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*** UPDATE *** Lynn Sweet…
The White House confirmed Wednesday that President Joe Biden will stump in Illinois Friday, ahead of Tuesday’s midterm balloting — likely in the Chicago area — and Vice President Kamala Harris hits Chicago on Sunday.
Biden will lead a get-out-the vote for Democrats with a focus on boosting suburban Chicago congressional incumbents — especially Reps. Sean Casten and Bill Foster — who are in races that may be tightening.
The White House confirmed on Wednesday that Vice President Kamala Harris visits Chicago on Sunday. […]
The vice president’s office said Harris will “deliver remarks” at an Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders event in Chicago. Another source said the stop is likely an event for the AAPI Victory Fund, a political action committee. Sen. Tammy Duckworth, D-Ill., an Asian American, and on the Tuesday ballot, is also scheduled to attend the event.
* Illinois early vote totals…
The @illinoissbe has updated early vote totals (11/02/22):
Total VBM requested: 860,663
Total VBM returned: 467,112
Total VBM outstanding: 393,551
Return Rate: 54%
Total Early Vote: 419,002
Total Grace Period: 6,580
Total Already Voted: 892,694https://t.co/44ga6Axjmq— IL Election Data (@ILElectionData) November 2, 2022
The statewide vote by mail return rate (as of today) is 54.27%. Only a few jurisdictions are below that, but they include some of the most populous areas, like City of Chicago (37.42%), Lake County (43.51%) and Suburban Cook County (52.05%).
Note: there can be a lag in reporting pic.twitter.com/kr2nD6Oxei
— IL Election Data (@ILElectionData) November 2, 2022
* Chicago early vote totals…
The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Tuesday, November 1, 2022.
The Early Vote total stands at 70,656 ballots cast.
Additionally, 76,071 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 208,003.
The grand total is 146,727 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.
FOR COMPARISON:
As of June 22, 2022 (6 days out from the 6/28/22 Primary Election): 61,377 ballots cast
As of October 27, 2020 (6 days out from the 11/3/20 Presidential Election): 583,372 ballots cast
As of October 30, 2018 (6 days out from the 11/6/18 General Election): 152,320 ballots cast
Chicago is still at 16 percent of total votes cast, even though the city is 21 percent of the population.
* Michael Flynn’s The America Project is leafleting in suburban Cook County and it looks like they’re piggy-backing on the anti-union group’s bandwagon…
* Dave Dahl…
Republican Regan Deering, running for the new 13th Congressional District, appeared Wednesday to accept the endorsements of the Illinois, and U.S., Chambers of Commerce.
As she paints opponent Nikki Budzinski as a “political insider,” the discussion turned to why elective office seems to be the only job for which experience is a liability. After answering that she would represent business experience and new blood, Deering volunteered, “I also am a supporter of term limits. I think America is tired of career politicians.”
What term limit will she place on herself?
“I’ll get myself elected in six days, and then we’ll see.”
But she just said she supports term limits. What sort of term limits is she talking about?
“We can talk about that when it comes to a vote. That would be great.”
* Politico…
House Republicans’ top congressional super PAC is betting that a last minute cash infusion can flip two deep-blue districts on the edges of the House battlefield.
The Congressional Leadership Fund is going on air with seven-figure buys targeting Democratic Rep. Sean Casten in suburban Chicago and the Long Island seat held by retiring Democratic Rep. Kathleen Rice. The super PAC is investing $1.8 million and $1.5 million, respectively, on broadcast buys in the expensive Chicago and New York City media markets.
Neither district has seen much outside spending before the final days of the midterms, and President Joe Biden carried both of them by double-digits in 2020. But the late ad buys suggest Republicans see opportunities in both places as the country grapples with high cost of living and the possibility of an economic recession looming.
House Majority PAC, CLF’s Democratic counterpart, also recently invested in both districts — a sign that both parties believe the seats are at risk of flipping.
* The ad…
6th Congressional District
Two-term Congressman Sean Casten (D-Downers Grove) and challenger Mayor Keith Pekau (R-Orland Park) are locked in a closer-then-expected race than the major ratings services indicate:
- Cook Political Report with Amy Walter: Likely Leans Democrat
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Democrat
- Elections Daily: Safe Democrat
- RCP: Toss-upWhile no published independent polling is available in this race, Mayor Pekau is broadcasting TV commercials on broadcast TV in Chicagoland. Congressman Casten has been on broadcast TV since Labor Day. Casten launched attack ads against Pekau in late September, possibly indicating Pekau and Casten are close according to internal polling.
* Isabel’s roundup…
* Company Sent Illinois Voters Text Messages With ‘Election Misinformation,’ Officials Say
* 2022 Election: Profiling the race for Illinois’ 46th State Senate seat: https://www.centralillinoisproud.com/news/local-news/2022-election-profiling-the-race-for-illinois-46th-state-senate-seat/amp/
* In their own words: Meet the candidates for Illinois’s 72nd House District: Democrat Gregg Johnson and Republican Tom Martens are facing off in the race for Illinois’s 72nd District, and they shared their priorities and values with News 8.
* Editorial: For Illinois House: Crespo, Mazzochi, Stevens, Grant, Nizamuddin, Wallace, Bos, McLaughlin, Vrett, Canty, Lupo, Litney, Carroll, Morgan, Didech:This is the fourth installment of the Tribune Editorial Board’s endorsements for Illinois House races in the Nov. 8 general election.
* Vaccines used to be apolitical. Now they’re a campaign issue: Pro-vaccine advocates worry that the rise of these candidates, along with an emboldened anti-vaccine movement, could spell trouble for public health in the years to come.”I think it’s really unfortunate that an issue that has saved so many lives has become partisan and hyper-political,” says Northe Saunders, the executive director of the SAFE Communities coalition, a nationwide nonprofit committed to supporting pro-vaccine political candidates and policies.
* ADDED: Pritzker headlines a drag show
posted by Rich Miller
Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:03 pm
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Previous Post: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Another supplement to today’s edition, more ads and some campaign news
Next Post: Shenanigans!
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those Deering endorsements are too little, too late with no NRCC/CLF intervention
Comment by Bunga Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:06 pm
On Nov. 1 Cook Political report downgraded both Casten and Underwood from likely Dem to lean Dem.
https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings
Comment by Responsa Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:16 pm
The Trib endorsed Rep. John Carroll? Did I catch that right? Smh.
Comment by ;) Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:41 pm
==those Deering endorsements are too little, too late with no NRCC/CLF intervention==
I think she might be in the hunt just because of the midterm curse, but yeah a sleepy CoC endorsement isn’t going to push her over the top.
Comment by Arsenal Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:46 pm
==I think she might be in the hunt just because of the midterm curse, but yeah a sleepy CoC endorsement isn’t going to push her over the top.==
Also, it’s 6 days out and she still hasn’t aired any local ads in the STL area.
Comment by Bunga Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:54 pm
==Also, it’s 6 days out and she still hasn’t aired any local ads in the STL area.==
Yeah, she’s had a really pathetic paid media campaign, and not really any earned media, either.
If it’s a red wave, she could still be swept in. Stranger things have happened. But that doesn’t seem especially likely.
Comment by Arsenal Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 2:57 pm
==Yeah, she’s had a really pathetic paid media campaign, and not really any earned media, either.==
I think the “wealthy heiress” attacks (which was done early) prevented her motivation from opening up her checkbook more because I feel like she doesn’t want to spend beyond what she self-loaned her campaign to (which was little compared to her wealth).
Comment by Bunga Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:21 pm
=== an emboldened anti-vaccine movement ===
The County Board Chairman in Madison County is writing Letters to the Editor recommending that his constituents watch the “The Real Anthony Fauci” documentary. He calls the Covid vaccine, “the SHOT”. Still can’t believe that the Democrats here have ceded the field to this party of anti-vaxxers and conspiracy theorists.
Comment by Highland IL Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:31 pm
==I think the “wealthy heiress” attacks (which was done early) prevented her motivation from opening up her checkbook more because I feel like she doesn’t want to spend beyond what she self-loaned her campaign to (which was little compared to her wealth).==
Makes sense. I also suspect that Republicans screeching about a Dem gerrymander hurt her because even last spring it made her cause seem hopeless.
Comment by Arsenal Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 3:56 pm
If Illinois is solidly blue, why are Biden and Harris both scheduled to campaign here in the closing days of the election? Are Casten, Foster, and Underwood all really at risk?
Comment by Internal Polls Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:11 pm
why momma why? why Biden and Harris? can’t we have Obama?
Comment by Amalia Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:18 pm
===If Illinois is solidly blue, why are Biden and Harris===
Harris will be with Duckworth at an event.
The thing with POTUS?
Where you sending Biden?
Likely a state he carried, still polls well, where early voting and ginning up turnout drags incumbents across the finish line… and where POTUS won’t do any unintended damage.
That sound like… Ohio? Texas? Ok, sound like Florida?
Comment by Oswego Willy Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:23 pm
“why are Biden and Harris both scheduled to campaign here in the closing days of the election?”
This is one of the few states and few areas in the country where they will be warmly welcomed.
Comment by New Day Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:24 pm
Does Biden know something no one here knows. Seems like quite a wasted trip and expenditure of resources
Comment by Joe Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:28 pm
===Does Biden know something no one here knows===
lol
Things are tightening up.
Comment by Rich Miller Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 5:29 pm
KSDK Channel 5 out of St. Louis debunked the claim that Amendment 1 would raise property taxes. https://www.ksdk.com/article/news/verify/verify-property-taxes-illinois-amendment-1/63-02e2944d-78f9-4142-b54b-64e0b7286575?fbclid=IwAR0Dgo1z5mImZAned_EIlU5jMhi1jC2SX6vPlgUDVHhB0gQrqOBpUD-bwgs
Comment by Fivegreenleaves Wednesday, Nov 2, 22 @ 6:22 pm