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Your chance to be Carnak the Magnificent

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* For as long as I can remember, the SJ-R’s political columnist has made predictions the Sunday before an election. Here are Bernie’s

In the end, it looks like the Benton-McCann race could be very close. I’ll guess McCann gets a slim win. […]

* In the 95th House District, I think Rep. AVERY BOURNE, R-Raymond, will remain the party’s standard bearer despite a strong challenge from DENNIS SCOBBIE of Litchfield. CHRISTOPHER HICKS of Sawyerville is also in the race. The Democrat in the November contest is MIKE MATHIS of Gillespie.

* In the 99th House District, Jimenez will defeat fellow Leland Grove resident KENT GRAY, winning the right to take on Democrat TONY DelGIORNO of Springfield in the fall. And in the 96th, CINDY DEADRICK WOLFER, a Macon County resident, will defeat GARY PIERCE of Springfield for the GOP nomination, and the chance to challenge Rep. SUE SCHERER, D-Decatur, in November.

Your predictions in these and other races?

posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:15 am

Comments

  1. Not a prediction here, so much as a question: I wonder how many Dems might pull GOP ballots simply to vote against Trump, similar to 2014 attempts to oppose Rauner by voting Dillard. More than a few people I know have been openly considering doing so — although few expect it would make an appreciable difference.

    Comment by Linus Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:24 am

  2. Hasish Patel and Jay Travis will lose. I think they would have had a good chance but Rauner has helped t he establishment.So the lightly funded candidate in the Quad Cities will lose one of the 2 estab guys will win. Dunkin loses and I will hope the Edgar candidate wins. Trump wins, and Bernie does too. Kirk and Duckworth easily. I want to say Rauner totally fails except with Madigan …but I wont Madigan wins, Rauner loses big.

    Comment by illinois manufacturer Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:27 am

  3. Madigan keeps his seat.

    Comment by burbanite Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:30 am

  4. ===I wonder how many Dems might pull GOP ballots simply to vote against Trump, similar to 2014 attempts to oppose Rauner by voting Dillard. ===

    “None”.

    A vote for Bernie covers a lot of sins.

    Why would a Dem not vote in their primary, unless they live in McCann’s district.

    They wouldn’t.

    Bernie needs help, Quinn was going to win irregardless.

    Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:30 am

  5. All of the incumbents will win, including Dunkin. Business continues as usual in Springfield.

    Comment by Anonymous Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:33 am

  6. Benton wins by 2% - or right around the margin in Rich’s/WAA’s poll from a few weeks ago. The crossover never happens - at least not in the numbers labor wished.

    Scobbie and Acklin fall short of taking down Bourne and Halbrook, respectively. Neither will be all that close.

    Jimenez mops the floor with Gray. 15-20% is doable given the support from the HRO and county party.

    Christian Mitchell and Jamie Andrade both win.

    Julianna Stratton wins by 1-2%. I would normally think the spread would be bigger, but the sheer $$$ spent on Dunkin’s behalf keeps it close.

    The 72nd House District Dems will be fractured after their mess and infighting. No reason to think otherwise after Rich’s reports and posts last week. Brandy McGuire could be the odds-on favorite in the fall.

    Trump and Sanders take Illinois. Both will be relatively close. Rubio drops out after tomorrow night’s “showing”. What a dud of a candidate he turned out to be.

    Kirk and Duckworth both win big - perhaps more than a 20% spread in both races.

    Shimkus cleans McCarter’s clock and reminds him of why he leads the ILGOP’s Congressional Delegation. I think 15-20% is a good bet.

    Bonus: we all come to work on Wednesday ready to either breathe a sigh of relief or start sniping at each other all over again.

    Comment by Team Sleep Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:36 am

  7. In hopes of helping the Carnaks in the room, I will be an independent disruptor pulling a republican ballot because my concerns for the 50th are greater than any of my concerns for up ballot races.

    Voting for Sam because the Rauner/Citizen United disease requires it.

    Voting for Trump so that he wins Illinois and causes further GOP turmoil.

    In the November general election, hoping Big Pharma, etc., feels the Bern!

    Comment by cdog Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:39 am

  8. Random Winners:
    McCann
    Dorothy Brown
    Christian Mitchell
    Anita Alvarez
    Juliana Stratton
    Jaime Andrade
    Madigan
    Clinton (by a nose)
    Trump (also by a nose)

    Comment by chi Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:39 am

  9. I think that Hillary will have bad day tomorrow, and Illinois will be part of it, and Ohio the other. I hate to say it, but I think Dunkin squeaks it out. Im not a downstater, but I hope they’ve learned their lesson and reelect Sam McCann. Could they vote for Bruce again?

    Comment by Anon Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:42 am

  10. I’m a Democrat who will be taking a Republican ballot to vote for Sam McCann just to tell Rauner his money can’t buy everything. Oh, and I’m voting for Kent Gray because Sara Jimenez is an idiot.

    Comment by Since you asked Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:42 am

  11. Jay Travis loses to Christian Mitchell. Karen Lewis blames Rahm.

    I think Benton beats McCann.

    Comment by Ravenswood Right Winger Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:43 am

  12. Madigan wins the primary by 15%

    Jim Marter gets at least 30% of the vote and perhaps as much at 45%

    Kim Foxx in a big win.

    Bernie wins.

    In Kane

    Martinez and Tiballi win (but it will be close in both races 2% or less)

    Lauzen blows out Shepro for County Board Chair.

    In the 11th

    Khori wins the primary with about 45% of the vote.

    Comment by OneMan Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:45 am

  13. The lack of a poll from Proft in the McCann-Benton race gives me reason to think that McCann might win this one. I think Harper loses to Robinson, Dunkin (unfortunately) wins by the slimmest of margins, and Hillary will win a much closer election than she would have liked.

    Comment by The Muse Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:46 am

  14. Bernie wins
    Duckworth wins
    Noland wins ( don’t live in the district but i gave him my only money of the cycle)
    Christian Mitchell wins
    Dunkin loses
    Madigan Wins
    McCann wins

    Comment by Spliff Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:47 am

  15. Big losers tomorrow:

    Clinton
    Alvarez
    Dunkin
    McCann

    Comment by Wensicia Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:48 am

  16. == Why would a Dem not vote in their primary, unless they live in McCann’s district. ==

    Totally fair question, Willy. Independent of each other, some of my Dem friends who are focusing most on presidential polling remain torn between Hillary and Bernie, but are not conflicted about whom they detest most. Perhaps because of the emotion of the moment, they’ve suggested pulling Repub simply to register a vote against Trump.

    I suspect you’re right, though. Few might actually follow through after realizing this would cost them the chance to weigh in on Dem nominations in other significant races, such as U.S. Senator or Cook State’s Atty.

    Comment by Linus Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:49 am

  17. Bourne takes the nomination in the 95th along with Jimenez in the 99th. McCann barely holds on in the 50th.

    Comment by Anonymous Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:49 am

  18. Kent Gray loses his primary and position in Trumps campaign. According to the Twitters, the latter may have already happened.

    Comment by Anonymous Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:50 am

  19. Winners - General Assembly:
    Juliana Stratton
    Genita Robinson
    Bryce Benton
    Mike Madigan
    Chris Welch
    Jaimie Andrade
    Hal Holbrook
    Avery Bourne
    Sara Jimenez
    John D’Amico

    Winners - Federal Races:
    Trump
    Sanders
    Kirk
    Duckworth
    Raja
    Rush

    Comment by phocion Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:50 am

  20. ===but i gave him my only money of the cycle===

    You may be the only one to do so.

    lol

    Comment by Rich Miller Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:51 am

  21. The Speaker wins in a walk.

    Mitchell wins by 10. He flooded the area with his stuff. By the time Travis got going, people were ignoring it. Mitchell’s negative stuff was too good.

    Dunkin goes down, and at least five are arrested for various election day disputes (I’m completely serious — I expect this one to be ugly. Expect at least one brawl to occur between the two sides, with police called).

    Meister wins. The party is divided with Brown’s usual support going elsewhere. I’ve got the least confidence on this one. Brown may hold just based on name recognition.

    In a judicial race, Lipinski beats Fernandez. Voters show everything wrong with judicial elections by choosing a name over a good judge.

    Comment by Gooner Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:51 am

  22. WINNERS:
    Trump
    Bernie
    Kirk
    Madigan
    Stratton
    McCann/Benton either way.

    but the real winners are the print shops and media outlets benefiting from insane primary spending.

    Comment by kozmik Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:52 am

  23. I have a feeling Jaime Andrade will win (and about time, the 40th has been flooded with his mailers).

    I want to believe that Stratton will win, and that Alfaro will fail.
    But more realistic, I think Dunkin will win - and it’s a 50/50 Aquino and Alfaro.

    Comment by here we go Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:56 am

  24. @Since you asked
    x 2

    Comment by Rufus Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:56 am

  25. McCann squeeks it out in a nail biter.

    Durkin loses.

    Hillary / Bernie a toss-up but Bernie has the momentum.

    Trump wins but I voted for Kasich.

    The rest don’t matter to me at the moment.

    Comment by RNUG Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:59 am

  26. Being contrary to Wenscia:

    Winners tomorrow:

    Clinton
    Alvarez
    Dunkin
    McCann

    Comment by chiatty Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:06 am

  27. Most Lake County races are uncontested on the Dem side. The only close race I can think of is Nancy Rottering vs. Brad Schneider - I think Rottering will win it since she’s a little more to the left and that’s where the party’s heart is. Sanders for President but the advantage in delegates will be trivial.

    I wouldn’t bet the ranch on these, but predict Dorothy Brown and Anita Alvarez will be reelected on name recognition. Dunkin lost the moment President Obama called him out.

    Comment by lake county democrat Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:07 am

  28. Democrats taking Republican ballots?

    I don’t think there’ll be too many, BUT if you lived in a heavily gerrymandered district where there were no Democratic primary battles other than for senate (which isn’t in any doubt) and there was an interesting race (McCann) in your district, I can see it.

    Comment by lake county democrat Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:10 am

  29. The protest and cancelation of the trump rally may have caused a small backlash in trump’s favor among the “law and order” crowd. But an interesting casualty of this may be Anita Alvarez. Read the comments in the 2nd city cop blog. There are many commenters that are mad that they can’t vote for both Trump and Alvarez. They have to pick one and it seems many picked Trump.

    So I think Trump wins Illinois.
    Bernie will squeak it.
    Foxx wins for reasons above
    Duckworth wins fairly big
    Dunkin squeaks it by 50 bucks. (Despite my best efforts to try to prevent it.)
    McCann wins
    Andrade wins big. (That district has been getting pounded daily by flyers tying harish to Rauner. We know it’s bunk but I think many will buy it.)
    Madigan destroys it so hard into paste.

    Comment by There is power in a union... Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:14 am

  30. Winners:
    Bernie by a hair
    Benton
    Kasich, (just a gut feeling)
    Dunkin, my gut says that his votes were bought long ago and that only hard core voters will vote tomorrow because they were paid or cajoled into doing so. I hope I’m wrong.
    Madigan will destroy Gonzo.

    Comment by Honeybear Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:15 am

  31. Dunkin loses by 10.

    Hillary wins by slim margin.

    Trump wins by a larger margin but not huge.

    Madigan breaks 60%.

    McCann wins, I hope.

    Shimkus wins 65-35

    Christian Mitchell is a horrible Rep but will win because Marty did not let me run.

    Big loser of the day—- Dunkin. When Obama tells the people you are a sell out- you’re toast. Hopefully Rauner appoints him to something so that him and Maze can still serve theirs masters.

    Comment by Sauget's Finest Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:17 am

  32. == Why would a Dem not vote in their primary, unless they live in McCann’s district. ==

    To vote against Trump.

    Comment by wordslinger Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:17 am

  33. Raja wins but only because Noland didn’t go for it with the Bernie message.

    Hoping Nancy beats Brad only because the DCCC folks managed to pick two primaries to involve themselves with because they legitimately have no clue what they are doing. In a cycle we should be picking up 26 seats- I’d be surprised if they pick up 7.

    Comment by Democracy lover Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:21 am

  34. McCann 50.1 Benton 49.9
    Stratton 51 Dunkin 49
    Feel The Bern 50.5 Hillary 49.5
    Trump 35 Cruz 25 Kasich 24 Rubio 16
    Madigan 117 Gonzales -17
    Jimenez 65 Gray 35

    Comment by Fusion Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:22 am

  35. ===To vote against Trump.===

    Very possible, but isn’t the mirrored argument, to vote FOR Trump in “thinking” Trump is the easier “beat”, being so divisive, of that same logic, given how close Bernie-Hillary sema to be now?

    I dunno if either side of that “coin” crosses over with Bernie-Hillary so *allegedly* close.

    Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:34 am

  36. My predictions are almost always wrong, so I’ll spare myself the embarrassment.

    I will go out on a limb and guess that both sides, Rauner and the Democrats, will find enough in tomorrow’s outcome to remain committed to their cause. It will be a mixed bag of wins and losses that will leave us all arguing again until November. No knock-outs tomorrow and the impasse continues unabated through the end of session and well beyond.

    And because the impasse will continue, Illinois will lose. My prediction? More pain.

    Comment by 47th Ward Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:38 am

  37. I think the “Trump is so dangerous he must be stopped” theme among Democrats is mostly confined to political junkies and maybe some Bernie supporters (who don’t believe it enough to give up their vote). I suspect most regular Democrats, to the extent they even consider it, don’t think Trump is worse than a true extremist like Ted Cruz. In fact, Thomas Friedman had a great column last week about how easily Trump can pivot to the center if he wins the nomination (I suspect even a few of Bernie’s more bitter supporters will talk-up how the GOP candidate is the less interventionist/anti-free trade candidate).

    (That’s nothing against Sanders, I just don’t think he has any hope of winning the nomination).

    Comment by lake county democrat Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 9:39 am

  38. I don’t think our founding fathers would find Ted Cruz as extreme as many do today.

    Comment by Facts are Stubborn Things Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:00 am

  39. Keep an eye on Reggie Phillips. That race is going to be closer than anyone thinks.

    Comment by ILPundit Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:02 am

  40. ===I don’t think our founding fathers would find Ted Cruz as extreme as many do today.===

    Perhaps, but our founding fathers didn’t think slavery was extreme either. So remember that when making odd assumptions about men who’ve been dead for two centuries and what they might think of today’s politicians.

    Comment by 47th Ward Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:08 am

  41. Benton loses by 4 points. Everyone, I mean everyone I’ve talked to, even my aunt in her seventies who is a Rauner supporter, has said the negative ads are just awful. She said one said McCann was sleazy, and it made her question all of the information in the ad. She also said she doesn’t like Chicago trying to meddle in our elections. If she knew Benton was Rauner’s guy, she’d probably vote for him, but I don’t think any ads have linked him, rather just said Chicago power brokers, etc. That’s my 2 cents. I’m also shocked that neither party has publicly released their own polling numbers. I think the polling is super close on this one. I hope all of those calls to union families of all kinds worked. My wife and I will be pulling R ballots, voting against Rauner’s reps in Springfield (not that it will help), and probably for Trump as I don’t think it is remotely possible he can win the general. He’s said too many things that make the negative spots for themselves. You could put a half hour reel together of him saying he never said or did something followed by ten or more clips of him doing just that. I kind of would like to vote for Kasich, as he’s the most acceptable of them, and I want him to stay in to see their primary drag on a bit longer.

    Comment by Me too Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:23 am

  42. 95th - Signs in the yards of Old Time Party Regulars appear to indicate that Scobbie will Run Strong in Litchfield and Hillsboro and all but the Panhandle Section of Montgomery County.

    Bourne will be best in Panhandle and the adjacent parts of Macoupin and Christian Counties.

    Everywhere else may be a toss up.

    Hicks not likely to be significant factor

    So predicting SCOBBIE Wins

    (But Mathis will be tough to beat in Nov.)

    Comment by x ace Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:24 am

  43. Considering how much he wants religion to be enmeshed with the State, I think they might have a few problems, that and the fact he’s just a very unlikeable guy. Being conservative, he would have probably sided with King George /snark. Our Founding Fathers considered themselves quite liberal (despite their cognitive dissonance regarding slavery). Regardless, it is a silly thing to say that someone would fit right in in the late 18th century. Times have changed quite a bit since then.

    Comment by Me too Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:28 am

  44. Noland, personally, knocked our door over the weekend, in the rain.

    Comment by burbanite Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:36 am

  45. Shemp in the 58th.

    Comment by Blue dog dem Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:48 am

  46. For the prognosticators, if McCann does eek out a victory, will he be a vote for override of some of these vetoes?

    Same question about Dunkin. If he loses, will he continue to carry water for Rauner with the time he has left?

    Comment by Johnny Pyle Driver Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:52 am

  47. “Same question about Dunkin. If he loses, will he continue to carry water for Rauner with the time he has left?”

    I think so. He’ll want an agency gig as a consolation prize and that will probably be predicated on remaining in the house through this rest of his term to deny 71.

    Comment by There is power in a union... Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 10:56 am

  48. Kent Gray loses. How many times do we have to hear that in one lifetime?

    Comment by Anonymous Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:01 am

  49. ===Same question about Dunkin. If he loses, will he continue to carry water for Rauner with the time he has left?===

    If Dunkin were to lose, Goldberg and Lance will glue Dunkin to his chair and wheel him out into the hallway when need be.

    No way Dunkin leaves the House even a millisecond too soon

    Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:03 am

  50. I have more prayers than predictions. Best State outcome is Independent Republican caucuses that will negotiate veto proof deals with the Democratic caucuses. Second best is a working super majority of Democrats.

    Crossover voters, please do not vote for Trump to damage the Republican party. The nation needs two strong parties.

    Thanks and may our State and Nation both win tomorrow.

    Comment by Last Bull Moose Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:04 am

  51. Since You Asked…voting for Kent because Jimenez is an idiot? Have you paid attention to Mr. Gray? The man is a pathological liar. He routinely makes things up about his political opponents only to be refuted by the facts time after time. He was fired by the Trump campaign and still tells folks that he is involved with the campaign, he is not according to the new Illinois Director that spoke last week in Springfield. Jimenez is by far the superior candidate in both the primary and the GE.

    If you are really a Democrat, you should be 100% opposed to Mr. Gray. There is no room for compromise with him.

    Comment by Anonyomous Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:07 am

  52. ===He’ll want an agency gig===

    I wouldn’t count on anything that requires Senate confirmation. Just sayin…

    Comment by Rich Miller Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:09 am

  53. What’s the mechanism for keeping Dunkin in line though if Rauner’s protection is no longer relevant? Is it pure spite for the forces that eject him? Or is it, as others suggested, the promise of a cushy gig in the Rauner Administration? And does Rauner really like the guy that much?

    Comment by Johnny Pyle Driver Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:12 am

  54. Didn’t Trump fire Kent Gray over the weekend?

    That means Gray and Rod Blagojevich have something in common.

    Comment by 47th Ward Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:15 am

  55. Last Bull Moose. I personally think many,many Americans are fed up with our established two parties, and are frantically looking for alternatives.

    Comment by Blue dog dem Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:19 am

  56. BDD,

    The history of our country points to a realignment of parties rather than the creation of a new one. The Greens and Libertarians have been around for a long time, and neither has developed any more traction than a Pinto with 5 passengers in a mud bog.

    Comment by Six Degrees of Separation Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:40 am

  57. McCann
    Stratton
    Sanders
    Trump
    Jimenez

    Comment by btowntruth Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:44 am

  58. Six. I don’t disagree, I can only hope.

    Comment by Blue dog dem Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 11:58 am

  59. McCann is a tough one, he had local GOP support, but lots of good hits on him. I dont think its close, if the hits worked he loses by 5 points or so, and if he wins it will be at least by 5. union is pushing for cross balloters but not sure how much support they are getting. pushing is a lind word forntheir kind of effort

    Comment by Ghost Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 12:04 pm

  60. Winners–Dick Mell and the man who keeps Cap Fax running —- the under appreciated Rich Miller.

    Comment by Bob Blade Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 12:14 pm

  61. =Six. I don’t disagree, I can only hope.=
    I too hope for the end of the two-party fiasco. There are only about 100 elected office holders that are affiliated with other parties. If not for media blackouts, restrictive ballot access laws, and gerrymandering, voters would be able to choose for a greater good instead of the lesser of two evils.

    Comment by Qui Tam Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 12:19 pm

  62. I didn’t do well last election. I trusted polls too much, because of certain pollsters’ successes in the 2012 General.

    There is a strong current now pulling in Sanders’ direction, and it’s showing up in the Illinois polls. I will go with Sanders upsetting Clinton in her home state.

    That’s as bold as I can get. I expect Madigan and Duckworth to win, and that’s about as far as I can go without wild guesses or interpreting signs.

    Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 12:34 pm

  63. BDD and others. I support going back to 3 member districts and cumulative voting to speed change in the parties. Not real happy with either party myself.

    Comment by Last Bull Moose Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 12:39 pm

  64. Sanders takes Illinois, Ohio, Missouri in a real close election and just barely loses Florida.

    Comment by union leader Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 1:18 pm

  65. Anita Alvarez wins. Thanks to Suburban Committeemen.

    Comment by union leader Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 1:19 pm

  66. Unfortunately, I believe those I truly would like to lose or win will have just the opposite outcome - when I think of Dunkin, I remember Derrick Smith. And while I would like to see Sam back, the issues and Rauners money will intervene - unfortunately.

    Comment by LINK Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 1:19 pm

  67. Bernie larger than expected 6-10%. If polls are showing him with a slim lead and they’ve (thus far) been terrible at gauging his support why not?

    Bad feeling Dunkin may win then they will push the possible vote buying allegations. Actually, even if he loses they’ll probably push that. Sadly, I agree that there will be arrests made.

    McCann

    Foxx

    Comment by CrazyHorse Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 1:23 pm

  68. Trump by a decent margin-10% or so

    Sanders by 5%–now what I would have said even two days ago

    Stratton by 15%–POTUS is a hell of an endorsement in the African-American community

    Duckworth very comfortable

    McCann 2-3 points

    Madigan up 25 points

    Fox comfortable–maybe 10 points

    Raja

    Comment by ArchPundit Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 1:43 pm

  69. In the 76th Republican primary, Jacob Bramel upsets Jerry Long.

    Comment by G'Kar Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 2:16 pm

  70. In the 76th Republican primary, Jacob Bramel upsets Jerry Long. Could happen, Bramel’s the darling of the tea party types who hold some sway there.

    I still think Clinton squeaks by, but not surprised if IL feels the Bern. The Donald rides his UIC wave. Madigan by 30. Dunkin in a squeaker.

    Comment by Six Degrees of Separation Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 2:53 pm

  71. I am so worried about tomorrow night, I may spend it at home.

    Comment by Soccermom Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 3:01 pm

  72. Kirk will win but the vote against Marter will be closer than anticipated. 54-46% or thereabouts.
    Kirk has left his conservative base in a cloud of dust.

    Comment by Jake From Elwood Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 3:51 pm

  73. Gray is not going to win, but why not make the chief of staff a little nervous.

    Comment by Norseman Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 3:53 pm

  74. Quick hits…

    Bourne, Jimenez, Stratton…

    Trump, Kasich, Cruz… … … … then Rubio.

    Illinois will feel the Bern, but Hillary will bask in the victory.

    As an aside,

    To all those tomorrow working a polling place, working “their” precincts, those volunteering the day for a friend, or coming in late to get results…

    To those inside the “room” crunching the numbers, and those outside the “room” giving results…

    To the families of all those running, the sons, the daughters, the spouses…

    I can’t tip my cap to all, from those minding the store, the flacks, the families, the volunteers, my utmost respect for puttinh yourselves out there, working and being involved in the process, and giving that final push for tomorrow.

    A special shoutout, from me…

    To all those “tonight” who are putting together tomorrow’s Election Day… the ones sleeping in the offices… preparing and organizing the volunteers, the yard signs, Palm Cards and phone banks…

    You ALL have my utmost respect. Running the store and working and doing all that needs to be done for tomorrow, yeomen’s work. You all have the weight on your shoulders because you are trusted to deliver when it matters, and that’s pretty cool.

    With sincere respect to all,

    Oswego Willy

    Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 4:53 pm

  75. ===I don’t think our founding fathers would find Ted Cruz as extreme as many do today. ===

    Yes, but they also thought only land owners should vote.

    Comment by GraduatedCollegeStudent Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 4:53 pm

  76. Trump
    Kirk
    Davis
    McCann
    Jimenez

    Would Dunkin need Senate approval for any job other than a Director’s job?

    Comment by NobodysAccountable Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 5:41 pm

  77. - Norseman - @ 3:53 pm:

    Same logic. I did a protest vote for Gray; that way I get to vote against Sara twice: now and November.

    Comment by RNUG Monday, Mar 14, 16 @ 8:53 pm

  78. I agree that there’s no way Dunkin wins after the President made his feelings known. If he does win I’ll be depressed for a month..

    Comment by Mouthy Tuesday, Mar 15, 16 @ 6:04 am

  79. I am a Dem and have always been a Dem but I pulled a Rep ballot this time. I felt it was important to vote AGAINST Trump and AGAINST anyone Rauner supports. I hope more Dems do the same. (at the end of the day, I hope it helps)

    Comment by Babs Tuesday, Mar 15, 16 @ 8:02 am

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