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* Keep in mind that the Democratic Lt. Governors Association is supporting LG Stratton…
A new poll today released by the Democratic Lt. Governors Association (DLGA) shows a wide open field for the Democratic Senate primary, with Juliana Stratton leading among the candidates once voters hear more about each candidate and their bio.
In a 4-way matchup between candidates, 42% of voters are undecided. After voters learn more about each candidate, Juliana Stratton jumps 13 points and into the lead. A majority (61%) say they are more likely to vote for Stratton after hearing about her, which helps increase her lead in the informed vote.
In a head to head against Raja Krishnamoorthi, Stratton leads 41% to 24%.
“As the race heats up, it’s clear that Juliana Stratton is poised to win what is sure to be a competitive primary once voters hear her vision and see the strength she brings as Illinois’ next US Senator,” said DLGA Executive Director Kevin Holst. “As Lt. Governor, she’s been a steadfast advocate for working families and a principled, thoughtful leader whose lived experience fuels both her passion and her impact. Democratic Lt. Governors are the Democratic Party’s bench, and no one embodies that more than Lt. Governor Stratton, who is exceptionally well-positioned to continue her service to Illinois as their next US Senator.”
The poll memo can be viewed HERE. The survey results can be viewed HERE.
Public Policy Polling surveyed: 674 likely Democratic primary voters from April 29-30, 2025. The margin of error is +/- 3.8%. 57% of the interviews for the survey were conducted by text and 43% by landline.
* Remember, PPP surveyed likely Democratic primary voters…
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?
Approve 7%
Disapprove 89%
Not sure 4%Q2: Generally speaking, do you vote in Democratic primary elections or Republican primary elections, or do you not usually vote in primaries?
Democratic primaries 100%
Republican primaries 0%
Don’t usually vote in primary elections 0%Q3: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of JB Pritzker?
Favorable 84%
Unfavorable 8%
Not sure 8%Q4: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tammy Duckworth?
Favorable 80%
Unfavorable 12%
Not sure 8%Q5: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Juliana Stratton?
Favorable 34%
Unfavorable 8%
Not sure 58%Q6: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Raja Krishnamoorthi?
Favorable 42%
Unfavorable 8%
Not sure 50%Q7: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lauren Underwood?
Favorable 48%
Unfavorable 7%
Not sure 45%Q8: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Robin Kelly?
Favorable 25%
Unfavorable 7%
Not sure 69%Q9: If the Democratic candidates for US Senate next time were Juliana Stratton, Raja Krishnamoorthi, Lauren Underwood, and Robin Kelly, who would you vote for?
Juliana Stratton 13%
Raja Krishnamoorthi 20%
Lauren Underwood 16%
Robin Kelly 8%
Not sure 42%Q 10: Here’s some more information about the potential candidates for US Senate. Juliana Stratton is the first Black woman Lieutenant Governor of Illinois. She is from the South Side of Chicago and is endorsed by Governor JB Pritzker and Senator Tammy Duckworth. Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Juliana Stratton, or does it not make a difference?
More likely 61%
Less likely 6%
It doesn’t make a difference 30%
Not sure 3%Q 11: Raja Krishnamoorthi is a Congressman from Schaumburg. He grew up in Peoria, the son of immigrants from India. Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Raja Krishnamoorthi, or does it not make a difference?
More likely 24%
Less likely 5%
It doesn’t make a difference 66%
Not sure 5%Q12: Lauren Underwood is a Congresswoman from Naperville. She is a registered nurse and the first Black woman and millennial to represent that area in Washington. Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Lauren Underwood, or does it not make a difference?
More likely 46%
Less likely 5%
It doesn’t make a difference 45%
Not sure 4%Q13: Robin Kelly is a Congresswoman from Lynwood. She was the first Black woman to be Chief of Staff to a statewide elected official and served Cook County in the Illinois State House. Does hearing this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Robin Kelly, or does it not make a difference?
More likely 32%
Less likely 5%
It doesn’t make a difference 55%
Not sure 7%Q14: Having heard some more information, let me ask you again: if the Democratic candidates for US Senate next time were Juliana Stratton, Raja Krishnamoorthi, Lauren Underwood, and Robin Kelly, who would you vote for?
Juliana Stratton 26%
Raja Krishnamoorthi 17%
Lauren Underwood 17%
Robin Kelly 9%
Not sure 31%Q15: If the Democratic candidates for US Senate were just Juliana Stratton and Raja Krishnamoorthi, who would you vote for?
Juliana Stratton 41%
Raja Krishnamoorthi 24%
Not sure 35%
The positive pushes were kinda weak for the Stratton rivals, but whatevs. Mentioning Pritzker and Duckworth obviously helped her. And she’ll likely have the financial resources to compete with the well-funded Krishnamoorthi.
No crosstabs were dstributed by PPP, but there were five demographic questions at the end of the poll.
This is the first legit public poll released in this race. A group supporting Underwood announced a poll some weeks ago, but it has never disclosed the name of the pollster nor provided the actual questions and answers, so I’ve disregarded it.
Many thanks to Isabel for formatting the results to make it easier to view here.
posted by Rich Miller
Monday, May 5, 25 @ 1:49 pm
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While I am not enthusiastic to see Juliana as our nominee I would prefer our elected congress people, all whom have experience in DC, to stay put. If the Dems win back the house in 2026 then we will need all the level heads with experience to chair committees and open investigations.
Comment by Quietly Defiant Monday, May 5, 25 @ 1:59 pm
== The positive pushes were kinda weak for the Stratton rivals, but whatevs. Mentioning Pritzker and Duckworth obviously helped her. ===
Seems straight forward to me. Most people don’t know much about any of these candidates. But the people polled do know JB and Tammy. This makes endorsements matter, when you have someone making the jump from a lesser known office to a statewide race.
Comment by Homebody Monday, May 5, 25 @ 3:20 pm
I look forward to having some real choices in a meaningful election. Illinois has way too many unopposed candidates.
Comment by Friendly Bob Adams Monday, May 5, 25 @ 3:42 pm
I guess identity politics is still extremely important to democratic primary voters.
This is despite recent history that indicate the broader electorate doesn’t respond to this
Zero chance for the 6’8 white, male 3 term state treasurer with over 18 years in state government with loaded poll questions like that
Comment by Iron Duke Monday, May 5, 25 @ 3:56 pm
Any word if Underwood’s poll has cross tabs sn/
Comment by Frida’s boss Monday, May 5, 25 @ 4:01 pm
===This is despite recent history===
In Illinois? We’re talking about Illinois here. Try to adjust your DC talking points to fit the topic.
Comment by Rich Miller Monday, May 5, 25 @ 4:10 pm