left. Senate drops any investigation into Biden’s pay to play schemes since he can’t remember anything anyway and several GOP Senators don’t want the can of worms that is labeled Chinese money opened(McConnell).

Comment by SOIL M Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 6:03 pm
SOIL M - Nice to see someone as cynical as myself on here. I agree except I think Rodney will lose. I hope not but I don’t think his reliance on Madigan money will prevail. I would have liked to see him focus on the Democrat’s radical national agenda and hang it around Lil Betsy’s neck.

Comment by Captain Obvious Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 6:33 pm
Captain Obvious— Only my opinion, but think Davis benefits from lower turn out among young leftists than expected Either way it will be close.

Comment by SOIL M Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 7:09 pm
The debate and things we haven’t envisioned yet will still impact the election. Silent majorities who are sick of the riots & protest in Dem controlled cities and the FBI investigation of the Biden’s (Joe & Hunter) corruption with Ukraine & China might turn votes to the right. Also, a lot of Dems see that a vote for Biden (who they don’t expect to be their president for any significant amount of time) is a vote for Harris and the radical left including Bernie Sanders, Ilan Omar, Alexandria Ocazio Cortez, etc.

Unprecedented polling numbers will decide this election.

Comment by HighSox Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 8:34 pm
Although I don’t watch Fox News I can see the path to victory they’re outlining based on the comments. I had no idea how scary the Biden’s and radical left were until I read it here.

Comment by Pundent Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 8:45 pm
=== Silent majorities who are sick of the riots & protest in Dem controlled cities===

That’s a wish, but a concern or a reality to the early voting party affiliations.

=== radical left …Ilan Omar, Alexandria Ocazio Cortez===

Trump already has the voters with racist thoughts.

To the post,

I think there’s going to be such a want and desire to vote…

The undecideds are very low, the negatives for the incumbent rarely helps, breaking away when there’s no reason to “come home”

People are waiting hours to vote, people are “coming home” to vote early so no worry of mail in ballots.

The home stretch, closing arguments, need to be about only convincing your pluses it’s worth the time to vote. If you’re still trying to convince now, you’re far too behind to discuss.

Early voting changed everything. Adapt or die.

Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 8:47 pm
The Davis - Londrigan race is killing me. I think she will win by a decent margin but these ads are ruining my TV. That is ALL that I was getting during my bed time TV.

Comment by Overit Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 9:06 pm
Some people commenting today seem blissfully unaware that the voters of the opposing party might outnumber them. I recommend at least entertaining that possibility, because then you won’t have to search for a scapegoat like “fraud.”

Comment by Jibba Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 10:04 pm
To commemorate the centennial of the 19th amendment, the gender gap of the 2020 election will be the largest in history.

Comment by Rich Hill Tuesday, Oct 20, 20 @ 10:40 pm
“===Covid will impact student turnout in Champaign===

Rich - NY Times has an article on this today and cites the Londrigan/Davis race.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/us/politics/college-students-voting-location.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage

Comment by 1st Ward Wednesday, Oct 21, 20 @ 12:22 am