Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar

Latest Post | Last 10 Posts | Archives

Previous Post: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Session update
Next Post: COVID-19 Roundup: Motion to consolidate 11 cases; Liability concerns for basketball; DCEO grant clawback; Cook’s lack of contact tracing; CTU loses reopening battle

*** UPDATED x1 *** 10,376 new cases, 49 additional deaths, 4,090 hospitalized, 786 in the ICU, 9.6 perccent case positivity rate, 11.1 percent test positivity rate, 75 of 102 counties at warning level

Posted in:

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 10,376 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 49 additional deaths.

Following Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidance, beginning November 6, 2020 and going forward, IDPH will report confirmed cases and probable cases combined. A confirmed case is laboratory confirmed via molecular test. A probable case meets clinical criteria AND is epidemiologically linked, or has a positive antigen test. If a probable case is later confirmed, the case will be deduplicated and will only be counted once. Probable deaths and confirmed deaths will continue to be reported separately.

Today’s additional deaths:

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 465,540 cases, including 10,079 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 98,401 specimens for a total 8,215,129. As of last night, 4,090 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 786 patients were in the ICU and 339 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 30 – November 5 is 9.6%. This is the number that IDPH has been consistently reporting in its daily releases and is calculated using total cases over total tests. Similar to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH has been using test positivity for regional mitigation metrics on its website since mid-July. Test positivity is calculated using the number of COVID-19 positive tests over total tests. On October 29, 2020, IDPH began reporting the statewide test positivity in its daily releases. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from October 30, 2020 – November 5, 2020 is 11.1%.

Case positivity and test positivity rate are both relevant and offer insight into the bigger COVID-19 picture. Case positivity helps us understand whether changes in the number of confirmed cases is due to more testing or due to more infections. Whereas, test positivity accounts for repeated testing and helps us understand how the virus is spreading in the population over time.

Seventy-five counties, plus the city of Chicago, are currently reported at a warning level – Adams, Alexander, Bond, Boone, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Chicago, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Cook, Crawford, Cumberland, DeKalb, Douglas, DuPage, Effingham, Franklin, Fulton, Gallatin, Greene, Grundy, Hamilton, Hancock, Iroquois, Jackson, Jasper, Jersey, Jo Daviess, Johnson, Kane, Kankakee, Kendall, Knox, Lake, LaSalle, Lee, Livingston, Logan, Macon, Madison, Marion, Mason, Massac, McHenry, Mercer, Monroe, Morgan, Moultrie, Ogle, Peoria, Perry, Pike, Pulaski, Putnam, Randolph, Rock Island, Saline, Sangamon, Scott, Shelby, St. Clair, Stephenson, Tazewell, Vermilion, Wabash, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Whiteside, Will, Williamson, Winnebago, and Woodford.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

*** UPDATE *** Some of you have noticed that IDPH has some different case numbers today. Dr. Ezike explained this at the daily briefing…

In addition to the data that the governor just spoke about I want to tell people that we are also adding similar to the CDC. We will begin reporting confirmed, and probable cases.

I know that the various CDC terms may be new and are confusing, so I want to explain this update so you can best understand the numbers. I’m thrilled that so many people are following along on our on our website and following the information, so want to make sure it’s all clear.

As treatment and testing have evolved, so too has our response. In August, the national case definition was changed so that an antigen test alone would be considered a probable case. The increased use of antigen tests, we will get more probable cases and we want to make sure that we capture all of those cases that are diagnosed via antigen test, similar to how the CDC does this, and similar to how other states are calculating this as well, so that we can show our actual true Burden of Disease here in Illinois. The result of this is that the total number of cases, since the beginning of the pandemic that we report today is going to look quite a bit higher, because we have added all the probable cases, since the beginning of the pandemic.

Those were already reported each week on our website but we’re bringing that in so there’s approximately 7600 additional cases that will be added to Illinois, total number of cases. To be clear, these are being counted as new cases that occurred in the last 24 hours. These are previously reported probable cases that are now being included in our total grant case count. Instead of having them separated out. So today for the cases that we’re, new cases that were reported over the last 24 hours. That number is 10,376. And that creates total number of cases, 465,540.

Please pardon all transcription errors.

posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:07 pm

Comments

  1. What happened…during summer we were down to a few hundred cases a day and single digit deaths….bow this?

    Comment by Mask up Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:30 pm

  2. I wanted to see how some of the larger downstate counties were doing and Madison’s numbers day over day are alarming.

    11/5/20- tested 107,647 positive 8,252
    11/6/20- tested 108,902 positive 8,763

    the one day difference would be 1,255 tests, 511 positives for a 40.7% positivity rate

    I know random variance on positives/negatives coming in batches but this is just another of many bad signs the state is in right now.

    Comment by all luck Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:30 pm

  3. We need new messaging. Flatten the curve made it sound like we just changed when we got sick. We need to characterize it as fighting a delaying action as reinforcements in terms of better treatments and vaccines come on line. Flatten and truncate.

    We also know more about the morbidity problems. In dollar terms the 30 or 40 year old who develops chronic heart or lung problems will cost a lot more than the 80 year old who dies early. Anti-Covid ads need to be like the ads against smoking that feature severely damaged people. Old folks dying is not resonating with the Covidiots.

    Comment by Last Bull Moose Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:47 pm

  4. Does anyone know why they show over 18,000 cases on the IDPH covid page for today? I’m guessing some sort of data dump, but I haven’t seen any explanation.

    Comment by Smalls Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:49 pm

  5. “Does anyone know why they show over 18,000 cases on the IDPH covid page for today?”

    They added probable and confirmed cases together.

    Comment by MrX Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:52 pm

  6. This morning, the McLean County Health Department reported that there were 118 new cases and the county total was 4,838. Now the data provided by the IDPH for the same county shows a total of 5,205 total cases. That would be an increase of another 367 cases. YIKES!!

    Comment by Nearly Normal Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 12:58 pm

  7. When is the last time a question of the current R-naught was asked?

    Feelings from serious people I talk too are very worried that the spread of the virus might be so far and wide right now that getting it under control in the short term is all but impossible.

    10k cases today could be 15k a day by Veterans Day and maybe 20k cases a day by next weekend. That type of virus load and spread isn’t easy to stop.

    Comment by Cool Papa Bell Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 1:22 pm

  8. Cases keep increasing and schools in the south suburbs are charging full speed ahead to open up. Today in Orland Park was my wife’s first day with students. Absolutely ludicrous.

    Comment by Shane Falco Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 1:36 pm

  9. @Cool Papa Bell “When is the last time a question of the current R-naught was asked?”

    1.20 according to this website: https://rt.live/us/IL

    Comment by Scott Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 3:47 pm

  10. I will not comply

    Comment by No Mask Friday, Nov 6, 20 @ 4:20 pm

Add a comment

Sorry, comments are closed at this time.

Previous Post: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Session update
Next Post: COVID-19 Roundup: Motion to consolidate 11 cases; Liability concerns for basketball; DCEO grant clawback; Cook’s lack of contact tracing; CTU loses reopening battle

Last 10 posts:

more Posts (Archives)

WordPress Mobile Edition available at alexking.org.

powered by WordPress.