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Congressional news roundup

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* Evanston Now

An early poll of likely Democratic voters in Illinois’ 9th Congressional District shows a three-way race emerging among Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss, progressive journalist Kat Abughazaleh and State Sen. Laura Fine.

The internal poll was conducted by MDW Communications between June 12 and 15 for Abughazaleh’s campaign and was released Monday, first shared with Evanston Now.

MDW Communications is a Florida-based “full-service marketing agency specializing in digital and direct mail.” They don’t have a pollster on staff, and they do not advertise polling services on their website.

Color me skeptical. Also, this is from May

Newark Mayor Ras Baraka is showcasing a new internal poll that went into the field following his arrest outside an immigration detention facility that puts him within four percentage points of the leading candidate in the race for Democratic gubernatorial nomination, Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-Montclair). […]

The poll was conducted on May 11-13 by MDW Communications, a Democratic firm, with a sample size of 1,100 and a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

Um, Baraka lost to Sherrill by 13 points a few weeks later.

Oops.

* So, with all that in mind

“The poll was conducted via text message by MDW Communications from June 12-15, with a margin of error of +/- 3% and sample size of 899 likely Democratic voters. Numbers are rounded.”

I’ve never heard anyone speculate that Sen. Ram Villivalam is running for Congress. Also, who is Jim Andrew?

* Back to the story

In a statement, Abughazaleh’s campaign manager, Sam Weinberg, said the poll “shows we have a real path to victory,” noting that “it won’t be easy … We know we’re the underdogs in this race.”

George Lundgren, Daniel Biss’ campaign manager, said, “while it’s nice to see confirmation that Daniel is the front runner in this race, there is a long way to go before voters have their final say.”

* The Evanston Round Table has a good wrap-up of a recent candidate forum in that district. Click here to check it out.

* In other news, 8th Congressional District Democratic candidate Dan Tully released a pretty good announcement video. Have a look

* Last week…

The Congressional Black Caucus Political Action Committee (CBCPAC) today endorsed Robin Kelly for U.S. Senate. The CBCPAC supports candidates for Congress that will promote progress for Black Americans.

“We’re excited to continue to grow our representation in the Senate with one of our own,” CBCPAC Chairman Rep. Gregory Meeks said. “Robin Kelly has delivered for the people of Illinois and she will soar in the Senate. She is a fierce advocate on gun violence prevention, maternal health and health care as a basic right. Robin Kelly is a trusted, proven and dedicated leader, and we are proud to endorse her for the U.S. Senate.”

“It is an honor to be a member of the Congressional Black Caucus, and I thank the CBCPAC for this meaningful endorsement,” Kelly said. “I have lived my values as a congresswoman from Illinois’s 2nd District and I am committed to continue serving the people of Illinois with compassion and integrity in the U.S. Senate.”

Today’s endorsement of Robin Kelly for the U.S. Senate adds to other endorsements from members of the Congressional Black Caucus.

* More…

posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 12:47 pm

Comments

  1. Villivalam lives in the 5th anyway, but that doesn’t seem to matter much to Abughazaleh so okay.

    Comment by chowaln Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 12:57 pm

  2. Too early. Way too early, even for suspect polling.

    It’ll soon be easier to list IL-09 residents who aren’t running for this seat. I’ll wait to see who actually is on the ballot before taking any polling even half-seriously.

    Comment by Northsider Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:04 pm

  3. Theory: MDW is the polling arm of The Onion — as Kat’s Millionaire boyfriend (who she lives in the Sears Tower with) is the CEO of The Onion.

    Comment by Alton Sinkhole Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:12 pm

  4. Apologies: Hancock tower is where she lives

    Comment by Alton Sinkhole Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:13 pm

  5. Hancock tower…never heard of that

    Comment by Amalia Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:30 pm

  6. If they are going to put random people who aren’t even running into the polls, why not throw Tom Skilling in there. I am sure he would poll off the charts even while living in Hawaii.

    Comment by Benniefly2 Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:37 pm

  7. I’m guessing that Jim Andrew was one guy who took the poll and decided on-the-spot that he was running for the seat.

    Comment by The Truth Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:51 pm

  8. My assumption is that its Phil Andrew, not Jim Andrew. Phil is former FBI agent who first became known from saving his parents (and getting shot) by Laurie Dann back in 1988.

    Comment by Paddyrollingstone Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 1:57 pm

  9. I’m not sure that this can be called a three-way race at this point? It looks like there are two clear frontrunners (Biss and Abughazaleh) and a bunch of obscure state legislators who are floundering in the single digits?

    Comment by Straight Outta the E-Villa aka "The Town" Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 2:20 pm

  10. ===I’m not sure that this can be called a three-way race===

    It’s June, for crying out loud.

    Comment by Rich Miller Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 2:24 pm

  11. ===Dan Tully released a pretty good announcement video===

    That is a really good ad. Hit background, personality, strongly anti-Trump, and include things that voters like for loose policy positions.

    ===MDW is the polling arm of The Onion===

    Oh, it is probably worse than that.

    ===MDW Communications is a Florida-based===

    So much of what in my opinion have been the worst, most inept, incompetent, short sighted, and self absorbed consultants that have been at the helm or fighting for the helm of the last decade’s string of democratic defeats have been out of the Florida political landscape. The garbage heap that is their state party, state political scene, and consistent inability to make any political gains seems to do an excellent job of spreading their politicos out through the rest of the country like a cancer of the blood.

    I would not trust anything or anyone out of a Florida consulting firm.

    Comment by Candy Dogood Monday, Jun 23, 25 @ 3:47 pm

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