Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar

“Normal” seems so far away

Posted in:

Illinois
Updated Posts

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column…

House Speaker Chris Welch marked his one-year anniversary as his chamber’s top leader with a series of news media interviews last week. One of the questions I asked was what his legislative district’s constituents were talking to him about the most.

“The No. 1 issue in my district, and this is across the state, is crime,” Speaker Welch said.

Welch said he is telling people in his district that he’s working on legislation to address carjacking, organized retail theft and other crime-related issues. He also said he’s talking to mayors and police chiefs in his suburban district about their ideas.

And Welch said he wants to put money into the state budget. “I want to make sure our police are properly funded, properly trained, properly educated.”

When told about Speaker Welch’s response, House Republican Leader Jim Durkin said, in part, “Democrats must just be getting their polling in, showing how disastrous their defund the police and anti-crime victim agenda has been with Illinois voters. Talk is nice, but actions are more important. Just last week the Democrats again passed a law that gives accused criminals more rights than victims. It is no surprise that the No. 1 issue in Speaker Welch’s district is crime, because Democrats have created a consequence-free Illinois that has emboldened criminals.”

I’m hearing from people in both parties that current poll results are extremely ominous for Democrats, particularly in the suburbs. Welch told me he’s “well aware of the political climate as we head into the election season.”

I mentioned that former House Speaker Michael Madigan was often criticized for living in 1994, when Democrats were swept out of office after a massive, racialized anti-crime backlash. But, in a somewhat bizarre twist, it was Madigan’s strong support for the Black Caucus’ criminal justice reform “pillar” as part of his last-minute attempt to hold onto power a year ago that resulted in the controversial bill’s passage. That bill has intensified the Democrats’ political woes.

“We’re going to be fine in 2022, but it’s not going to be given to us. We’ve got to do the work,” Welch said. “And there’s a lot of difference between 2022 and 1994. There’s a lot of ways to communicate to voters that exist now that didn’t exist in 1994.”

Also, the Republicans drew the legislative district map ahead of that 1994 national blowout. Madigan’s Democrats managed to hold on to the majority during the 1992 race, but lost it two years later (and then regained it in 1996).

As far as Leader Durkin is concerned, Welch was completely dismissive. “Leader Durkin has proven that he can’t get past Speaker Madigan,” Welch said, adding that Durkin “is stuck in a partisan fight in his own mind, and so we’ve got to find other ways to work with members on his side of the aisle.”

Welch is disclosing he has $12 million cash on hand in his caucus and personal campaign committee accounts. Madigan’s standard election cycle budget was $30 million, but Welch’s operation also focuses on helping members raise money for themselves, which is not something Madigan ever did. Even so, he has a long way to go.

“There was never a fundraising apparatus within the caucus’ political side,” Welch said. “We’re also helping our members with their political messaging. … From a social media standpoint, we’re providing them with content. That’s never been done before.” He also claimed his members “have had quite a successful year when it comes to fundraising.”

And with petition circulation kicking off last week, I asked Speaker Welch what will happen if any of his House Democratic members attracts a primary opponent. Will he step in to help with money and people?

“I have told our caucus members that it is my plan in every sense of the word to protect incumbent members,” Welch said. “And we will do that.”

By the way, I also asked Senate President Don Harmon what people in his district are telling him.

“What I’m hearing most,” Harmon said, “is a longing for something that resembles ‘getting back to normal.’ It is most often voiced in growing concerns about crime, schools and COVID.”

Normal seems so far away right now.

…Adding… Tom Kacich…

As we know too well, homicides and shooting incidents in Champaign-Urbana were off the charts in 2021. Champaign reported 16 deaths and 259 reports of shots fired. Urbana had 10 deaths and 115 confirmed shootings. Just 10 years ago such numbers were unthinkable.

And Champaign-Urbana isn’t the only downstate community gushing insane gunfire numbers. Peoria’s 34 homicides last year, a local record, were more than twice as many as Champaign, which is about three-quarters the population of Peoria.

Springfield had “only” a dozen homicides last year — slightly above its five-year average — but it had 68 victims of gunfire and an astonishing 308 reports of “shots fired.” That was after the Gun Violence Task Force, an aggressive effort to recover illegal firearms, swept up 421 guns in Springfield, an increase from the 269 retrieved in 2020.

Rockford had 24 homicides last year, down from a record 36 in 2020. Danville had six gun homicides — but 37 victims of gun violence. Still, that was an improvement from the 55 shootings in 2019. Decatur had eight homicides — but 179 shootings, more than three times the number just five years earlier.

posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:29 pm

Comments

There’s going to be a normal someday. It’s just not going to be what was normal pre-Covid.

Comment by Cheryl44 Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:34 pm
I knew normal. Normal was a friend of mine. This is not normal.

Comment by New Day Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:37 pm
If you want Normal, it’s right next to Bloomington.

Comment by cermak_rd Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:46 pm
The top of the state GOP ticket defunded police last year Mr Durkin

Comment by SWIL_Voter Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:47 pm
I guess Senator Harmon didn’t get the memo that concerns about Crime and Schools were Trumpian buzzwords

Comment by Lucky Pierre Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:50 pm
=== defunded police last year===

C’mon. That’s such a horrible exaggeration.

Comment by Rich Miller Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:52 pm
===… didn’t get the memo that concerns about Crime and Schools were Trumpian buzzwords===

The difference, both Harmon and Welch will introduce and pass legislation to try to address these, as Trumpkins will use these buzz words as wedges to divide and keep folks… exactly like you… continually angry about things that they feel aggrieved about.

You know this, but you have no idea how to make it a positive outside the buzz words.

Comment by Oswego Willy Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:54 pm
One person’s normal is another one’s all screwed up.

Comment by Bruce( no not him) Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:56 pm
== C’mon. That’s such a horrible exaggeration.==

Exactly as much exaggeration as will be contained in every hit piece against Dems, almost none of whom advocated or enacted defunding policies. If Durbin can make the claim, so can I.

Comment by SWIL_Voter Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:57 pm
===If Durbin can make the claim, so can I. ===

On your own blog.

Comment by Rich Miller Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 1:57 pm
Liked the column this week.
Not surprised Dems are having some concerns about suburban voters.
High taxes, real concerns about crime and corruption are issues you see discussed routinely in newspapers, TV and all media outlets everyday.
The latest candidate that announced yesterday is from the suburbs and that should be a plus for the Rs this election season. The fact that is a former prosecutor and current Mayor are also pluses.

Comment by Back to the Future Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 2:41 pm
== living in 1994, when Democrats were swept out of office ==

I think there is an entire generation of Democratic activists and campaign workers for whom this lesson will always remain.

Comment by low level Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 3:28 pm
“He also said he’s talking to mayors and police chiefs in his suburban district…” How about talking (and listening to) the little people, you know, those of us who pay the taxes for the system? Polling police chiefs about what they would like to see in crime legislation makes about as much sense as asking cops if we should preserve trial by jury.

“I want to make sure our police are properly funded, properly trained, properly educated.” So then mandate four year degrees for police work, like everyone else in the courtroom, from lawyers and judges to prosecutors. And why do the people of Illinois have to wait until 2025 for all police in the state to wear body cams? Kwame Raoul’s body cam bill passed when, 2015?

Comment by Payback Tuesday, Jan 18, 22 @ 4:12 pm