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* Last December, Census estimates claimed Illinois had lost about a quarter of a million people. When the official count came out, however, those estimates were off by about a quarter of a million people. But here comes the Illinois Policy Institute, flogging the estimates again…
Illinois’ population decline is hitting all metropolitan areas of the state.
All metropolitan areas in Illinois shrank from July 2019-July 2020, new estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau show. The statewide population decline is driven entirely by people leaving Illinois, but it is also the primary reason individual metro areas are shrinking.
* And check this out…
While the estimates released May 4 by the Census Bureau offer insights into where population decline is occurring the most, there are discrepancies between the Census Bureau’s estimates of the population and their official decennial Census count, which showed a much smaller statewide population loss that hasn’t yet been addressed by the Census Bureau.
Questions over the accuracy of the official count have been raised on numerous occasions in recent years. One of the primary ways the Census Bureau checks the official count is to compare it with their previous estimates.
It is also unclear what effect Illinois’ increased census outreach spending, which was second highest in the nation, had on the official results. It is possible increased spending resulted in a more accurate count in 2020 than in 2010, which could explain the difference between the official count and estimates. The 2020 estimates are based on the 2010 official count.
That implies the official count may be wrong and the estimates may be right.
Hilarious.
…Adding… “This is the Illinois version of the ‘Big Lie,’” said a pal just now.
posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:36 pm
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I mean, given the 2020 of it all, sure, the official count could be off.
But it could be off in either direction.
Comment by Arsenal Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:41 pm
So the increased spending led to a more complete and accurate count, which is…bad?
Comment by wildcat12 Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:44 pm
The IPI is having *a day* (exclamation mark)
Truly, the biggest phonies you can find who can’t help but grift off things like the “Big Lie”
Even the RaunerS had enough of their “garbage”, those IPI folks lasted whole weeks.
They are as dishonest as much they are making money off their dishonesty.
Worst thing to have on your resume “IPI”… it says so much.
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:46 pm
So the IL GQP is going to claim that the census data is wrong and use that as a basis to not support the maps and then to claim that the Illinois election results are not legitimate because of the “fake news” census results.
Individual claims like, “they added people that didn’t exist to the Chicago count!” will be made. It’ll be fun.
Comment by Candy Dogood Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:48 pm
Billionaires keep complaining about Chicago, while moving their homes and headquarters closer to downtown.
Comment by NIU Grad Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:48 pm
Oops. I think IPI just admitted Pritzker did something right by investing in the census count.
Comment by lololololol Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 1:49 pm
I haven’t seen the IPI fight itself so much since the Rauner-Rausmussen era
Comment by Third reading Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:04 pm
They’re just playing the long game. Support the GOP, get them into a frenzy, have them mount a successful effort to create Kentuckiana and once they get rid of the counties that are absorbing more state dollars than they’re contributing to the pot they’ll be able to turn Chicago into a finance industry utopia state.
Comment by Candy Dogood Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:05 pm
As Groucho Marx once sang, “Whatever it is, I’m against it.”
Comment by Skeptic Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:13 pm
Are they trying to say the 2010 estimate was an undercount just to attack the 2020 estimates.
Lmao.
Comment by Nick Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:17 pm
These are not serious people. One thing is for sure, there are fewer people in Illinois today that agree with the IPI.
Comment by Pundent Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:40 pm
IPI should be some of the people leaving Illinois.
Comment by Sir Reel Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:55 pm
=== IPI should be some of the people leaving Illinois.===
It’s like Kass complaining about Chicago, then purposely moving… to Chicago.
Once you know it’s a sham or for IPI a grift, it all makes sense.
They’ll never leave.
Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 2:58 pm
From the numbers I’ve seen reported, it wasn’t the disaster IPI was forecasting; it was more in line with the long term trend of a slight deflation that a number of northern states have seen for decades … people get old, retire, move to a warmer climate or move to be near family or friends who have moved.
IPI should stop trying to make mountains out of molehills; it destroys whatever credibility that might still have.
Comment by RNUG Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 3:38 pm
Candy hit it out of the park. It’s all about the owners, not the fans.
Comment by walker Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 4:29 pm
The galaxy brains at IPI are just made that Tillman lost big at the Supreme Court today.
Comment by Bud's Bar Stool Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 4:31 pm
*** just mad ***
Comment by Bud's Bar Stool Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 4:32 pm
That IPI reasoning makes my head hurt. Although it is also a little entertaining to see what contortions they will engage in just to keep their world view safe from facts.
Comment by Leslie K Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 4:57 pm
The only big lie is the “haloucast”
Comment by Col Klink Thursday, May 20, 21 @ 9:31 pm