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* UPDATED x1 * Drury says his poll has him at 8 or 9 percent

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*** UPDATE *** Fight Back for a Better Tomorrow PAC, that dark money outfit run by Local 150, just reloaded with another $300,000 for more TV ads against Drury. That puts them close to a million, right where Drury is.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Remember this press release from yesterday?…

On the heels of an internal poll showing Pat Quinn’s numbers plummeting and Scott Drury’s rising, Scott Drury’s campaign for Attorney General has begun airing a new statewide campaign ad

* Drury was cagey about his poll, but he did say this…

Since the baseline survey, Quinn’s support has dropped by almost 20 percentage points. Raoul has gained 9 points. Drury has gained 5 points.

* Mark Brown got Drury to open up about that poll…

Drury conceded he is still only at 8 percent or 9 percent overall, but said he’s reached double digits in the suburbs and Downstate.

In an interview, [million-dollar campaign contributor Steven Miller] said it was that momentum, coupled with a high percentage of undecided voters in the race (anywhere from 30 percent to 45 percent), that convinced him to make the investment.

A gain of five points means he started at 3 or 4, which is about where I had him last week.

Long way to go to get to first place, though.

posted by Rich Miller
Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:04 pm

Comments

What’s a million more dollars to attack Democrats, right? Have fun at your corporate law firm job, Scott.

Comment by Anon Nice Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:06 pm
Where do I send the million-dollar check?

He must have some sweet talk to have landed that one on the basis of nine percent.

Comment by wordslinger Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:06 pm
Nice job Scott. By election day you might be at 10%

Comment by Honeybadger Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:08 pm
How does the BGA reconcile its government investigations and its board members’ political contributions? See: Rauner, Bruce; Miller, Steven

Comment by Sugar Corn Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:12 pm
=== - Oswego Willy - Wednesday, Mar 14, 18 @ 2:41 pm

Drury’s poll info sounds like a real bad math problem you’d find on the SAT

===· Since the baseline survey, Quinn’s support has dropped by almost 20 percentage points. Raoul has gained 9 points. Drury has gained 5 points.
· Drury has double digit support downstate and in the collar counties.
· Raoul has run more than two times as many ads as other candidates.===

“If Drury is on a train from Chicago to Cairo, going 9 times slower than Quinn but only 3 times slower than Raoul, what time would Drury end up in Carbondale”

A. In time to lecture about being a former federal prosecutor.
B. By 4:20, but no one will “care”
C. No later then the streetlights turning on
D. We’ll never know what time, Drury didn’t get a Madigan clock===

Wow.

The answer WAS “B”…

Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:13 pm
Does he get bonus points for being a “former federal prosecutor”?? Not sure anyone knows that.

Comment by Wow Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:14 pm
Other than getting someone to shell out money for single-digit poll numbers, the most interesting takeaway from this news is Quinn’s trajectory.

Comment by Anonymous Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:17 pm
He’s not the first to waste a bunch of money. Won’t be the last. Should’ve given it to feed/clothe people, but whatever.

Comment by Rutro Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:20 pm
Just voted for Raoul, mostly in the hopes to block Quinn from this office.

Not sure what Drury’s candidacy is good for after all the other candidates spoke out against MJM.

Comment by hisgirlfriday Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:31 pm
–How does the BGA reconcile its government investigations and its board members’ political contributions? –

Contribute and you don’t get investigated?

I mean, Lester Crown was on their Civic Leadership Committee, and that dude was known to bribe legislators back in the day.

http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20150529/ISSUE03/150529815/happy-90th-birthday-lester-crown

Comment by wordslinger Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:42 pm
I can’t figure out why Raoul with all the Democratic Party and union backing is not the frontrunner. Why are the same tough questions of Drury’s participation not being asked of Raoul’s lack of traction despite his favorite son status?

Comment by Mod Dem Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:43 pm
Don’t get me wrong, but in an 8 way race, it’s mathematically impossible to win with 10% of the vote. Putting the poll numbers out says the late ad buy is a hail Mary.

Will his supporters see it as a sign to jump ship, for a second choice who might win?

Comment by Anonymous Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:47 pm
===I can’t figure out why Raoul with all the Democratic Party and union backing is not the frontrunner.===

Quinn’s name ID + 8 candidates + Quinn having a base that is enough positive to overtake his underwater negatives + a flooding of ads to make others just noise on the Tee-Vee…

Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:48 pm
==I can’t figure out why Raoul with all the Democratic Party and union backing is not the frontrunner.==

1) Crowded field. 2) Pat Quinn’s name is very familiar. 3) Focus on governor’s race by media.

Comment by Pot calling kettle Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:50 pm
…and 4) Late start.

Comment by Pot calling kettle Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 12:50 pm
If I understand everything, Quinn has name recognition and has sunk by 20 points. Raoul has spent a ton and is not even at 20. Drury has spent almost nothing and is growing. The Drury haters are seemingly missing what is going on.

Comment by Pat - Ronage Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 1:06 pm
===Quinn has name recognition and has sunk by 20 points.==

How does that work, exactly?

Magically Quinn is “forgotten” by 1 in 5 polled?

Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 1:08 pm
Got a call for an AG poll today. Focused on three candidates - Drury, Quinn and Raoul. Clearly, Drury is the one to watch. Did anyone think Local 150 really just wasted $600,000 on him? 40% of voters who know Quinn and Raoul clearly don’t like them and are undecided. That’s how Drury wins.

Comment by Poll Watcher Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 1:11 pm
Drury is puffing his numbers. There’s no way. Let him release it.

Comment by Anon Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 1:21 pm
If anyone thinks Drury is going from single digits to over 20 percent in five days, I have a bridge to sell you.

Comment by Anonymous Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 1:41 pm
==I have a bridge to sell you.==

Better yet, an Illiana tollway to sell you.

Comment by TKMH Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 2:14 pm
Leaving aside all the smoke, mirrors and confusion numbers - isn’t the takeaway that there’s a Top 3 in this race: Quinn, Raoul and Drury? That Drury is breaking out of the second tier?

Comment by DarkHorse Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 2:26 pm
Pro Rata, his votes may turn out to be the most expensive this cycle. And that’s really saying something.

Comment by A guy Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 2:28 pm
The money is more likely to nominate Raoul than Drury. If that was the contributor’s goal, then it may succeed.

Comment by anon2 Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 4:15 pm
Clearly a three-way race now. It may be too late for Drury to gain percentage high enough to win, but definitely going to be interesting. The question: Who benefits from all of these last minute moves? Quinn? Raoul? Drury?

Comment by JB Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 5:06 pm
===Fight Back for a Better Tomorrow PAC, that dark money outfit run by Local 150, just reloaded with another $300,000 for more TV ads against Drury. That puts them close to a million, right where Drury is.===

Drury is burning money… Local 150 is burning the *ashes* of Drury’s burned money…

Comment by Oswego Willy Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 5:13 pm
Clearly, Madigan sees what Drury’s poll is showing. Also, Kwame is not showing any movement. Drury clearly is a real contender.

Comment by szahn Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 9:08 pm
electonic voting puts the last two candidates on a second screen. Very unfair to those two. You can’t see their names till after you selected a choice. It can’t be that hard to get all candidates on one screen.

Comment by Bobio Thursday, Mar 15, 18 @ 10:20 pm