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Bailey releases poll showing his lead is within MoE

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Polls

* The sample size of this “brush fire” poll conducted January 16-18 for the Darren Bailey campaign is only 300 likely Republican primary voters, and has a margin of error of +/- 5.66 percent. So, take it for the small snapshot that it is…

Undecideds were 8 percent, compared to 11 percent in the earlier poll.

According to this poll, the race appears to be tightening since August. But, again, small sample size and high MoE.

* Fox News is doing its thing…

Check out how low the crime issue polls with southern Illinois Republicans.

* No real surprise, considering…

There’s more, so click here.

posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 11:49 am

Comments

“Boast”?

Comment by Concerned Observer Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 11:54 am
===“Boast”? ===

It’s a prompt for the people reading the questions.

Comment by Rich Miller Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 11:55 am
>Crime/public safety only polling at 2% as the most important issue

I’m starting to think that Darren Bailey & Dan Proft may have been fearmongering about the SAFE-T Act in 2022, just a hunch

Comment by Chris Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 11:56 am
===It’s a prompt for the people reading the questions.===

I get that, but that’s not…how…Bost is pronounced……right?

Comment by Concerned Observer Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 11:58 am
By any chance, was this poll comparing Darren Bailey and Mike Bost taken at the Virtue House Christian School founded by Darren Bailey? Just asking.

Comment by Rudy’s teeth Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 12:19 pm
Really incredible what fox news has done to people’s brains that you can live 1000 miles from the border and your biggest concern is immigration

Comment by Left of what Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 12:24 pm
Genuine question: Who was the pollster?

Comment by Near Westside Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 12:24 pm
Yeah but he does not go by Mike “boast” so this pollster was not even saying his name correctly. Money well spent, Bailey.

Comment by taco Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 12:40 pm
Link is broken

Comment by Beetlejuice Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 1:08 pm
It seems a bit weird that there’s such a discrepancy between the “problem” of Biden/Dems/libs and “government leadership/incompetent politicians.” Given the respondent pool, I would have thought those two categories would be deemed to be one and the same. Clearly, they’re not.

Comment by Duck Duck Goose Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 1:16 pm
=Really incredible what fox news has done to people’s brains that you can live 1000 miles from the border and your biggest concern is immigration=

Uh are you kidding? This very blog has two posts on the topic just today. Look back and you will see it is being covered as an issue a lot here and many other places. The issue matters a lot in Chicago right now and I am guessing Kam Buckner doesn’t watch much Fox News.

Comment by Trap Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 2:19 pm
Re: “Check out how low the crime issue polls with southern Illinois Republicans.”

Honestly, crime isn’t a top issue for us in Southern Illinois because most of us don’t encounter it every day. Many of my friends still sleep with their doors unlocked and never lock their cars. Crime… What crime?

Comment by JSI Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 2:31 pm
Also, doesn’t Bailey’s poll ultimately prove he’s losing support while Mike Boast is gaining support? And for what it’s worth, I’d assume Bailey has a higher name ID than Bost here in the district.

Comment by JSI Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 2:34 pm
Beetle is within the margin of error? I must of misread the headline, I thought it was Beetle was an error. /s

Comment by Huh? Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 2:41 pm
Trap,
Sure Chicago area is talking about immigration and it’s a live issue for us, but Effingham and Xenia? Those are not in the Chicago met area and aren’t prosperous enough to be attracting too many migrants.

Comment by cermak_rd Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 3:42 pm
And now I am curious is it Bost like boast or most or Bost like boss with with a t on the end? I read my news most of the time and seldom here it so wouldn’t know (plus this race is eclipsed by well everything else in my corner of Chicagoland)

Comment by cermak_rd Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 3:44 pm
“Check out how low the crime issue polls with southern Illinois Republicans.”

The party of “Law and Order” is now the party that doesn’t trust the courts, prosecutors, the feds, or even law enforcement.

Comment by NIU Grad Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 3:44 pm
The real problem is that Bailey believes he is ordained by God to be in office, that question should have been asked: Q: Who do you think God wants in Congress

Comment by The Old Man Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 5:45 pm
Didn’t Bailey also think he closed the gap between him and Pritzker right before the governor’s election?

Comment by Fivegreenleaves Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 10:20 pm
Bost freaked out because his probable voters went down 1%

Comment by Macon Bakin Tuesday, Jan 23, 24 @ 10:28 pm