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* NBC 5…
In the governor’s race, Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the poll, picking up 49.7% of the vote. State Sen. Darren Bailey, the Republican nominee in the race, trails by 22 points at 27.7%, while Libertarian candidate Scott Schluter is at 6.3%. […]
The story was similar in two other statewide races, according to the poll. Incumbent Attorney General Kwame Raoul holds a 42.6-to-25.2% lead over Republican contender Thomas DeVore, while Libertarian candidate Dan Robin is polling at 5.7%.
A large chunk of voters, 22.3%, are undecided in the race, while 4.2% say they won’t vote for any of the candidates on the board.
In the race for Illinois’ Senate seat, incumbent Sen. Tammy Duckworth holds a 48.2-to-28.5% lead over Republican challenger Kathy Salvi. Libertarian Bill Redpath received 5.5% of the vote, while 14.2% of voters are undecided in the race.
According to the story, this Research America, Inc. poll of 1,000 registered voters has a 3.1 percent margin of error. No dates were mentioned in the piece.
*** UPDATE *** Toplines are here. (Hat tip to MrJM)
…Adding… Some more questions…
Q9. Do you feel the issue of crime will have a positive or negative impact for…?
J.B. Pritzker
Positive impact 12.7%
Negative impact 20.3%
No Opinion / No answer 6.1%
Crime not a top issue 60.9%Darren Bailey
Positive impact 15.8%
Negative impact 10.4%
No Opinion / No answer 12.9%
Crime not a top issue 60.9%
It’s just not moving the needle, even though 39 percent rated crime as one of their top three issues.
posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:08 pm
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Commander Pritzker to ground control…comin’ in hot.
Comment by Dotnonymous Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:15 pm
Fingers crossed that the poll is correct.
Comment by Norseman Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:17 pm
Whew.
The big winner in this *snapshot* is only Raoul.
If this poll is a good measure, and with the last poll by the C-ST/WBEZ, things are where they need to be with early voting… blocking and tackling towards GOTV… now it’s voting these numbers to a reality.
I’ve liked where the Pritzker’s folks have gone about their business. It’s difficult to believe Bailey is not known, and also not framed as Pritzker and Crew hope voters see him.
For me, all this poll does differently is reinforces the real and significant need to have a robust GOTV, and that robust GOTV alllowing those Dem pluses are heard and heard not only with Guv, but Senate, AG, and ILSC
It’ll be up to CongressCritters and the statehouse folks to drive numbers like this deep into the races in both those instances
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:23 pm
With the recent zombie and vampire rankings, is it possible the if the ILGOP is trounced that maybe they will be for sure dead? /s
Comment by don the legend Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:49 pm
==A large chunk of voters, 22.3%, are undecided in the race,==
Well then, this obviously calls for more cowbell. I mean, it calls for more political ads. (I keed I keed.)
Comment by Responsa Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:49 pm
Bailey and Proft are campaigning for the hardcore MAGA/GOP base voter. They’re apparently doing a great job.
Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:52 pm
==Libertarian Bill Redpath==
Could Bill at least be distantly related to Springfield alderman Chuck Redpath?
Comment by AcademicUnionStateEmployee Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 5:57 pm
You can view the entire results here: https://files.constantcontact.com/84ddd16b001/e1b77591-2022-4f79-97b0-008bfba7506b.pdf?rdr=true
(sorry about the ridiculously long link)
– MrJM
Comment by MisterJayEm Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 6:16 pm
Thanks - MisterJayEm -
The update?
===It’s just not moving the needle, even though 39 percent rated crime as one of their top three issues.===
The goal of the exercise is to win elections.
You can be winning on a policy plank, winning that allegedly puts the issue “bad” for a candidate…
… but if doesn’t move numbers, what exactly are you winning?
“Good” campaigns find wedge issues.
“Functionally competent” campaigns find issues that move numbers and maximize the issue to win the day.
Voters seemingly have “made up their minds” in this very specific and stand alone snapshot poll;
Pritzker on crime or Bailey on crime, I’m not changing my vote to them on crime.
Pritzker under water on crime and still up, in this snapshot, over 20 points? I mean, Bailey is well above water on crime… and in this snapshot, Pritzker leading by over 20 points?
Early voting is going on Bailey Crew.
Now what?
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 6:46 pm
“Commander Pritzker to ground control…comin’ in hot.”
That’s what he needs to do.
Run like he is 3 points down and crank up the ground game.
Comment by btowntruth from forgottonia Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 7:48 pm
“Bailey and Proft are campaigning for the hardcore MAGA/GOP base voter. They’re apparently doing a great job.”
That right there.
The stuff they have been putting out runs off “independent” voters.
Comment by btowntruth from forgottonia Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 7:50 pm
Must burn Devore that half of Illinois has never heard of him.
Comment by Jibba Monday, Oct 17, 22 @ 7:53 pm
“Darren Bailey, the Republican nominee in the race, trails by 22 points” I wonder how many Republicans see that and think that he’s losing because he’s not conservative enough?
Comment by Skeptic Tuesday, Oct 18, 22 @ 8:56 am
LOL at doing a poll of registered voters, and not likely voters, at this point in the race.
Comment by JoeMaddon Tuesday, Oct 18, 22 @ 12:41 pm